Hi.  I'll be leaving Thursday for a few days, so will touch upon
different areas of interest until then.  Please bear with if your
major concern isn't fully examined or the combos seem odd.
Ed

Commentaries are sent to Sustainer Donors of Z/ZNet
To learn more, consult ZNet at http://www.zmag.org

http://www.zmag.org/sustainers/content/2006-10/14landau.cfm

"Cuba's healthy and educated population doesn't want to start
paying rent, or tuition. Indeed, what sane person would trade free
health care for HMOs,...?"


ZNet Commentary
Post-Castro Cuba October 14, 2006
By Saul Landau

Reporters and friends keep asking: "so what'll happen when Castro dies?"

"A big funeral in Havana," I reply with certainty.

One other sure thing: anti-Castro exiles in south Florida will throw a
mammoth party. On July 31, Fidel revealed he would have surgery and ceded
temporarily responsibilities to his brother Raul. Little Havana's streets
erupted in celebration. Politically, Fidel again showed he has ability to
induce obsession in his enemies, thus making it difficult for them to think
clearly - apart from questions of bad taste. Fidel's stature will continue
to cloud south Florida's political reality.

The Cuban American National Foundation appealed to Cuba's civilian
population and military forces to rise up and overthrow the tyrannical
regime. "Today Iraq; tomorrow Cuba!"

No uprising occurred. Indeed, despite loud headlines and lead stories in the
U.S. mainstream media of impending crisis, Cubans behaved with calm when the
man who has presided over their destiny for 47 and a half years went under
the knife.

NPR reporter Tom Gjelten, in Cuba during the Non Aligned Movement meeting,
predicted the next Cuban leader would have to fulfill the Cubans' demand for
more consumer goods. Did he take a poll and forget to mention it? How did he
determine how the population would react to the post-Fidel government?

The CIA shared the media's vapid ignorance on Cuba. Former Agency Cuba
expert Brian Latell opined: "It cannot even be said with confidence that
Raul [Castro] will want to be more than a transitional leader. Raul will not
enjoy the pounding pressures and crises that make Fidel's adrenaline surge
and typically induce his best thinking." ("After Fidel: The Inside Story of
Castro's Regime and Cuba's Next Leader," 2005)

Latell never met Raul, or Fidel; nor has he visited Cuba.

"Rumors" lead him to conclude that Raul has less intelligence than Fidel,
lacks his charisma and has drinking problems. Raul has supposedly expressed
preferences for reform policies. More rumors?

Raul, who has commanded Cuba's military for nearly five decades, "lacks the
confidence of the military that he commands, which is perhaps the most
respected institution in Cuba," averred a Washington Times editorial.
"Should Raul face resistance from the military all bets are off." (August 2,
2006)

Who's betting?

The key political fact is that organized opposition to Cuba's government
exists in Florida, not on the island. With all the money Washington spent on
"dissidents" and on Radio and TV Marti, it has not spawned a civil society
equivalent to Solidarity in Poland, which led the movement to overthrow the
government. Nor has the Cuban Catholic Church played the kind of militant
political role on the island that it did in Poland.

Castro, the once-in-a-Century figure has not yet passed from the stage, and
may live for years longer. But the media craves the answer to what comes
after him, while it ignores the obvious clues to its answer: Cuba's
institutions and its colonial and revolutionary antecedents.

After Fidel successfully underwent surgery on August 2, Bush promised he
would export democracy to Cubans. Did he envision Cuba's masses rebelling
and demanding the kind of freedom he delivered to Iraq?

Instead, after Fidel's surgery, Cuba's overcrowded buses ran. Shops,
factories and offices opened. "But why hasn't Raul [Castro] appeared?"
demanded the U.S. media. "To piss off the U.S. press,"  I responded to one
ignorant reporter. Raul rarely makes public appearances. If he did, with
Fidel hospitalized, Cubans might think something had gone awry.

The issue of transition is not easy anywhere. Cuba will probably move from a
government headed by the world's most charismatic leader who micromanaged
parts of Cuba for decades to a government in which his replacement, whether
individual or committee, will not have that kind of stature. But they will
share his political philosophy.

Before his operation Fidel on TV promoted "the battle of ideas." But his
urging failed to produce immediate creativity. Indeed, widespread
dissatisfaction and cynicism prevail. And each month a sizeable number of
Cubans get smuggled or hop on rafts to go to Florida. Don't misinterpret.
Discontent in Cuba does not translate into counterrevolutionary behavior.

Even before the Soviet collapse, my Cuban friends had begun to spend hours
each day "resolviendo problems" (solving problems) related to daily needs.
This usually involves buying goods on the black market. One Cuban sells
people's property to other Cubans for his profit.

All Cubans understand they live under a virtual state of siege, but to
attribute lack of free speech, assembly and press to the U.S. blockade
trivializes Fidel's "battle for ideas." How to coincide a campaign to
promote critical thinking if the state threatens to jail or punish some of
those who ask critical questions? In films like Strawberry and Chocolate or
Guantanamera Cuban cinema raised  profound questions about the course of
their society. Such critiques  do not appear, however, in the daily press,
radio or TV.

Washington's policy helped vitiate Cuban freedom. Even before Washington
backed the April 1961 Bay of Pigs invasion, the CIA had mounted
assassination attempts and sabotage efforts directed at Cuba's economy.
Terrorism was joined by a trade embargo. These aggressive actions continue,
but do they justify after almost 48 years of revolutionary education a
continuing state of intolerance for dissent?

What will induce post-Fidel governments to extend greater trust in sharing
governance to their educated population? Or will they simply continue to
"give" them health care, education and subsidies for necessities? What
responsibility do citizens owe to the governing process? Fidel and the Party
have mobilized people around U.S. threats, -- "the Helms Burton embargo
tightening, Elian Gonzalez, and Bush's interventionism -- but they have not
encouraged free societal debate about how each sector, each block would deal
with Bush's blatant interference in Cuban internal affairs.

Last year, God apparently told Bush to direct Cuba's transition through the
Commission for Assistance to a Free Cuba, co-chaired by Secretary of State
Condoleezza Rice, and Commerce Secretary Carlos Gutierrez. Their July 10,
2005, report said that the United States must "ensure that the Castro
regime's succession strategy does not succeed."

This Commission smelled like a rotted Platt Amendment, which the U.S. Senate
tacked onto Cuba's Constitution in 1902, allowing Washington to intervene at
will in Cuban affairs. The Cuban revolution arose from such annexationist
notions. Yet, U.S. threats still spread anxiety waves and sometimes lead the
government to arrest "dissidents."

In 1968, I filmed the documentary Fidel. In it he said that full socialist
democracy will occur when every Cuban participates daily in political life.
Now almost no Cubans can express themselves politically about foreign or
economic policy. Under Fidel, however, Cubans became a proud and healthy
nation. Their soldiers carved a permanent niche in African history, Cuban
doctors forged a record of selfless sacrifice throughout the third world,
artists, writers and athletes also etched their names in the world's
creative annals. Fidel's will and vision led Cuba to this.

When Fidel passes, according to a new chiste or joke, "Fidelismo without
Fidel" will reign. That leaves "ismo." In fact, Cuba has stable institutions
and a growing economy. Venezuela's President Hugo Chavez has made
substantial investments on the island, as has China. U.S.' plan to isolate
Cuba have fallen apart with Chavez and newly elected Bolivian President Evo
Morales. Indeed, most of Latin America formally recognizes and has routine
commerce and exchange with Cuba despite decades of U.S. pressure to prevent
it. Cuba even has a trade agreement with Brazil and Argentina, an accord
that rejects the U.S. embargo. Last year, drillers discovered a sizeable and
rich supply of oil off Cuba's coast, an energy problem solver, a source for
investment and foreign exchange.

Cuba's healthy and educated population doesn't want to start paying rent, or
tuition. Indeed, what sane person would trade free health care for HMOs -
part of Washington's "privatize everything" scheme?

Unlike most Latin Americans, Cubans enjoy substantive rights. Despite the
constant refrain ("no es facil") Cubans don't work as hard as their
neighbors, nor suffer anxieties that they'll have no access to health care,
or go homeless. Cuba's transition team of experienced Communists can
strengthen socialist institutions by opening up discussion on key decisions
to its educated population.

Several former U.S. officials have asked for advice on future U.S.-Cuba
policy.

I respond: First, get a policy rather than assume the eternal application of
the Monroe Doctrine. "Make contact," advised a New York Times editorial.
Follow with "a prompt lifting of the economic embargo could strengthen the
mistreated Cuban middle class and help it to play a more active role in the
future political transition." (August 2, 2005)

The Times' editorial writer did not define this "middle class," which
historically owns property; not so in Cuba.

Some on the left refuse to criticize Cuba. They often compare Cuban infant
mortality or education to that in the United States. But the left should
expect more from the place where socialism first arose in this Hemisphere.

In 1989, Fidel executed admitted narco-traffickers General Arnoldo Ochoa and
Colonel Tony LaGuardia. In 2003, Cuba jailed 75 "dissidents." When those
events occur, "Cuba hurt." (Eduardo Galeano)

We expect bad behavior from Bush, but when Cuba violates socialist
principles, we feel sick in the soul. Cuba matters. That's why  I write
critically about it - and the great man who forged it as a proud and
socialist nation. Cuba's friends don't deny. They offer critical support.

Viva Fidel!

Landau's new book, A BUSH AND BOTOX WORLD, will be published by Counterpunch
Press.

***

"We had no idea."

You're going to hear that a lot if Proposition 90 passes next month.
Millions of people are going to wake up the morning after Election Day and
wish they'd read the fine print.

Please don't be one of them.

Prop 90 is the single most dangerous threat that has ever been leveled at
our state's environment. As a native and long-time resident of California,
I don't say that lightly.

Prop 90 will make it virtually impossible for our state and local
governments to do their job of protecting the wildlife, wild lands and
other natural resources that make California the special place that it is.

The way Prop 90 works is simple. Anytime our government wants to protect
some vestige of open space or save an old growth forest or restrict
offshore oil drilling, Prop 90 would empower hordes of people to sue the
government and collect compensation if they feel their properties or
businesses have been compromised.

If Prop 90 is enacted, environmental protection will grind to a halt,
because we the taxpayers will be unable to afford the billions and
billions in payouts. And guess what? Paralyzing government is exactly what
Prop 90 aims to do.

This cynical ploy is so insidious -- and yet potentially popular -- 
because it's masquerading as a law that will protect our homes and
businesses from government seizure under the power of eminent domain.

Well, I'll be first in line to defend private property and protest
government seizure. But not if the "cure" is a hundred times worse than
the disease!

Prop 90 is nothing but a stalking horse for a group of out-of-state, anti-
government extremists who would impoverish Californians both
environmentally and financially.

Don't wake up the morning after Election Day and wish you'd read the fine
print. Read it now at www.noProp90.com/

And make sure your friends, family and colleagues in California read it,
too. Please forward them this email right now.

NRDC has joined with a broad coalition of citizen groups who are fighting
hard to turn back this unprecedented attack on our environment. (You can
see the full list of opponents at
http://www.noprop90.com/coalition/index.php )

Please do your part by spreading the word to everyone you know. Tell them
to vote "No on 90" on Election Day.

Sincerely,

Robert Redford
Board of Trustees
Natural Resources Defense Council

P.S. Newspapers across the state are urging a No vote on 90. You can read
their editorials at
http://www.noprop90.com/media/articles/?set=article_j6dcq2bwmxw4ax

---

From: "Andrew Garsten" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Saturday, October 14, 2006 10:13 PM
Subject: [EchoElysianNCForum] Prop R

Everyone who does not know or have a position on Prop R - the
proposition that would extend term limits and at the same time mixes in
ethics rules changes (that are controversial) should take a look at the
No on Prop R website:

http://www.notpropr.org/

As a matter of policy, many Neighborhood Councils are opposed to this
proposition, and any other proposition that the city floats without
first consulting the Neighborhood Councils, as such discretionary action
by the City Charter should first come before Neighborhood Councils - at
least for our recommendations.

This would also apply to the City's Housing Bond - another proposition.

My opinion: While term limitations to two terms is probably not very
effective, and three could be more effective, there is a huge conflict
of interest for a sitting elected body to change the laws that directly
benefit themselves - it is the equivalent of voting for huge pay
increases.  Furthermore, my opinion is that the ethics reforms proposed
are a major step backwards.

But do the research, make up your own mind, vote, and get others to vote.

andrew






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