In Science magazine, scholars call for more comprehensive research into
solar geoengineering
*phys.org*/news/2021-11-science-magazine-scholars-comprehensive-solar.html
<https://phys.org/news/2021-11-science-magazine-scholars-comprehensive-solar.html?utm_source=nwletter&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=daily-nwletter>
<https://phys.org/archive/11-11-2021/>

November 11, 2021

by Harvard University <http://www.harvard.edu/>

Two articles being published in *Science* magazine's influential Policy
Forum this week argue for more and better social science research into the
potential use of solar geoengineering to offset some of the global warming
from greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.

In one article, David Keith, a professor at Harvard Kennedy School and
Harvard's Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences, calls for
building a shared taxonomy that researchers could use to separate the
overlapping concerns and opportunities raised by solar geoengineering
<https://phys.org/tags/solar+geoengineering/>, or SG. Keith is regarded as
an early leader in thinking about public policy choices for those
considering this climate <https://phys.org/tags/climate/>-altering
technology.

Keith notes that experts diverge on SG more sharply than any other area of
climate policy. "As with other contested technologies, disagreement
sometimes conflates divergent scientific and political judgments with
divergent normative stances," he writes. "It is impossible to cleanly
disentangle the technical, political, and ethical aspects of the debate."

To make sure policy debates better reflect the public interest, Keith
suggests disaggregating the concerns about SG with the goal of "more
constructive disagreement."

Solar geoengineering, also known as solar radiation management, refers to
interventions that could reflect sunlight, and thus reduce some climate
hazards caused by greenhouse gases, through measures such as releasing
stratospheric aerosols. SG is one of four main approaches to respond to
climate change, along with emissions reduction, carbon removal, and
adaptation.

In a companion paper, Kennedy School Professor of the Practice of Public
Policy Joseph E. Aldy joins Keith and *19 other climate scholars* in
calling for more thorough social science research
<https://phys.org/tags/social+science+research/> into SG, given the growing
interest in this techniques a policy option to cool the planet. They point
out that "the physical and social science literature on SG remains modest
compared with mitigation and adaptation."

They argue for pursuing three research themes to advance policy-relevant
social science related to SG:

   - Assessing and quantifying the costs and benefits of SG, and the
   potential for risk-risk trade-offs associated with its use.
   - Understanding the "political economy of deployment," including the
   incentives for unilateral deployment and the potential multilateral
   governance of SG decision-making.
   - Evaluating how SG may fit in a portfolio of policies, such as emission
   mitigation, and adaptation, to combat climate change, including closer
   study of public and expert perceptions of SG.

Aldy, who previously served as a special assistant to President Obama on
climate policy, and his co-authors from universities and research centers
around the world, call for scholars from developing countries to be
involved in this process. "The consideration of the justice implications of
climate policy <https://phys.org/tags/policy/> can be richer and more
credible through a more inclusive approach in undertaking research and the
production of evidence," they write.

Keith, too, raises concerns about potential injustices flowing from the
research, development, and deployment of SG. He argues that injustice
should be one of the central research themes for scientists and
policymakers alike as they plot climate change strategies.

Keith says the research agenda also needs to address the potential for what
he calls "the physical harms of benevolent deployment" of SG, including
risks of accidents and chances for disparate local effects. A related
concern is that of "moral hazard," or the risk that if SG were successful,
it may weaken the resolve of political leaders to implement
emission-cutting policies, raising the potential costs of climate action
for future generations. Aldy and his colleagues emphasize, however, that
the opposite could occur—SG deployment could galvanize public support for
more ambitious emission reductions—and highlight this topic as one
warranting further examination.

Keith argues further that SG researchers should study the potential for
malevolent use of SG, including weaponization of weather control. And he
wants researchers to consider the risks of the use of SG to tailor climate
to benefit some people rather than to reduce climate changes.

Disentangling and building data on these complex factors could lead toward
more constructive debate, Keith says. This approach could take the form of
a community-based taxonomy of SG concerns, which would be seen as unbiased
if it followed a Wikipedia-style set of rules where substantive statements
point to peer-reviewed literature.

"Analysis of SG is oversupplied with generic normative claims about
governance and undersupplied with detailed empirical research to understand
the mental models of relevant groups," Keith argues.
------------------------------
Climate engineering no longer on the fringe
<https://phys.org/news/2015-02-climate-longer-fringe.html>
------------------------------
*More information:*

   - David W. Keith, Towards more constructive disagreement about solar
   geoengineering, *Science* (2021). DOI: 10.1126/science.abj1587
   <http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.abj1587>.
   www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abj1587


   - Joseph Aldy, Social science research to inform solar geoengineering,
   *Science* (2021). DOI: 10.1126/science.abj6517
   <http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.abj6517>.
   www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.abj6517

<http://www.harvard.edu/>

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