[obrolan-bandar] rounding number 1700

2007-01-09 Terurut Topik Hotma Sirait
next stop will be 1700 before it's goes down deep as mr. ian say i quess (all 
disclaimer is on)

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Re: [obrolan-bandar] rounding number 1700

2007-01-09 Terurut Topik Frederick Schubert
hehehehe...how about 900...?

Hotma Sirait [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:  next stop will be 1700 before it's 
goes down deep as mr. ian say i quess (all disclaimer is on)

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Re: [obrolan-bandar] rounding number 1700

2007-01-09 Terurut Topik boyz

wie Sie sind, Sir?
die lange keine Zeit sehen.

any comment mr.schubert ?
is it time to collect ?
danke,


Frederick Schubert wrote:

hehehehe...how about 900...?

*/Hotma Sirait [EMAIL PROTECTED]/* wrote:

next stop will be 1700 before it's goes down deep as mr. ian say i
quess (all disclaimer is on)

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Re: [obrolan-bandar] rounding number 1700

2007-01-09 Terurut Topik Frederick Schubert
well...
  the fall of the main index today was mostly due to misunderstanding about 
what is happening in Thailand. The Thai government limits foreign ownership to 
50% in telecommunication and (agricultural) companies that are vital and 
related with its nation's security. Indonesia has so far applied this policy 
and foreign funds have so far can abide by this without 
complaining..(hehe). so..? 
  based on charting, it remains within the so-called trend in trend...the pull 
back may cause a rounding of 100 points of losses..so, any fall below 1760, can 
still be termed as correction. but below 1,600 is a panic selling which is more 
unlikely as based on the fund flow manegement, at that level of index, funds as 
big as American CALPERs would have already lost 30% of its equity 
portfolio...would they be just sitting and singing for the losses..? i don't 
think so...so, tomorrow will be the judgement day...if the main index manages 
to rebound...then...there is nothing to worry
  hope the above helps...
  best,  
  

boyz [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  wie Sie sind, Sir?
die lange keine Zeit sehen.

any comment mr.schubert ?
is it time to collect ?
danke,


Frederick Schubert wrote:   hehehehe...how about 900...?

Hotma Sirait [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:   next stop will be 1700 before it's 
goes down deep as mr. ian say i quess (all disclaimer is on)

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Re: [obrolan-bandar] rounding number 1700

2007-01-09 Terurut Topik boyz

thanks a lot for your sharing,
hehehe ... surely they wouldn't  be just sitting and singing for their 
losses.
so big funds have to do some action, such as called investment 
maintenance, am i right?
well, let's see for tomorrow. i hope the main index not cross below the 
critical level.


best regard,


Frederick Schubert wrote:

well...
the fall of the main index today was mostly due to misunderstanding 
about what is happening in Thailand. The Thai government limits 
foreign ownership to 50% in telecommunication and (agricultural) 
companies that are vital and related with its nation's security. 
Indonesia has so far applied this policy and foreign funds have so 
far can abide by this without complaining..(hehe). so..?
based on charting, it remains within the so-called trend in 
trend...the pull back may cause a rounding of 100 points of 
losses..so, any fall below 1760, can still be termed as correction. 
but below 1,600 is a panic selling which is more unlikely as based on 
the fund flow manegement, at that level of index, funds as big as 
American CALPERs would have already lost 30% of its 
equity portfolio...would they be just sitting and singing for the 
losses..? i don't think so...so, tomorrow will be the judgement 
day...if the main index manages to rebound...then...there is nothing 
to worry

hope the above helps...
best,  



*/boyz [EMAIL PROTECTED]/* wrote:

wie Sie sind, Sir?
die lange keine Zeit sehen.

any comment mr.schubert ?
is it time to collect ?
danke,


Frederick Schubert wrote:

hehehehe...how about 900...?

*/Hotma Sirait [EMAIL PROTECTED]/* wrote:

next stop will be 1700 before it's goes down deep as mr. ian
say i quess (all disclaimer is on)

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Re: [obrolan-bandar] rounding number 1700

2007-01-09 Terurut Topik Mr. T
Dua kali kena efek Thailand, Dua kali dapet kesempatan Buy barang Lego...

Tapi duit ogud pada nyangkut semua rese..

- Original Message 
From: Frederick Schubert [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Tuesday, January 9, 2007 4:53:43 PM
Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] rounding number 1700









  




well...
  the fall of the main index today was mostly due to misunderstanding about 
what is happening in Thailand. The Thai government limits foreign ownership to 
50% in telecommunication and (agricultural) companies that are vital and 
related with its nation's security. Indonesia has so far applied this policy 
and foreign funds have so far can abide by this without complaining. 
.(hehe). so..? 
  based on charting, it remains within the so-called trend in trend...the pull 
back may cause a rounding of 100 points of losses..so, any fall below 1760, can 
still be termed as correction. but below 1,600 is a panic selling which is more 
unlikely as based on the fund flow manegement, at that level of index, funds as 
big as American CALPERs would have already lost 30% of its equity portfolio... 
would they be just sitting and singing for the losses..? i don't think so...so, 
tomorrow will be the judgement day...if the main index
 manages to rebound...then. ..there is nothing to worry
  hope the above helps...
  best,  
  

boyz [EMAIL PROTECTED] com.sg wrote:
  wie Sie sind, Sir?
die lange keine Zeit sehen.

any comment mr.schubert ?
is it time to collect ?
danke,


Frederick Schubert wrote:   hehehehe...how about 900...?

Hotma Sirait hotmasirait@ yahoo.com wrote:   next stop will be 1700 before 
it's goes down deep as mr. ian say i quess (all disclaimer is on)

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Re: [obrolan-bandar] rounding number 1700

2007-01-09 Terurut Topik Frederick Schubert
welll...i just wanna remind you that foreign funds portfolio on jakarta bourse 
is only 30% of the total caps of around $120 billion
  so, let's dream the worst case..if they sold out the 30% (which is VERY 
impossible indeed) the main index COULD fall as much as 534 points or to 
1246this level is even better than the closing level of 2005 of 
1162...which means that the jakarta bourse could grow withoutTHEM... the 
problem is that there is a CYCLICALl period when the hedge funds should return 
to their TRUSTY (in U.S.) every January 15 The number, howvere, is less 
than $2 billion... If Indonesia's investment weigting is 0.4%...so, you can 
calculate yourself how much hedge funds left to be withdrawn...BUT, the most 
interested thing is that whenever they roll out the hedge fund and return to 
Indonesia for program buying...what would analysts say..? they would say 
Indonesia's economy is improving...hehehehehe
  disclaimer on...
  cheers
   
   
  

Handoyo Gozali [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 
any commend, Uncle Schubert ?
   
   Dana asing di bursa Asia diduga hengkang ke AS   JAKARTA: Pemodal asing 
mengurangi dananya di bursa saham Asia Pasifik dan diduga mengalihkan 
portofolionya ke bursa AS dan Eropa. Akibatnya, dana asing yang parkir di 
sebagian bursa kawasan Asia berkurang drastis pada dua hari terakhir 
perdagangan.   Sentimen negatif itu dipicu oleh lontaran rencana pembatasan 
modal di Thailand. 
  Data Bloomberg menunjukkan dana asing yang parkir di Bursa Efek Jakarta 
Jakarta (BEJ) berkurang US$29 juta dalam sehari perdagangan kemarin, turun 
53,9% dibandingkan periode sama tahun lalu. 
  Kondisi serupa juga terjadi di bursa Korea Selatan, Thailand, dan Taiwan yang 
nilai investasi asingnya turun masing-masing US$247,5 juta (-386,2%), US$50 
juta (-76,4%), dan US$36,3 juta (-104,4%). 
  Analis PT Andalan Artha Advisindo Sekuritas (AAA Securities) Bagus Hananto 
menilai pemodal global kemungkinan masih menyimpan sentimen negatif terhadap 
pasar Asia setelah ada lontaran kebijakan pembatasan modal Thailand. 
  Akibatnya, penjualan yang lebih besar dibandingkan pembelian (net selling) 
oleh pemodal asing menghantam bursa yang diikuti profit taking oleh investor 
domestik. 
  Kemarin, investor asing membukukan net selling Rp262 miliar. Indeks harga 
saham gabungan (IHSG) di BEJ langsung terbanting 32,5 poin atau turun 1,79% ke 
posisi 1.780,88. 
  Koreksi indeks karena profit taking kemarin masih sehat, mengingat indeks 
naik terlalu tinggi sejak Juni 2005 yang naik 48,7% dari 1.234 ke 1.843, 
tuturnya kemarin. 
  Penurunan indeks, lanjut dia, dipicu oleh sentimen global terkait prospek 
perekonomian Amerika, yang diikuti investor domestik untuk membukukan gain. 
  Profit taking kemarin menimpa Bursa Efek Jakarta dan bursa Hong Kong sehingga 
indeks harga saham keduanya menurun drastis di tengah peningkatan indeks saham 
bursa lainnya. 
  Bagus memperkirakan pada perdagangan hari ini, investor akan melakukan 
pembelian pascakoreksi (buy on weakness) sehingga membuka potensi pembalikan 
arah indeks (rebound). Indeks akan bergerak di kisaran 1.770 hingga 1.815. 
  Menurut dia, price to earning ratio (P/E) BEJ masih menjanjikan hingga akhir 
tahun nanti yang ditopang fundamental makroekonomi. 
  Faktor P/E BEJ yang diperkirakan tinggi tak serta-merta membuat investor 
asing hengkang. 
  Oleh Arif Gunawan S. 
Bisnis Indonesia 
- Original Message - 
  From: Frederick Schubert 
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
  Sent: Tuesday, January 09, 2007 4:53 PM
  Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] rounding number 1700
  

  well...
  the fall of the main index today was mostly due to misunderstanding about 
what is happening in Thailand. The Thai government limits foreign ownership to 
50% in telecommunication and (agricultural) companies that are vital and 
related with its nation's security. Indonesia has so far applied this policy 
and foreign funds have so far can abide by this without 
complaining..(hehe). so..? 
  based on charting, it remains within the so-called trend in trend...the pull 
back may cause a rounding of 100 points of losses..so, any fall below 1760, can 
still be termed as correction. but below 1,600 is a panic selling which is more 
unlikely as based on the fund flow manegement, at that level of index, funds as 
big as American CALPERs would have already lost 30% of its equity 
portfolio...would they be just sitting and singing for the losses..? i don't 
think so...so, tomorrow will be the judgement day...if the main index manages 
to rebound...then...there is nothing to worry
  hope the above helps...
  best,  
  

boyz [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  wie Sie sind, Sir?
die lange keine Zeit sehen.

any comment mr.schubert ?
is it time to collect ?
danke,


Frederick Schubert wrote:   hehehehe...how about 900...?

Hotma Sirait [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:   next stop will be 1700 before it's 
goes down deep as mr. ian say i quess

Re: [obrolan-bandar] rounding number 1700

2007-01-09 Terurut Topik Mr. T
Really dont rely much on F or D on the stock trade table. If you've been in 
this business for a while,
you should know that F or D can be made up to order, being whatever the buyer 
or seller want.

Foreign investor can mark their trade as Domestic as easily as domestic 
investor can mark it as 
Foreign. Nothing new really

- Original Message 
From: Handoyo Gozali [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com
Sent: Wednesday, January 10, 2007 8:23:12 AM
Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] rounding number 1700









  








 


  any commend, Uncle Schubert ?

   

   Dana asing di bursa Asia diduga hengkang ke AS 
JAKARTA: Pemodal asing 
  mengurangi dananya di bursa saham Asia Pasifik dan diduga mengalihkan 
  portofolionya ke bursa AS dan Eropa. Akibatnya, dana asing yang parkir di 
  sebagian bursa kawasan Asia berkurang drastis pada dua hari terakhir 
  perdagangan. 
  Sentimen negatif itu 
  dipicu oleh lontaran rencana pembatasan modal di Thailand. 

  Data Bloomberg 
  menunjukkan dana asing yang parkir di Bursa Efek Jakarta Jakarta (BEJ) 
  berkurang US$29 juta dalam sehari perdagangan kemarin, turun 53,9% 
  dibandingkan periode sama tahun lalu. 

  Kondisi serupa juga 
  terjadi di bursa Korea Selatan, Thailand, dan Taiwan yang nilai investasi 
  asingnya turun masing-masing US$247,5 juta (-386,2%), US$50 juta (-76,4%), 
dan 
  US$36,3 juta (-104,4%). 

  Analis PT Andalan 
  Artha Advisindo Sekuritas (AAA Securities) Bagus Hananto menilai pemodal 
  global kemungkinan masih menyimpan sentimen negatif terhadap pasar Asia 
  setelah ada lontaran kebijakan pembatasan modal Thailand. 

  Akibatnya, penjualan 
  yang lebih besar dibandingkan pembelian (net selling) oleh pemodal asing 
  menghantam bursa yang diikuti profit taking oleh investor domestik. 


  Kemarin, investor 
  asing membukukan net selling Rp262 miliar. Indeks harga saham gabungan (IHSG) 
  di BEJ langsung terbanting 32,5 poin atau turun 1,79% ke posisi 1.780,88. 
  

  Koreksi indeks 
  karena profit taking kemarin masih sehat, mengingat indeks naik terlalu 
tinggi 
  sejak Juni 2005 yang naik 48,7% dari 1.234 ke 1.843, tuturnya kemarin. 
  

  Penurunan indeks, 
  lanjut dia, dipicu oleh sentimen global terkait prospek perekonomian Amerika, 
  yang diikuti investor domestik untuk membukukan gain. 

  Profit taking 
  kemarin menimpa Bursa Efek Jakarta dan bursa Hong Kong sehingga indeks harga 
  saham keduanya menurun drastis di tengah peningkatan indeks saham bursa 
  lainnya. 

  Bagus memperkirakan 
  pada perdagangan hari ini, investor akan melakukan pembelian pascakoreksi 
(buy 
  on weakness) sehingga membuka potensi pembalikan arah indeks (rebound). 
Indeks 
  akan bergerak di kisaran 1.770 hingga 1.815. 

  Menurut dia, price 
  to earning ratio (P/E) BEJ masih menjanjikan hingga akhir tahun nanti yang 
  ditopang fundamental makroekonomi. 

  Faktor P/E BEJ yang 
  diperkirakan tinggi tak serta-merta membuat investor asing hengkang. 
  

  Oleh Arif Gunawan 
  S. 
Bisnis Indonesia 
 
  
- Original Message - 

From: 
Frederick 
Schubert 

To: obrolan-bandar@ yahoogroups. com 


Sent: Tuesday, January 09, 2007 4:53 
PM

Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] rounding 
number 1700







well...

the fall of the main index today was mostly due to misunderstanding 
about what is happening in Thailand. The Thai government limits foreign 
ownership to 50% in telecommunication and (agricultural) companies that are 
vital and related with its nation's security. Indonesia has so far 
applied this policy and foreign funds have so far can abide by this 
without complaining. .(hehe). so..? 

based on charting, it remains within the so-called trend in trend...the 
pull back may cause a rounding of 100 points of losses..so, any 
fall below 1760, can still be termed as correction. but below 1,600 is 
a panic selling which is more unlikely as based on the fund flow 
manegement, at that level of index, funds as big as American CALPERs 
would have already lost 30% of its equity portfolio... would they 
be just sitting and singing for the losses..? i don't think so...so, 
tomorrow will be the judgement day...if the main index manages to 
rebound...then. ..there is nothing to worry

hope the above helps...

best,  



boyz [EMAIL PROTECTED] com.sg 
wrote:


  
  wie Sie sind, Sir?
die lange keine 
  Zeit sehen.

any comment mr.schubert ?
is it time to collect 
  ?
danke,


Frederick Schubert wrote: 
  hehehehe...how about 
900...?

Hotma Sirait hotmasirait@ yahoo.com 
wrote: 
next stop will be 1700 before it's goes down 
  deep as mr. ian say i quess (all disclaimer is 
  on)

 _ _ _ _ __
Do 
  You Yahoo!?
Tired of spam? Yahoo! Mail has the best

Re: [obrolan-bandar] rounding number 1700

2007-01-09 Terurut Topik EKA SUWANDANA
quote they would say Indonesia's economy is improving...hehehehehe
  and The President is smiling!
   
  Now what the president may think guys?
  

Frederick Schubert [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
welll...i just wanna remind you that foreign funds portfolio on 
jakarta bourse is only 30% of the total caps of around $120 billion
  so, let's dream the worst case..if they sold out the 30% (which is VERY 
impossible indeed) the main index COULD fall as much as 534 points or to 
1246this level is even better than the closing level of 2005 of 
1162...which means that the jakarta bourse could grow withoutTHEM... the 
problem is that there is a CYCLICALl period when the hedge funds should return 
to their TRUSTY (in U.S.) every January 15 The number, howvere, is less 
than $2 billion... If Indonesia's investment weigting is 0.4%...so, you can 
calculate yourself how much hedge funds left to be withdrawn...BUT, the most 
interested thing is that whenever they roll out the hedge fund and return to 
Indonesia for program buying...what would analysts say..? they would say 
Indonesia's economy is improving...hehehehehe
  disclaimer on...
  cheers
   
   
  

Handoyo Gozali [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 
any commend, Uncle Schubert ?
   
   Dana asing di bursa Asia diduga hengkang ke AS   JAKARTA: Pemodal asing 
mengurangi dananya di bursa saham Asia Pasifik dan diduga mengalihkan 
portofolionya ke bursa AS dan Eropa. Akibatnya, dana asing yang parkir di 
sebagian bursa kawasan Asia berkurang drastis pada dua hari terakhir 
perdagangan.   Sentimen negatif itu dipicu oleh lontaran rencana pembatasan 
modal di Thailand. 
  Data Bloomberg menunjukkan dana asing yang parkir di Bursa Efek Jakarta 
Jakarta (BEJ) berkurang US$29 juta dalam sehari perdagangan kemarin, turun 
53,9% dibandingkan periode sama tahun lalu. 
  Kondisi serupa juga terjadi di bursa Korea Selatan, Thailand, dan Taiwan yang 
nilai investasi asingnya turun masing-masing US$247,5 juta (-386,2%), US$50 
juta (-76,4%), dan US$36,3 juta (-104,4%). 
  Analis PT Andalan Artha Advisindo Sekuritas (AAA Securities) Bagus Hananto 
menilai pemodal global kemungkinan masih menyimpan sentimen negatif terhadap 
pasar Asia setelah ada lontaran kebijakan pembatasan modal Thailand. 
  Akibatnya, penjualan yang lebih besar dibandingkan pembelian (net selling) 
oleh pemodal asing menghantam bursa yang diikuti profit taking oleh investor 
domestik. 
  Kemarin, investor asing membukukan net selling Rp262 miliar. Indeks harga 
saham gabungan (IHSG) di BEJ langsung terbanting 32,5 poin atau turun 1,79% ke 
posisi 1.780,88. 
  Koreksi indeks karena profit taking kemarin masih sehat, mengingat indeks 
naik terlalu tinggi sejak Juni 2005 yang naik 48,7% dari 1.234 ke 1.843, 
tuturnya kemarin. 
  Penurunan indeks, lanjut dia, dipicu oleh sentimen global terkait prospek 
perekonomian Amerika, yang diikuti investor domestik untuk membukukan gain. 
  Profit taking kemarin menimpa Bursa Efek Jakarta dan bursa Hong Kong sehingga 
indeks harga saham keduanya menurun drastis di tengah peningkatan indeks saham 
bursa lainnya. 
  Bagus memperkirakan pada perdagangan hari ini, investor akan melakukan 
pembelian pascakoreksi (buy on weakness) sehingga membuka potensi pembalikan 
arah indeks (rebound). Indeks akan bergerak di kisaran 1.770 hingga 1.815. 
  Menurut dia, price to earning ratio (P/E) BEJ masih menjanjikan hingga akhir 
tahun nanti yang ditopang fundamental makroekonomi. 
  Faktor P/E BEJ yang diperkirakan tinggi tak serta-merta membuat investor 
asing hengkang. 
  Oleh Arif Gunawan S. 
Bisnis Indonesia 
- Original Message - 
  From: Frederick Schubert 
  To: obrolan-bandar@yahoogroups.com 
  Sent: Tuesday, January 09, 2007 4:53 PM
  Subject: Re: [obrolan-bandar] rounding number 1700
  

  well...
  the fall of the main index today was mostly due to misunderstanding about 
what is happening in Thailand. The Thai government limits foreign ownership to 
50% in telecommunication and (agricultural) companies that are vital and 
related with its nation's security. Indonesia has so far applied this policy 
and foreign funds have so far can abide by this without 
complaining..(hehe). so..? 
  based on charting, it remains within the so-called trend in trend...the pull 
back may cause a rounding of 100 points of losses..so, any fall below 1760, can 
still be termed as correction. but below 1,600 is a panic selling which is more 
unlikely as based on the fund flow manegement, at that level of index, funds as 
big as American CALPERs would have already lost 30% of its equity 
portfolio...would they be just sitting and singing for the losses..? i don't 
think so...so, tomorrow will be the judgement day...if the main index manages 
to rebound...then...there is nothing to worry
  hope the above helps...
  best,  
  

boyz [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  wie Sie sind, Sir?
die lange keine Zeit sehen.

any comment mr.schubert