Neu: 2002-02-21

Contents of this issue:

1. Election Guessing



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February 21st, 2002


1. Election Guessing:

Niue's general election is likely to be held on April 19 or 20.

All previous elections held since 1974 have been conducted in March.

Unless an official date is announced by the Premier Sani Lakatani at the
March 7 meeting of the Legislative Assembly it will be left to the
Speaker of the House Tama Posimani to dissolve the Assembly on March 19
and an election will then be held not less than 4 weeks and no more than
6 weeks from that date.

Although there has been no official date announced to dissolve the
Legislative Assembly sources within government told Pasifika Times the
mid-April date seems to have been agreed upon.

There has been no sign of electioneering but Niue voters are well versed
with last minute political hustling.

The Legislative Assembly meets March 7 to repeal the offshore banking
act in a bid to remove the island's name from the OECD Financial Action
Task Force money laundering and tax evasion blacklist. The Premier Sani
Lakatani has stated if the $2 million a year revenue-making
international business companies registry also has to be closed down he
will consider that move in a bid to get access to more regional and
international aid.

Several past and present public servants are reported to be considering
throwing their hat in the ring for nomination.

Former Premier Frank Lui says he won't be seeking a seat in the Assembly
although he's been approached by a number of supporters to stand. Mr Lui
was defeated in his home village seat of Alofi North in 1999 after 35
years in politics and nowadays plays an active role in his family video
rental business.

The ruling Niue Peoples Party and the Alliance of Independents are
reported to be mediating internal disputes which revolve around
leadership issues and neither group had by last week released its
manifesto.

About 900 electors will go to the polls - about half are public servants
and their support will be crucial if the NPP or the Alliance is to gain
a clear majority in the Assembly.

Both groups contend they will go head-to-head in village constituencies
and In the six common roll vacancies.

It's on the cards some long standing MP's will face strong challenges in
what has been considered safe village seats.

Despite previous claims by the Premier that the NPP will win 14 seats
the present situation indicates the party will need to mend some bridges
with the electorate, report political observers on Niue.

Whether Opposition top pollers Mrs O'Love Jacobsen and Terry Coe can
repeat past election support and Sani Lakatani can wrest back some of
the following he's reported to have lost in the NPP camp will be crucial
factors in the run-up and result in the 2002 election

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