Thanks for sharing this, Adam.

These are interesting hypotheses. I will have to ask Walter about this and how 
this could potentially relate to a perceived decline of birds in certain areas 
this year, and how this relate to a perceived decline in areas outside of the 
range of the cyclical cicada brood hatches.

Sincerely,
Chris T-H

On Jun 19, 2013, at 8:46 AM, Adam Zorn 
<asz...@hotmail.com<mailto:asz...@hotmail.com>>
 wrote:

Here's another potential explanation (or the beginning of a potential 
explanation) regarding the apparent decline of birds this year in the eastern 
US.  Its an article from Discover Magazine's blog entitled "During Cicada Boom, 
Birds Mysteriously Vanish" 
http://blogs.discovermagazine.com/crux/2013/06/18/the-cicada-paradox#.UcGmmOesiSo

I've been following this email discussion and figured this was obviously 
relevant and worth sharing with everyone.

Regards,
Adam

-----------------------------------------------------------------
Adam Zorn
Naturalist - Westmoreland Sanctuary<http://www.westmorelandsanctuary.org/>
Board Member - Bedford Audubon Society<http://www.bedfordaudubon.org/>

________________________________
From: c...@cornell.edu<mailto:c...@cornell.edu>
To: joan.coll...@frontier.com<mailto:joan.coll...@frontier.com>
CC: nysbird...@list.cornell.edu<mailto:nysbird...@list.cornell.edu>; 
nf...@list.cornell.edu<mailto:nf...@list.cornell.edu>; 
nypizza...@gmail.com<mailto:nypizza...@gmail.com>
Subject: Re: [nysbirds-l] Fwd: Minimal Migration or Population Decline?
Date: Mon, 17 Jun 2013 15:16:51 +0000

Thank you, Joan, for this anecdotal evidence. Since it has been a couple of 
weeks now, I'm curious to know if anyone has noted an improvement in their 
local area birding spots, or if it has been more of the same. For me, I've 
noted a serious lack of typical neighborhood birds that used to be a regular 
part of the acoustic atmosphere: Rose-breasted Grosbeak, Baltimore Oriole and 
Red-eyed Vireo, just to name a few. I've also noticed a lack of Ruby-throated 
Hummingbirds this year – usually, they are zipping around and chittering in the 
neighborhood. Not so this year, yet anyway. If this is region-wide, I'd think 
it critically important to collect as much data as possible to help monitor or 
track this seeming dearth of activity. I expect this fall migration to be 
fairly telling, if there was a pop-ulation-wide impact of some kind.

Sincerely,
Chris T-H




On Jun 4, 2013, at 4:11 PM, Joan E. Collins wrote:

Thank you for this interesting post Chris.  This has been a dominate topic of 
discussion among many birders in the Adirondacks.  Sean O’Brien and I have been 
talking every few days wondering what has happened to many neotropical migrants 
this year.  I mentioned the low numbers of Blackpoll Warblers and 
Yellow-bellied Flycatchers on Whiteface Mountain in my earlier post today, but 
numbers of most neotropical migrants appear way down.  Sean keeps remarking 
that there is no dawn chorus this year.  Even my non-birder husband has been 
noting the lack of birds this spring.  Normally, you can’t sleep past 4:30 a.m. 
in our house at this time of year because of the remarkable dawn sounds outside 
our bedroom window, but it feels more like late summer every morning with the 
lack of songs.  I was aware of the weather-related fallout on the Gulf Coast of 
Texas in April, and I had to wonder, with so many birds too exhausted to be 
afraid of humans, how many may have perished unseen over the Gulf?

Migration seemed highly unusual this year.  Normally, species like Blue-headed 
Vireo would suddenly fill the forests overnight.  This year, I found ONE, and 
then a week went by and I found a second one, then several days went by and 
they began to arrive in a trickle.  Species were, for the most part, late 
arriving and they trickled in.  We have been waiting for the forests to fill, 
but it hasn’t happened and it is now June 4th.  In a section of Massawepie Mire 
that is normally filled with breeding Canada Warblers, we heard one on 
Saturday.  It is definitely worrisome.

As you mentioned, BBS surveys may help document the apparent population 
declines.  Thanks again for your thoughts about possible reasons for such 
worrisome declines.  I too, would be interested to hear the thoughts of other 
birders on this topic.

Joan Collins
Long Lake, NY


From: 
bounce-98052797-13418...@list.cornell.edu<mailto:bounce-98052797-13418...@list.cornell.edu>
 [mailto:bounce-98052797-13418...@list.cornell.edu<http://list.cornell.edu>] On 
Behalf Of Christopher T. Tessaglia-Hymes
Sent: Tuesday, June 04, 2013 12:18 PM
To: NYSBIRDS-L
Subject: [nysbirds-l] Fwd: Minimal Migration or Population Decline?

Good afternoon!

This morning, I sent the following email to NFC-L, the Night Flight Call eList, 
and thought some on NYSbirds-L might find this of interest or have some input.

Sincerely,
Chris T-H

Begin forwarded message:


Date: June 4, 2013 9:46:52 AM EDT
To: NFC-L <nf...@list.cornell.edu<mailto:nf...@list.cornell.edu>>
Subject: Minimal Migration or Population Decline?

Good morning,

I am curious to know if recording stations in the Northeast have experienced, 
numerically – with respect to quantity of night flight calls, a reduced number 
of migrants this spring as compared to past years. My perception is that there 
was a noticeable lack of birds moving throughout certain regions of the 
Northeast this spring. Conversely, did recording stations elsewhere (perhaps in 
the mid-west) record higher numbers of migrants this spring?

On the ground, for example, I don't ever remember a year when I only heard or 
saw 2-3 Blackpoll Warblers. Period. Usually, I would hear or see several 
Blackpoll Warblers on any given day over the course of a few days during the 
peak movement for this species. Of course, maybe a mass die-off of Blackpoll 
Warblers and other migrants went unnoticed this past fall or this spring, 
similar to the infamous mass die-off from 2-3 October 2011 at the Laurel 
Mountain wind facility in West Virginia. See: 
http://www.birdfellow.com/journal/2011/10/29/in_the_news_484_blackpoll_warblers_die_at_wind_farm.
 Note: it is suggested these birds succumbed to exhaustion from becoming 
trapped in the sphere of fog-reflected light produced by a lighted substation, 
which was accidentally left on overnight at the facility, rather than actual 
deaths caused by direct turbine strikes.

I know there was a memorable weather-related fallout on the Gulf Coast of Texas 
this past 25-27 April 2013. See: 
http://www.texasbirdimages.com/home/2013-fallout---cameron-county/nueces-co-list---april-25-2013.
 It makes me wonder if it is at all possible for unfortunately-timed severe 
weather-related events, during key trans-Gulf crossings, to result in 
population-wide declines of neotropical migrants.

Or, is this just an anomalous year as a result of the negative phase of the 
North Atlantic Oscillation, producing unfavorable conditions for nocturnal 
movement of small passerines into the Northeast. In possible scenarios like 
this, do boreal neotropical migrants favor an alternate springtime route that 
may carry them North, up the Mississippi Flyway to a point North of the Great 
Lakes, allowing them to then catch the prevailing West wind in an Easterly 
direction to their breeding grounds? If such a scenario were to play out, how 
do first spring individuals learn of these routes? Do they follow the masses?

Interestingly, I'm finding that the cuckoos seem most unaffected by minor 
Northerly airflow at night (such as the night of 2-3 June). I'm sure their body 
size and wing length have everything to do with the ability to migrate into a 
headwind as compared to smaller passerines, such as warblers. Last night, in 
calm to light winds, I recorded 7 different Black-billed Cuckoos and a single 
Yellow-billed Cuckoo, plus a single Virginia Rail, one Alder Flycatcher, one 
Swainson's Thrush, and a single Indigo Bunting.

Unfortunately, I was not recording sooner this spring in Etna, NY, so don't 
have a good comparison of this year to last year (for peak migration); however, 
I did get out as much as possible to a migrant stopover patch on most mornings 
(see the Hawthorn Orchard: 
http://www.birds.cornell.edu/cayugabirdclub/hawthorn.htm and check eBird for 
this site). My perception from daytime observation was a serious lack of 
neotropical migrants, yet with a reasonable amount of resources (insect larvae) 
for them to feed upon. This was one of the more memorable springtimes for me, 
with respect to flowering trees. I don't recall a time in the recent past of a 
springtime with the same amazingly full quantity of flowers remaining on the 
trees for as long as they did, yet with so few migrants. Though, perhaps in 
actuality there may have been fewer food resources (insect larvae) available 
than in past years, due to the cooler weather this spring (in the Northeast).

If weather conditions correlate as closely to food resource availability as is 
probably the case, perhaps the birds use weather-related cues to avoid 
migration routes that may lead through regions with a dearth of food resources 
as compared to routes through other regions with high food resources. Or, 
perhaps there was a mass die-off in the Gulf this spring or the Atlantic and/or 
Gulf last fall, or at nighttime lighted facilities on unfortunately 
fog-enshrouded nights. It all seems so speculative without looking at long-term 
population trends in different regions. I think it will be interesting to watch 
for the comparative results from this year's Breeding Bird Surveys to past 
Surveys and of Surveys to come in future years, as well as the gradual 
accumulation of records in eBird.

Thanks for any thoughts and input on this!

Sincerely,
Chris T-H

--
Christopher T. Tessaglia-Hymes
Field Applications Engineer
Bioacoustics Research Program, Cornell Lab of Ornithology
159 Sapsucker Woods Road, Ithaca, New York 14850
W: 607-254-2418   M: 607-351-5740   F: 607-254-1132
http://www.birds.cornell.edu/brp


--
Christopher T. Tessaglia-Hymes
Field Applications Engineer
Bioacoustics Research Program, Cornell Lab of Ornithology
159 Sapsucker Woods Road, Ithaca, New York 14850
W: 607-254-2418   M: 607-351-5740   F: 607-254-1132
http://www.birds.cornell.edu/brp

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159 Sapsucker Woods Road, Ithaca, New York 14850
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Bioacoustics Research Program, Cornell Lab of Ornithology
159 Sapsucker Woods Road, Ithaca, New York 14850
W: 607-254-2418   M: 607-351-5740   F: 607-254-1132
http://www.birds.cornell.edu/brp


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