http://usinfo.state.gov/xarchives/display.html?p=washfile-english
<http://usinfo.state.gov/xarchives/display.html?p=washfile-english&y=2006&m=
September&x=20060907152620sjhtrop0.8922083>
&y=2006&m=September&x=20060907152620sjhtrop0.8922083
 

More Nations See Through Iran's Nuclear Claims, U.S. Envoy Says

Ambassador Schulte says Iran must respect international demands or face
sanctions
By Jacquelyn S. Porth
Washington File Security Affairs Writer
 <javascript:;>    
 Washington - An increasing number of nations are agreeing with the United
States that Iran's nuclear activities are not consistent with its professed
peaceful intentions, says a senior U.S. official based in Austria.
Ambassador Gregory Schulte told the Press Club Concordia in Vienna, Austria,
September 5 that Iran's dogged pursuit of uranium enrichment and plutonium
production are not needed for civil nuclear energy, but they are "the two
primary means for producing material for a nuclear weapon."
Past overtures to the Iranian government by U.N. Secretary-General Kofi
Annan and International Atomic Energy Agency Director-General Mohammad
ElBaradei have fallen on deaf ears, according to Schulte, who represents the
United States at the U.S. Mission to International Organizations in Vienna.
(See related
<http://usinfo.state.gov/xarchives/display.html?p=washfile-english&y=2006&m=
August&x=20060825105705btruevecer0.9379694>  article.)
ElBaradei's August 31 report on Iran's nuclear program demonstrates Iran's
repeated stonewalling of IAEA efforts to gain access to requested
information, Schulte said.  Even after trying for three years, the IAEA
chief still cannot certify the peaceful nature of Iran's nuclear program,
added Schulte, who also represents the United States at the IAEA.
"Iran has failed to satisfy IAEA concerns about its work on advanced
centrifuges," the U.S. ambassador said.
Iranian leaders have ignored U.N. requirements, shown disrespect for their
international obligations, and remained defiant of international concerns,
Schulte said.
"More and more governments have come to the same conclusions as my own," he
said:  "That Iran's nuclear program - with its history of secrecy and
violations, its ties to the A.Q. Khan network, its connections to Iran's
military - is actually a cover for developing nuclear weapons."
The U.S. goal remains to hammer out a diplomatic solution, said Schulte --
one in which Iranian leaders "give up their pursuit of nuclear weapons and
fully meet their international obligations."
That is why U.S. officials are working with their counterparts in Europe,
Russia, China and elsewhere to offer a clear choice to Tehran, the
ambassador said.  (See related
<http://usinfo.state.gov/xarchives/display.html?p=washfile-english&y=2006&m=
September&x=20060905181727mlenuhret0.7899439>  article.)
The positive, constructive choice that would best benefit the Iranian people
would be for the Iranian government "to cooperate with the international
community and to take credible steps to assure the world that their nuclear
program is solely peaceful," Schulte said.
Schulte said this process has to start with Iran meeting IAEA and U.N.
Security Council requirements "to suspend all activities related [to]
uranium enrichment and plutonium production."
Absent that, the official said, international sanctions should be imposed on
Iran "in a graduated fashion."  (See related
<http://usinfo.state.gov/xarchives/display.html?p=washfile-english&y=2006&m=
September&x=20060906145554idybeekcm1.520938e-02>  article.)
INTERNATIONAL SANCTIONS SHOULD BE TARGETED
Sanctions are an integral part of the international diplomatic effort,
Schulte said, and they should "target Iran's weapons program[s] and those
who guide and support them."
Such sanctions, he said, "will help Iran's leaders understand that
international obligations are to be treated seriously."
Tehran's leaders "must understand that their choices have consequences, and
that their best choice remains a course of cooperation and negotiation,"
Schulte said.
He added that Iran also should understand that a negative choice "could
spark a nuclear arms race in one of the world's most volatile regions," and
potentially could destroy the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty -- "a
cornerstone of international peace and security" - to which Tehran is a
signatory.
HOW CLOSE IS IRAN TO A NUCLEAR WEAPON?
It is a subject of debate how close Iran might be to developing a nuclear
weapon.  Israeli sources have suggested Iran might be only a couple years
away from that point, but U.S. intelligence sources place that stage further
in the future.
Director of National Intelligence John Negroponte told National Public Radio
September 1 that Iran likely will achieve a nuclear weapon capability in
five years to 10 years if it continues to pursue its nuclear ambitions.
The U.S. intelligence community estimates that Iran will conclude the
necessary developments "sometime beginning in the next decade," Negroponte
said, or perhaps in "the middle of the next decade."
The Iranians have engaged in a process of "denial and deception" with
respect to their nuclear intentions, Negroponte said. That process made it
difficult for intelligence analysts to "know whether there's a secret
military program and to what extent that program has made progress." 
A transcript <http://www.dni.gov/interviews/20060901_interview.pdf>  of
Negroponte's NPR interview is available on the DNI Web site.
The full text <http://www.usun-vienna.rpo.at/>  of Schulte's prepared
remarks is available on the Web site of the U.S. Mission to International
Organizations.
For more information, see Arms
<http://usinfo.state.gov/is/international_security/UNGA_2005.html>  Control
and Non-Proliferation.
(The Washington File is a product of the Bureau of International Information
Programs, U.S. Department of State. Web site: http://usinfo.state.gov)


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