* Geoff Huston
http://www.potaroo.net/tools/ipv4/rir.jpg
Ohh, very nice, Geoff! Thank you!
A few questions, though:
1) The graph shows the most probable APNIC depletion date to be in July.
However your site at http://ipv4.potaroo.net says 25-Sep-2011. What's
the reason for this discrepancy?
/~tony/ietf/IPv4-rir-pools.pdf
http://www.tndh.net/~tony/ietf/IPv4-rir-pools-zoom.pdf
Tony
-Original Message-
From: Geoff Huston [mailto:g...@apnic.net]
Sent: Tuesday, February 01, 2011 12:12 PM
To: Randy Bush
Cc: NANOG Operators' Group
Subject: Re: ipv4's last graph
On 01/02/2011
On Wed, Feb 2, 2011 at 9:01 AM, Tony Hain alh-i...@tndh.net wrote:
So in the interest of 'second opinions never hurt', and I just can't get my
head around APnic sitting at 3 /8's, burning 2.3 /8's in the last 2 months
and the idea of a 50% probability that their exhaustion event occurs Aug.
On 02/02/2011 17:22, Matthew Petach wrote:
On Wed, Feb 2, 2011 at 9:01 AM, Tony Hain alh-i...@tndh.net wrote:
So in the interest of 'second opinions never hurt', and I just can't get my
head around APnic sitting at 3 /8's, burning 2.3 /8's in the last 2 months
and the idea of a 50% probability
-Original Message-
From: Vincent Hoffman [mailto:jh...@unsane.co.uk]
Sent: Wednesday, February 02, 2011 9:44 AM
To: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: ipv4's last graph
On 02/02/2011 17:22, Matthew Petach wrote:
On Wed, Feb 2, 2011 at 9:01 AM, Tony Hain alh-i...@tndh.net wrote:
So
On Wed, Feb 02, 2011 at 10:11:48AM -0800, Tony Hain said:
For some reason that viewer didn't work here, so I added jpg's to the site.
http://www.tndh.net/~tony/ietf/IPv4-rir-pools.jpg
http://www.tndh.net/~tony/ietf/IPv4-rir-pools-zoom.jpg
13:13 dec0de africa is where it's at
13:15
...@unsane.co.uk]
Sent: Wednesday, February 02, 2011 9:44 AM
To: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: ipv4's last graph
On 02/02/2011 17:22, Matthew Petach wrote:
On Wed, Feb 2, 2011 at 9:01 AM, Tony Hain alh-i...@tndh.net wrote:
So in the interest of 'second opinions never hurt', and I just can't
get my
-Original Message-
From: Richard Barnes [mailto:richard.bar...@gmail.com]
Sent: Wednesday, February 02, 2011 10:44 AM
To: Tony Hain
Cc: Vincent Hoffman; nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: ipv4's last graph
Note that the ARIN, APNIC, and RIPE lines should all basically level
out
] http://ripe.net/ripe/policies/proposals/2010-02.html
On Wed, Feb 2, 2011 at 1:11 PM, Tony Hain alh-i...@tndh.net wrote:
-Original Message-
From: Vincent Hoffman [mailto:jh...@unsane.co.uk]
Sent: Wednesday, February 02, 2011 9:44 AM
To: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: ipv4's last
with the iana free pool run-out, i guess we won't be getting those nice
graphs any more. might we have one last one for the turnstiles? :-)/2
and would you mind doing the curves now for each of the five rirs?
gotta give us all something to repeat endlessly on lists and in presos.
randy
On Tue, Feb 01, 2011, Randy Bush wrote:
with the iana free pool run-out, i guess we won't be getting those nice
graphs any more. might we have one last one for the turnstiles? :-)/2
and would you mind doing the curves now for each of the five rirs?
gotta give us all something to repeat
On Tue, 1 Feb 2011, Adrian Chadd wrote:
I think having a graph that reached full and stays there will be quite
powerful. :)
Headline material - IPv4 flatlines ... the world as we know it will come
to an end :)
Antonio Querubin
e-mail/xmpp: t...@lava.net
On Tue, Feb 01, 2011 at 04:10:59PM +0800, Adrian Chadd wrote:
On Tue, Feb 01, 2011, Randy Bush wrote:
with the iana free pool run-out, i guess we won't be getting those nice
graphs any more. might we have one last one for the turnstiles? :-)/2
and would you mind doing the curves now
On 1 feb 2011, at 9:02, Randy Bush wrote:
with the iana free pool run-out, i guess we won't be getting those nice
graphs any more. might we have one last one for the turnstiles? :-)/2
Enjoy this while it lasts then:
http://www.bgpexpert.com/ianaglobalpool2.php
All manner of dooms day-like stories and headlines tomorrow..I dare predict
:-)
http://www.cio.co.ke/Top-Stories/address-allocation-kicks-off-ipv4-endgame.html
Raymond Macharia
On Tue, Feb 1, 2011 at 2:31 PM, Iljitsch van Beijnum iljit...@muada.comwrote:
On 1 feb 2011, at 9:02, Randy Bush
. Is there really
any value in trying to distribute graphs that will all be flat before the
end of the year?
Tony
-Original Message-
From: Randy Bush [mailto:ra...@psg.com]
Sent: Tuesday, February 01, 2011 12:02 AM
To: Geoff Huston
Cc: NANOG Operators' Group
Subject: ipv4's last graph
[mailto:ra...@psg.com]
Sent: Tuesday, February 01, 2011 12:02 AM
To: Geoff Huston
Cc: NANOG Operators' Group
Subject: ipv4's last graph
with the iana free pool run-out, i guess we won't be getting those nice
graphs any more. might we have one last one for the turnstiles? :-)/2
and would you
On 01/02/2011, at 7:02 PM, Randy Bush wrote:
with the iana free pool run-out, i guess we won't be getting those nice
graphs any more. might we have one last one for the turnstiles? :-)/2
and would you mind doing the curves now for each of the five rirs?
gotta give us all something to
FWIW: the Jan. 2011 global burn rate (outbound from the RIRs) for
/24-equivlents was 18.97 seconds. At the Jan. rate, APnic won't last
to June and Ripe might make to the end of August, then chaos ensues.
this is not the murdoch press or fox news. i very much doubt chaos will
ensue. our job
On Feb 1, 2011, at 3:08 PM, Randy Bush wrote:
Is there really any value in trying to distribute graphs that will all
be flat before the end of the year?
we're ops, often stick in the mud traditionalists and even somewhat
supersitious. we've had ipv4 graphs for over 15 years. we like
On Feb 1, 2011, at 9:11 PM, Geoff Huston wrote:
On 01/02/2011, at 7:02 PM, Randy Bush wrote:
with the iana free pool run-out, i guess we won't be getting those nice
graphs any more. might we have one last one for the turnstiles? :-)/2
and would you mind doing the curves now for each
--- towns...@cisco.com wrote:
From: Mark Townsley towns...@cisco.com
On Feb 1, 2011, at 9:11 PM, Geoff Huston wrote:
On 01/02/2011, at 7:02 PM, Randy Bush wrote:
graphs any more. might we have one last one for the turnstiles? :-)/2
and would you mind doing the curves now for each of the
On Tue, Feb 1, 2011 at 6:11 PM, Geoff Huston g...@apnic.net wrote:
On 01/02/2011, at 7:02 PM, Randy Bush wrote:
with the iana free pool run-out, i guess we won't be getting those nice
graphs any more. might we have one last one for the turnstiles? :-)/2
and would you mind doing the curves
On 2/1/11 1:08 PM, Randy Bush wrote:
FWIW: the Jan. 2011 global burn rate (outbound from the RIRs) for
/24-equivlents was 18.97 seconds. At the Jan. rate, APnic won't last
to June and Ripe might make to the end of August, then chaos ensues.
this is not the murdoch press or fox news. i very
the prboability distribution with the error bars is a pretty useful
tool to throw over the wall to management so that they know how long
they have to get their affairs in order.
i suspect it's more like most folk should save a gif so they can
say i warned you, when they need a bunch of money
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