http://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/ncaaf/2013/09/08/week-2-college-football-misery-index-texas-usc-south-carolina-michigan-state/2782251/

The Misery Index Week 2: Agony in Austin

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Dan Wolken, USA TODAY Sports23 hours ago

Chris Nicoll, USA TODAY Sports

Texas coach Mack Brown looks for answers during the second quarter of a bad 
loss to BYU more

The misery for Texas fans essentially began on Monday, during the second half 
of quarterback Jameis Winston's spectacular debut for Florida State. Some old 
quotes from Winston began circulating on Twitter in which he had once said he 
wanted to play for Texas but that the Longhorns didn't recruit him.

Fair or not – and we'll address that in a second – those were dangerous words 
for Texas coach Mack Brown because they seemed to fortify the easy narrative 
around the program's recent slide. Texas didn't want in-state kids Robert 
Griffin III, Andrew Luck or Johnny Manziel when they were in high school, and 
now here was more evidence of ineptitude, arrogance or flat-out incompetence.

Makes sense, right?

Of course, recruiting is ridiculously nuanced. It is an industry built on 
misinformation and agendas. And it's also difficult. If it was so easy to 
identify what kind of quarterback Griffin was going to be, why did he end up 
committing to Houston, then following Art Briles to Baylor and what was the 
worst program in the Big 12 at the time? Until Chip Kelly identified Manziel as 
a guy who could run his unique system at Oregon, he was viewed regionally as 
more of a Conference USA prospect than a guy who could win in the Big 12 or SEC.

You could name 20 major schools who recruit the state of Texas and missed on 
those guys, but with as many arrows as Brown is taking, he made the somewhat 
surprising choice this week to address the Winston issue head-on. He said he 
knew of Winston's interest in the Longhorns, then referenced a "source" who 
told him they shouldn't waste their time because Winston was really down to 
Florida State and Alabama.

Maybe Brown should have just avoided the conversation altogether.

The truth is, Texas declines to recruit players all the time – not always 
because they're not viewed as good enough for the Longhorns but because gauging 
legitimate interest is tricky. A lot of players want to be recruited by Texas, 
but the key for Brown and his staff is figuring out which ones actually want to 
come or just want to be wooed and take a visit to Austin.

It may sound silly, but for a recruit, having Texas on your "offer list" is 
like landing on Park Place in Monopoly. Even if you don't really want it, it's 
worth a lot.

Is it reasonable to believe that Brown investigated the Winston situation and 
decided that Texas, at the end of the day, wasn't going to land a highly-ranked 
quarterback from Hueytown, Ala.? Absolutely. The Longhorns don't engage in a 
ton of recruiting battles with the SEC, and this was going to be a vicious one 
between Nick Saban and Jimbo Fisher. If Brown invested time in recruiting 
Winston and he ended up going to Florida State or Alabama anyway, it would be a 
huge waste. Those kinds of decisions happen all the time.

It is possible, of course, that Brown's intel was wrong and Texas had a 
legitimate chance to get Winston. Maybe he was right. We'll never know.

But watching the Longhorns lose 40-21 at BYU on Saturday, it's pretty clear the 
quarterback recruiting issue is a red herring.

This was a total program failure, and Texas' turmoil is far more prevalent on 
the defensive side. The Longhorns surrendered 550 rushing yards to BYU. Five 
hundred and fifty. That's impossible for anyone, much less a team with nine 
returning starters on defense, pretty much all of whom were blue-chip recruits. 
Heck, that's almost a month of offense sometimes for BYU, a team that hasn't 
been able to throw the ball at all the last couple years.

In other words, the Misery Index was made for days like today, when Texas fans 
are ready to fire everyone and start over.

(Disclaimer: This isn't a ranking of worst teams, worst losses or coaches whose 
jobs are in the most jeopardy. This is simply a measurement of a fan base's 
knee-jerk reaction to what they last saw. The way in which a team won or lost, 
expectations vis-à-vis program trajectory and traditional inferiority complex 
of fan base all factor into this ranking.)

1. Texas: As noted above, this isn't just a quarterback issue. This is 
unacceptable stuff all around. Brown spent the entire spring and summer touting 
the Longhorns being on a trajectory back to the nation's elite, and now it's 
all come crashing down in Week 2. Yeah, in theory, this can be fixed. But a 
culture of negativity around Texas has been closing in for awhile now, and fans 
are not going to forgive another bad season. The way that defense played 
against BYU is frightening, and now they have to face Hugh Freeze and Ole Miss, 
who will try to run 100 plays and make Longhorns defenders tackle in space. If 
Texas loses this one – and that's a very real possibility – watch out.

2. USC: A couple years ago, whenever Lane Kiffin's obvious shortcomings as a 
head coach were brought up, Trojans fans pointed to the five-star recruits he 
was reeling in and said, "Wait and see." A lot of the media bought in, too. One 
poll even had USC ranked No. 1 in the preseason last year. But whenever 
Kiffin's miserable tenure ends, hopefully we can retire the idea that someone 
needs only to be a good recruiter to be a head coach. It doesn't work that way. 
It's never worked that way and never will. Competence matters. Despite whatever 
scholarship limitations or NCAA sanctions Kiffin inherited, none of it was 
worse than the mess Mike Leach took over at Washington State. And all it took 
was the second game of his second season for Leach's program to beat Kiffin's. 
According to multiple reports, chants of "Fire Kiffin!" echoed through Los 
Angeles Coliseum as the Trojans lost 10-7 to Washington State. USC fans now 
realize that while recruiting matters, competence matters more


Gary A. Vasquez, USA TODAY Sports

USC coach Lane Kiffin runs off the field following the Trojans' 10-7 loss 
against more

3. Florida: It's not so much that Will Muschamp is now 19-9 as the head coach, 
it's that the Gators look bad even when they win. At no point last season did 
the eye test tell you Florida should be an 11-1 team, and yet somehow at the 
end of the year that's exactly what their record was and you could have made an 
argument that the Gators overall collection of wins was better than Alabama's. 
But the weird mojo that allowed them to overcome the fact that they are pretty 
mediocre at quarterback and receiver was bound to run out at some point, and it 
did Saturday. In fact, the Gators got reverse mojo'd in Miami. They had the 
ball for 38 minutes, out-gained the Hurricanes 413-212 and held Miami to 
1-of-11 on third down. But penalties and turnovers – five of the latter – 
pretty much ruined all that. Florida fans barely get enthused for anything less 
than a national championship, so this is shaping up to be a pretty dreary fall 
in Gainesville.


Brad Barr, USA TODAY Sports

Florida coach Will Muschamp reacts after a turnover during the second half of 
the more

4. UConn: The Huskies didn't play this week, which may actually be good for the 
team coming off a 33-18 loss to Towson in the opener. But for fans, that's two 
weeks to stew over UConn's lot in life and dread what's coming next Saturday 
when their old coach, Randy Edsall, brings Maryland into East Hartford. That's 
a whole lot of negative rolled into the first week of September.

5. Michigan State: Upon further review, omitting the Spartans from the top-10 
last week was a major oversight. Sparty fan, we have heard you loud and clear. 
Moreover, after watching Saturday's 21-6 win over South Florida, we commiserate 
with your predicament. Not only do you have a humorless coach void of any 
semblance of personality, but your team's offense is a dumpster fire. Three 
quarterbacks played against South Florida and they combined for 94 passing 
yards – a not-so-robust 3.9 yards per attempt against a team that just got 
blown out by McNeese State. Michigan State is 2-0, but you get the feeling if 
they can't find a way to fix the offense, this season is going to go the wrong 
way.

6. Georgia: Tumbling from No. 1 last week, it will take a lot more than a 41-30 
victory against South Carolina to cure all the misery in Georgia. To that 
point, after getting in the car late Saturday night after filing our dispatch 
on the game, one needed only to turn on sports talk radio for 30 seconds to 
find a fan ranting about how defensive coordinator Todd Grantham should be 
fired. Yes, that really happened.

7. Notre Dame: Reasonable Irish fans will understand that a game like this was 
bound to happen, that the lucky breaks and bad calls were bound to go against 
them at some point, that Michigan is a pretty good team, that … wait a second. 
There are no reasonable Irish fans. So, by all means, let's roll with it. The 
defensive line is overrated! The secondary hasn't progressed! Tommy Rees isn't 
the guy! Brian Kelly has anger management issues! Feel better now?

8. Purdue: The Boilermakers were life-or-death to hold off Indiana State on 
Saturday, 20-14, which is bad enough on its own. But this was the same Indiana 
State team that lost 73-35 to Indiana in Week 1, and Indiana followed that up 
with a 41-35 loss to Navy. Transitive property is a dangerous thing, but a 
pattern is emerging here. Purdue isn't very good, and here are its next six 
games: Notre Dame, at Wisconsin, Northern Illinois, Nebraska, at Michigan 
State, Ohio State. Good luck, Darrell Hazell. Good luck.


Mike Carter, USA TODAY Sports

Michigan State moved into the Coaches Poll on Sunday, but that doesn't mean its 
fans more

9. Oklahoma State:Reports started circulating Saturday that Sports Illustrated 
is poised to publish an investigative piece on the Cowboys' program. How bad is 
it? Nobody knows for sure, but Oklahoma State preemptively issued a statement 
trying to mitigate the damage. So did other schools who now employ assistant 
coaches from the era in question (mostly 2001-07). It's pretty unusual for 
multiple schools to react to something they have not yet read, but 
administrators talk to each other and Oklahoma State probably has a general 
idea at this point what's in the story. It's ominous, that's for sure. And 
especially at an Oklahoma State program that is 51-16 the past six seasons 
under Mike Gundy. Hold on tight, Cowboys fans!

10. Alabama: Tide fans have had a week to digest the 35-10 victory over 
Virginia Tech, and it still doesn't look any better. You think Alabama fans are 
spoiled? The concern over this team is real. It's ridiculous, but real. Expect 
a lot of teeth-gnashing this week leading up to the "Game Of The Year."

Also receiving votes but not quite miserable enough: Iowa, SMU, Missouri, 
Southern Miss, South Florida, Nebraska, West Virginia.

Dan Wolken, a national college football reporter for USA TODAY Sports, is on 
Twitter @DanWolken.

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