Hi.  Buried on A28 in yesterday's 11/18 LA Times is the following:

"In a CNN/USA Today/Gallup survey released this week, 60% of
Americans polled said the war had not been worth the costs -
the highest figure the poll has recorded for this view."

"In an ABC/Washington Post survey released earlier this month, 55%
said they  believed Bush 'intentionally misled the American public' in
making his case for war - the worst showing for the president on that
question."

and from Reuters: "In a CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll this week 63%
of Americans oppose Bush's handling of the Iraq war, and 52% say
troops should be pulled out now or within 12 months."

I do believe these findings not only generated today's feature and the
events of the week, but have moved the occupation into a phase 3
freefall and withdrawal, with aftershocks.  Headline stories in today's
Los Angeles and New York Times underscore this profound shift.
Amen.

Ed

NY Times
By ERIC SCHMITT
Published: November 19, 2005

"WASHINGTON, Nov. 18 - Republicans and Democrats shouted, howled
and slung insults on the House floor on Friday as a debate over whether to
withdraw American troops from Iraq descended into a fury over Pres. Bush's
handling of the war and a leading Democrat's call to bring the troops home."

Now, here's the article:

http://msnbc.msn.com/id/10099807/site/newsweek/

Newsweek

The Terrorist Temptation

The Bush administration is so accustomed to torturing the truth, it can't
face the facts. Murtha's outburst on Iraq has shown it is time to stop
deluding ourselves.

WEB-EXCLUSIVE COMMENTARY
By Christopher Dickey

Newsweek
Nov. 18, 2005


Nov. 18, 2005 - Over a glass of Champagne and under the eyes of raging
priests on a vast Old Testament tapestry, I caught up with Paul Wolfowitz in
Paris earlier this week. The current World Bank president and former U.S.
deputy secretary of Defense, who is seen by many as the architect of the
Iraq invasion, was talking mainly about bird flu and development issues in
Africa. The cost of fighting the avian-borne pandemic, he said, might be as
much as $1.5 billion. He made that sound like an awful lot of money, and
probably it is when he's scrounging for funds from international donors. But
since $1.5 billion is about what the United States spends each week in Iraq,
I asked Wolfowitz if he didn't feel a few regrets about that venture.

Wolfowitz has a very pleasant way about him, professorial and quietly
passionate. Regrets? No. "It's extremely important to win the fight in
Iraq," he said. At the cocktail party after the conference in the ornate
reception room of a grand palais, I buttonholed Wolfowitz again. We all
wanted to get rid of Saddam Hussein, I said, but when it became obvious in
2002 that we didn't have a decent plan for occupying Iraq, shouldn't we have
thought again? "I think there shouldn't have been an occupation," said
Wolfowitz. He thought we should have trained more Iraqis to take over. He
didn't elaborate-he was running out the door-but Wolfowitz always thought
that Ahmad Chalabi should run post-invasion Iraq.

So the big mistake in Mesopotamia, it would seem, was not following the
grand plans of the best and the brightest who took us to war there in 2003.
Others failed, not they. And maybe the armchair war-lovers of the Bush
administration really believe this. Ideologues see the world through
different lenses than ordinary people. From their perches in government or
academe, they like to imagine themselves riding the waves of great
historical forces. Faced with criticism, they point fingers at their enemies
like Old Testament prophets and call down the wrath of heaven.

But there's no reason the rest of us should delude ourselves, which is one
reason, I suspect, that Democratic Congressman John Murtha, a retired Marine
colonel and long-time friend of the U.S. military on the Hill, spoke
yesterday with such unfettered outrage. In some of the sound bites heard on
the news, he seemed to be out of control. He was not and is not. His full
statement, which I've posted on The Shadowland Journal is as well reasoned
as it is passionate. The war in Iraq, he said, "is a flawed policy wrapped
in an illusion." Unlike Wolfowitz, who once went before Congress without
even bothering to check how many Americans had died at his instigation,
Murtha makes frequent visits to Bethesda and Walter Reed hospitals to talk
to the maimed survivors of this conflict. Says the congressman: "What
demoralizes them is going to war with not enough troops and equipment to
make the transition to peace; the devastation caused by IEDs; being deployed
to Iraq when their homes have been ravaged by hurricanes; being on their
second or third deployment and leaving their families behind without a
network of support."

Murtha makes a point that ought to be obvious, but that this administration
constantly struggles to obscure: "Our military captured Saddam Hussein, and
captured or killed his closest associates. But the war continues to
intensify. Deaths and injuries are growing, with over 2,079 confirmed
American deaths. Over 15,500 have been seriously injured and it is estimated
that over 50,000 will suffer from battle fatigue. There have been reports of
at least 30,000 Iraqi civilian deaths." Meanwhile "our reconstruction
efforts have been crippled by the security situation. Only $9 billion of the
$18 billion appropriated for reconstruction has been spent. Unemployment
remains at about 60 percent. Clean water is scarce. Only $500 million of the
$2.2 billion appropriated for water projects have been spent. And most
importantly, insurgent incidents have increased from about 150 per week to
over 700 in the last year."

Murtha's argument that only a withdrawal of American forces can improve the
situation was greeted by troops I know on the ground, and also by the White
House, with genuine consternation. There is a plan, they say. In President
George W. Bush's phrase, "as Iraqis stand up, Americans will stand down."
And the military keeps compiling metrics to show something like that is
happening. But it's not enough, and Murtha puts his finger on the essential
problem: as long as the Americans are there to bear the burden of the
fighting, the Iraqis who are supposed to stand up don't really see any need.
As Murtha put it in mil-speak: "I believe with a U.S. troop redeployment,
the Iraq security forces will be incentivized to take control."

In fact, standing down is not about pulling out. So topsy-turvy is the
policy at this point that we're not going to imagine leaving until the Iraqi
government demands that we go-and you can be sure the Iraqis who are now
taking power will do just that. When? As soon as they and their Iranian
allies have consolidated their hold on the southern three fourths of the
country and its oil.


There's no mystery here. The mullahs in Tehran who harbored, trained and
funded what are now the most powerful Shiite political parties in Iraq have
always seen American soldiers as useful idiots in this fight. Americans are
welcome to die in Iraq as long as their mission is to eliminate Iran's old
enemy Saddam Hussein and wipe out his supporters. The Iranians originally
thought they would have to force the Americans out when that job was done.
But the chaos of the occupation and the trend toward Iraqi democracy now
make the mullahs' job even easier. All they have to do is get their clients
and friends in Baghdad to demand an American departure. Ahmad Chalabi,
always close to Tehran, might do that himself if he actually manages to
become prime minister. In Washington this week, he suggested the deadline
the administration was unwilling to name: the end of 2006.

The Bush administration no longer sets the agenda in Iraq, in fact, and
hasn't for at least two years. The watershed came in November 2003 when
there was a dramatic spike in U.S. casualties and Washington suddenly
scrambled together a policy for transferring sovereignty back to Iraqis
instead of pocketing it indefinitely for the Pentagon and the oil companies,
as originally intended. The American invasion, which was supposed to be
proactive, has led to an occupation that is entirely reactive, and it's
clear-or ought to be-that the castles in the air constructed by Wolfowitz
and his friends have been blown away by facts on the ground.

President Bush showed hopeful signs of pragmatism earlier this year, but no
longer. His speeches over the last week, with Vice President Dick Cheney and
Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld singing backup, attack critics for
rewriting the history that they have tried to invent. What's the bottom line
of what Bush is saying now? That we are now in Iraq and have to stay the
course because . the terrorists want us there. As the White House transcript
puts it, "Our goal is to defeat the terrorists and their allies at the heart
of their power, so we will defeat the enemy in Iraq." But-the terrorists
we're fighting now didn't have any power in Iraq until our invasion.
Ideologues like to fight ideologues, so they tend to miss details like that.

For any of us who lived through the cold war, Bush's attempts to equate the
scattershot writings of Osama bin Laden's right-hand man, Ayman al-Zawahiri,
with the challenges posed by Marxism-Leninism and the Soviet empire are just
mind-boggling. In his Veteran's Day address to troops at Tobyhanna Army
Depot in Pennsylvania (Murtha's home state), Bush started four paragraphs
with the phrase "like the ideology of communism." He longs transparently for
the challenge of an Evil Empire, like the one his idol Ronald Reagan
confronted, whether or not it exists.

This is nuts, but alas, not that unusual in the annals of American policy.
Once again, President Bush's lethally misguided good intentions are
reminiscent of Alden Pyle in Graham Greene's novel "The Quiet American,"
about the early days of U.S. involvement in Vietnam: "He was absorbed
already in the dilemmas of Democracy and the responsibilities of the West;
he was determined-I learnt that very soon-to do good, not to any individual
person but to a country, a continent, a world. . When he saw a dead body he
couldn't even see the wounds. A Red menace, a soldier of democracy."

Such naiveté is bad enough. But the transparent envy that America's
right-wing ideologues conceive for the tactics of their enemies, the
enormous temptation to fight them by using their methods, is much worse.
They subscribe to some higher truth than ascertainable facts, divining the
intentions of their evil adversaries and turning them into the stuff of
paranoid fantasy. My colleague Fareed Zakaria pointed out in the summer of
2003 the way Wolfowitz and his ideological allies made a habit of vastly
overestimating the Soviet threat to the United States, beginning in the
1970s. Then they overestimated the Chinese menace in the 1980s. And in the
1990s they turned their hyperbolic lens on Saddam. "Threat assessments must
be based not simply on the intentions of an adversary, but on his
capabilities as well," Fareed wrote. It would have helped if they'd
considered the strain on American capabilities as well.

Once we had plunged into the Iraq conflict and discovered how out of our
depth we were, instead of acknowledging that truth, the administration
decided to wring a more satisfactory picture from thousands of prisoners. In
some cases-too many cases-this meant brutalizing them to the point of
outright torture. As M. Gregg Bloche and Jonathan Marks pointed out this
week in an essay published by the International Herald Tribune, the
interrogation practices used at Guantánamo and Abu Ghraib were derived from
old Red Army methods. "The Pentagon cannot point to any intelligence gains
resulting from the techniques that have so tarnished America's image," wrote
Bloche and Marks. "That's because they were designed by Communist
interrogators to control a prisoner's will rather than to extract useful
intelligence."

As Sen. John McCain points out in this week's NEWSWEEK, torture diminishes
the very ideas that make America great-and different-from its enemies.  At a
practical level, Representative Murtha notes that "since the revelations of
Abu Ghraib, American casualties have doubled."

Wolfowitz was right about one thing, I thought, as I saw him hand off his
glass of bubbly and head for the door. There shouldn't have been any
occupation, and certainly not the one he left us.


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