Ahmed Hussein created MAPREDUCE-7208:
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             Summary: Tuning TaskRuntimeEstimator 
                 Key: MAPREDUCE-7208
                 URL: https://issues.apache.org/jira/browse/MAPREDUCE-7208
             Project: Hadoop Map/Reduce
          Issue Type: Improvement
            Reporter: Ahmed Hussein
            Assignee: Ahmed Hussein
         Attachments: smoothing-exponential.md

By default, MR uses LegacyTaskRuntimeEstimator to get an estimate of the 
runtime.  The estimator does not adjust dynamically to the progress rate of the 
tasks. On the other hand, the existing alternative 
"ExponentiallySmoothedTaskRuntimeEstimator" behavior in unpredictable.

 

There are several dimensions to improve the exponential implementation:
 # Exponential shooting needs a warmup period. Otherwise, the estimate will be 
affected by the initial values.
 # Using a single smoothing factor (Lambda) does not work well for all the 
tasks. To increase the level of smoothing across the majority of tasks, we need 
to give a range of flexibility to dynamically adjust the smoothing factor based 
on the history of the task progress.
 # Design wise, it is better to separate between the statistical model and the 
MR interface. We need to have a way to evaluate estimators statistically, 
without the need to run MR. For example, an estimator can be evaluated as a 
black box by using a stream of raw data as input and testing the accuracy of 
the generated stream of estimates.
 # The exponential estimator speculates frequently and fails to detect slowing 
tasks. It does not detect slowing tasks. As a result, a taskAttempt that does 
not do any progress won't trigger a new speculation.

 

The file [^smoothing-exponential.md] describes how Simple Exponential smoothing 
factor works.

 

 



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