On 7 December 2013 12:56, Stevan Harnad <amscifo...@gmail.com> wrote:

> 4. The majority of publishers with Green OA embargoes have an embargo of
> one year (though 60%, including Elsevier and Springer, have no embargo at
> all).
>

That's not true - Springer have adopted a 12 month embargo, and Elsevier
require an embargo for non-voluntary deposits. (You can argue as much as
you like about whether you can call a spade a fork, it doesn't change what
the policy is).

Further, your claim of 60% seems to be entirely based on Sherpa/RoMEO data
- which you usually provide links to. Except the classifications of RoMEO
alone does not lead to saying that 60% of journals / publishers have no
embargo, as when you read through the restrictions, what you CAN do may be
listed as being subject to an embagro (as in the case of Elsevier and
Springer).

The reasoning is that since free access after a year is a foregone
> conclusion, because of Green mandates, it's better if that free access is
> provided by publishers as Gold, so it all remains in their hands
> (navigation, search, reference linking, re-use, re-publication, etc.).
>

Actually, providing that a CTA has been signed as part of publishing the
article, then the re-use and re-publication is only possible in accordance
with the licence(s) that the publisher allows the content to be distributed
under. So, regardless of whether the content is on another site or not, the
[publisher granted rights via CTA] still retain that control.

Everyone gets Gold access after a year, and that's the end of it. Back to
> business as before -- unless the market prefers to pay the same price that
> it pays for subscriptions, in exchange for immediate, un-embargoed Gold OA
> (as in SCOAP3 or hybrid Gold).
>

Where do you get same price from? Estimates put subscription revenue per
article at around $4,000-$5,000, whereas even high-price hybrid Gold is
only $3,000 an article (with an industry average closer to $1,000 per
article).

Your claim regarding SCOAP3 might have more substance if it wasn't a
library and funding agency led initiative to reduce the cost of publishing
in physics - something that 20 years of "100% OA" in arXiv has failed to do.

And* the inevitable is immediate Green OA*, with authors posting their
> refereed, accepted final drafts immediately upon acceptance for
> publication. That version will become the version of record, because 
> *subscriptions
> to the publisher's print and online version will become unsustainable once
> the Green OA version is free for all*.
>

If it was immediate Green OA of the refereed, accepted final draft (and it
could be trusted that was the case), then there might be a chance of that
happening. Might.

Not that print is necessarily under threat from that - if people want print
[enough], then they would continue to pay for it, regardless of where else
it may exist, or at what cost.

But that isn't what's happening, is it? Springer and Elsevier have
introduced and/or lengthened embargoes in response to Green mandates (in
Elsevier's case, the clause is specifically invoked by the presence of a
mandate).

These embargoes are going to exist as long as publishers believe that they
are necessary. And so, if you expect to continue to publish -at no author
cost - in the journals you choose to now, you are only going to see
embargoes disappear if people will continue to pay the subscriptions.


> as Fair Gold (instead of today's over-priced, double-paid and
> double-dipped Fool's Gold) out of a fraction of the institutional annual
> windfall savings from their cancelled annual subscriptions.
>

And the evidence of double-dipping is?

On the other hand, not only has Wellcome stated there are indications of
subscription price rises being constrained appropriately by limited uptake
of hybrid Gold options, we have actual statements of subscription prices
REDUCED because of Gold uptake in others:

http://www.nature.com/press_releases/emboopen.html
http://static.springer.com/sgw/documents/1345327/application/pdf/Springer+Open+Choice_Journal+Price+Adjustments+2013.pdf


> So both the 1-year embargo on Green and the 1-year release of Gold are
> attempts to fend off the above: *OA has become a fight for that first
> year of access: researchers need and want it immediately; publishers want
> to hold onto it unless they continue to be paid as much as they are being
> paid now.*
>

No, publishers are going to hold onto it unless they continue to be paid *what
they see* as a fair return on their costs.

I can't ever see there not being a tension between academics and
[commercial] publishers over profits. But changing the business model so
that you pay upfront for publishing services can and will reduce the
overall cost to the scholarly community.

However, it would be a mistake to just talk about first year of access.
Ownership of materials is also important. Aside from the other opportunity
costs, not retaining ownership is what allows these embargoes to exist.

Changing the predominant business model to upfront payment will deliver
immediate access, ownership and lower costs. Failing to do so isn't going
to deliver ownership or lower costs, and it's not going to deliver
immediate access to anything other than pre-print material.

That's not just the evidenced in the last 20 years of open access
provision, but in what is being attempted by SCOAP3 to deliver what Green
OA alone can't.

G
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