[FRIAM] ** reminder today** Lecture Monday, August 13 10:30a: Rob Axtell - Informal Chat on Agent-Based Modeling and Generative Social Science

2007-08-13 Thread Stephen Guerin
** reminder today ** ** note special day and time ** Robert Axtell External Faculty, Santa Fe Institute Professor, George Mason University, Krasnow Institute for Advanced Study, Krasnow Institute for Advanced Study TITLE: Informal Chat on Agent-Based Modeling and Generative Social Science TIME:

Re: [FRIAM] Science and Action

2007-08-13 Thread Marcus G. Daniels
David Breecker wrote: One of the key findings was that the way scientists tend to discuss issues like certainty, and their dialectical method of taking exception to perceived flaws in one another's work, has hampered our ability to convey the urgency of the climate change situation and the

Re: [FRIAM] Science and Action

2007-08-13 Thread PPARYSKI
Thanks David, Yes it has been a great discussion, but with little reference to science. For those of you interested in the scientific study of climate change and global warming here is the site of the IPCC: _http://www.ipcc.ch/_ (http://www.ipcc.ch/) and a Columbia study on ice

[FRIAM] climate change science

2007-08-13 Thread PPARYSKI
FYI Paul Science 10 August 2007: Vol. 317. no. 5839, pp. 746 - 747 DOI: 10.1126/science.317.5839.746 News Focus CLIMATE CHANGE: Humans and Nature Duel Over the Next Decade's Climate Richard A. Kerr Rising greenhouse gases are changing global climate, but during the next few

Re: [FRIAM] Pascal's Wager and Global Warming

2007-08-13 Thread Marcus G. Daniels
Nicholas Thompson wrote: The best argument for worrying about global warming presented so far in this interesting correspondence is the one that says it costs us relatively little to worry about it and and costs us LOT if we dont. Sort of like Pascal's argument for prayer, right? The

[FRIAM] Fwd: [ee-net] QUERY: Zambia/ Study on Economic Impacts of Climate Change/ Com...

2007-08-13 Thread PPARYSKI
Climate change and economic impacts. cheers Paul ** Get a sneak peek of the all-new AOL at http://discover.aol.com/memed/aolcom30tour ---BeginMessage--- Dear Colleagues, UNDP Zambia is working with the Government of Zambia through the Ministry of

Re: [FRIAM] Pascal's Wager and Global Warming

2007-08-13 Thread Phil Henshaw
It's evidently a sign the whole thing is unimportant that people indulge in the luxury of abstract debate for making their decisions. If it were perceived as real, wouldn't we make decisions the normal way? Phil Henshaw .·´ ¯ `·.

[FRIAM] Pascal's Wager and Kant's Categorical Imperative

2007-08-13 Thread Nicholas Thompson
David, Can you explain this relation a bit further. Sorry if I am being dim, but I did not quite understand your comment. Let's say we are on the QE2 which, for some reason is inclined to be a bit tippy. We notice that the passengers are gathering on the right side of the ship, which is

Re: [FRIAM] Pascal's Wager and Kant's Categorical Imperative

2007-08-13 Thread David Breecker
Sorry Nick, I inadvertantly omitted your key question to which I was replying, which was: I do worry about complexity thinking leading to fatalism. If a goddamned butterfly can cause a climate crash, why take responsibility for ANYTHING we do. We should all be dionysians. I think Kant

Re: [FRIAM] Pascal's Wager and Kant's Categorical Imperative

2007-08-13 Thread Robert Holmes
Nick, The good idea is a hypothetical imperative as it compels actions in a given circumstance (not all circumstances): if it will aid the boat's stability, I should move to the opposite side. If you want a categorical imperative that would be applicable, I'd suggest: I should not act like a

Re: [FRIAM] English and conservatism (was Edge: The Need for Heretics)

2007-08-13 Thread steve smith
Glen - One of the necessary steps toward a useful dialect about anthropogenic climate change is: stop abusing English. I think you lead with your chin on this one... someone deliberately spoofing or lampooning you couldn't have picked a better mischoice of words in this context. Unless you