Re: [meteorite-list] DoD To Engage Decaying Satellite

2008-02-16 Thread Francis Graham
  There is just something not right about the
assumptions in this press release; take it from an old
amateur rocket man.
  Hydrazine boils at 114 Celsius. If the tank
containing it re-enters, it is almost certain to heat
up and boil the material, overpressure the tank and
explode long before reaching the ground.
  If a fissure develops in the tank, and hydrazine is
exposed to the oxygen in the air, even in the
stratosphere, it will blow up at just above body
temperature, 37 Celsius.
  The chances of any hydrazine reaching the ground,
and spilling out after impact, is zero I would think.
It's not really a credible danger.
  There may be other perfectly valid reasons why the
DoD might want to destroy this satellite. Target
practice is one. And there may be perfectly good
reasons why they might not want souvenir hunters
picking over the wreckage if it lands. It's a
top-secret spy satellite, after all. Photos of the
wreckage could be used to understand surveillance
limitations and abilities. This is something the North
Koreans probably would like to know. These are very
good reasons for asking the public to stay clear.
  But hydrazine after re-entry? No, I don't think so.
  I realize I'm a bit controversial on this. So if any
of you folks want to point out why I could be wrong,
please do. But I think that hydrazine simply would not
survive re-entry.

Francis Graham




--- Ron Baalke [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 
 
 Public Affairs
 U.S. Department of Defense
 Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense
 Washington, D.C.
 
 Media contact:
 +1 (703) 697-5131/697-5132
 
 IMMEDIATE RELEASE: February 14, 2008
 
 No. 0125-08
 
 DoD To Engage Decaying Satellite
 
 An uncontrollable U.S. experimental satellite which
 was launched in December
 2006 is expected to reenter Earth's atmosphere
 between the end of February
 and early March. Because the satellite was never
 operational, analysis
 indicate that approximately 2,500 pounds (1134 kgs)
 of satellite mass will
 survive reentry, including 1,000 pounds (453 kgs) of
 propellant fuel
 (hydrazine), a hazardous material.
  
 Although the chances of an impact in a populated
 area are small, the
 potential consequences would be of enough concern to
 consider mitigating
 actions. Therefore, the President has decided to
 take action to mitigate the
 risk to human lives by engaging the non-functioning
 satellite. Because our
 missile defense system is not designed to engage
 satellites, extraordinary
 measures have been taken to temporarily modify three
 sea-based tactical
 missiles and three ships to carry out the
 engagement.
  
 Based on modeling and analysis, our officials have
 high confidence that the
 engagement will be successful. As for when this
 engagement will occur, we
 will determine the optimal time, location, and
 geometry for a successful
 engagement based on a number of factors. As the
 satellite's path continues
 to decay, there will be a window of opportunity
 between late February and
 early March to conduct this engagement. The decision
 to engage the satellite
 has to be made before a precise prediction of impact
 location is available.
  
 Contact with hydrazine is hazardous. Direct contact
 with skin or eyes,
 ingestion or inhalations from hydrazine released
 from the tank upon impact
 could result in immediate danger. If this operation
 is successful, the
 hydrazine will then no longer pose a risk to humans.
  
 The U.S. government has been and continues to track
 and monitor this
 satellite. Various government agencies are planning
 for the reentry of the
 satellite. In the event the engagement is not
 successful, all appropriate
 elements of the U.S. Government are working together
 to explore options to
 mitigate the danger to humans and to ensure that all
 parties are properly
 prepared to respond. In the unlikely event satellite
 pieces land in a
 populated area, people are strongly advised to avoid
 the impact area until
 trained hazardous materials (HAZMAT) teams are able
 to properly dispose of
 any remaining hydrazine.
 
 __
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 Meteorite-list mailing list
 Meteorite-list@meteoritecentral.com

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Re: [meteorite-list] DoD To Engage Decaying Satellite

2008-02-16 Thread Chris Peterson
I think you are largely correct that the safety of people on the ground 
is a minor component of the decision to fragment this satellite. That 
said, however, the behavior of decaying space debris isn't all that 
different from the behavior of a meteor. Just as the interior of a 
meteorite isn't significantly heated during its passage through the 
atmosphere, the interior of debris need not reach high temperatures 
during decay. We know nothing about the location of the fuel tank in 
this satellite, but if it's buried inside, I think it is at least 
possible it could survive to the ground intact.


I recall that nematodes for biological experiments aboard the Columbia 
shuttle survived reentry.


Chris

*
Chris L Peterson
Cloudbait Observatory
http://www.cloudbait.com


- Original Message - 
From: Francis Graham [EMAIL PROTECTED]

To: meteorite-list@meteoritecentral.com
Sent: Saturday, February 16, 2008 1:51 PM
Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] DoD To Engage Decaying Satellite



 There is just something not right about the
assumptions in this press release; take it from an old
amateur rocket man.
 Hydrazine boils at 114 Celsius. If the tank
containing it re-enters, it is almost certain to heat
up and boil the material, overpressure the tank and
explode long before reaching the ground.
 If a fissure develops in the tank, and hydrazine is
exposed to the oxygen in the air, even in the
stratosphere, it will blow up at just above body
temperature, 37 Celsius.
 The chances of any hydrazine reaching the ground,
and spilling out after impact, is zero I would think.
It's not really a credible danger.
 There may be other perfectly valid reasons why the
DoD might want to destroy this satellite. Target
practice is one. And there may be perfectly good
reasons why they might not want souvenir hunters
picking over the wreckage if it lands. It's a
top-secret spy satellite, after all. Photos of the
wreckage could be used to understand surveillance
limitations and abilities. This is something the North
Koreans probably would like to know. These are very
good reasons for asking the public to stay clear.
 But hydrazine after re-entry? No, I don't think so.
 I realize I'm a bit controversial on this. So if any
of you folks want to point out why I could be wrong,
please do. But I think that hydrazine simply would not
survive re-entry.

Francis Graham


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Re: [meteorite-list] DoD To Engage Decaying Satellite

2008-02-16 Thread Bob Loeffler
Hi all,

Someone (or maybe one of the articles) said that the missle didn't have a
war-head so there wouldn't be an explosion, but what if the missle hits the
hydrazine tank?  Would that cause an explosion?

Regards,

Bob


-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Francis
Graham
Sent: Saturday, February 16, 2008 1:51 PM
To: meteorite-list@meteoritecentral.com
Subject: Re: [meteorite-list] DoD To Engage Decaying Satellite

  There is just something not right about the
assumptions in this press release; take it from an old
amateur rocket man.
  Hydrazine boils at 114 Celsius. If the tank
containing it re-enters, it is almost certain to heat
up and boil the material, overpressure the tank and
explode long before reaching the ground.
  If a fissure develops in the tank, and hydrazine is
exposed to the oxygen in the air, even in the
stratosphere, it will blow up at just above body
temperature, 37 Celsius.
  The chances of any hydrazine reaching the ground,
and spilling out after impact, is zero I would think.
It's not really a credible danger.
  There may be other perfectly valid reasons why the
DoD might want to destroy this satellite. Target
practice is one. And there may be perfectly good
reasons why they might not want souvenir hunters
picking over the wreckage if it lands. It's a
top-secret spy satellite, after all. Photos of the
wreckage could be used to understand surveillance
limitations and abilities. This is something the North
Koreans probably would like to know. These are very
good reasons for asking the public to stay clear.
  But hydrazine after re-entry? No, I don't think so.
  I realize I'm a bit controversial on this. So if any
of you folks want to point out why I could be wrong,
please do. But I think that hydrazine simply would not
survive re-entry.

Francis Graham




--- Ron Baalke [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 
 
 Public Affairs
 U.S. Department of Defense
 Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense
 Washington, D.C.
 
 Media contact:
 +1 (703) 697-5131/697-5132
 
 IMMEDIATE RELEASE: February 14, 2008
 
 No. 0125-08
 
 DoD To Engage Decaying Satellite
 
 An uncontrollable U.S. experimental satellite which
 was launched in December
 2006 is expected to reenter Earth's atmosphere
 between the end of February
 and early March. Because the satellite was never
 operational, analysis
 indicate that approximately 2,500 pounds (1134 kgs)
 of satellite mass will
 survive reentry, including 1,000 pounds (453 kgs) of
 propellant fuel
 (hydrazine), a hazardous material.
  
 Although the chances of an impact in a populated
 area are small, the
 potential consequences would be of enough concern to
 consider mitigating
 actions. Therefore, the President has decided to
 take action to mitigate the
 risk to human lives by engaging the non-functioning
 satellite. Because our
 missile defense system is not designed to engage
 satellites, extraordinary
 measures have been taken to temporarily modify three
 sea-based tactical
 missiles and three ships to carry out the
 engagement.
  
 Based on modeling and analysis, our officials have
 high confidence that the
 engagement will be successful. As for when this
 engagement will occur, we
 will determine the optimal time, location, and
 geometry for a successful
 engagement based on a number of factors. As the
 satellite's path continues
 to decay, there will be a window of opportunity
 between late February and
 early March to conduct this engagement. The decision
 to engage the satellite
 has to be made before a precise prediction of impact
 location is available.
  
 Contact with hydrazine is hazardous. Direct contact
 with skin or eyes,
 ingestion or inhalations from hydrazine released
 from the tank upon impact
 could result in immediate danger. If this operation
 is successful, the
 hydrazine will then no longer pose a risk to humans.
  
 The U.S. government has been and continues to track
 and monitor this
 satellite. Various government agencies are planning
 for the reentry of the
 satellite. In the event the engagement is not
 successful, all appropriate
 elements of the U.S. Government are working together
 to explore options to
 mitigate the danger to humans and to ensure that all
 parties are properly
 prepared to respond. In the unlikely event satellite
 pieces land in a
 populated area, people are strongly advised to avoid
 the impact area until
 trained hazardous materials (HAZMAT) teams are able
 to properly dispose of
 any remaining hydrazine.
 
 __
 http://www.meteoritecentral.com
 Meteorite-list mailing list
 Meteorite-list@meteoritecentral.com

http://six.pairlist.net/mailman/listinfo/meteorite-list
 



 


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[meteorite-list] DoD To Engage Decaying Satellite

2008-02-15 Thread Ron Baalke


Public Affairs
U.S. Department of Defense
Office of the Assistant Secretary of Defense
Washington, D.C.

Media contact:
+1 (703) 697-5131/697-5132

IMMEDIATE RELEASE: February 14, 2008

No. 0125-08

DoD To Engage Decaying Satellite

An uncontrollable U.S. experimental satellite which was launched in December
2006 is expected to reenter Earth's atmosphere between the end of February
and early March. Because the satellite was never operational, analysis
indicate that approximately 2,500 pounds (1134 kgs) of satellite mass will
survive reentry, including 1,000 pounds (453 kgs) of propellant fuel
(hydrazine), a hazardous material.
 
Although the chances of an impact in a populated area are small, the
potential consequences would be of enough concern to consider mitigating
actions. Therefore, the President has decided to take action to mitigate the
risk to human lives by engaging the non-functioning satellite. Because our
missile defense system is not designed to engage satellites, extraordinary
measures have been taken to temporarily modify three sea-based tactical
missiles and three ships to carry out the engagement.
 
Based on modeling and analysis, our officials have high confidence that the
engagement will be successful. As for when this engagement will occur, we
will determine the optimal time, location, and geometry for a successful
engagement based on a number of factors. As the satellite's path continues
to decay, there will be a window of opportunity between late February and
early March to conduct this engagement. The decision to engage the satellite
has to be made before a precise prediction of impact location is available.
 
Contact with hydrazine is hazardous. Direct contact with skin or eyes,
ingestion or inhalations from hydrazine released from the tank upon impact
could result in immediate danger. If this operation is successful, the
hydrazine will then no longer pose a risk to humans.
 
The U.S. government has been and continues to track and monitor this
satellite. Various government agencies are planning for the reentry of the
satellite. In the event the engagement is not successful, all appropriate
elements of the U.S. Government are working together to explore options to
mitigate the danger to humans and to ensure that all parties are properly
prepared to respond. In the unlikely event satellite pieces land in a
populated area, people are strongly advised to avoid the impact area until
trained hazardous materials (HAZMAT) teams are able to properly dispose of
any remaining hydrazine.

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