Dari milist sebelah.
Bahkan AAPG dan Britain's Institute of Petroleum.  mensponsori debat besar ini ....

rdp
======================
Revisionists say oil isn't a fossil fuel. That could mean there's lots 
more of it.

FORTUNE

Tuesday, February 4, 2003 

By Julie Creswell 

In the quiet waters off the coast of Vietnam lies an area known as Bach 
Ho,or White Tiger Field. There, and in the nearby Black Bear and Black 
Lion fields, exploration companies are drilling more than a mile into 
solid
granite--so-called basement rock--for oil. That's a puzzle: Oil isn't 
supposed to be found in basement rock, which never rose near the surface 
of the earth where ancient plants grew and dinosaurs walked. Yet oil is 
there. Last year the White Tiger Field and nearby areas produced 338,000 
barrels per day, and they are estimated to hold about 600 million barrels 
more. 

Oil and natural gas are being found in places no one expected and in 
greater quantities than anticipated just a decade ago. In the mid-1990s 
the world's reserves of oil were thought to total about 890 billion 
barrels. Today reserves stand at 1.1 trillion barrels; the U.S. Geological 
Survey estimates that continued reserve growth, along with undiscovered 
resources, could bring world oil estimates to as much as three trillion 
barrels. "We're
finding there are pretty substantial oil reserves in the world," says Tom 
Ahlbrandt, world energy project chief at the USGS. "New exploration and 
drilling technologies are making major new discoveries possible." 

The increase in reserve estimates is fueling the offbeat theories of 
maverick scientists who believe that the expression "fossil fuels" is a 
misnomer and that the earth contains a virtually endless supply of oil. 
Their ideas fly in the face of the conventional wisdom that oil and 
natural gas come from the remains of animals and plants buried millions of 
years ago. Subterranean heat and pressure, mainstream science says, 
transformed this organic dreck into coal and oil. Though their theories 
vary, the upstarts believe instead that wellsprings of oil and gas lie 
deep within the earth, deeper than most oil companies drill, and that 
supplies are constantly replenished. "With the White Tiger Field in 
Vietnam, 90% of the production is coming from basement rock, where there 
were never any fossils," argues C. Warren Hunt, a geologist in Calgary. 
"What they've been teaching us in school about oil coming from fossils is 
wrong." 

If true, the theories may mean we can stress less about running out of 
oil: There's more where that came from! We can also worry less about 
tensions in the Middle East or other hot spots cutting off our long-term 
supply. Problem is, most scientists scoff at such theories. Oil companies 
maintain that even if the rebels are right, the cost of searching for and 
extracting deep oil is prohibitive. ConocoPhillips, the $38-billion-a-year 
giant, is drilling for oil in the basement rock of the Black Lion Field 
off the coast of Vietnam. The company says the field is "unique," and the 
project is economically feasible because the oil is found at relatively 
shallow levels in the basement rock. "If you drill deeper into basement 
rock, you're probably going to find some hydrocarbons, but the chance of 
finding giant fields is pretty small," says Roger Pinkerton, 
ConocoPhillips's recently retired head of global exploration. He argues 
that there are much more accessible--albeit environmentally 
controversial--sources that will yield plenty of oil for the foreseeable 
future: to name two, the East Coast of the U.S. and Alaska's National 
Wildlife Refuge. 

Drilling deep into granite probably will never make economic sense unless 
the industrialized world runs dangerously low on oil or is cut off from 
its supply. But in the meantime scientists like Thomas Gold, a retired 
Cornell astronomy professor, are content with poking holes in traditional 
theories surrounding fossil fuels. It isn't just that hydrocarbons are 
being discovered in anomalous places like basement rock; Gold notes that 
primitive hydrocarbons like methane are also found in the atmospheres of 
Jupiter, Saturn, and other planets. 

He laid out his theories, which he believes better address those 
inconsistencies, in his 1998 book, The Deep Hot Biosphere: The Myth of 
Fossil Fuels. He argues that natural gas and oil were created with the 
earth's formation and reside deep inside the planet. Intense heat and 
pressure push them from there toward the surface. As to why biological 
matter (what some deem fossils) is found in oil, Gold says hydrocarbons 
attract a primitive type of microbe called archaea that lives deep 
underground; it feeds on and contaminates the oil. 

Controversial yet renowned, Gold is credited with figuring out in the 
1960s that pulsars were actually radio emissions from rapidly spinning 
collapsed stars, or neutron stars. To test his non-fossil-fuel theory, 
Gold in the 1980s persuaded the Swedish government to drill deep in a 
region near Siljan Lake, about 150 miles north of Stockholm. The Swedes 
drilled about four miles into basement rock and produced some 80 barrels 
of oil before the
equipment became hopelessly gummed up with putty-like iron oxide. To Gold 
and his supporters, those 80 barrels were wet, black evidence that oil is 
no fossil fuel. Critics countered that the oil was merely regurgitated 
fluid and contaminants from the drilling operation. Because of equipment 
failures and ballooning costs, the project was abandoned. 

Gold insists that the Siljan Lake results have led Soviet scientists and 
explorers to drill more than 300 deep wells into basement rock since then, 
producing some oil--but not vast amounts. (In fact, Russian scientists 
have
entertained theories similar to Gold's for as long as 100 years.) "The 
U.S. petroleum geological community has a viewpoint firmly opposed to the 
notion of oil being of nonbiological origin--but not the Russian, Chinese, 
or
Vietnamese," says Gold. "The U.S. has ignored completely the obviously 
very important Swedish results." 

Gold isn't the only Western researcher to offer an alternative theory of 
where oil comes from. Other scientists argue that seismic activity on the 
ocean floor triggers a geochemical reaction between carbon and hydrogen 
that
produces oil and natural gas. Still others say that bacteria deep within 
the earth--not dead dinosaurs--are making more oil every day. Scientists 
from around the world will gather in London this June to debate the 
origins of oil at a conference sponsored by the American Association of 
Petroleum Geologists and Britain's Institute of Petroleum. 

At this point most scientists believe there's a perfectly logical 
explanation for why fossil fuels can be found in basement rock. "These are 
fractured rocks where the basement rock has been uplifted and the adjacent
sedimentary rocks [that hold decaying plants and animals] pushed into that 
space," says USGS research geologist Gregory Ulmishek. He adds, "Geology 
is an empirical science, and we are sure that all the oil and gas that has 
been found in 150 years of exploration is of a biological nature." Of 
course, even long-standing scientific doctrines have been proved wrong. 
There was that little dogma about the earth's being flat. 



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