This is good news. Can't kill the bastards if they
are locked up and secure! But, back home and in line of sight? Bang, you're
dead. Problem solved.




  

" During a joint hearing of the Senate and House intelligence committees
yesterday, Director of National Intelligence James Clapper testified that
the recidivism rate for former Guantanamo detainees has risen to an
estimated 27 percent. The total number of "confirmed" and "suspected"
recidivists, according to Clapper, is now 161.-" 

Read more:
<http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2011/09/guantanamo_recidivis.php#ixz
z1Y7G2uKqo>
http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2011/09/guantanamo_recidivis.php#ixzz
1Y7G2uKqo

 


 Guantanamo recidivism rate climbs higher


By Thomas Joscelyn

September 14, 2011 

 

During a joint hearing of the Senate and House intelligence committees
yesterday, Director of National Intelligence James Clapper testified that
the recidivism rate for former Guantanamo detainees has risen to an
estimated 27 percent. The total number of "confirmed" and "suspected"
recidivists, according to Clapper, is now 161.

The latest assessment is higher than the previous one offered by the DNI in
December 2010. At the time, the DNI estimated that the recidivism rate was
25 percent, and included 150 "confirmed" and "suspected" recidivists. 

According to the DNI's December 2010 report, confirmed cases are those in
which a "preponderance of information" identifies "a specific former GTMO
detainee as directly involved in terrorist or insurgent activities." In
suspected recidivism cases, "[p]lausible but unverified or single-source
reporting" indicates "a specific former GTMO detainee is directly involved
in terrorist or insurgent activities." Engaging in anti-US "statements or
propaganda does not qualify as terrorist or insurgent activity" in either
confirmed or suspected cases. 

The US government's estimate of the number of ex-Guantanamo detainees who
have returned to jihad has steadily increased over time. 

In June 2008, the Defense Department reported that 37 former detainees were
"confirmed or suspected" recidivists. On Jan. 13, 2009 -- seven months later
-- Pentagon spokesman Geoff Morrell said that number had climbed to 61. By
May 2009, when a recidivism assessment was leaked to The New York Times (the
report was based on information available as of mid-March 2009), the Defense
Dept. had found that the same metric had risen further to 74 -- exactly
double the Pentagon's estimate just 11 months before.

The Obama administration confirmed in February 2010 that the recidivism rate
was then 20 percent, meaning that more than 100 former Guantanamo detainees
were either "confirmed" or "suspected" recidivists at the time. By December
2010, the number had climbed even higher -- to 150 former detainees. And
now, that estimate has risen again -- to 161 ex-Guantanamo detainees.

"Many of them have been taken off the battlefield through kinetic
encounters," Clapper explained, with respect to the recidivists.

One of these "kinetic encounters" occurred earlier this month, when Afghan
and Coalition security forces killed a former Guantanamo detainee named
Sabar Lal Melma and captured another ex-Guantanamo detainee during a raid in
Afghanistan. [See LWJ report, Ex-Gitmo detainee killed in Afghanistan
<http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2011/09/ex-gitmo_detainee_ki_1.php>
.]

Melma, according to an International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) press
release, was "a key affiliate of the al Qaeda network" and "responsible for
attacks and financing insurgent operations in the Pech district, Kunar
province."

Melma was also "in contact with several senior al Qaeda members throughout
Kunar and Pakistan."

As of December 2010, most of the recidivists remained at large. The DNI
reported that 13 were dead, 54 were "in custody," and an additional 83
remained "at large." The current breakdown of killed/captured versus at
large recidivists is not publicly available.

 

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Find related articles: Afghanistan
<http://www.longwarjournal.org/tags/Afghanistan/common/> , Guantanamo
<http://www.longwarjournal.org/tags/Guantanamo/common/> , Recidivists
<http://www.longwarjournal.org/tags/Recidivists/common/>  

READER COMMENTS: "Guantanamo recidivism rate climbs higher"

Posted by Max at September 14, 2011 4:16 PM ET:

"Oh yes, I promise to be a good muslim and continue in Jihad; OOPS, I meant
struggle against the West; OOPS, I meant struggle against evil; I will not
engage in terrorism, I will not engage in terrorism, I....grin!"

Yea, and I've got some swampland at the north pole for anyone who believes
that.

Posted by Mr T at September 14, 2011 5:30 PM ET:

Almost 1/3 are confirmed to continue the fight. That doesn't count the ones
that are back in the fight but doing so under the radar, helping finance,
recruit, or perform some other logistical work. 

It confirms that they should all stay in prison for life so they don't go
out and take the lives of so many others.

People are so concerned for the life of the terrorist. They don't give a
damn about the lives of the people these murderers kill. They refuse to make
that connection.



Read more:
<http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2011/09/guantanamo_recidivis.php#ixz
z1Y85raNqS>
http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2011/09/guantanamo_recidivis.php#ixzz
1Y85raNqS

 

 

 
<http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2011/09/guantanamo_recidivis.php#ixz
z1Y27IJIMB>
http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2011/09/guantanamo_recidivis.php#ixzz
1Y27IJIMB 





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