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On Jul 12, 2010, at 6:25 PM, johnaimani wrote: > > <<On Jul 12, 2010, at 12:01 AM, Néstor Gorojovsky wrote: >> >> Can anyone calculate the probabilities that Paul the octopus has >> reached his results by chance? > > 1/28 = . 0039 > > Statistically significant at the 99.6 % level. > > Sheldrake strikes again!>> > > Since there is a disagreement between the number above and my number > below, I will demonstrate my reasoning. > Unfortunately for your reasoning, Paul was only tested eight, not nine, times (three games in the first round, one game in the round of 16, one game in the quarter-finals, one game in the semi-finals, one consolation game, and the final game). It doesn't matter much--a 99.8 percent significance level is not significantly different from a 99.6% level. > > On 11:59 AM, johnaimani wrote: >> 2 to the 9th power Shane Mage "The sibyl, with raving mouth, uttering things mirthless unadorned and unperfumed, reaches over a thousand years with her voice." (Herakleitos, fr. 92) ________________________________________________ Send list submissions to: Marxism@lists.econ.utah.edu Set your options at: http://lists.econ.utah.edu/mailman/options/marxism/archive%40mail-archive.com
