Re: IPv6 traffic stats - limitations of 6to4

2008-11-13 Thread Pekka Savola

On Thu, 13 Nov 2008, Rémi Després wrote:

 If an implementation implements RFC3484 and the user is not using custom
 address selection policy, all compliant RFC3484 implementations should
 prefer v4 when connecting to native from 6to4 (rule 5 of destination
 address selection AFAIR).


Actually, my above statement is incomplete.  Thanks for your eagle 
eyes :-)


In case the user has a RFC1918 IPv4 address and the destination is 
global v4 address, you'd use 6to4.  In case IPv4 address is global and 
destination is global, or both are RFC1918, you would use IPv4.


As such:

Can we derive from this that Google's IPv6 address is necessarily 
6to4 (most of its US customers using it are 6to4), and that Google 
has therefore a guaranteed path toward other 6to4 hosts?


I believe Google is using native addresses.  The 6to4 hits are 
probably caused by the users with private v4 addresses or users whose 
implementation does not support rfc3484.


Besides, isn't this a strong reason in favor of native IPv6 (albeit like Free 
did it with 6rd on its IPv4 infrastructure) vs 6to4?


Native is in many cases better than 6to4 or Teredo (but in some cases 
6to4 - 6to4 is better than native).  But this is something I 
specifically didn't comment on in my mail.


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Re: IPv6 traffic stats

2008-11-13 Thread Pekka Savola

On Wed, 12 Nov 2008, Iljitsch van Beijnum wrote:
In my opinion, this is a bug. This is the default policy table from a FreeBSD 
system, which is the RFC 3484 table IIRC:


You should probably bring this up on 6MAN WG list then.


 ip6addrctl

Prefix  Prec Label  Use
: : 1/128   50 00
: :/0  40 1   646064
2002::/16 30 20
: :/96 20 30
: : :0.0.0.0/96 10 40

The last line catches IPv4. It's two steps below the 6to4 prefix. However, 
the fact that the label for the 6to4 prefix doesn't match the ::/0 label 
means that IPv4 will be used.


This happens on FreeBSD and XP, and I assume also on Vista. But not on MacOS, 
because it doesn't implement the policy table. I don't know about Linux. (If 
you want to test, try to connect to 6to4test.runningipv6.net and see what 
happens. Both addresses are unreachable, though.)


I'm not sure whether you're agreeing with me or something else; I 
don't see where you're saying the bug is.  But if we start talking 
about issues in RFC3484, it should happen on 6MAN list.


Your test is inconclusive due to the fact that the A record is a 
private address.  Depending on whether the connecting host has a 
global or private address, the results are different (see my mail to 
Remi for more).


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RE: IPv6 traffic stats (was: Re: Last Call: draft-irtf-asrg-dnsbl(DNS Blacklists and Whitelists))

2008-11-13 Thread Hallam-Baker, Phillip
Who cares about the use measurement?
 
I care about the proportion of the Internet where I can obtain acceptable 
service with full functionality via an IPv6-only endpoint connection.



From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] on behalf of David Kessens
Sent: Wed 11/12/2008 4:28 PM
To: Joe St Sauver
Cc: ietf@ietf.org
Subject: Re: IPv6 traffic stats (was: Re: Last Call: draft-irtf-asrg-dnsbl(DNS 
Blacklists and Whitelists))




Joe,

On Tue, Nov 11, 2008 at 03:12:53PM -0800, Joe St Sauver wrote:
 David mentioned:

 On the other hand, just to put this in context and to pick on an
 application I'm somewhat familiar with, a single full-ish Usenet news
 feed is now in excess of 3TByte/day (see the daily volume stats quoted
 at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Usenet ). Just two or three full-ish
 Usenet News feeds over IPv6, if done across AMS-IX, would account
 for most of that 800Mbps traffic load (assuming that Usenet is what
 was making up most of that traffic, an assertion that I'm explictly
 NOT making). My point? It is possible that the IP transport choices
 of just a few cooperating server administrators might (at least
 hypothetically) account for virtually all the observed growth in
 AMS-IX IPv6 traffic.

Very good analysis: rumor has it that a large part of the AMS-IX
traffic is indeed usenet traffic. However, that doesn't mean that it
is not real IPv6 traffic: eg. we don't decide not to count IPv4 Usenet
traffic either. On the other hand, this graph only shows native
traffic so there is most likely more than what is visible in the
graph.

However, there are quite a few other observations by others (also
mentioned on this list) that put the total amount of IPv6 traffic to
various other parts of the Internet at a bit more but in the same
order of magnitude so it doesn't seem that the AMS-IX data is out of
line (various presentations on this topic from the last RIPE
meeting are available on rosie.ripe.net, look for ipv6 working group
or plenary).

 So to bring this post to a close, I continue to believe that IPv6
 traffic, at least IPv6 email traffic, remains very, very low, to
 the point where, as I've previous mentioned, it just hasn't justified
 DNS block list operator attention in any material way (love to hear
 about any counter examples, BTW).

This of course depends a bit on what you define as very, very low.
However, I can certainly see that it is not enough to get the
attention of a DNS block list operator. I do do know however, that I
received my first spam mail over IPv6 several years ago.

The reason for my mail was not to disproof your point but to put the
arbornetworks numbers in a bit more perspective.

David Kessens
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Re: IPv6 traffic stats - limitations of 6to4

2008-11-13 Thread Rémi Després

Pekka Savola   (1-12/1-31/200x) 11/12/08 9:09 PM:
If an implementation implements RFC3484 and the user is not using 
custom address selection policy, all compliant RFC3484 implementations 
should prefer v4 when connecting to native from 6to4 (rule 5 of 
destination address selection AFAIR).
Can we derive from this that Google's IPv6 address is necessarily 6to4 
(most of its US customers using it are 6to4), and that Google has 
therefore a guaranteed path toward other 6to4 hosts?


Besides, isn't this a strong reason in favor of native IPv6 (albeit like 
Free did it with 6rd on its IPv4 infrastructure) vs 6to4?


RD


FWIW, in Linux this was changed as the default maybe about 2-3 years 
ago.  I suppose may other operating systems, especially recent ones, 
also operate in this manner. For Linux, some info is here: 
http://people.redhat.com/drepper/linux-rfc3484.html


This has been discussed on v6ops and ipv6 lists but unfortunately I 
can't find the threads despite search attempts.


Maybe someone else with better memory could provide better references.

This is why observing ipv6 traffic on a dual-stack hostname will 
mostly just in observing those that use native v6 (with Mikael, this 
was 0.5% of users).
Except if the dual stack server, like that of Google, uses different 
URLs for IPv6and IPv4, right?
If you're interested in wider picture of IPv6 penetration, you'll put 
the content on v6-only hostname (with Mikael, this was reachable by 6% 
of users). If you want to also cover for Vista users with Teredo, 
you'd put the content on a site and refer to it using a numeric 
address instead of a hostname (this would result in even a higher 
percentage).


So, if you're interested in any kind of IPv6 connectivity at all (even 
6to4, teredo, ...), at least in some user communities (p2p users), I'm 
pretty sure IPv6 penetration is already over 10%.  At least 6% is 
already proven by measurements :-)




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Re: IPv6 traffic stats

2008-11-12 Thread Harald Alvestrand

Pekka Savola wrote:

On Tue, 11 Nov 2008, Harald Alvestrand wrote:
The correct number from the presentation is 0.238% - only Russia, 
Ukraine and France have more than 0.5% IPv6.


Presentation available from 
http://rosie.ripe.net/presentations-detail/Thursday/Plenary%2014:00/index.html. 



Depends on what you're looking for, but if you are interested in the 
amount of users that have any kind of IPv6 connectivity, this 
undercounts severely because address selection rules on recent OSs 
typically select IPv4 if their connectivity is 6to4 or Teredo.

Pekka,

can you identify the OSes that prefer IPv4 when on 6to4, and pointers to 
docs?


Steinar (the guy who did the Google experiment) has tried to dig through 
the documentation on both Vista and Linux, and has drawn a blank (Vista 
with Teredo doesn't even look up the  record if it has IPv4 
connectivity, according to the documentation, so it seems that it will 
not use IPv6 to IPv6-only hosts; it will never find the address.)


   Harald

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RE: IPv6 traffic stats

2008-11-12 Thread Hallam-Baker, Phillip
It looks to me as if these are developer and interoperability issues that are 
not going to be addressed of their own accord through regular IETF meetings.
 
I think that the only way we could expect progress here would be to have a 
series of interop events that involve representatives from all the interested 
parties - ISPs, O/S, network infrastructure providers, core DNS.
 
And they are going to find a large number of such missing pieces that need to 
be fed into the standards process. 
 
In this type of situation I think that we have got to expect the standards 
process to be descriptive rather than normative. Rather than having a group of 
folk get together to propose what should work we have to have the interop folk 
tell us what did work.
 
Some parts of this can take part in the regular IETF process but it really is 
not the type of project that I think is going to be effectively completed 
unless there is some fairly radical change in the approach. 
 
 
Transition from IPv4 to IPv6 has to be effortless for the end user. We can 
adopt a HDTV type approach where users are expected to deploy some sort of $50 
'converter' box. What we cannot do is to propose an architecture that requires 
end-users to think about the change.
 
My home network is IPv4. I have many devices that are not IPv6 aware and have 
zero intention of changing them. The network is behind a NAT because I don't 
see a business case to pay $10 per network device per month for unique IP 
addresses. That would be $120 a month for me - if Comcast actually supported it 
as an option which they do not, they allow up to 4 IPv4 addresses per 
residential connection.
 
 
The core problem here is that the current Internet 'architecture' requires 
applications to know rather too much about the internal workings of the network 
that they are connected to. Everyone now accepts that IPv4 address space is 
going to be quickly exhausted. What fewer people currently understand is that 
16 bit port numbers are no longer a scalable means of protocol description. And 
16 bit DNS RRs are no better in that respect either.
 



From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] on behalf of Harald Alvestrand
Sent: Wed 11/12/2008 5:06 AM
To: Pekka Savola
Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED]; ietf@ietf.org
Subject: Re: IPv6 traffic stats



Pekka Savola wrote:
 On Tue, 11 Nov 2008, Harald Alvestrand wrote:
 The correct number from the presentation is 0.238% - only Russia,
 Ukraine and France have more than 0.5% IPv6.

 Presentation available from
 http://rosie.ripe.net/presentations-detail/Thursday/Plenary%2014:00/index.html.


 Depends on what you're looking for, but if you are interested in the
 amount of users that have any kind of IPv6 connectivity, this
 undercounts severely because address selection rules on recent OSs
 typically select IPv4 if their connectivity is 6to4 or Teredo.
Pekka,

can you identify the OSes that prefer IPv4 when on 6to4, and pointers to
docs?

Steinar (the guy who did the Google experiment) has tried to dig through
the documentation on both Vista and Linux, and has drawn a blank (Vista
with Teredo doesn't even look up the  record if it has IPv4
connectivity, according to the documentation, so it seems that it will
not use IPv6 to IPv6-only hosts; it will never find the address.)

Harald

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Re: IPv6 traffic stats

2008-11-12 Thread Peter Sherbin
 The AS count might also be of interest - 15% of the
 non-stub IPv4 addresses (AS's that offer transit to
 other ASes) also originate IPv6 prefixes.

How did this 15% change over the past 4 years and/or past 18 months? What 
percentage would that be of the total AS count? 

Thanks,

Peter


--- On Wed, 11/12/08, Geoff Huston [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 From: Geoff Huston [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Subject: Re: IPv6 traffic stats
 To: Harald Alvestrand [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED], Pekka Savola [EMAIL PROTECTED], ietf@ietf.org
 Date: Wednesday, November 12, 2008, 2:08 PM
 I've been looking at this as well and reported on the
 relative amount of IPv6 traffic over the past 4 years at the
 most recent NANOG
 (http://www.potaroo.net/presentations/2008-10-13-ipv6-deployment.pdf)
 
 in recent times I am also seeing 0.5% of hosts preferring
 to use IPv6 to access a dual-stacked site - the good news it
 that this number has risen sharply in the past 18 months.
 The not-so-good news it thats its still a bloody small
 number!
 
 The AS count might also be of interest - 15% of the
 non-stub IPv4 addresses (AS's that offer transit to
 other ASes) also originate IPv6 prefixes.
 
 
Geoff
 
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Re: IPv6 traffic stats

2008-11-12 Thread Geoff Huston
I've been looking at this as well and reported on the relative amount  
of IPv6 traffic over the past 4 years at the most recent NANOG (http://www.potaroo.net/presentations/2008-10-13-ipv6-deployment.pdf 
)


in recent times I am also seeing 0.5% of hosts preferring to use IPv6  
to access a dual-stacked site - the good news it that this number has  
risen sharply in the past 18 months. The not-so-good news it thats its  
still a bloody small number!


The AS count might also be of interest - 15% of the non-stub IPv4  
addresses (AS's that offer transit to other ASes) also originate IPv6  
prefixes.



   Geoff

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Re: IPv6 traffic stats

2008-11-12 Thread Pekka Savola

On Wed, 12 Nov 2008, Harald Alvestrand wrote:

 On Tue, 11 Nov 2008, Harald Alvestrand wrote:
  The correct number from the presentation is 0.238% - only Russia, 
  Ukraine and France have more than 0.5% IPv6.
 
  Presentation available from 
  http://rosie.ripe.net/presentations-detail/Thursday/Plenary%2014:00/index.html. 
 


 Depends on what you're looking for, but if you are interested in the
 amount of users that have any kind of IPv6 connectivity, this undercounts
 severely because address selection rules on recent OSs typically select
 IPv4 if their connectivity is 6to4 or Teredo.


can you identify the OSes that prefer IPv4 when on 6to4, and pointers to 
docs?


If an implementation implements RFC3484 and the user is not using 
custom address selection policy, all compliant RFC3484 implementations 
should prefer v4 when connecting to native from 6to4 (rule 5 of 
destination address selection AFAIR).


FWIW, in Linux this was changed as the default maybe about 2-3 years 
ago.  I suppose may other operating systems, especially recent ones, 
also operate in this manner. For Linux, some info is here: 
http://people.redhat.com/drepper/linux-rfc3484.html


This has been discussed on v6ops and ipv6 lists but unfortunately I 
can't find the threads despite search attempts.


Maybe someone else with better memory could provide better references.

This is why observing ipv6 traffic on a dual-stack hostname will 
mostly just in observing those that use native v6 (with Mikael, this 
was 0.5% of users).  If you're interested in wider picture of IPv6 
penetration, you'll put the content on v6-only hostname (with Mikael, 
this was reachable by 6% of users). If you want to also cover for 
Vista users with Teredo, you'd put the content on a site and refer to 
it using a numeric address instead of a hostname (this would result in 
even a higher percentage).


So, if you're interested in any kind of IPv6 connectivity at all (even 
6to4, teredo, ...), at least in some user communities (p2p users), I'm 
pretty sure IPv6 penetration is already over 10%.  At least 6% is 
already proven by measurements :-)


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Netcore Oykingdom bleeds.
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Re: IPv6 traffic stats (was: Re: Last Call: draft-irtf-asrg-dnsbl (DNS Blacklists and Whitelists))

2008-11-12 Thread Danny McPherson


On Nov 11, 2008, at 11:57 AM, David Kessens wrote:



Joe,

On Tue, Nov 11, 2008 at 08:20:11AM -0800, Joe St Sauver wrote:


I'm not aware of DNS block lists which cover IPv6 address spaces at
this time, probably in part because IPv6 traffic remains de minimis
(see http://asert.arbornetworks.com/2008/8/the-end-is-near-but-is-ipv6/
showing IPv6 traffic as constituting only 0.002% of all Internet  
traffic).


For the record:

It seems that arbornetworks estimates are extremely low to the point
where one has to ask whether there were other issues that caused such
a low estimate.


No, the methodology is outlined in the referenced report.
Given what we were measures and what data was supplied, those
were the results.


There is no question that IPv6 traffic is quite low in the Internet.
However, many other reports that I have seen recently measure multiple
orders of magnitude more IPv6 traffic (for an easily accesible example
see: http://www.ams-ix.net/technical/stats/sflow/)


Indeed, and multiple orders (less than two) of magnitude is still,
from this, only .1% on average.  I believe the point remains very
much the same.

-danny


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Re: IPv6 traffic stats

2008-11-12 Thread Danny McPherson


On Nov 11, 2008, at 2:34 PM, Harald Alvestrand wrote:


Sorry, I misremembered.

The correct number from the presentation is 0.238% - only Russia,  
Ukraine and France have more than 0.5% IPv6.


Presentation available from http://rosie.ripe.net/presentations-detail/Thursday/Plenary%2014:00/index.html 
.




Indeed, and according to the same stats,

• 0.238% of users have useful IPv6 connectivity (and prefer IPv6)
• 0.09% of users have broken IPv6 connectivity

Nearly 38% of that .238% is broken...

-danny
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Re: IPv6 traffic stats

2008-11-12 Thread Iljitsch van Beijnum

On 12 nov 2008, at 21:09, Pekka Savola wrote:

If an implementation implements RFC3484 and the user is not using  
custom address selection policy, all compliant RFC3484  
implementations should prefer v4 when connecting to native from 6to4  
(rule 5 of destination address selection AFAIR).


In my opinion, this is a bug. This is the default policy table from a  
FreeBSD system, which is the RFC 3484 table IIRC:


 ip6addrctl
Prefix  Prec Label  Use
::1/128   50 00
::/0  40 1   646064
2002::/16 30 20
::/96 20 30
:::0.0.0.0/96 10 40

The last line catches IPv4. It's two steps below the 6to4 prefix.  
However, the fact that the label for the 6to4 prefix doesn't match  
the ::/0 label means that IPv4 will be used.


This happens on FreeBSD and XP, and I assume also on Vista. But not on  
MacOS, because it doesn't implement the policy table. I don't know  
about Linux. (If you want to test, try to connect to  
6to4test.runningipv6.net and see what happens. Both addresses are  
unreachable, though.)

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Re: IPv6 traffic stats

2008-11-12 Thread Iljitsch van Beijnum

On 12 nov 2008, at 21:17, Danny McPherson wrote:


Indeed, and according to the same stats,



• 0.238% of users have useful IPv6 connectivity (and prefer IPv6)
• 0.09% of users have broken IPv6 connectivity



Nearly 38% of that .238% is broken...


No, 0.238% is the working IPv6 users, so the total is 0.328% of which  
27% is broken. I would be interested to see the OS breakdown for that  
0.09%. I'm betting it's mostly Vista 6to4 users who have a public IPv4  
address but are behind a firewall that blocks protocol 41.

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Re: IPv6 traffic stats (was: Re: Last Call: draft-irtf-asrg-dnsbl (DNS Blacklists and Whitelists))

2008-11-12 Thread David Kessens

Danny,

On Wed, Nov 12, 2008 at 01:15:07PM -0700, Danny McPherson wrote:

 On Nov 11, 2008, at 11:57 AM, David Kessens wrote:

 It seems that arbornetworks estimates are extremely low to the point
 where one has to ask whether there were other issues that caused such
 a low estimate.

 No, the methodology is outlined in the referenced report.
 Given what we were measures and what data was supplied, those
 were the results.

The report as presented at the RIPE meeting indeed mentions the
possibility of undercounting. However, it appears that there is an
undercount of several orders of magnitude. At that point you really
cannot claim that the report provides a perspective on Internet IPv6
traffic as it does. It is quite reasonable to conclude that something
went wrong with the methodology, measurements or analysis.

 There is no question that IPv6 traffic is quite low in the Internet.
 However, many other reports that I have seen recently measure multiple
 orders of magnitude more IPv6 traffic (for an easily accesible example
 see: http://www.ams-ix.net/technical/stats/sflow/)

 Indeed, and multiple orders (less than two) of magnitude is still,
 from this, only .1% on average.  I believe the point remains very
 much the same.

The difference between something that is barely measurable and
something small but measurable like 0.1% is huge. Basically, 0.1% on
the scale of the Internet means that a very large group of people is
using IPv6 today. There is no question that that group pales to the
total number of Internet users but it sure is more than a few people
in IETF experimenting with IPv6.

David Kessens
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RE: IPv6 traffic stats

2008-11-12 Thread TJ

-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of
Iljitsch van Beijnum
On 12 nov 2008, at 21:17, Danny McPherson wrote:
 Indeed, and according to the same stats,
 . 0.238% of users have useful IPv6 connectivity (and prefer IPv6) .
 0.09% of users have broken IPv6 connectivity
 Nearly 38% of that .238% is broken...
No, 0.238% is the working IPv6 users, so the total is 0.328% of which 27%
is
broken. I would be interested to see the OS breakdown for that 0.09%. I'm
betting it's mostly Vista 6to4 users who have a public IPv4 address but are
behind a firewall that blocks protocol 41.

Or that, sadly, have an apparently-public IP that gets NATed to another
public IP.


/TJ

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Re: IPv6 traffic stats (was: Re: Last Call: draft-irtf-asrg-dnsbl (DNS Blacklists and Whitelists))

2008-11-12 Thread Danny McPherson


On Nov 12,


The report as presented at the RIPE meeting indeed mentions the
possibility of undercounting. However, it appears that there is an
undercount of several orders of magnitude.  At that point you really
cannot claim that the report provides a perspective on Internet IPv6
traffic as it does. It is quite reasonable to conclude that something
went wrong with the methodology, measurements or analysis.


Nothing is wrong in the methodology and the places where
undercounting likely occurred (namely: flow types supported
by exporting routers, Teredo data channels, etc..) have been
identified.  Caveat-aware, I believe the report to be both
very quantitive and qualitative.  Furthermore, what we measured
is what the ISPs involve have visibility to, which is a critical
consideration - if you can't see it, and can't measure it, then
you certainly can't qualify it.

If you have any more *quantitative* and qualitative studies
that you can point to I and many others would be quite
interested.


The difference between something that is barely measurable and
something small but measurable like 0.1% is huge. Basically, 0.1% on
the scale of the Internet means that a very large group of people is
using IPv6 today. There is no question that that group pales to the
total number of Internet users but it sure is more than a few people
in IETF experimenting with IPv6.



That's great news, and I look forwarding to seeing more
data from this large group of people...

To be clear, our attempt with this study was to measure
observable IPv6 traffic in production networks across a
large number of production ISP networks.  It was not to
discredit IPv6 in any way, quite the contrary.

I look forward to any credible data that you can provide
to support wider adoption, or being made aware of any
unacknowledged issues with our methodology.

-danny

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Re: IPv6 traffic stats (was: Re: Last Call: draft-irtf-asrg-dnsbl (DNS Blacklists and Whitelists))

2008-11-12 Thread David Kessens

Danny,

On Wed, Nov 12, 2008 at 06:11:11PM -0700, Danny McPherson wrote:

 I look forward to any credible data that you can provide
 to support wider adoption, or being made aware of any
 unacknowledged issues with our methodology.

As I mentioned in another mail to the ietf list today:

 various presentations on this topic from the last RIPE
 meeting are available on rosie.ripe.net, look for ipv6 working group
 or plenary

David Kessens
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Re: IPv6 traffic stats (was: Re: Last Call: draft-irtf-asrg-dnsbl(DNS Blacklists and Whitelists))

2008-11-12 Thread Olivier MJ Crepin-Leblond
Danny McPherson [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 To be clear, our attempt with this study was to measure
 observable IPv6 traffic in production networks across a
 large number of production ISP networks.  It was not to
 discredit IPv6 in any way, quite the contrary.

That's great and it will be even better when this study is repeated in
a few months using the same data set and methodology. This way, you
can start tracking growth.
Comparing this set of results with other sets obtained using different
methodologies  data sets would be like comparing apples and oranges.

Warm regards,

Olivier

-- 
Olivier MJ Crepin-Leblond, Ph.D
Global Information Highway Ltd
http://www.gih.com/ocl.html

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IPv6 traffic stats (was: Re: Last Call: draft-irtf-asrg-dnsbl (DNS Blacklists and Whitelists))

2008-11-11 Thread David Kessens

Joe,

On Tue, Nov 11, 2008 at 08:20:11AM -0800, Joe St Sauver wrote:
 
 I'm not aware of DNS block lists which cover IPv6 address spaces at
 this time, probably in part because IPv6 traffic remains de minimis 
 (see http://asert.arbornetworks.com/2008/8/the-end-is-near-but-is-ipv6/
 showing IPv6 traffic as constituting only 0.002% of all Internet traffic).

For the record: 

It seems that arbornetworks estimates are extremely low to the point
where one has to ask whether there were other issues that caused such
a low estimate.

There is no question that IPv6 traffic is quite low in the Internet.
However, many other reports that I have seen recently measure multiple
orders of magnitude more IPv6 traffic (for an easily accesible example
see: http://www.ams-ix.net/technical/stats/sflow/)

David Kessens
---
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Re: IPv6 traffic stats

2008-11-11 Thread Harald Alvestrand

David Kessens wrote:

Joe,

On Tue, Nov 11, 2008 at 08:20:11AM -0800, Joe St Sauver wrote:
  

I'm not aware of DNS block lists which cover IPv6 address spaces at
this time, probably in part because IPv6 traffic remains de minimis 
(see http://asert.arbornetworks.com/2008/8/the-end-is-near-but-is-ipv6/

showing IPv6 traffic as constituting only 0.002% of all Internet traffic).



For the record: 


It seems that arbornetworks estimates are extremely low to the point
where one has to ask whether there were other issues that caused such
a low estimate.

There is no question that IPv6 traffic is quite low in the Internet.
However, many other reports that I have seen recently measure multiple
orders of magnitude more IPv6 traffic (for an easily accesible example
see: http://www.ams-ix.net/technical/stats/sflow/)
Google's measurements indicate that when faced with a dual-stack host 
(one with both an  and an A record in the DNS), 0.5% of all hosts 
will access that host using IPv6.


(As presented at the RIPE meeting in Dubai last month.)

   Harald

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Re: IPv6 traffic stats

2008-11-11 Thread Harald Alvestrand

Sorry, I misremembered.

The correct number from the presentation is 0.238% - only Russia, 
Ukraine and France have more than 0.5% IPv6.


Presentation available from 
http://rosie.ripe.net/presentations-detail/Thursday/Plenary%2014:00/index.html.


Harald

Turchanyi Geza wrote:

Harald,

Your Half percent is great!

When Tim Berners-Lee presented the www at the JENC conference in
Insbruck in 1992, he said that according to the traffic mesurement
statistics, the www-related trafic is around half percent.

What was the ratio two years later? 40%

Half percent is a good start for a real revolution.

The question is: where is any similar movement to those pushed the web
development in the early nineties?

Best,
 Géza

On Tue, Nov 11, 2008 at 9:38 PM, Harald Alvestrand [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  

David Kessens wrote:


Joe,

On Tue, Nov 11, 2008 at 08:20:11AM -0800, Joe St Sauver wrote:

  

I'm not aware of DNS block lists which cover IPv6 address spaces at
this time, probably in part because IPv6 traffic remains de minimis (see
http://asert.arbornetworks.com/2008/8/the-end-is-near-but-is-ipv6/
showing IPv6 traffic as constituting only 0.002% of all Internet
traffic).



For the record:
It seems that arbornetworks estimates are extremely low to the point
where one has to ask whether there were other issues that caused such
a low estimate.

There is no question that IPv6 traffic is quite low in the Internet.
However, many other reports that I have seen recently measure multiple
orders of magnitude more IPv6 traffic (for an easily accesible example
see: http://www.ams-ix.net/technical/stats/sflow/)
  

Google's measurements indicate that when faced with a dual-stack host (one
with both an  and an A record in the DNS), 0.5% of all hosts will access
that host using IPv6.

(As presented at the RIPE meeting in Dubai last month.)

  Harald

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Re: IPv6 traffic stats

2008-11-11 Thread Marc Manthey


Am 11.11.2008 um 22:34 schrieb Harald Alvestrand:

8% - only Russia, Ukraine and France have more than 0.5% IPv6.

Presentation available from http://rosie.ripe.net/presentations-detail/Thursday/Plenary%2014:00/index.html 
.


wow , i am impressed  0.76% , so russia has more overall ipv6 traffic  
then the entire .u.s.a.


Guess this  realy need to be  changed !!!

Germany is not even on the list :(

regards

marc

--  
Imagination  is more important than Knowledge.


web : http://www.let.de
-- YES WE CAN  ---
http://isobamapresident.com
PGP/GnuPG: 0x1ac02f3296b12b4d  jabber :[EMAIL PROTECTED]

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RE: IPv6 traffic stats (was: Re: Last Call: draft-irtf-asrg-dnsbl (DNS Blacklists and Whitelists))

2008-11-11 Thread Joe St Sauver
David mentioned:

#For the record: 
#
#It seems that arbornetworks estimates are extremely low to the point
#where one has to ask whether there were other issues that caused such
#a low estimate.
#
#There is no question that IPv6 traffic is quite low in the Internet.
#However, many other reports that I have seen recently measure multiple
#orders of magnitude more IPv6 traffic (for an easily accesible example
#see: http://www.ams-ix.net/technical/stats/sflow/)

The Ether Type graph on the AMS-IX page indicates that IPv6 is on average 
1/10th of 1% all the traffic they measure, and looking at the associated 
RRDtool graphs, that works out to be ~800Mbits/second.

A sustained ~800 Mbits/second is certainly nothing to sneeze at, and
everyone who has worked hard to encourage IPv6 deployment deserves many
kudos. Progress is happening!

On the other hand, just to put this in context and to pick on an 
application I'm somewhat familiar with, a single full-ish Usenet news 
feed is now in excess of 3TByte/day (see the daily volume stats quoted 
at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Usenet ). Just two or three full-ish
Usenet News feeds over IPv6, if done across AMS-IX, would account 
for most of that 800Mbps traffic load (assuming that Usenet is what
was making up most of that traffic, an assertion that I'm explictly
NOT making). My point? It is possible that the IP transport choices
of just a few cooperating server administrators might (at least
hypothetically) account for virtually all the observed growth in 
AMS-IX IPv6 traffic. 

As to why the AMS-IX number might differ from Arbor's statistic, we 
know that traffic at exchange points may have a dramatically different 
composition than traffic measured elsewhere, due in part to the 
economics of that environment. 

E.g., continuing to pick on poor old Usenet, people may be willing to 
exchange Usenet feeds across a settlement-free peering point while 
they might NOT be willing to exchange Usenet feeds that required 
(comparatively expensive) transit bandwidth. Those sort of economic 
choices mean that it is risky to extrapolate Internet-wide traffic 
statistics from the somewhat atypical settlement-free peering 
environment.

But what sort of growth pattern do we actually see at 
http://www.ams-ix.net/technical/stats/sflow/ ?

That graph *isn't* growing in the characteristic stair step pattern 
one might expect if you were to suddenly flopping full news feeds over 
onto IPv6. The growth we see there is much more consistent with what you 
might find from growth in end user traffic (which could be dominated by 
web, or P2P, or flash videos or scientists ftp'ing large data sets, or
yes, even email, who knows, since there's no way to definitively know 
w/o doing deep packet inspection, which I doubt would be possible in 
this case). 

So to bring this post to a close, I continue to believe that IPv6
traffic, at least IPv6 email traffic, remains very, very low, to 
the point where, as I've previous mentioned, it just hasn't justified
DNS block list operator attention in any material way (love to hear
about any counter examples, BTW).

Regards,

Joe St Sauver ([EMAIL PROTECTED])
http://www.uoregon.edu/~joe/
Disclaimer: all opinions strictly my own. 
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Re: IPv6 traffic stats

2008-11-11 Thread Pekka Savola

On Tue, 11 Nov 2008, Harald Alvestrand wrote:
The correct number from the presentation is 0.238% - only Russia, Ukraine and 
France have more than 0.5% IPv6.


Presentation available from 
http://rosie.ripe.net/presentations-detail/Thursday/Plenary%2014:00/index.html.


Depends on what you're looking for, but if you are interested in the 
amount of users that have any kind of IPv6 connectivity, this 
undercounts severely because address selection rules on recent OSs 
typically select IPv4 if their connectivity is 6to4 or Teredo.


Mikael Abrahamsson made a test on a p2p-related web-site, and the 
result was that 6% of users had IPv6 connectivity:


http://www.ops.ietf.org/lists/v6ops/v6ops.2008/msg01582.html

As shown in later messages, the figure is actually even higher. Teredo 
users running Windows Vista are not included in that 6% because Vista 
doesn't do do  lookups at all if all you have is Teredo 
connectivity.


--
Pekka Savola You each name yourselves king, yet the
Netcore Oykingdom bleeds.
Systems. Networks. Security. -- George R.R. Martin: A Clash of Kings
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