[The author is no habitual critic of Modi and his regime, by any stretch.
(Ref., e.g.:
<<Prime minister (PM) Narendra Modi is now acknowledged as a master
communicator.
His massive electoral victory was a powerful and carefully choreographed
multi-dimensional effort, but his big initial breakthrough was in bypassing
a hostile mainstream media and reaching out to people directly through
social media.
The PM is now using the very same tools to win friends and followers
globally with spectacular results, so much so that his tweets to heads of
State or the people of Japan (in Japanese) are rewriting the rule book for
diplomacy.>>
at 'Narendra Modi the Master Communicator': <
https://www.moneylife.in/article/narendra-modi-the-master-communicator/38785.html
>.)

That makes her analysis/comment all the more significant.

Similar points have been made by quite a few other knowledgeable analysts
as well.
A smal sample:
I. 'Budget 2018: Narendra Modi's ambitious health insurance plan will
require Rs 11,000 cr in funding each year' at <
http://www.firstpost.com/business/budget-2018-narendra-modis-ambitious-health-insurance-plan-will-require-rs-11000-cr-in-funding-each-year-4332149.html
>.
II. 'Opinion: Modicare is more an election gimmick than a real solution to
India’s health needs' by T Sundararaman (who teaches at the School of
Health Systems Studies, TISS) at <
https://scroll.in/pulse/867524/modicare-is-more-an-election-gimmick-than-a-real-solution-to-indias-health-needs
>.
III. 'Budget 2018: Jaitley’s ‘World’s Largest Health Programme’ Rejigs
Flailing Old Ones' by Anoo Bhuyan at <
https://thewire.in/219879/arun-jaitley-national-health-protection-scheme-budget-2018/
>.
IV. 'Union Budget 2018: Poor diagnosis, wrong medicine: The focus in the
Union Budget on tertiary healthcare at the cost of primary and secondary
healthcare is flawed. A publicly-financed health insurance scheme is no
substitute' by Sourindra Mohan Ghosh and Imrana Qadeer (Ghosh is a PhD
scholar at the Centre for Economic Studies and Planning, JNU and Qadeer
headed the department of Social Medicine and Community Health at JNU) at <
http://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/union-budget-2018-healthcare-poor-diagnosis-wrong-medicine-5049453/
>.
V. 'Where’s the money, Mr Jaitley? There are grand promises. But the actual
increases in budgetary outlays are shockingly low.' by Jayati Ghosh
(professor of economics at Jawaharlal Nehru University, Delhi) at <
http://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/union-budget-2018-arun-jaitley-money-gst-demonetisation-5048258/
>.
VI. 'Budget 2018: Fantabulous Schemes With Not A Paisa Earmarked' by
Prabhat Patnaik (former Professor at the Centre for Economic Studies and
Planning in the School of Social Sciences at Jawaharlal Nehru University,
New Delhi and the vice-chairman of the Planning Board of the Indian state
of Kerala from June 2006 to May 2011) at <
http://www.thecitizen.in/index.php/en/NewsDetail/index/2/12913/Budget-2018-Fantabulous-Schemes-With-Not-A-Paisa-Earmarked
>.

<<Typical of this government, the scheme is tall on claims and short on
details. Only Rs2,000 crore has been provided for the grand plan in the
Budget, but that has not stopped acolytes and apologists claiming it to be
a game-changer, while detractors are calling it another jumla (empty
statement). And, yet, no political party would dare to oppose a scheme that
promises much-needed healthcare to our poorest people.
...
Dr Arvind Mayaram‏
@MayaramArvind
Follow

Universal health insurance through private hospitals has not worked for the
poor anywhere. Biggest beneficiaries are the private hospitals and
insurance companies. There is no substitute for public health care. More
money should have been pumped to strengthen it.

10:40 PM - 31 Jan 2018 from Jaipur, India

561 Retweets 7573Likes

(Original source: <
https://twitter.com/mayaramarvind/status/958953305354350593>.)

Dr Arvind Mayaram, former finance secretary>>

(Excerpted from below.)

***Hence, two major points emerge:

One, Rs. 2,000 crore is too measly a sum for the much trumpeted (but,
apparently, still on the drawing board) health insurance scheme, geared to
provide significant financial assistance for secondary and tertiary health
care.
(It is not meant to do anything about primary, the first level, health care
- understandably, the primary need of the common people.)

Two, universal health insurance through private hospitals has not worked
for the poor anywhere. Biggest beneficiaries are the private hospitals and
insurance companies. There is no substitute for public health care. More
money should have been pumped to strengthen it.
More so, given the abysmal paucity of health care infrastructure in rural
and semi-urban areas and the continued neglect in the budget.***]

https://www.moneylife.in/article/modicare-all-sound-and-fury/53029.html

Modicare: All Sound and Fury...

Sucheta Dalal

12 February 2018

The big take-away from the Union Budget 2018 was the mega National Health
Protection Scheme that is probably aimed at getting Modi sarkar through the
2019 general elections. The programme, dubbed as Modicare, is already
claimed to be the largest government-funded healthcare scheme in the world
by providing a cover of Rs5 lakh to 100 million families (or 500 million
Indians) for secondary and tertiary care.

Typical of this government, the scheme is tall on claims and short on
details. Only Rs2,000 crore has been provided for the grand plan in the
Budget, but that has not stopped acolytes and apologists claiming it to be
a game-changer, while detractors are calling it another jumla (empty
statement). And, yet, no political party would dare to oppose a scheme that
promises much-needed healthcare to our poorest people.

Will Modicare work and be a game-changer? It is too early to say, except
that there are too many contradictions and questions. Over the past four
years, the Narendra Modi government has demonstrated its ability to ram
through big and audacious programmes but has fallen far short on
implementation. Demonetisation and the Goods and Services Tax (GST), with
its many glitches and frequent change in rules, caused immense hardship and
anger by treating people like guinea pigs. The government adamantly refuses
to admit to any flaws in the mega unique identification programme
(Aadhaar), despite sickening reports of denial of benefits and rights, data
leaks and faulty implementation every other day.

When it comes to Modicare, puffery and media management is giving us
different signals. On the one hand, an interview by Union health minister,
JP Nadda, to The Economic Times suggests that the scheme is still being
designed and will evolve over the next six months or longer. He told the
newspaper that the best practices of various state governments that already
have large healthcare schemes, will be studied to see “how the programme
can best reach the masses.” They may also be persuaded to subsume their
schemes into Modicare and then “a separate body will be put together to run
the programme on mission mode.” This suggests a big-bang launch and media
blitzkrieg just before the election code comes into operation, whose reach
will be limited by the Budget allocation for it.

In complete contrast to what the health minister has said, Firstpost.com
claims that a 28-page report titled “Universal Access and Quality” was
prepared by top bureaucrats, way back in 2016, under the direct supervision
of the prime minister. The report,  it says “clearly stated that the
government must provide health protection to 10 crore deprived families as
per the Socio-Economic Caste Census (SECC) absolutely free of cost.” Why
then is the health minister saying that the scheme is still being
formulated, two years later?

Writing for the Scroll, T Sundaraman, a healthcare expert, points out that
a smaller version of Modicare “was, in fact, announced in the 2016
Budget—the only difference being that the sum assured was raised from
Rs30,000 to Rs1.5 lakh then and to Rs5 lakh now. The scheme has not been
operationalised in the last two years. Moreover, not even 50% of the funds
under the existing health cover scheme have been spent in the past year.”

Dr Sunil Nandraj, a former advisor to the health ministry, has written that
the government is already struggling with the Rashtriya Swasthya Bima
Yojana (RSBY) which offered a Rs30,000-cover to 36 million people.

The issue is: What kind of healthcare infrastructure is really being
offered to 100 million people? Ultimately, won’t Modicare depend on the
creaky government healthcare system or the massive corruption,
malpractices, pass-backs, unnecessary procedures and extortive costs of
private healthcare? There have been several hard-hitting books such as
Dissenting Diagnosis and The Ethical Doctor that have exposed the rot in
India’s healthcare system from within and also suggested practical reform.

Serious corrective action and a clean-up of the healthcare industry ought
to precede the roll-out of a massive, insurance-based, national healthcare
programme; but this will take ages. The timing is so close to the general
elections that this is wishful thinking.

[Screenshot:
Dr Arvind Mayaram‏
@MayaramArvind
Follow

Universal health insurance through private hospitals has not worked for the
poor anywhere. Biggest beneficiaries are the private hospitals and
insurance companies. There is no substitute for public health care. More
money should have been pumped to strengthen it.

10:40 PM - 31 Jan 2018 from Jaipur, India

561 Retweets 7573Likes]

Dr Arvind Mayaram, former finance secretary

So far, the government has only tried to cut costs by fiat. Last year,
people cheered the dramatic 80% cut in the cost of cardiac stents and price
control over several medicines. But this effort, to force down costs, has
also had mixed results, with hospitals hiking up the cost of consumables
and manufacturers squeezing supply. Media reports suggest that a rethink on
costs is in the offing amidst hectic lobbying by the industry.

The poor need free primary healthcare as much or more than secondary and
tertiary healthcare. Modicare requires availability of high-quality medical
and diagnostic facilities within reach in small towns and villages of India
which covers 70% of the population. Otherwise, the costs in bringing
patients to hospitals will be prohibitive for many poor families. The
Budget announced the Ayushman Bharat Programme to develop 150,000 health
and wellness centres which is also only a proposal.

There is nothing to indicate that India can circumvent the pathetic public
health infrastructure with public-private partnerships anytime soon. In
fact, global experience suggests that government schemes are only a bonanza
for the private sector and escalate healthcare costs for all.

Moreover, researchers, who have studied the RSBY of 2008, covering five
persons per household below the poverty line (BPL), found severe problems
with its implementation and corruption; over half the households enrolled
were not even BPL. A health secretary in Maharashtra had expressed concern
about needless surgeries (mainly bypass surgeries and hysterectomies) being
performed due to the funding available under such schemes; but this has not
even been studied in detail.

While the poor suffer enormously, due to absence of healthcare facilities
and costs, the middle-class has borne the brunt of medical malpractice,
galloping healthcare and insurance costs as well as rampant mis-selling of
products. Other than a small set of organised sector employees who benefit
from corporate group insurance policies, the majority of Indians have three
big financial worries for their families—housing, education and healthcare.

Action to regulate the insurance industry has always been slow and
inadequate; grievance redress is poor (all 17 posts of the insurance
ombudsman in India are currently vacant) and affordable coverage for senior
citizens remains a serious issue with insurers brazenly circumventing
regulation to double insurance premiums in this segment.

As if this is not bad enough, the middle-class also pays an indirect price
when the exchequer covers the losses of existing schemes. For instance, the
Pradhan Mantri Suraksha Bima Yojana, an accidental death and disability
cover with 130 million subscribers, has a 200%+ claims ratio. Insurers were
told to hold premium at Rs12 per year for three years and it is now likely
to treble.

If, as claimed, the government’s vision is to provide universal life and
health assurance to citizens “with defined standards of services and at
affordable rates,” a lot more work is required. So far, there isn’t enough
groundwork to make the big healthcare announcement very credible and it
does appear more like election bombast.

Also, while one set of bureaucrats, led by the current finance secretary,
is credited with formulating Modicare, here is what former finance
secretary, Dr Arvind Mayaram (who was shunted out to tourism ministry in
2016), tweeted immediately after the Budget speech on 1st February:
“Universal health insurance through private hospitals has not worked for
the poor anywhere. The biggest beneficiaries are the private hospitals and
insurance companies. There is no substitute for public healthcare. More
money should have been pumped to strengthen it.”

-- 
Peace Is Doable

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