Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-29 Thread Anurag Bhatia
Thanks Jacob and Alex.


Appreciate your reply.

On Thu, Mar 29, 2012 at 8:39 AM, Jacob Broussard 
shadowedstrangerli...@gmail.com wrote:

 While I can't provide an average, I can say we generally have anywhere
 from 2-5 microwaves on most sites (with a few exceptions that only have 1,
 and a few that have more.)  Our MWs go up to 1.6gbps.  The sites aren't
 provisioned a set amount of bandwidth, they can use as much as they want
 (up to the capacity of the aggregate of their links), which almost never
 puts our BH anywhere near capacity, unless the ring gets cut near the pop
 and we have to move lots of data through just a couple of sites. (Sorry for
 the crappy formatting, small and barely usable phone screen.)

 Thanks!
 -Jacob
 On Mar 28, 2012 1:45 AM, Anurag Bhatia m...@anuragbhatia.com wrote:

 Hi

 Nice discussion. Just a small question here - how much backhaul  at
 present
 2G, 3G and LTE based towers have? Just curious to hear an average number.
 I
 agree it would be  a significant difference from busy street in New York
 to
 less crowded area say in Michigan but what sort of bandwidth telcos
 provision per tower?

 On fiber - I can imagine virtually unlimited bandwidth with incremental
 cost of optical instruments but how much to wireless backhaul based sites?
 Do they put Gigabit microwave everywhere?

 If not then say 100Mbps? If so then how end users on Verizon LTE people
 individual users get 10Mbps and so on? Is that operated at high
 contention?

 Thanks!

 (Sent from my mobile device)

 Anurag Bhatia
 http://anuragbhatia.com
 On Mar 27, 2012 10:26 PM, Alexander Harrowell a.harrow...@gmail.com
 wrote:

  On Tue, Mar 27, 2012 at 1:45 AM, William Herrin b...@herrin.us wrote:
 
   On Mon, Mar 26, 2012 at 8:04 PM, Jacob Broussard
   shadowedstrangerli...@gmail.com wrote:
Who knows what technology will be like in 5-10 years?  That's the
 whole
point of what he was trying to say.  Maybe wireless carriers will
 use
visible wavelength lasers to recievers on top of customer's houses
 for
   all
we know.  10 years is a LONG time for tech, and anything can happen.
  
  
  Regarding lasers. I agree that modulating a laser beam to carry
 information
  is a great idea. Perhaps, though, we could direct the beam down some
 sort
  of optical pipe or waveguide to spare ourselves the refractive losses
 and
  keep the pigeons and rain and whatnot out of the Fresnel zone. We might
  call it an optical wire or optical fibre or something. no, it'll
 never
  catch on...
 
  Hi Jacob,
  
   The scientists doing the basic research now know. It's referred to as
   the technology pipeline. When someone says, that's in the pipeline
   they mean that the basic science has been discovered to make something
   possible and now engineers are in the process of figuring out how to
   make it _viable_. The pipeline tends to be 5 to 10 years long, so
   basic science researchers are making the discoveries *now* which will
   be reflected in deployed technologies 10 years from now.
  
 
 
  I recall an Agilent Technologies presentation from a couple of years
 back
  that demonstrated that historically, the great majority of incremental
  capacity on cellular networks was accounted for by cell subdivision.
 Better
  air interfaces help, more spectrum helps, but as the maximum system
  throughput is roughly defined by (spectral efficiency * spectrum)*
 number
  of cells (assuming an even traffic distribution and no intercell
  interference or re-use overhead, for the sake of a finger exercise),
  nothing beats more cells.
 
 
  As a result, the Wireless Pony will only save you if you can find a
 10GigE
  Backhaul Pony to service the extra cells. After a certain degree of
  density, you'd need almost as much fibre (and more to the point, trench
  mileage) to service a couple of small cells per street as you would to
  *pass the houses in the street with fibre*.
 
 
  One of the great things FTTH gets you is a really awesome backhaul
 network
  for us cell heads. One of the reasons we were able to roll out 3G in the
  first place was that DSL got deployed and you could provision on two or
 a
  dozen DSL lines for a cell site.
 
 
  You can't have wireless without backhaul (barring implausible
 discoveries
  in fundamental mesh network theory). Most wireless capacity comes from
 cell
  subdivision. Subdivision demands more backhaul.
 
 
   There is *nothing* promising in the pipeline for wireless tech that
   has any real chance of leading to a wide scale replacement for fiber
   optic cable. *Nothing.* Which means that in 10 years, wireless will be
   better, faster and cheaper but it won't have made significant inroads
   replacing fiber to the home and business.
  
   20 years is a long time. 10 years, not so much. Even for the long
   times, we can find the future by examining the past. The duration of
   use of the predecessor technology (twisted pair) was about 50 years
   ubiquitously deployed to homes. From 

Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-28 Thread Anurag Bhatia
Hi

Nice discussion. Just a small question here - how much backhaul  at present
2G, 3G and LTE based towers have? Just curious to hear an average number. I
agree it would be  a significant difference from busy street in New York to
less crowded area say in Michigan but what sort of bandwidth telcos
provision per tower?

On fiber - I can imagine virtually unlimited bandwidth with incremental
cost of optical instruments but how much to wireless backhaul based sites?
Do they put Gigabit microwave everywhere?

If not then say 100Mbps? If so then how end users on Verizon LTE people
individual users get 10Mbps and so on? Is that operated at high contention?

Thanks!

(Sent from my mobile device)

Anurag Bhatia
http://anuragbhatia.com
On Mar 27, 2012 10:26 PM, Alexander Harrowell a.harrow...@gmail.com
wrote:

 On Tue, Mar 27, 2012 at 1:45 AM, William Herrin b...@herrin.us wrote:

  On Mon, Mar 26, 2012 at 8:04 PM, Jacob Broussard
  shadowedstrangerli...@gmail.com wrote:
   Who knows what technology will be like in 5-10 years?  That's the whole
   point of what he was trying to say.  Maybe wireless carriers will use
   visible wavelength lasers to recievers on top of customer's houses for
  all
   we know.  10 years is a LONG time for tech, and anything can happen.
 
 
 Regarding lasers. I agree that modulating a laser beam to carry information
 is a great idea. Perhaps, though, we could direct the beam down some sort
 of optical pipe or waveguide to spare ourselves the refractive losses and
 keep the pigeons and rain and whatnot out of the Fresnel zone. We might
 call it an optical wire or optical fibre or something. no, it'll never
 catch on...

 Hi Jacob,
 
  The scientists doing the basic research now know. It's referred to as
  the technology pipeline. When someone says, that's in the pipeline
  they mean that the basic science has been discovered to make something
  possible and now engineers are in the process of figuring out how to
  make it _viable_. The pipeline tends to be 5 to 10 years long, so
  basic science researchers are making the discoveries *now* which will
  be reflected in deployed technologies 10 years from now.
 


 I recall an Agilent Technologies presentation from a couple of years back
 that demonstrated that historically, the great majority of incremental
 capacity on cellular networks was accounted for by cell subdivision. Better
 air interfaces help, more spectrum helps, but as the maximum system
 throughput is roughly defined by (spectral efficiency * spectrum)* number
 of cells (assuming an even traffic distribution and no intercell
 interference or re-use overhead, for the sake of a finger exercise),
 nothing beats more cells.


 As a result, the Wireless Pony will only save you if you can find a 10GigE
 Backhaul Pony to service the extra cells. After a certain degree of
 density, you'd need almost as much fibre (and more to the point, trench
 mileage) to service a couple of small cells per street as you would to
 *pass the houses in the street with fibre*.


 One of the great things FTTH gets you is a really awesome backhaul network
 for us cell heads. One of the reasons we were able to roll out 3G in the
 first place was that DSL got deployed and you could provision on two or a
 dozen DSL lines for a cell site.


 You can't have wireless without backhaul (barring implausible discoveries
 in fundamental mesh network theory). Most wireless capacity comes from cell
 subdivision. Subdivision demands more backhaul.


  There is *nothing* promising in the pipeline for wireless tech that
  has any real chance of leading to a wide scale replacement for fiber
  optic cable. *Nothing.* Which means that in 10 years, wireless will be
  better, faster and cheaper but it won't have made significant inroads
  replacing fiber to the home and business.
 
  20 years is a long time. 10 years, not so much. Even for the long
  times, we can find the future by examining the past. The duration of
  use of the predecessor technology (twisted pair) was about 50 years
  ubiquitously deployed to homes. From that we can make an educated
  guess about the current one (fiber). Fiber to the home started about
  10 years ago leaving about 40 more before something better might
  replace it.
 
  Regards,
  Bill Herrin
 
 
 
  --
  William D. Herrin  her...@dirtside.com  b...@herrin.us
  3005 Crane Dr. .. Web: http://bill.herrin.us/
  Falls Church, VA 22042-3004
 
 



Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-28 Thread Jacob Broussard
While I can't provide an average, I can say we generally have anywhere from
2-5 microwaves on most sites (with a few exceptions that only have 1, and a
few that have more.)  Our MWs go up to 1.6gbps.  The sites aren't
provisioned a set amount of bandwidth, they can use as much as they want
(up to the capacity of the aggregate of their links), which almost never
puts our BH anywhere near capacity, unless the ring gets cut near the pop
and we have to move lots of data through just a couple of sites. (Sorry for
the crappy formatting, small and barely usable phone screen.)

Thanks!
-Jacob
On Mar 28, 2012 1:45 AM, Anurag Bhatia m...@anuragbhatia.com wrote:

 Hi

 Nice discussion. Just a small question here - how much backhaul  at present
 2G, 3G and LTE based towers have? Just curious to hear an average number. I
 agree it would be  a significant difference from busy street in New York to
 less crowded area say in Michigan but what sort of bandwidth telcos
 provision per tower?

 On fiber - I can imagine virtually unlimited bandwidth with incremental
 cost of optical instruments but how much to wireless backhaul based sites?
 Do they put Gigabit microwave everywhere?

 If not then say 100Mbps? If so then how end users on Verizon LTE people
 individual users get 10Mbps and so on? Is that operated at high contention?

 Thanks!

 (Sent from my mobile device)

 Anurag Bhatia
 http://anuragbhatia.com
 On Mar 27, 2012 10:26 PM, Alexander Harrowell a.harrow...@gmail.com
 wrote:

  On Tue, Mar 27, 2012 at 1:45 AM, William Herrin b...@herrin.us wrote:
 
   On Mon, Mar 26, 2012 at 8:04 PM, Jacob Broussard
   shadowedstrangerli...@gmail.com wrote:
Who knows what technology will be like in 5-10 years?  That's the
 whole
point of what he was trying to say.  Maybe wireless carriers will use
visible wavelength lasers to recievers on top of customer's houses
 for
   all
we know.  10 years is a LONG time for tech, and anything can happen.
  
  
  Regarding lasers. I agree that modulating a laser beam to carry
 information
  is a great idea. Perhaps, though, we could direct the beam down some sort
  of optical pipe or waveguide to spare ourselves the refractive losses and
  keep the pigeons and rain and whatnot out of the Fresnel zone. We might
  call it an optical wire or optical fibre or something. no, it'll
 never
  catch on...
 
  Hi Jacob,
  
   The scientists doing the basic research now know. It's referred to as
   the technology pipeline. When someone says, that's in the pipeline
   they mean that the basic science has been discovered to make something
   possible and now engineers are in the process of figuring out how to
   make it _viable_. The pipeline tends to be 5 to 10 years long, so
   basic science researchers are making the discoveries *now* which will
   be reflected in deployed technologies 10 years from now.
  
 
 
  I recall an Agilent Technologies presentation from a couple of years back
  that demonstrated that historically, the great majority of incremental
  capacity on cellular networks was accounted for by cell subdivision.
 Better
  air interfaces help, more spectrum helps, but as the maximum system
  throughput is roughly defined by (spectral efficiency * spectrum)* number
  of cells (assuming an even traffic distribution and no intercell
  interference or re-use overhead, for the sake of a finger exercise),
  nothing beats more cells.
 
 
  As a result, the Wireless Pony will only save you if you can find a
 10GigE
  Backhaul Pony to service the extra cells. After a certain degree of
  density, you'd need almost as much fibre (and more to the point, trench
  mileage) to service a couple of small cells per street as you would to
  *pass the houses in the street with fibre*.
 
 
  One of the great things FTTH gets you is a really awesome backhaul
 network
  for us cell heads. One of the reasons we were able to roll out 3G in the
  first place was that DSL got deployed and you could provision on two or a
  dozen DSL lines for a cell site.
 
 
  You can't have wireless without backhaul (barring implausible discoveries
  in fundamental mesh network theory). Most wireless capacity comes from
 cell
  subdivision. Subdivision demands more backhaul.
 
 
   There is *nothing* promising in the pipeline for wireless tech that
   has any real chance of leading to a wide scale replacement for fiber
   optic cable. *Nothing.* Which means that in 10 years, wireless will be
   better, faster and cheaper but it won't have made significant inroads
   replacing fiber to the home and business.
  
   20 years is a long time. 10 years, not so much. Even for the long
   times, we can find the future by examining the past. The duration of
   use of the predecessor technology (twisted pair) was about 50 years
   ubiquitously deployed to homes. From that we can make an educated
   guess about the current one (fiber). Fiber to the home started about
   10 years ago leaving about 40 more before something 

Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-27 Thread Ray Soucy
Ignoring the fact that we haven't reached our limits with fiber yet ...

If you're talking broadband, I think it's pretty reasonable to suggest that
a fiber plant will last 20 years with minor maintenance just given the
history of how long we've used copper.

When its 2012 and you have people who are still on DSL with 768K
broadband, it's nice to toss around the theory that technology moves fast
and that 20 years from now everyone will have Terabit to the home over
wireless, but I really don't see it.  Back in the 90s I was sure everyone
would have 100M to the home by now.

The next major speed boost for broadband will be over fiber.  And because
the bottleneck at that point becomes equipment, we'll continue to see a
healthy round of upgrades in speed over the same fiber plant.

If people got serious about FTTH, I think a _very_ optimistic timeline
would be something like:

2015 - First communities coming online, 100M to the home (probably Gigabit
line rate, but throttled).
2020 - Gigabit to the home starting to become common
2030 - Gigabit to the home typical
2035 - 10G to the home starting to become common
2040 - Newer optics require better fiber for back haul, minor upgrades to
middle-mile needed to push speeds.
2050 - People finally agree to invest in those upgrades after suffering
10 years of only 10G to the home.




On Mon, Mar 26, 2012 at 8:45 PM, William Herrin b...@herrin.us wrote:

 On Mon, Mar 26, 2012 at 8:04 PM, Jacob Broussard
 shadowedstrangerli...@gmail.com wrote:
  Who knows what technology will be like in 5-10 years?  That's the whole
  point of what he was trying to say.  Maybe wireless carriers will use
  visible wavelength lasers to recievers on top of customer's houses for
 all
  we know.  10 years is a LONG time for tech, and anything can happen.

 Hi Jacob,

 The scientists doing the basic research now know. It's referred to as
 the technology pipeline. When someone says, that's in the pipeline
 they mean that the basic science has been discovered to make something
 possible and now engineers are in the process of figuring out how to
 make it _viable_. The pipeline tends to be 5 to 10 years long, so
 basic science researchers are making the discoveries *now* which will
 be reflected in deployed technologies 10 years from now.

 There is *nothing* promising in the pipeline for wireless tech that
 has any real chance of leading to a wide scale replacement for fiber
 optic cable. *Nothing.* Which means that in 10 years, wireless will be
 better, faster and cheaper but it won't have made significant inroads
 replacing fiber to the home and business.

 20 years is a long time. 10 years, not so much. Even for the long
 times, we can find the future by examining the past. The duration of
 use of the predecessor technology (twisted pair) was about 50 years
 ubiquitously deployed to homes. From that we can make an educated
 guess about the current one (fiber). Fiber to the home started about
 10 years ago leaving about 40 more before something better might
 replace it.

 Regards,
 Bill Herrin



 --
 William D. Herrin  her...@dirtside.com  b...@herrin.us
 3005 Crane Dr. .. Web: http://bill.herrin.us/
 Falls Church, VA 22042-3004




-- 
Ray Soucy

Epic Communications Specialist

Phone: +1 (207) 561-3526

Networkmaine, a Unit of the University of Maine System
http://www.networkmaine.net/


Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-27 Thread Jay Ashworth
- Original Message -
 From: Ray Soucy r...@maine.edu

 Ignoring the fact that we haven't reached our limits with fiber yet
 ...

Not close, and we're at 100G already.

 The next major speed boost for broadband will be over fiber. And because
 the bottleneck at that point becomes equipment, we'll continue to see a
 healthy round of upgrades in speed over the same fiber plant.

And, much more to the point, ONTs will go over the edge of the Consumer
Pricing S-curve.  Bet *cash* on this.

But another more interesting point being missed here is this:  Assuming 
pointopoint fiber, *you can provision different classes of service
appropriately*.  If some client wants to pay for 40G fiber?  Cool. 
You can do that.  That in itself seems to positively skew the potential
for muni layer 1 installs, to me.  And it doesn't *preclude* the muni
operating a standardized layer 2 for those carriers who don't want to 
do that part themselves; economy of scale will actually be productive
there, I suspect.

Anyone want to start Level 1 Communications?

Cheers,
-- jra
-- 
Jay R. Ashworth  Baylink   j...@baylink.com
Designer The Things I Think   RFC 2100
Ashworth  Associates http://baylink.pitas.com 2000 Land Rover DII
St Petersburg FL USA  http://photo.imageinc.us +1 727 647 1274



Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-27 Thread Owen DeLong
Actual public financed non-muni fiber is skipping the easy parts and deploying 
only a few of the hard parts.
(current actual results of USF)

How is that an improvement?

Owen

On Mar 25, 2012, at 8:47 AM, Jay Ashworth wrote:

 Well, for my part, /most of the poiny/ of muni is The Public Good; if 
 /actual/ bond financed muni fiber is skipping the Hard Parts, it deserves to 
 lose.
 
 Time to assemble some stats, I guess.
 -- jra
 -- 
 Sent from my Android phone with K-9 Mail. Please excuse my brevity.
 
 Owen DeLong o...@delong.com wrote:
 Who cares?
 
 It's time to stop letting rural deployments stand in the way of municipal 
 deployments.
 
 It's a natural part of living outside of a population center that it costs 
 more to bring utility services to you. I'm not entirely opposed (though 
 somewhat) to subsidizing that to some extent, but, I'm tired of municipal 
 deployments being blocked by this sense of equal entitlement to rural.
 
 The rural builds cost more, take longer, and yield lower revenues. It makes 
 no sense to let that stand in the way of building out municipalities. Nothing 
 prevents rural residents who have the means and really want their buildout 
 prioritized from building a collective to get it done.
 
 Subsidizing rural build-out is one thing. Failing to build out municipalities 
 because of some sense of rural entitlement? That's just stupid.
 
 Owen
 
 
 Sent from my iPa
  d
 
 On Mar 24, 2012, at 12:42 PM, Frank Bulk frnk...@iname.com wrote:
 
  How many munis serve the rural like they do the urban?
  
  In the vast majority of cases the munis end up doing what ILECs only wish 
  they could do -- serve the most profitable customers.
  
  Frank
  
  -Original Message-
  From: Jay Ashworth [mailto:j...@baylink.com] 
  Sent: Thursday, March 22, 2012 12:52 PM
  To: NANOG
  Subject: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)
  
  snip
  
  Oh, it's *much* worse than that, John.
  
  The *right*, long term solution to all of these problems is for 
  municipalities to do the fiber build, properly engineered, and even 
  subbed out to a contractor to build and possibly operate... 
  
  offering *only* layer 1 service at wholesale.  Any comer
   can
 light up
  each city's pop, and offer retail service over the FTTH fiber to that 
  customer at whatever rate they like, and the city itself doesn't offer 
  layer 2 or 3 service at all.
  
  High-speed optical data *is* the next natural monopoly, after power 
  and water/sewer delivery, and it's time to just get over it and do it
  right.
  
  As you might imagine, this environment -- one where the LEC doesn't own
  the physical plant -- scares the ever-lovin' daylights out of Verizon
  (among others), so much so that they *have gotten it made illegal* in 
  several states, and they're lobbying to expand that footprint.
  
  See, among other sites: http://www.muninetworks.org/
  
  As you might imagine, I am a fairly strong proponent of muni layer 1 --
  or even layer 2, where the municipality suppli
  es
 (matching) ONTs, and
  services have to fit over GigE -- fiber delivery of high-speed data
  service.
  
  I believe Google agrees with me.  :-)
  
  Cheers,
  -- jra
  
  Cheers,
  -- jra
  -- 
  Jay R. Ashworth  Baylink   
  j...@baylink.com
  Designer The Things I Think   RFC 
  2100
  Ashworth  Associates http://baylink.pitas.com 2000 Land Rover 
  DII
  St Petersburg FL USA  http://photo.imageinc.us +1 727 647 
  1274
  
  
  



Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-27 Thread Alexander Harrowell
On Tue, Mar 27, 2012 at 1:45 AM, William Herrin b...@herrin.us wrote:

 On Mon, Mar 26, 2012 at 8:04 PM, Jacob Broussard
 shadowedstrangerli...@gmail.com wrote:
  Who knows what technology will be like in 5-10 years?  That's the whole
  point of what he was trying to say.  Maybe wireless carriers will use
  visible wavelength lasers to recievers on top of customer's houses for
 all
  we know.  10 years is a LONG time for tech, and anything can happen.


Regarding lasers. I agree that modulating a laser beam to carry information
is a great idea. Perhaps, though, we could direct the beam down some sort
of optical pipe or waveguide to spare ourselves the refractive losses and
keep the pigeons and rain and whatnot out of the Fresnel zone. We might
call it an optical wire or optical fibre or something. no, it'll never
catch on...

Hi Jacob,

 The scientists doing the basic research now know. It's referred to as
 the technology pipeline. When someone says, that's in the pipeline
 they mean that the basic science has been discovered to make something
 possible and now engineers are in the process of figuring out how to
 make it _viable_. The pipeline tends to be 5 to 10 years long, so
 basic science researchers are making the discoveries *now* which will
 be reflected in deployed technologies 10 years from now.



I recall an Agilent Technologies presentation from a couple of years back
that demonstrated that historically, the great majority of incremental
capacity on cellular networks was accounted for by cell subdivision. Better
air interfaces help, more spectrum helps, but as the maximum system
throughput is roughly defined by (spectral efficiency * spectrum)* number
of cells (assuming an even traffic distribution and no intercell
interference or re-use overhead, for the sake of a finger exercise),
nothing beats more cells.


As a result, the Wireless Pony will only save you if you can find a 10GigE
Backhaul Pony to service the extra cells. After a certain degree of
density, you'd need almost as much fibre (and more to the point, trench
mileage) to service a couple of small cells per street as you would to
*pass the houses in the street with fibre*.


One of the great things FTTH gets you is a really awesome backhaul network
for us cell heads. One of the reasons we were able to roll out 3G in the
first place was that DSL got deployed and you could provision on two or a
dozen DSL lines for a cell site.


You can't have wireless without backhaul (barring implausible discoveries
in fundamental mesh network theory). Most wireless capacity comes from cell
subdivision. Subdivision demands more backhaul.


 There is *nothing* promising in the pipeline for wireless tech that
 has any real chance of leading to a wide scale replacement for fiber
 optic cable. *Nothing.* Which means that in 10 years, wireless will be
 better, faster and cheaper but it won't have made significant inroads
 replacing fiber to the home and business.

 20 years is a long time. 10 years, not so much. Even for the long
 times, we can find the future by examining the past. The duration of
 use of the predecessor technology (twisted pair) was about 50 years
 ubiquitously deployed to homes. From that we can make an educated
 guess about the current one (fiber). Fiber to the home started about
 10 years ago leaving about 40 more before something better might
 replace it.

 Regards,
 Bill Herrin



 --
 William D. Herrin  her...@dirtside.com  b...@herrin.us
 3005 Crane Dr. .. Web: http://bill.herrin.us/
 Falls Church, VA 22042-3004




Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-26 Thread joshua . klubi
But they also deserve to have or enjoy the benefits that comes with living in 
the big cities

--

Sent from my Nokia N9



On 25/03/2012 15:47 Jay Ashworth wrote:

Well, for my part, /most of the poiny/ of muni is The Public Good; if /actual/ 
bond financed muni fiber is skipping the Hard Parts, it deserves to lose.


Time to assemble some stats, I guess.
-- jra

--

Sent from my Android phone with K-9 Mail. Please excuse my brevity.


Owen DeLong o...@delong.com wrote:


Who cares?


It's time to stop letting rural deployments stand in the way of municipal 
deployments.


It's a natural part of living outside of a population center that it costs more 
to bring utility services to you. I'm not entirely opposed (though somewhat) to 
subsidizing that to some extent, but, I'm tired of municipal deployments being 
blocked by this sense of equal entitlement to rural.


The rural builds cost more, take longer, and yield lower revenues. It makes no 
sense to let that stand in the way of building out municipalities. Nothing 
prevents rural residents who have the means and really want their buildout 
prioritized from building a collective to get it done.


Subsidizing rural build-out is one thing. Failing to build out municipalities 
because of some sense of rural entitlement? That's just stupid.


Owen



Sent from my iPad


On Mar 24, 2012, at 12:42 PM, Frank Bulk o...@delong.com wrote:


 How many munis serve the rural like they do the urban?

 In the vast majority of cases the munis end up doing what ILECs only wish 
 they could do -- serve the most profitable customers.

 Frank

 -Original Message-
 From: Jay Ashworth [mailto:j...@baylink.com]
 Sent: Thursday, March 22, 2012 12:52 PM
 To: NANOG
 Subject: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

 snip

 Oh, it's *much* worse than that, John.

 The *right*, long term solution to all of these problems is for
 municipalities to do the fiber build, properly engineered, and even
 subbed out to a contractor to build and possibly operate...

 offering *only* layer 1 service at wholesale. Any comer can light up
 each city's pop, and offer retail service over the FTTH fiber to that 
 customer at whatever rate they like, and the city itself doesn't offer
 layer 2 or 3 service at all.

 High-speed optical data *is* the next natural monopoly, after power
 and water/sewer delivery, and it's time to just get over it and do it
 right.

 As you might imagine, this environment -- one where the LEC doesn't own
 the physical plant -- scares the ever-lovin' daylights out of Verizon
 (among others), so much so that they *have gotten it made illegal* in 
 several states, and they're lobbying to expand that footprint.

 See, among other sites: http://www.muninetworks.org/

 As you might imagine, I am a fairly strong proponent of muni layer 1 --
 or even layer 2, where the municipality supplies (matching) ONTs, and
 services have to fit over GigE -- fiber delivery of high-speed data
 service.

 I believe Google agrees with me. :-)

 Cheers,
 -- jra

 Cheers,
 -- jra
 --
 Jay R. Ashworth Baylink o...@delong.com
 Designer The Things I Think RFC 2100
 Ashworth  Associates http://www.muninetworks.org/ 2000 Land Rover DII
 St Petersburg FL USA http://www.muninetworks.org/ +1 727 647 1274









Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-26 Thread Jay Ashworth
- Original Message -
 From: joshua klubi joshua.kl...@gmail.com

 But they also deserve to have or enjoy the benefits that comes with
 living in the big cities

Well, deserve is a strong word... but the underlying thought is my
primary reason for believing that municipal fiber is a good solution, and
I'll expand that thought one more layer:

The Public Good is not often all that cost effective; sometimes, it's a
money loser.  That's why corporations can almost always be depended on *not*
to be working in its interest, absent regulations to force them to do so,
such as the Universal Service Obligation, imposed on ATT in one form or 
another all the way back to the Communications Act, and expanded in TCA96.

This is one of many things that seems to militate in favor of municipally
owned and operated layer 1 fiber builds -- is *is* the obligation *of a 
municipality* to operate in favor of the Public Good: it *is the Public*,
in a very real sense.

And the members of that body politic, properly informed, can make sure that
such a build will be, by direction, equally accessible to all in their area:
it will be a bond issue, and such items are generally ballot questions.

Or at least, they can try; you can't make people vote.

Cheers,
-- jra
-- 
Jay R. Ashworth  Baylink   j...@baylink.com
Designer The Things I Think   RFC 2100
Ashworth  Associates http://baylink.pitas.com 2000 Land Rover DII
St Petersburg FL USA  http://photo.imageinc.us +1 727 647 1274



RE: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-26 Thread Nathan Eisenberg
 -Original Message-
 From: joshua.kl...@gmail.com [mailto:joshua.kl...@gmail.com]
 Sent: Monday, March 26, 2012 2:10 AM
 To: Owen DeLong; Frank Bulk; Jay Ashworth
 Cc: NANOG
 Subject: Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives,
 etc)
 
 But they also deserve to have or enjoy the benefits that comes with
 living in the big cities
 
I grew up in a rural area served by dialup for the first 15 years of my life, 
so please don't misunderstand what I'm about to say.  No, they don't.

Living in a rural area is a different set of value propositions than living in 
the Big City, and we shouldn't pretend otherwise.  Do people living in the big 
cities reap the benefits of living in the country?  No ambient noise, no air 
pollution, low crime rates, neighbors you know and can trust your children 
with?  No, they don't.

That isn't to say that broadband technology won't (or shouldn't) find ways of 
serving people in rural areas with increasingly usable levels of throughput 
while decreasing jitter and loss; it already is (and should), and the situation 
is constantly improving.  But I think it's a mistake to say that people who 
have made the decision to live in the Big City should expect to enjoy the same 
benefits as people who have made the decision to live in rural towns, and vice 
versa.  They'll never be the same, and unless I'm very much mistaken, that's 
actually OK.

Nathan Eisenberg


Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-26 Thread Jay Ashworth
- Original Message -
 From: JC Dill jcdill.li...@gmail.com

 On 25/03/12 8:56 AM, Leo Bicknell wrote:
  In a message written on Sun, Mar 25, 2012 at 11:47:58AM -0400, Jay
  Ashworth wrote:
  Well, for my part, /most of the poiny/ of muni is The Public Good;
  if /actual/ bond financed muni fiber is skipping the Hard Parts, it
  deserves to lose.
 
 It doesn't matter if it's a bond-financed project or a privately
 funded (privately owned) project - they are using a public resource (the
 street/poles) to lay their lines, and usually also using the power of
 the municipality's right to eminent domain to put in or use poles (or
 underground conduits) to run lines across private properties. As part
 of the Public Good contract to use these public resources, they should
 be required to service both the the easy parts and the hard parts, no
 matter the source of the financing or the ownership of the lines.

Yup; that's what I said.  But it cannot be privately financed; *it must
be the property of the municipality*, legally.  I don't care if they
sub out the actual trench and splice, or even the operation of layer 1...

but they have to own it; that's the whole point.

  Fiber has a 20-50 year life.
 
 The biggest problem is determining how certain that lifespan is.
 Remember how Netflix looked like an awesome business to deliver DVDs by
 mail in 2002, and had one of the most successful IPOs of the era? Less
 than 10 years later we have widespread broadband and companies can
 deliver that same content by copper/fiber/802.11. Now Netflix is in the
 position of being in direct business conflict with the companies they
 rely on to carry their product to their customers (e.g. Comcast) and
 their future is very uncertain. Can you promise that fiber has a
 *feasible* lifetime of 20-50 years? Maybe in 5-10 years all consumer
 data will be transferred via wireless, and investment in municipal
 wired data systems (fiber and copper) becomes worthless.

His assertion wasn't economic life, it was *functional* life; I think we're 
pretty close to 50 years from the first deployment of optical fiber, and I
think it's still serviceable.

The question here is: did you design layer 1 properly, so as to make it
cost-competitive for a long time (see the other thread on this).

Cheers,
-- jra
-- 
Jay R. Ashworth  Baylink   j...@baylink.com
Designer The Things I Think   RFC 2100
Ashworth  Associates http://baylink.pitas.com 2000 Land Rover DII
St Petersburg FL USA  http://photo.imageinc.us +1 727 647 1274



Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-26 Thread Jacob Broussard
Who knows what technology will be like in 5-10 years?  That's the whole
point of what he was trying to say.  Maybe wireless carriers will use
visible wavelength lasers to recievers on top of customer's houses for all
we know.  10 years is a LONG time for tech, and anything can happen.
On Mar 25, 2012 1:01 PM, valdis.kletni...@vt.edu wrote:

 On Sun, 25 Mar 2012 12:37:24 -0700, JC Dill said:

  *feasible* lifetime of 20-50 years?  Maybe in 5-10 years all consumer
  data will be transferred via wireless

 And that would be using what spectrum and what technology?  Consider what
 the
 release of one Apple product did to the associated carrier's wireless net.
 Then consider the current tendency for unlimited wireless data to mean
 2-3G
 per month.

 Where's the economic incentive for all these carriers to build out enough
 capacity to move all consumer data (or a large fraction anyhow), and
 lower
 their prices to match?

 Sure, it may happen *eventually*, but for it to happen in 5-10 years, it
 would
 have to be in motion *now*.  So who's already in motion?



Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-26 Thread William Herrin
On Mon, Mar 26, 2012 at 8:04 PM, Jacob Broussard
shadowedstrangerli...@gmail.com wrote:
 Who knows what technology will be like in 5-10 years?  That's the whole
 point of what he was trying to say.  Maybe wireless carriers will use
 visible wavelength lasers to recievers on top of customer's houses for all
 we know.  10 years is a LONG time for tech, and anything can happen.

Hi Jacob,

The scientists doing the basic research now know. It's referred to as
the technology pipeline. When someone says, that's in the pipeline
they mean that the basic science has been discovered to make something
possible and now engineers are in the process of figuring out how to
make it _viable_. The pipeline tends to be 5 to 10 years long, so
basic science researchers are making the discoveries *now* which will
be reflected in deployed technologies 10 years from now.

There is *nothing* promising in the pipeline for wireless tech that
has any real chance of leading to a wide scale replacement for fiber
optic cable. *Nothing.* Which means that in 10 years, wireless will be
better, faster and cheaper but it won't have made significant inroads
replacing fiber to the home and business.

20 years is a long time. 10 years, not so much. Even for the long
times, we can find the future by examining the past. The duration of
use of the predecessor technology (twisted pair) was about 50 years
ubiquitously deployed to homes. From that we can make an educated
guess about the current one (fiber). Fiber to the home started about
10 years ago leaving about 40 more before something better might
replace it.

Regards,
Bill Herrin



-- 
William D. Herrin  her...@dirtside.com  b...@herrin.us
3005 Crane Dr. .. Web: http://bill.herrin.us/
Falls Church, VA 22042-3004



Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-25 Thread Owen DeLong
Who cares?

It's time to stop letting rural deployments stand in the way of municipal 
deployments.

It's a natural part of living outside of a population center that it costs more 
to bring utility services to you. I'm not entirely opposed (though somewhat) to 
subsidizing that to some extent, but, I'm tired of municipal deployments being 
blocked by this sense of equal entitlement to rural.

The rural builds cost more, take longer, and yield lower revenues. It makes no 
sense to let that stand in the way of building out municipalities. Nothing 
prevents rural residents who have the means and really want their buildout 
prioritized from building a collective to get it done.

Subsidizing rural build-out is one thing. Failing to build out municipalities 
because of some sense of rural entitlement? That's just stupid.

Owen


Sent from my iPad

On Mar 24, 2012, at 12:42 PM, Frank Bulk frnk...@iname.com wrote:

 How many munis serve the rural like they do the urban?
 
 In the vast majority of cases the munis end up doing what ILECs only wish 
 they could do -- serve the most profitable customers.
 
 Frank
 
 -Original Message-
 From: Jay Ashworth [mailto:j...@baylink.com] 
 Sent: Thursday, March 22, 2012 12:52 PM
 To: NANOG
 Subject: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)
 
 snip
 
 Oh, it's *much* worse than that, John.
 
 The *right*, long term solution to all of these problems is for 
 municipalities to do the fiber build, properly engineered, and even 
 subbed out to a contractor to build and possibly operate... 
 
 offering *only* layer 1 service at wholesale.  Any comer can light up
 each city's pop, and offer retail service over the FTTH fiber to that 
 customer at whatever rate they like, and the city itself doesn't offer 
 layer 2 or 3 service at all.
 
 High-speed optical data *is* the next natural monopoly, after power 
 and water/sewer delivery, and it's time to just get over it and do it
 right.
 
 As you might imagine, this environment -- one where the LEC doesn't own
 the physical plant -- scares the ever-lovin' daylights out of Verizon
 (among others), so much so that they *have gotten it made illegal* in 
 several states, and they're lobbying to expand that footprint.
 
 See, among other sites: http://www.muninetworks.org/
 
 As you might imagine, I am a fairly strong proponent of muni layer 1 --
 or even layer 2, where the municipality supplies (matching) ONTs, and
 services have to fit over GigE -- fiber delivery of high-speed data
 service.
 
 I believe Google agrees with me.  :-)
 
 Cheers,
 -- jra
 
 Cheers,
 -- jra
 -- 
 Jay R. Ashworth  Baylink   
 j...@baylink.com
 Designer The Things I Think   RFC 2100
 Ashworth  Associates http://baylink.pitas.com 2000 Land Rover DII
 St Petersburg FL USA  http://photo.imageinc.us +1 727 647 1274
 
 
 



Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-25 Thread Jay Ashworth
Well, for my part, /most of the poiny/ of muni is The Public Good; if /actual/ 
bond financed muni fiber is skipping the Hard Parts, it deserves to lose.

Time to assemble some stats, I guess.
-- jra
-- 
Sent from my Android phone with K-9 Mail. Please excuse my brevity.

Owen DeLong o...@delong.com wrote:

Who cares?

It's time to stop letting rural deployments stand in the way of municipal 
deployments.

It's a natural part of living outside of a population center that it costs more 
to bring utility services to you. I'm not entirely opposed (though somewhat) to 
subsidizing that to some extent, but, I'm tired of municipal deployments being 
blocked by this sense of equal entitlement to rural.

The rural builds cost more, take longer, and yield lower revenues. It makes no 
sense to let that stand in the way of building out municipalities. Nothing 
prevents rural residents who have the means and really want their buildout 
prioritized from building a collective to get it done.

Subsidizing rural build-out is one thing. Failing to build out municipalities 
because of some sense of rural entitlement? That's just stupid.

Owen


Sent from my iPad

On Mar 24, 2012, at 12:42 PM, Frank Bulk frnk...@iname.com wrote:

 How many munis serve the rural like they do the urban?
 
 In the vast majority of cases the munis end up doing what ILECs only wish 
 they could do -- serve the most profitable customers.
 
 Frank
 
 -Original Message-
 From: Jay Ashworth [mailto:j...@baylink.com] 
 Sent: Thursday, March 22, 2012 12:52 PM
 To: NANOG
 Subject: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)
 
 snip
 
 Oh, it's *much* worse than that, John.
 
 The *right*, long term solution to all of these problems is for 
 municipalities to do the fiber build, properly engineered, and even 
 subbed out to a contractor to build and possibly operate... 
 
 offering *only* layer 1 service at wholesale. Any comer can light up
 each city's pop, and offer retail service over the FTTH fiber to that 
 customer at whatever rate they like, and the city itself doesn't offer 
 layer 2 or 3 service at all.
 
 High-speed optical data *is* the next natural monopoly, after power 
 and water/sewer delivery, and it's time to just get over it and do it
 right.
 
 As you might imagine, this environment -- one where the LEC doesn't own
 the physical plant -- scares the ever-lovin' daylights out of Verizon
 (among others), so much so that they *have gotten it made illegal* in 
 several states, and they're lobbying to expand that footprint.
 
 See, among other sites: http://www.muninetworks.org/
 
 As you might imagine, I am a fairly strong proponent of muni layer 1 --
 or even layer 2, where the municipality supplies (matching) ONTs, and
 services have to fit over GigE -- fiber delivery of high-speed data
 service.
 
 I believe Google agrees with me. :-)
 
 Cheers,
 -- jra
 
 Cheers,
 -- jra
 -- 
 Jay R. Ashworth Baylink j...@baylink.com
 Designer The Things I Think RFC 2100
 Ashworth  Associates http://baylink.pitas.com 2000 Land Rover DII
 St Petersburg FL USA http://photo.imageinc.us +1 727 647 1274
 
 
 



Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-25 Thread Leo Bicknell
In a message written on Sun, Mar 25, 2012 at 11:47:58AM -0400, Jay Ashworth 
wrote:
 Well, for my part, /most of the poiny/ of muni is The Public Good; if 
 /actual/ bond financed muni fiber is skipping the Hard Parts, it deserves to 
 lose.

I agree.

If a commercial company goes in to serve folks with fiber they
expect a relatively short ROI, 3-5 years typically.  This is why
rural customers aren't profitable; they can't get money from a
bank or wall-street for a longer time so they are trying to spread
out the build costs over too short of a recoupment period.

Fiber has a 20-50 year life.  Munis could finance fiber with a 20
year bond at a much lower interest rate than any corporation.  By
spreading out the costs over 20 years these customers become
profitable, often quite so.

While in the CBD you might find more than one fiber provider passing
a building, for 99.999% of residential users there will only ever
be ONE fiber provider to the home.  It's hard enough to make the
first fiber cost effective, there's no way to go into an already
served area incurring all the costs for  50% of the customers up
front.

In many small towns muni-fiber in a single star topology to a central
switching station where multiple providers can co-locate would bring
competitive services at a very attractive cost for both the end user
and the services (IP, telephony, video) provider.  It's also a topology
and technology that easily has 20-50 years of life.

-- 
   Leo Bicknell - bickn...@ufp.org - CCIE 3440
PGP keys at http://www.ufp.org/~bicknell/


pgp3CvHT3zwrX.pgp
Description: PGP signature


Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-25 Thread Owen DeLong
That is why I believe that the L1 buildout should be done by or under contract 
to the local authority (whether that be a municipality, county, special 
district, or whatever) and then leased to L2+ service providers on an equal 
cost per subscriber basis.

Now it doesn't matter which subscribers cost more or less to build out, they 
all cost the same to serve. Yes, the more expensive subscribers are being 
subsidized by the less expensive ones. Overall, I don't really have a problem 
with this as I don't think that the discrepancies within a given authority area 
will be that large. I do think that we should require each authority to build 
out to all end sites within their jurisdiction not served by a smaller 
authority.

For example, Contra Cost County, California would be required to build out El 
Sobrante (unincorporated area of the county), but, not Pinole, Rodeo, Crockett, 
Hercules, etc. (since they would be required to be built out by their cities).

Yes, it's likely that the L2+ providers would have a higher cost per customer 
to serve El Sobrante than to serve the cities. However, since that increased 
cost would apply equally to all L2+ providers, it would easily be passed on to 
those subscribers and they would, therefore end up paying roughly the true cost 
of their choice to live in an unincorporated lower-density area.

Yes, higher-density authorities would have a better chance of attracting 
greater competition and diversity in L2+ providers. However, nothing would 
prevent or exclude smaller authorities from working out colocation deals with 
nearby larger (or even groups of smaller) authorities and bringing the 
termination points of multiple authorities together in the same location. 
Likewise, nothing would prevent authorities from building inexpensive backhaul 
facilities to adjacent larger centers.

If you cleanly separate the L1 infrastructure from the L2+ services providers, 
you really do have opportunities to do better for the subscriber base overall.

Yes, the L1 buildout will cost slightly more than an optimal monopoly build-out 
by a service provider. However, that small increase in cost yields huge 
benefits on the other side in terms of reduced barriers to competition, 
increased diversity, and more price pressure on the L2+ services side of things.

Owen


Sent from my iPad

On Mar 24, 2012, at 12:49 PM, Frank Bulk frnk...@iname.com wrote:

 From my own experience in my $DAYJOB, separating capital decisions at the L1
 and L2 layers would end up adding cost.  As mentioned elsewhere, GPON and
 similar shared medium approaches do not lend themselves well to structural
 separation.  The most practical approach is dark fiber runs from the
 customer to as few centralized places as possible.  The CLEC would co-locate
 their equipment at those centralized places.  The CLEC is then free to use
 ActiveE, GPON, whatever-the-next-gen-of-PON.  
 
 Structural separation works best when the cost to build to a customer are
 roughly the same. Wherever there's significant disparaties, those will be
 exploited and people will overbuild to the highest-margin/lowest cost
 customers to avoid the averaged cost of L1 network.
 
 Frank
 
 -Original Message-
 From: Owen DeLong [mailto:o...@delong.com] 
 Sent: Friday, March 23, 2012 9:28 AM
 To: Masataka Ohta
 Cc: nanog@nanog.org
 Subject: Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)
 
 snip
 
 It doesn't promote local monopoly if you don't allow the L1 company to
 provide L2+ services.
 
 If the L1 company is required to be independent of and treat all L2+
 services companies equally, then, the ILEC, CLEC, et. all have the same cost
 per customer.
 
 Owen
 
 
 



Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-25 Thread JC Dill

On 25/03/12 8:56 AM, Leo Bicknell wrote:

In a message written on Sun, Mar 25, 2012 at 11:47:58AM -0400, Jay Ashworth 
wrote:

Well, for my part, /most of the poiny/ of muni is The Public Good; if /actual/ 
bond financed muni fiber is skipping the Hard Parts, it deserves to lose.



It doesn't matter if it's a bond-financed project or a privately funded 
(privately owned) project - they are using a public resource (the 
street/poles) to lay their lines, and usually also using the power of 
the municipality's right to eminent domain to put in or use poles (or 
underground conduits) to run lines across private properties.  As part 
of the Public Good contract to use these public resources, they should 
be required to service both the the easy parts and the hard parts, no 
matter the source of the financing or the ownership of the lines.



If a commercial company goes in to serve folks with fiber they
expect a relatively short ROI, 3-5 years typically.  This is why
rural customers aren't profitable; they can't get money from a
bank or wall-street for a longer time so they are trying to spread
out the build costs over too short of a recoupment period.

Fiber has a 20-50 year life.


The biggest problem is determining how certain that lifespan is.  
Remember how Netflix looked like an awesome business to deliver DVDs by 
mail in 2002, and had one of the most successful IPOs of the era?  Less 
than 10 years later we have widespread broadband and companies can 
deliver that same content by copper/fiber/802.11.  Now Netflix is in the 
position of being in direct business conflict with the companies they 
rely on to carry their product to their customers (e.g. Comcast) and 
their future is very uncertain.  Can you promise that fiber has a 
*feasible* lifetime of 20-50 years?  Maybe in 5-10 years all consumer 
data will be transferred via wireless, and investment in municipal wired 
data systems (fiber and copper) becomes worthless.


This is why most modern build-outs have to show a ROI of under 5 years.  
We just don't know what new technology breakthroughs might happen, which 
could make a project that requires a 10-30 year payback schedule go 
bankrupt when a new technology makes the prior one obsolete.


jc




Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-25 Thread Valdis . Kletnieks
On Sun, 25 Mar 2012 12:37:24 -0700, JC Dill said:

 *feasible* lifetime of 20-50 years?  Maybe in 5-10 years all consumer
 data will be transferred via wireless

And that would be using what spectrum and what technology?  Consider what the
release of one Apple product did to the associated carrier's wireless net.
Then consider the current tendency for unlimited wireless data to mean 2-3G
per month.

Where's the economic incentive for all these carriers to build out enough
capacity to move all consumer data (or a large fraction anyhow), and lower
their prices to match?

Sure, it may happen *eventually*, but for it to happen in 5-10 years, it would
have to be in motion *now*.  So who's already in motion?


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Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-25 Thread Leo Bicknell
In a message written on Sun, Mar 25, 2012 at 12:37:24PM -0700, JC Dill wrote:
 their future is very uncertain.  Can you promise that fiber has a 
 *feasible* lifetime of 20-50 years?  Maybe in 5-10 years all consumer 
 data will be transferred via wireless, and investment in municipal wired 
 data systems (fiber and copper) becomes worthless.

You have offered a two part problem.

The initial question is, will fiber put in the ground today still
be able to do something useful in 20-50 years.  I believe the answer
to that is yes.  There is fiber that was installed in the early
1980's that is still in use today.  It's predecessor technology,
copper wires to the home, has been in use far longer and with today's
DSL technolgy has done far more than ever intended.  High quality
transmission media in the ground has long life, and new, well
designed fiber would be no exception.

The second part of your question is really might fiber be replaced
with some disruptive technology?  That is always a risk, but I
actually think the avenues for advancement are few.  Wireless of
some type is probably the only viable competitor, and it's anything
but cheap at scale.

The real way to address the second part is to look at the outgoing
technology, copper/dsl.  Even though phone lines were designed to
just carry 8khz voice, we've found it far cheaper and easier to
design DSL technology around those properties rather than replace
it with fiber or wireless.  The reason?  Build cost mostly.  Diging
to bury new fiber is expensive, and even with wireless permitting
new transmitter locations and spectrum are very expensive.

Can I _guarantee_ no better technology will come along?  No.  However
I would posit even if it does come along the life span of fiber is
still 20 years just due to the build cost and timeframe of the new
tech.  It's if it doesn't come along the timeline grows to more
like 50 years.

There's risk in any technology investment, however I think having
a high bandwidth, high reliability, cheap to operate pipe into the
home will always have enormous value, and right now fiber is the
best tech to that and thus the best place to invest.

-- 
   Leo Bicknell - bickn...@ufp.org - CCIE 3440
PGP keys at http://www.ufp.org/~bicknell/


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Description: PGP signature


RE: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-24 Thread Frank Bulk
How many munis serve the rural like they do the urban?

In the vast majority of cases the munis end up doing what ILECs only wish they 
could do -- serve the most profitable customers.

Frank

-Original Message-
From: Jay Ashworth [mailto:j...@baylink.com] 
Sent: Thursday, March 22, 2012 12:52 PM
To: NANOG
Subject: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

snip

Oh, it's *much* worse than that, John.

The *right*, long term solution to all of these problems is for 
municipalities to do the fiber build, properly engineered, and even 
subbed out to a contractor to build and possibly operate... 

offering *only* layer 1 service at wholesale.  Any comer can light up
each city's pop, and offer retail service over the FTTH fiber to that 
customer at whatever rate they like, and the city itself doesn't offer 
layer 2 or 3 service at all.

High-speed optical data *is* the next natural monopoly, after power 
and water/sewer delivery, and it's time to just get over it and do it
right.

As you might imagine, this environment -- one where the LEC doesn't own
the physical plant -- scares the ever-lovin' daylights out of Verizon
(among others), so much so that they *have gotten it made illegal* in 
several states, and they're lobbying to expand that footprint.

See, among other sites: http://www.muninetworks.org/

As you might imagine, I am a fairly strong proponent of muni layer 1 --
or even layer 2, where the municipality supplies (matching) ONTs, and
services have to fit over GigE -- fiber delivery of high-speed data
service.

I believe Google agrees with me.  :-)

Cheers,
-- jra

Cheers,
-- jra
-- 
Jay R. Ashworth  Baylink   j...@baylink.com
Designer The Things I Think   RFC 2100
Ashworth  Associates http://baylink.pitas.com 2000 Land Rover DII
St Petersburg FL USA  http://photo.imageinc.us +1 727 647 1274






RE: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-24 Thread Frank Bulk
From my own experience in my $DAYJOB, separating capital decisions at the L1
and L2 layers would end up adding cost.  As mentioned elsewhere, GPON and
similar shared medium approaches do not lend themselves well to structural
separation.  The most practical approach is dark fiber runs from the
customer to as few centralized places as possible.  The CLEC would co-locate
their equipment at those centralized places.  The CLEC is then free to use
ActiveE, GPON, whatever-the-next-gen-of-PON.  

Structural separation works best when the cost to build to a customer are
roughly the same. Wherever there's significant disparaties, those will be
exploited and people will overbuild to the highest-margin/lowest cost
customers to avoid the averaged cost of L1 network.

Frank

-Original Message-
From: Owen DeLong [mailto:o...@delong.com] 
Sent: Friday, March 23, 2012 9:28 AM
To: Masataka Ohta
Cc: nanog@nanog.org
Subject: Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

snip

It doesn't promote local monopoly if you don't allow the L1 company to
provide L2+ services.

If the L1 company is required to be independent of and treat all L2+
services companies equally, then, the ILEC, CLEC, et. all have the same cost
per customer.

Owen







Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-23 Thread Masataka Ohta
Jared Mauch wrote:

 It is already a monopoly. Most places are served by one of
 the utilities: power, telephony or cable. He that controls
 the outside plant controls your fate.

The difference is in how the services can be unbundled.

Power is additive (if in phase) that network topology is
irrelevant.

For telephony, unbundling for DSL at L1 is just fine.

So is optical fiber if single star topology is used.

WDM PON can still be unbundled at L1.

However, with time slotted PON, unbundling must be
at L2, which is as expensive as L3, which means
there effectively is no unbundling.

Or, CLEC may rent a raw fiber at L1 and operate its
own PON. However, as CLEC has less customer density
to share the fiber than ILEC, CLEC's fiber cost per
customer is higher than that of ILEC, which is why
PON promotes local monopoly.

Masataka Ohta



Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-23 Thread Owen DeLong

On Mar 23, 2012, at 6:21 AM, Masataka Ohta wrote:

 Jared Mauch wrote:
 
 It is already a monopoly. Most places are served by one of
 the utilities: power, telephony or cable. He that controls
 the outside plant controls your fate.
 
 The difference is in how the services can be unbundled.
 
 Power is additive (if in phase) that network topology is
 irrelevant.
 
 For telephony, unbundling for DSL at L1 is just fine.
 
 So is optical fiber if single star topology is used.
 
 WDM PON can still be unbundled at L1.
 
 However, with time slotted PON, unbundling must be
 at L2, which is as expensive as L3, which means
 there effectively is no unbundling.
 
 Or, CLEC may rent a raw fiber at L1 and operate its
 own PON. However, as CLEC has less customer density
 to share the fiber than ILEC, CLEC's fiber cost per
 customer is higher than that of ILEC, which is why
 PON promotes local monopoly.

It doesn't promote local monopoly if you don't allow the L1 company to provide 
L2+ services.

If the L1 company is required to be independent of and treat all L2+ services 
companies equally, then, the ILEC, CLEC, et. all have the same cost per 
customer.

Owen




Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-23 Thread William Herrin
On Fri, Mar 23, 2012 at 10:27 AM, Owen DeLong o...@delong.com wrote:
 On Mar 23, 2012, at 6:21 AM, Masataka Ohta wrote:
 Jared Mauch wrote:

 It is already a monopoly. Most places are served by one of
 the utilities: power, telephony or cable. He that controls
 the outside plant controls your fate.

 The difference is in how the services can be unbundled.

 Power is additive (if in phase) that network topology is
 irrelevant.

 For telephony, unbundling for DSL at L1 is just fine.

 So is optical fiber if single star topology is used.

 WDM PON can still be unbundled at L1.

 However, with time slotted PON, unbundling must be
 at L2, which is as expensive as L3, which means
 there effectively is no unbundling.

 Or, CLEC may rent a raw fiber at L1 and operate its
 own PON. However, as CLEC has less customer density
 to share the fiber than ILEC, CLEC's fiber cost per
 customer is higher than that of ILEC, which is why
 PON promotes local monopoly.

 It doesn't promote local monopoly if you don't allow the L1 company to 
 provide L2+ services.

 If the L1 company is required to be independent of and treat
 all L2+ services companies equally, then, the ILEC, CLEC,
 et. all have the same cost per customer.

Hi Owen,

Just for grins, I wonder: what is the minimal set of _structural_
requirements that could end the kind of abuses we see from the ILECs
without relying on good behavior? The problem with regulatory
compulsion is that it restrains the march of technological progress
too. Minimum is good.

Here's what I'm thinking:

1. Any company which provides more than 5% of the OSI Layer 1
services in a given locality is prohibited from providing any Layer 7
services except those strictly incidental to the operation of the L1
service (e.g. billing or customer service web sites, internal
corporate network).

2. Such a communications infrastructure company may vend L1-L6
services only in units suitable for connecting single customers. For
example, they're not allowed to lease a multi-customer coaxial cable
in the King street neighborhood. The service unit is a dedicated
coaxial cable from 44 King street to the head end or A dedicated
cable channel from 44 King Street to the head end or 25mbps/25mbps
from 44 King strreet to the head end or 25 mbps / 25 mbps from 44
King Street to 888 King Street.

3. Such a communications infrastructure company is compelled to
provide reasonable and non-discriminatory access too all who would
interconnect. Charge whatever you want but no quantity or special
discounts and if you bill any service provider at the head end of the
connection then you bill them all the same. No settlement free peering
for this guy while that guy pays.

Regards,
Bill Herrin

-- 
William D. Herrin  her...@dirtside.com  b...@herrin.us
3005 Crane Dr. .. Web: http://bill.herrin.us/
Falls Church, VA 22042-3004



Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-23 Thread Jay Ashworth
- Original Message -
 From: Kris Price na...@punk.co.nz

  I believe Google agrees with me. :-)
 
 Are they? Last I saw they were building out a layer 3 network -- no
 wholesale access -- did this change?

No, you're right; that was me being flippant.  (He thinks flippant is the
name of a dolphin...)

Cheers,
-- jra
-- 
Jay R. Ashworth  Baylink   j...@baylink.com
Designer The Things I Think   RFC 2100
Ashworth  Associates http://baylink.pitas.com 2000 Land Rover DII
St Petersburg FL USA  http://photo.imageinc.us +1 727 647 1274



Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-23 Thread Masataka Ohta
William Herrin wrote:

 However, with time slotted PON, unbundling must be
 at L2, which is as expensive as L3, which means
 there effectively is no unbundling.
 
 I strongly disagree. If this were true, there would be no market for
 MPLS service: folks would simply buy Internet service and run VPNs.

You agree with me. MPLS at L2 sucks because it is as expensive
as, but less capable than, IP at L3.

 If you take my packets off at the first hop and deliver them to a 3rd
 party provider,

If you are saying delivery as IP, your local provider is an
ISP with monopoly.

 Even if the cost for the unbundled L2 circuit was *identical* to the
 cost of the bundled Internet circuit it would enable a huge range of
 niche products that aren't practical now.

See the reality of your example of MPLS.

Masataka Ohta



Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-22 Thread Jay Ashworth
- Original Message -
 From: John Kreno john.kr...@gmail.com

 This sharing can be done at a layer-3 or as you say at the time slot
 level or lambda level. It's no different than what is happening with
 the copper already. It's not like they have to give it away for free.
 They just have to offer it to other carriers at cost. This will
 hopefully provide more of a competitive market. But I don't see
 Verizon giving into it, nor Comcast or any other provider that has
 fiber. Verizon campaigned hard to have fiber removed from the equal
 access legalize so like most of these other large companies, they
 don't want to share their new toy with the other children.

Oh, it's *much* worse than that, John.

The *right*, long term solution to all of these problems is for 
municipalities to do the fiber build, properly engineered, and even 
subbed out to a contractor to build and possibly operate... 

offering *only* layer 1 service at wholesale.  Any comer can light up
each city's pop, and offer retail service over the FTTH fiber to that 
customer at whatever rate they like, and the city itself doesn't offer 
layer 2 or 3 service at all.

High-speed optical data *is* the next natural monopoly, after power 
and water/sewer delivery, and it's time to just get over it and do it
right.

As you might imagine, this environment -- one where the LEC doesn't own
the physical plant -- scares the ever-lovin' daylights out of Verizon
(among others), so much so that they *have gotten it made illegal* in 
several states, and they're lobbying to expand that footprint.

See, among other sites: http://www.muninetworks.org/

As you might imagine, I am a fairly strong proponent of muni layer 1 --
or even layer 2, where the municipality supplies (matching) ONTs, and
services have to fit over GigE -- fiber delivery of high-speed data
service.

I believe Google agrees with me.  :-)

Cheers,
-- jra

Cheers,
-- jra
-- 
Jay R. Ashworth  Baylink   j...@baylink.com
Designer The Things I Think   RFC 2100
Ashworth  Associates http://baylink.pitas.com 2000 Land Rover DII
St Petersburg FL USA  http://photo.imageinc.us +1 727 647 1274



Re: Muni Fiber (was: Re: last mile, regulatory incentives, etc)

2012-03-22 Thread Kris Price

I believe Google agrees with me.  :-)


Are they? Last I saw they were building out a layer 3 network -- no 
wholesale access -- did this change?


It sorta fit with their goals in that it meant they could build a 
faster/simpler network for less money and make a big/bold 1 Gbps to 
every home (not really true) statement, but it doesn't end up serving a 
very practical model for most of the world who believe the separation 
needs to happen at layer 2.


Layer 3 is interesting, but is everyone happy with saying goodbye to the 
ISP entirely and accepting regional monopolies on that space?