The English translation, that appears below comes from
   http://www2.iraqwar.ru/index.php?userlang=en
   
        Jim F.
 ------------------------------------------

During the last and today early morning the coalition 
continued its advance toward Baghdad that it had begun 
three days ago. Units of the 3rd mechanized Infantry Division, 
failing to quickly capture the town of Al-Khindiya, blockaded 
it with a part of their forces and moved around the town from 
the east to reach Al-Iskanderiya by the morning. It is not clear 
right now whether the US troops were able to take the town of 
Al-Musaib or if they went around it as well. The overall [coalition] 
progress in this direction was about 25 kilometers during 
the past 24 hours. 

This thrust came as a surprise to the Iraqi command. The Iraqi 
defense headquarters around Karabela remained deep behind the 
forward lines of the advancing US brigades. Due to the intensive 
aerial and artillery strikes the Iraqi headquarters [in Karabela] 
lost most of its communication facilities and has partially lost 
control of the troops. As the result the Iraqi defense units in 
the line of the coalition attack became disorganized and were 
unable to offer effective resistance. During the night fighting 
the Iraqi forces in this area were pushed from their defensive 
positions and withdrew toward Baghdad. The Iraqi losses were up 
to 100 killed and up to 300 captured. The US troops destroyed 
or captured up to 70 Iraqi tanks and APCs. 

Currently the Iraqi command is rushing to create a new line of 
defense 20-30 kilometers south of Baghdad. The US losses in this 
attack were 3 armored vehicles, up to 8 killed and wounded. 

Late night on April 2 east of Karabela a unit from the 3rd Mechanized 
Infantry Division went off-course and ran into an artillery ambush 
after moving too close to the Iraqi positions. In the resulting 
firefight the US forces have lost no less than 8 armored vehicles 
and, according to the Iraqi reports, at least 25 US troops 
were killed or wounded. 

In the town of Al-Kut US Marine units were able to capture a bridge 
across the Tigris; but they were unable to capture the entire town 
and currently fighting is continuing in the residential districts. 
No fewer than 3 US soldiers were killed and up to 12 were wounded in 
this area during the past 24 hours. The US troops are reporting 50 
killed and 120 captured Iraqi soldiers. 

The coalition was able to make serious progress to the south of 
Al-Kut. After quickly taking the town of An-nu-Manyah the US forces 
have set up a bridge across the Tigris and immediately proceeded 
to transfer the Marine units to the left bank. There is a highway 
going from An-nu-Manyah to Baghdad along the left bank of the Tigris. 
No more large populated areas are located along the highway and 
the attacking forces may be able to come within 15-20 kilometers 
of Baghdad as early as tonight. 

The blockade of An-Najaf is continuing. Numerous attempts by the 
[coalition] troops to reach the center of the town have failed 
after being met by Iraqi fire. At least fire [coalition] soldiers 
have been wounded and one is missing. 

The situation around An-Divania remains unclear. Heavy fighting 
in this area is continuing since yesterday. The US field commanders 
have requested artillery and aviation support on several occasions 
and have reported "strong counterattacks by the enemy." It has 
been determined that by the evening of April 2 the command of 
the US 101st Airborne Division ordered its troops to withdraw 
from the town in order to create some space between its forces and 
the Iraqis to allow for artillery and aerial strikes. The overall 
US losses in this area during the past two days are up to 15 killed 
and around 35 wounded. At the same time the US commanders are 
reporting "hundreds of killed Iraqis; about 50 Iraqis - some of 
them wearing civilian clothes - have been captured by the coalition. 
There has been a report of another [coalition] helicopter loss 
in this area. 

Resistance is also continuing in An-Nasiriya. The town's garrison 
has been fighting for the past ten days and continues to hold 
its positions on the left bank of the Euphrates. During the 
past day there has been a reduction in the intensity of the 
Iraqi resistance. However, the US commanders at the coalition 
headquarters believe that this is due to the Iraqis trying 
to preserve their ammunition, which is by no means unlimited. 
According to one of the US officers at the coalition 
headquarters elements of the [Iraqi] 11th Infantry Division 
remain in control on the left bank of the Euphrates. "...Resilience 
of this unquestionably brave enemy is worth respect. Four 
time we offered them to lay down their arms and surrender, 
but they continue resisting like fanatics..." [Reverse-translated 
from Russian] During the past night 1 US soldier was 
killed and 2 more were wounded in firefights in this area. 

Another attempt by the British to penetrate Iraqi defenses 
near Basra has failed. Up to 2 battalions of the British 
16th marine infantry brigade reinforced with tanks attempted 
to break through the Iraqi defenses last night northwest of 
the Maakil airport along the Al-Arab River. Simultaneously 
from the southwest at As-Zubair another 2 marine infantry 
battalions made an attempt to enter the area of Mahallat-es-Zubair, 
but were met with heavy fire and withdrew after a four-hour-long 
battle. The Iraqis have reported 2 destroyed British tanks, 
5 APCs and no fewer than 30 British troops killed. However, 
the British commanders are reporting 4 lost armored vehicles 
and 5 killed. Additionally, Iraqi air defenses have shot down 
an F-18 fighter-bomber of the town. The radio surveillance units 
reported the loss of another plane to the north of Baghdad. 
It is not known whether this plane was shot down or crashed 
after losing control due to a technical malfunction. 

As we can see, the coalition command is continuing with its 
"march on Baghdad" tactics. In the course of their advance 
the coalition troops are moving around the primary centers 
of the Iraqi defense and blockade them leaving the rest of 
the work to aviation and artillery. The very near future 
will show how effective this tactics really is. So far, 
according to intelligence reports, more than 50,000 Iraqi 
troops continue fighting behind the coalition forward lines 
at Karabela alone. No fewer than 5,000 Iraqis are defending 
An-Najaf and An-Divania. Experts estimate that the total 
number of Iraqis fighting behind coalition front approaches 
90,000-100,000 regular army troops and militia. 

Under such circumstances the coalition has two options: 
it can either try to quickly capture Baghdad, thus leaving 
the Iraqi garrisons in the occupied territories with no 
reason to continue with their resistance; or the coalition 
troops can dig in around Baghdad and prepare for the final 
assault while "cleaning up" the captured territory. The 
latter seems more likely as the coalition can use the fresh 
troops arriving now to Kuwait for these "clean up" operations. 
This will also allow these troops to gain the valuable 
combat experience fighting the weakened enemy before 
the assault on Baghdad. 

Analysts believe that this war will cause a review of the 
role of precision-guided munitions (PGM) on the modern 
battlefield. Already the results of using PGM in Iraq cast 
doubt on the effectiveness of PGM in woodland areas and in 
cross-country terrain. Under such conditions the main 
objective becomes not to hit the target with the first 
shot but to locate, identify and to track the target. 

Reviewing ground operations [in Iraq] analysts conclude that 
the desert terrain and the resulting inability of the Iraqis 
to fight outside of towns and villages provide the coalition 
with its main strategic advantage. Complete air dominance 
allows [the coalition troops] locating and engaging Iraqi 
positions and armor at maximum distance using precision-guided 
munitions not available to the Iraqis, while remaining outside 
of the range of the Iraqi weapons. Considering the course of 
this war and the tactics used by the coalition, [Russian military] 
analysts find this tactics to be far removed from the realities 
of modern warfare and designed exclusively against a 
technologically much weaker opponent. Such tactics is unimaginable 
on the European theater of combat with its woodlands and 
cross-country terrain. Foreseeing the possibility of a future 
military standoff between the US and North Korea the analysts 
are certain that the US cannot hope for a military victory on 
the Korean Peninsula without the use of nuclear weapons. 

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