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This article on the New Yorker points out some of the misgivings I have
about social activism rather convincingly:
http://www.newyorker.com/reporting/2010/10/04/101004fa_fact_gladwell?currentPage=all

I'm not sure I agree with the strongest claims of the article (i.e.,
that networks function badly in high-risk situations and you need
hierarchy to operate well in such scenarios) but the points made about
strong and weak ties, and about thresholds of motivation and sacrifice
are, I think, essentially true.

The fact that this so-called social activism seems to have a lot of
"philanthropic" backing, people meddling from abroad knowing nothing
about the situation, etc, also tends to predispose me against it, while
keeping in mind that, as the article says itself, we shouldn't take
dogmatic positions on tools.

Finally, the fact is, these tools are, for the time being and in spite
of projects like Diaspora or status.net, thoroughly centralised. They
run on infrastructure owned by capitalists, some of which have
unsettling connections to national security apparats. So far these tools
have been, in my view, mildly useful for disseminating information and
perhaps help coordinate people with existing strong ties, but there are
serious dangers: traffic and social network analysis could get a lot of
people into a lot of trouble one of these days, if they are real
activists taking real risks. There's growing literature on the topic of
deanonymisation: a sufficient amount of data, even when there are no
names in it, can be used to find out what the real identity of a certain
user is. If I remember correctly, two data points such as post code and
birthday would uniquely identify over 80% of people in the US.

Anyway, I think this is something worth thinking of before it becomes a
real issue for actual movements (at this point I don't think any serious
movement is using these tools as primary means of coordination).

--David.


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