Re: [NSWolves] Remaining games / points prediction.
I'm not sure I'd be that optimistic. On 28 February 2012 20:56, Rog Reet rognr...@exemail.com.au wrote: My brain and eyewear this evening is a bottle of Prickly Moses IPA. ** ** Fulham 1 Blackburn 3 Man U 1 Norwich 1 Bolton 3 Stoke 1 Arsenal 0 Sunderland 1 Man City 0 Swansea 1 Everton 3 Wigan 1 ** ** Total 16, overall 38 and just safe. ** ** ** ** ** ** *From:* nswolves@googlegroups.com [mailto:nswolves@googlegroups.com] *On Behalf Of *Paul Crowe *Sent:* Tuesday, 28 February 2012 3:24 PM *To:* nswolves@googlegroups.com *Subject:* [NSWolves] Remaining games / points prediction. ** ** Hello fellow Wolves tragics! ** ** I have put on the “Roger rose tinted glasses” and confidently forecast the following: ** ** Fulham 1 Blackburn 3 Man U 0 Norwich 1 Bolton 3 Stoke 0 Arsenal 0 Sunderland 3 Man City 0 Swansea 3 Everton 3 Wigan 3 ** ** 20 points!! We will be safe. ** ** Realistically, if we can win all our games against Blackburn, Bolton and Wigan we should have a great chance of staying up. ** ** Paul Crowe Sales Manager - Asia Pacific ConTech (Sydney Office) PO Box 3517 Rhodes Waterside Rhodes NSW 2138 Tel: 02 97396636 Fax: 02 97396542 Mob: 0406009562 Email: pcr...@contechengineering.com Website: www.contechengineering.com ** ** -- Boo! Curbishley out! -- Boo! Curbishley out! -- Boo! Curbishley out!
Re: [NSWolves] Remaining games / points prediction.
Oh no, now Steve's losing his optimism... what's going on? On 28/02/2012, at 20:59 , Steven Millward wrote: I'm not sure I'd be that optimistic. On 28 February 2012 20:56, Rog Reet rognr...@exemail.com.au wrote: My brain and eyewear this evening is a bottle of Prickly Moses IPA. Fulham 1 Blackburn 3 Man U 1 Norwich 1 Bolton 3 Stoke 1 Arsenal 0 Sunderland 1 Man City 0 Swansea 1 Everton 3 Wigan 1 Total 16, overall 38 and just safe. From: nswolves@googlegroups.com [mailto:nswolves@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Paul Crowe Sent: Tuesday, 28 February 2012 3:24 PM To: nswolves@googlegroups.com Subject: [NSWolves] Remaining games / points prediction. Hello fellow Wolves tragics! I have put on the “Roger rose tinted glasses” and confidently forecast the following: Fulham 1 Blackburn 3 Man U 0 Norwich 1 Bolton 3 Stoke 0 Arsenal 0 Sunderland 3 Man City 0 Swansea 3 Everton 3 Wigan 3 20 points!! We will be safe. Realistically, if we can win all our games against Blackburn, Bolton and Wigan we should have a great chance of staying up. Paul Crowe Sales Manager - Asia Pacific ConTech (Sydney Office) PO Box 3517 Rhodes Waterside Rhodes NSW 2138 Tel: 02 97396636 Fax: 02 97396542 Mob: 0406009562 Email: pcr...@contechengineering.com Website: www.contechengineering.com -- Boo! Curbishley out! -- Boo! Curbishley out! -- Boo! Curbishley out! -- Boo! Curbishley out!
Re: [NSWolves] Remaining games / points prediction.
I know. I can only keep it up for so long. Just quickly analysing what will be required: Looking back over the last few seasons, this is actually a really weak season. I know it seems obvious, but when the teams at the top are really good then there are fewer crumbs for the teams at the bottom to pick up. We've got used to a Big 4 but now there are a lot of really good teams. Man City and Spurs are picking up a lot more points now than they used to, as well as the traditional Big 4 My brief, drunk analysis suggests that: (a) the more points the top teams get the fewer are required to stay up. Specifically the more points that the top 7 teams get, the fewer are required to stay up. (b) there's a simple rule of thumb that says at this stage of the season, the eventual team that stays up will have 1.5 times the number of points that the team in 17th now has. The highest this ratio has been is 1.56:1 That's simple maths but it's borne out by actual results. Seems that teams don't get much better or worse over the last third of the season. That suggests that a team should stay up with 33 points this season. We just need to hold our current points ratio and we should be OK. On 28 February 2012 21:05, Marcus Chantry chant...@iinet.net.au wrote: Oh no, now Steve's losing his optimism... what's going on? On 28/02/2012, at 20:59 , Steven Millward wrote: I'm not sure I'd be that optimistic. On 28 February 2012 20:56, Rog Reet rognr...@exemail.com.au wrote: My brain and eyewear this evening is a bottle of Prickly Moses IPA. ** ** Fulham 1 Blackburn 3 Man U 1 Norwich 1 Bolton 3 Stoke 1 Arsenal 0 Sunderland 1 Man City 0 Swansea 1 Everton 3 Wigan 1 ** ** Total 16, overall 38 and just safe. ** ** ** ** ** ** *From:* nswolves@googlegroups.com [mailto:nswolves@googlegroups.com] *On Behalf Of *Paul Crowe *Sent:* Tuesday, 28 February 2012 3:24 PM *To:* nswolves@googlegroups.com *Subject:* [NSWolves] Remaining games / points prediction. ** ** Hello fellow Wolves tragics! ** ** I have put on the “Roger rose tinted glasses” and confidently forecast the following: ** ** Fulham 1 Blackburn 3 Man U 0 Norwich 1 Bolton 3 Stoke 0 Arsenal 0 Sunderland 3 Man City 0 Swansea 3 Everton 3 Wigan 3 ** ** 20 points!! We will be safe. ** ** Realistically, if we can win all our games against Blackburn, Bolton and Wigan we should have a great chance of staying up. ** ** Paul Crowe Sales Manager - Asia Pacific ConTech (Sydney Office) PO Box 3517 Rhodes Waterside Rhodes NSW 2138 Tel: 02 97396636 Fax: 02 97396542 Mob: 0406009562 Email: pcr...@contechengineering.com Website: www.contechengineering.com ** ** -- Boo! Curbishley out! -- Boo! Curbishley out! -- Boo! Curbishley out! -- Boo! Curbishley out! -- Boo! Curbishley out!
RE: [NSWolves] Remaining games / points prediction.[sec=unclassified] [SEC=UNCLASSIFIED]
UNCLASSIFIED A point against Norwich looks pretty optimistic to me Marcus. IMPORTANT: This email remains the property of the Department of Defence and is subject to the jurisdiction of section 70 of the Crimes Act 1914. If you have received this email in error, you are requested to contact the sender and delete the email. From: nswolves@googlegroups.com [mailto:nswolves@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Marcus Chantry Sent: Tuesday, 28 February 2012 20:05 To: nswolves@googlegroups.com Subject: Re: [NSWolves] Remaining games / points prediction. Oh no, now Steve's losing his optimism... what's going on? On 28/02/2012, at 20:59 , Steven Millward wrote: I'm not sure I'd be that optimistic. On 28 February 2012 20:56, Rog Reet rognr...@exemail.com.au wrote: My brain and eyewear this evening is a bottle of Prickly Moses IPA. Fulham 1 Blackburn 3 Man U 1 Norwich 1 Bolton 3 Stoke 1 Arsenal 0 Sunderland 1 Man City 0 Swansea 1 Everton 3 Wigan 1 Total 16, overall 38 and just safe. From: nswolves@googlegroups.com [mailto:nswolves@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Paul Crowe Sent: Tuesday, 28 February 2012 3:24 PM To: nswolves@googlegroups.com Subject: [NSWolves] Remaining games / points prediction. Hello fellow Wolves tragics! I have put on the Roger rose tinted glasses and confidently forecast the following: Fulham 1 Blackburn 3 Man U 0 Norwich 1 Bolton 3 Stoke 0 Arsenal 0 Sunderland 3 Man City 0 Swansea 3 Everton 3 Wigan 3 20 points!! We will be safe. Realistically, if we can win all our games against Blackburn, Bolton and Wigan we should have a great chance of staying up. Paul Crowe Sales Manager - Asia Pacific ConTech (Sydney Office) PO Box 3517 Rhodes Waterside Rhodes NSW 2138 Tel: 02 97396636 Fax: 02 97396542 Mob: 0406009562 Email: pcr...@contechengineering.com Website: www.contechengineering.com http://www.contechengineering.com/ -- Boo! Curbishley out! -- Boo! Curbishley out! -- Boo! Curbishley out! -- Boo! Curbishley out! -- Boo! Curbishley out!
