Re: HODL: the other insurrection

2021-01-29 Thread Felix Stalder


On 28.01.21 20:46, carlo von lynX wrote:
> The average member of the population is enraged.
> About this or that, there are plenty of reasons to
> be. But by becoming object of manipulation, this
> person has done the worst it could possibly do to
> better its situation.

It's getting very hard to say who is manipulating whom. In a way, it's a
feeding frenzy on the the billions of at least one very large hedge
fund. The question is who is getting how much of that and how. As we are
living increasingly in an oligarchy (nowhere more so than on Wall
Street), it's generally safe to assume that, on some level, such events
are fights among oligarchs .

A very good look at the institutional side of this

https://marketsweekly.ghost.io/what-happened-with-gamestop

And the short version of the argument is: "It's not David vs Goliath.
It's Goliath vs. Goliath, with David as a fig leaf."

It's worth reading the entire thing, lots of details on the criminal
record of many of the main firms, the effect of Trump admin's
deregulation and what is called the "K-shaped Revovery."

Anway, Cory Doctorow has summarized and put into some context this
argument here:


https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1354848494192738304.html

<...>

Recall that all of this is only possible because Robinhood lets average
joes buy and sell stocks for free. How can Robinhood give away a service
that costs it money and still stay in business? (Hint: They're not
making it up in volume).

The answer is: surveillance. Robinhood partners with institutional
investors and lets them spy on what the average joes are buying and
selling. Sometimes, this is just "market intelligence" ("Hey, people
like fidget spinners") but the main event is front-running.

If you're paying Robinhood to tell you what assets its customers are
about to buy, you can go out and buy them up first and sell them for a
profit to Robinhood's customers.

Or you can buy some of that asset up because you know its price will go
up once Robinhood's customers orders are filled.

Or both.

Citadel Securities is Robinhood's main institutional investor partner.
Founded by billionaire Ken Griffin, they combine tech (high-frequency
trading), an "asset manager" (they spend other peoples' money) and a
"market maker" (they sell things like options).

Citadel gets to see all those r/wallstreetbets buy orders before they're
filled. They can fill some of those orders, making a profit. They can
buy some of the same stock for themselves, making a profit. They can
sell options, making a profit.

A little bit of this profit comes at the expense of average joes: if
there wasn't a front-runner marking up the stocks they buy, the average
joes would pay a little less. But the average joes are still profiting
from the destruction of the shorts.

Citadel is merely taxing their winnings. The real losers here, though
are Citadel's competitors, funds like Melvin Capital, who were seriously
short on Gamestop and went bust thanks to all of this. Guess who bought
Melvin at fire-sale prices? That's right, Citadel.


So the third story goes like this: there are a lot of average joes.
They're numerous, pissed and smart. They move a lot of money against
shorts and make it go farther thanks to the force-multiplier effect of
options.

THEN all this activity is multiplied again by Citadel, a fund that is no
better (and no worse) than Melvin or the other targets of the average
joes' wrath. Citadel's bots are triggered by the average joes' activity,
which turns kilotons of damage into gigatons.

It's not clear whether the average joes know they're triggering
Citadel's bots, or whether this is just Citadel's bet on frontrunning
average joes paying off for Citadel. It's possible Citadel is the joes'
patsy, and the joes are ALSO Citadel's patsies.


<...>




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Re: HODL: the other insurrection

2021-01-28 Thread carlo von lynX
On Thu, Jan 28, 2021 at 07:04:49PM +0100, Felix Stalder wrote:
> A bunch of people -- mostly regarded as fools (QAnons and daytraders) by
> professionals -- storming the citadels of power, coordinated over social
> media, creating havoc in the process.

Oh, good observation!
But does that mean that Anonymous is dead?

There was a time when people would form a force on
weird forum boards such as 4chan, then head out to
bash Scientology, CP sites or corporate wrong-doers.

If today such activity has become so predictable,
manipulatable, steerable… then the only persons
being anonymous are the puppet masters? The new
company names of the Cambridge Analytica actors?
The persons behind the Bannons?

The average member of the population is enraged.
About this or that, there are plenty of reasons to
be. But by becoming object of manipulation, this
person has done the worst it could possibly do to
better its situation.

What happens to BlackRock? Did they get rid of the
Gamestop junk stock now? It's the ideal situation:
create a hype on the Internet and let it be the bad
bank for your junk stock… and whoever participates
simply gets poorer. After all, the valutation may
seem high now… but it still is junk…


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HODL: the other insurrection

2021-01-28 Thread Felix Stalder
It's hard not to see parallels between the events at the US Capitol
earlier this month and the current events on Wall Street surrounding
#Gamestop.

A bunch of people -- mostly regarded as fools (QAnons and daytraders) by
professionals -- storming the citadels of power, coordinated over social
media, creating havoc in the process.

In both cases, this story is probably over-simplistic, with systemic
actors contributing to, and hoping to profit from, these events. In the
first case, it was obviously Trump and other Republican politicians. In
the case of Gamestop, the largest shareholder, hence major beneficiary
of the rise in share prices, is Black Rock, not exactly a Wall Street
outsider.

While I don't want to emphasize the parallels, reading the two events
together, shows just how fragile the institutional arrangements in the
US have become, how deep popular anger runs, how much short-term power
can be generated over social media, and exposes the deep rifts among
core groups in the power structure. It's not just republicans against
democrats, but also Silicon Valley CEOs against Wall Street.

Like republicans and democrats, Silicon Valley and Wall Street are
deeply intertwined, but also in a real power struggle against each
other. In the long run, this might be the more important one.






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