Kenaikan harga minyak sama perusahaan minyak ternyata gak ada hubungannya.
Masak harga minya naik, laba bersih MEDC tahun lalu malah turun drastis
gara-gara "biaya lain-lain"?
RW
----- Original Message -----
From: Ricky Dahlan
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Wednesday, April 23, 2008 1:24 PM
Subject: [!! SPAM] [obrolan-bandar] Why oil could hit $180 a barrel
Terus, kenapa saham MEDC mandek di sini?
--- On Wed, 4/23/08, James Arifin <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
From: James Arifin <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Subject: [obrolan-bandar] Why oil could hit $180 a barrel
To: "obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com" <obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com>
Date: Wednesday, April 23, 2008, 2:00 AM
On 4/22/08, <ladung.web.id> wrote:
For your pleasure readings.
Salam,
Ladung
Why oil could hit $180 a barrel
Just when crude is becoming more costly to extract and process,
producers in
three key countries are short of cash. And without that money,
recent finds
won't do much good.
By Jim Jubak
Yikes! Oil at $117 a barrel. It has to go down from here, right?
Wrong. In the short term -- say, the next two years or so -- we're
looking
at bad news about global oil supply that could take the price of a
barrel of
crude to $180.
Needless to say, today's $3.50-a-gallon gasoline would look cheap
if oil
prices hit $180 a barrel. At that price for a barrel of oil,
gasoline would
cost somewhere north of $5.50 a gallon.
The good news is that's about the price, experts now say, that
would send
global consumption tumbling and oil prices into retreat, as drivers
scrambled to find ways to conserve.
Of course, experts once thought $3-a-gallon gasoline would lead to
a drop in
consumption. The latest forecast from the International Energy
Agency calls
for global oil demand of 87.2 million barrels a day this year. That
would be
an increase in consumption of 1.3 million barrels a day from 2007
-- despite
a U.S. economic slowdown and soaring oil prices.
So why do I think oil prices will keep climbing for two more years
at least?
A terrible coincidence of geology and geopolitics. Just when oil is
getting
more expensive to produce, the oil industries in three key
countries --
Mexico, Russia and Nigeria -- find themselves short of cash. And
without
that cash, oil production in these countries, and global oil
production in
general, is headed into a decline.
The Russian oil industry, for example, announced that production
had fallen
1% in the first quarter of 2008. According to the Russian energy
ministry,
oil production for the full year could be lower than in 2007.
Any decline would mark a huge turnaround. Russian production has
grown
steadily over the past 10 years, and in its supply-and-demand
projections
the International Energy Agency has been counting on growth in
Russian
production of 5% by 2012 to offset big declines in older fields in
the North
Sea and Mexico.
.
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