Re: [geo] Re: Stoat strongly criticises AMEG

2012-03-19 Thread Andrew Lockley
There was a good study at WCRP which showed that much of the inter annual variability is wind related, as ice is moved towards the Atlantic in certain years. I don't know if It's in print yet. Veli has made this point before, and the modelling seems to support his view. This is worrying, as

[geo] Re: Stoat strongly criticises AMEG

2012-03-19 Thread Josh Horton
I agree with Nathan that we shouldn't lose sight of the methane issue, which is the motive force behind AMEG's assertions and activities. In this regard, here is a short excerpt from something I posted in December: * * *While declaring a methane emergency and calling for immediate action is

Re: [geo] Re: Stoat strongly criticises AMEG

2012-03-19 Thread Mike MacCracken
True, but with Arctic warming and general reduction in sea ice and so in cold air generated in Arctic, it is all related, so just projecting ahead past levels and characteristics of variability is unlikely, in my view, to be valid. Also, thermodynamically, it is quite hard to maintain a colder

Re: [geo] Source on SRM causing warming

2012-03-19 Thread Alan Robock
Dear Mike, I don't know how you do this 6 to 1 calculation. We found that the e-folding time for stratospheric aerosols in the Arctic s 2-4 months, with 4 months in the summer, the relevant time. (see http://climate.envsci.rutgers.edu/pdf/2008JD010050small.pdf ) If we compare this to the

RE: [geo] Source on SRM causing warming - tropospheric health effects.

2012-03-19 Thread John Latham
Hello Alan, Re tropospheric health effects:- Are you talking exclusively about sulphur, or would you apply the same argument to seawater droplets, as used in MCB? Estimated global seawater volumetric dissemination rate to produce cooling to balance warming from 2xCO2 is about 10 m**3 / sec,

Re: [geo] Source on SRM causing warming

2012-03-19 Thread Stephen Salter
Alan Pollution is a loaded word. Check out http://www.healthandcare.co.uk/great-gifts/salitair-salt-therapy.html?gclid=CNKH0-ur864CFdISfAodwHUpNA for evidence that breathing salt is very good for people with lung diseases. Osmosis is just as effective as anti-biotics at killing bugs but

Re: [geo] Source on SRM causing warming

2012-03-19 Thread Mike MacCracken
Hi Alan—Well, I got the 2 months number from your paper—and used that. Interesting that a more detailed evaluation indicates that the lifetime in summer is longer. I think longer times than a week might well be possible in the troposphere by choosing injection times and meteorological conditions,

RE: [geo] Source on SRM causing warming

2012-03-19 Thread David Keith
And... this 2-4 month lifetime is very altitude and latitude dependent. We can run some sims with the AER 2D an look but my guess from what we have done is that you could make choices that would push this up a bit. David From: geoengineering@googlegroups.com

RE: [geo] Source on SRM causing warming

2012-03-19 Thread David Keith
The acid deposition problem may well carry less weigh than the contribution to trop chemistry and air pollution. D From: geoengineering@googlegroups.com [mailto:geoengineering@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Mike MacCracken Sent: Monday, March 19, 2012 10:43 AM To: Alan Robock Cc: Stephen

Re: [geo] Source on SRM causing warming

2012-03-19 Thread Alan Robock
Dear Mike, The paper says: There is a clear seasonal cycle in the e-folding lifetime of the stratospheric aerosols in the Arctic case ranging from 2 to 4 months. The maximum lifetime occurs during boreal summer with a minimum during boreal winter with the formation of the polar vortex and

Re: [geo] Source on SRM causing warming

2012-03-19 Thread Andrew Lockley
Doesn't lifetime depend massively on injection height particle size? Size in turn depends on precursor, injection density, weather etc. What is the latest thinking on the preferred precursor and injection conditions? Acid mist, SO2 or H2S? A On Mar 19, 2012 4:43 PM, Mike MacCracken

Re: [geo] Source on SRM causing warming

2012-03-19 Thread Mike MacCracken
Hi Alan—Well, my mistake—I thought I got the 2-month number from your paper on this, but apparently not. Mike On 3/19/12 1:12 PM, Alan Robock rob...@envsci.rutgers.edu wrote: Dear Mike, The paper says: There is a clear seasonal cycle in the e-folding lifetime of the

Re: [geo] Re: tropospheric aerosol use

2012-03-19 Thread John Nissen
Hi Nathan, Thanks for that thoughtful posting. I am sorry you have the impression that AMEG might be proposing cloud brightening as a silver bullet. We obviously have a strong advocate of that particular method in Stephen Salter, who is a member of the group. But Stephen recognises that we