[geo] monsoons

2009-09-07 Thread John Gorman
In the presentations at the Royal Society on Tuesday 1st September there were several suggestions that geoenginering would reduce or stop the Indian monsoon. This was also mentioned in some questions, answers or subsequent discussion that I was involved in. My suggestion that this would

[geo] Re: Royal Society report - Temperature rebound a myth?

2009-09-07 Thread Oliver Morton
But the fatalities in early aviation were limited to voluntary aviators, no? I don't think 10% of teh people on the ground who just happened to be passing by got hurt... On Sep 6, 7:30 pm, xbenf...@aol.com wrote: Throughout these studies, few realize that this is engineering. Learning how the

[geo] on monsoons and warming

2009-09-07 Thread Andrew Revkin
The work I've tracked on monsoon remains equivocal on overall rainfall. Interesting 2006 study showed no change in total precip last 50 years, but more coming in heavy downpours (familiar refrain). http://www.nytimes.com/2006/12/01/world/asia/01briefs-indiafloods.html

[geo] Re: Royal Society report - Temperature rebound a myth?

2009-09-07 Thread Lane, Lee O.
Dear Ken, This scheme misses a basic fact. Power, not population, determines the course of world politics. International laws cannot allow countries to do things which they, in fact, cannot do. The system that you propose would, if I am understanding it correctly, create and widely disperse a

[geo] Re: monsoons

2009-09-07 Thread Manu Sharma
- Original Message - *From:* John Gorman gorm...@waitrose.com My suggestion that this would be a result of global warming anyway was dismissed by one climate scientist so it was interesting to find the following in the Daily Telegraph last Saturday Two recent studies state that

[geo] Re: Royal Society report - Temperature rebound a myth?

2009-09-07 Thread David Keith
My two bits into this interesting debate: On the temperature rebound. As Ken says, there is no question that the temperature rebound is real. Simple physics tells you it should be there, and this is confirmed by experiments with at least three different GCMs. The question is: is it a bug or a

[geo] Re: Royal Society report - Temperature rebound a myth?

2009-09-07 Thread Alan Robock
Dear David and Greg, I would like to push back even more. Show me how you can do incremental experiments with SRM. You can do small-scale experiments with airplanes and nozzles, but not with creation of aerosols of the appropriate size without already having an aerosol cloud up there. I

[geo] Re: Royal Society report - Temperature rebound a myth?

2009-09-07 Thread David Keith
Greg, Let me push back a bit. I absolutely agree that experiments are crucial and that by working our way up in experimental scale we will learn more and therefore reduce risk. While we did not say this as clearly in the RS report as we might have, and not as clearly as in Novim, I don't

[geo] Re: Royal Society report - Temperature rebound a myth?

2009-09-07 Thread xbenford
Alan, David, all: I don't pretend it's easy to do incremental work. Still, you move from micro effects in chambers to field experiments of small scale. Look at the Wright brothers. First, Lab development. This answers (on lab scales of 10 meters or so) major issues: How do aerosols deploy

[geo] Re: Royal Society report - Temperature rebound a myth?

2009-09-07 Thread Peter Read
Presumably you could do a small release over 100km^2 of Alaska and fly over it to see if there were indeed any local whitening Maybe use some 18O2 isotope to trace where it goes to? Peter - Original Message - From: Alan Robock rob...@envsci.rutgers.edu To:

[geo] Re: on monsoons and warming

2009-09-07 Thread Alan Robock
Dear Andy, However the effects of volcanic eruptions on the monsoon are not equivocal, and they are the best natural analog we have for SRM: Trenberth, K. E. Dai, A. 2007 Effects of Mount Pinatubo volcanic eruption on the hydrological cycle as an analog of geoengineering. Geophys. Res. Lett.

[geo] Re: on monsoons and warming

2009-09-07 Thread John Nissen
Haven't we got this the wrong way round?  Shouldn't we be trying to invent ways of applying SRM without problematic side effects?  And shouldn't the first application be to halt the retreat of Arctic sea ice? Necessity is the mother of invention. John Alan Robock wrote: Dear Andy,

[geo] Re: on monsoons and warming

2009-09-07 Thread Manu Sharma
On Tue, Sep 8, 2009 at 3:38 AM, Alan Robock rob...@envsci.rutgers.eduwrote: However the effects of volcanic eruptions on the monsoon are not equivocal, and they are the best natural analog we have for SRM Perhaps the best analog to SRM is the phenomenon of global dimming and its links [1]