Center for Economic and Policy Research Press Release

U.S. Experiencing Worst Episode of Prolonged Unemployment Since Great Depression
Adjusting for demographic factors, current labor market downturn
steeper than '82-'83 recession.
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For Immediate Release: July 1, 2010

Washington, D.C.- A new study from the Center for Economic and Policy
Research demonstrates that the unemployment rate, after adjusting for
age, is higher now than during the recession of the early 1980s.

The study, "The Adult Recession: Age-Adjusted Unemployment at Post-War
Highs," adjusts the current unemployment rate to account for
demographic differences and finds that the unemployment rate has not
fallen below 10.8 percent in the last 12 months. During the worst
episode of the recession of the 1980s -- the second half of 1982 and
the first half of 1983 -- unemployment passed 10 percent for 7 months.

"An unemployment rate that has hovered above 9 percent for several
months is striking, but the jobs picture is even worse than it looks,"
said report author and CEPR Economist David Rosnick.

The analysis notes that the population is older today than it was in
the 1980s, which has the effect of lowering today's unemployment rate
relative to the past. Since they change jobs more frequently and are
more likely to move in and out of the labor market, Young people have
a higher unemployment rate than older workers. Adjusting for this
older workforce shows that the United States is experiencing the
weakest labor market since the Great Depression.

The severity of the current unemployment situation suggests that
policy makers should consider measures that would slow or reverse this
trend. Additional stimulus such as work sharing or the extension of
unemployment benefits by Congress would go far in addressing the
plight of the millions of unemployed Americans suffering as a result
of this downturn.

The full analysis can be found at
http://www.cepr.net/documents/publications/ur-2010-07.pdf.

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