http://theregalis.blogspot.com/2007/03/different-phase-new-approach-to-irans
.html

"A
<http://theregalis.blogspot.com/2007/03/different-phase-new-approach-to-iran
s.html> Different Phase" - a new approach to Iran's actions 


 
<http://bp1.blogger.com/_5dggucnAQ6k/RgkMRZAhERI/AAAAAAAAAFY/zo27LHJ_hoI/s16
00-h/_42731703_hmscornwall_mod.jpg>  Today the Prime Minister Tony Blair
warned Iran that Britain's response to their illegal kidnapping of 15
British servicemen would enter a "different phase" unless Tehran releases
them soon.

This is to be welcomed. So far our response has been claim and level headed
and this is to be commended. One would not want to imagine what could occur
if we responded like our American cousins. However, whilst this approach may
be commended in that respect it is not the approach we should be pursuing.

Writing in the
<http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/columnists/guest_contributors/arti
cle1572437.ece> Times Oliver Kamm says that "From the moment British
servicemen were abducted, the danger was that the Government would under
react", like him I agree that we have. We are sending the wrong message to
Tehran. Blair's comments may be too little too late. This is the second time
in almost as many years that such events have occurred. Whilst we got our
men back last time - and that should always be the main goal - Iran is still
in possession of their weapons and boats. In 2004 the captured men were
taken to Tehran and paraded blindfold on television, where they broadcast
their apologies for a "big mistake". Such a fate is likely to await these 15
men and women. Were these servicemen American such events would never occur
- regardless of whether they strayed into Iranian territorial waters. One
should ask oneself why this is.

The answer it seems to me is clear. Britain is clearly in the eyes of Iran
the weaker of the two. The current response by our government shows this. We
must give Iran more than declarations of disapproval. Whilst one must have
regard to diplomatic niceties at times there is much to be advocated for a
bullish American approach - our approach should be unconditionally that we
get our people back, with their equipment and with an apology from the
Iranians. How do we do this then?

Kamm advocates a dual pronged diplomatic and economic approach. George
Kennan the architect of containment said: the regime "can easily withdraw -
and usually does - when strong resistance is encountered at any point. Thus,
if the adversary has sufficient force and makes clear his readiness to use
it, he rarely has to do so." Such pressure works. If one turns to the
broader situation with Iran, Tehran has twice suspended nuclear enrichment
in response to international pressure. Twice however it has recommenced it
once the pressure reduced.

Whilst I agree with Kamm I believe that there needs to be a third element -
military force. The key difference between us and the Americans is not the
availability of force but our willingness to use it. Whilst I am not trying
to second guess our military commanders I do feel that our forces should
stand up for themselves more. The Iranian actions were acts of international
piracy and the Royal Navy was I am sure likely to have been entitled to
respond with force. This point however has another effect. Kennan referred
to making your intentions clear then you will not have to use them. The US
already does this and Britain needs to do the same, we failed to do so last
time, we must do now. The provocative stance of an insular and intolerable
theocracy will not be entertained or taken seriously. Our servicemen must be
released promptly and unconditionally.

Finally, one must recognises that this issue has far broader implications.
This is just one example of Iran sticking two fingers up at the rest of the
world. Iran is a recalcitrant, untrustworthy state. The UN's response to its
Nuclear ambitions must be strong and decisive lest we see an expansion of
what Iran thinks it can get away with. The political tide is turning, but
slowly. Tehran's actions suggest that they are concerned about their
domestic political situation. This is to be welcomed but it must be made
absolutely clear these actions are unacceptable and will not be allowed to
happen in future.

 



[Non-text portions of this message have been removed]



--------------------------
Want to discuss this topic?  Head on over to our discussion list, [EMAIL 
PROTECTED]
--------------------------
Brooks Isoldi, editor
[EMAIL PROTECTED]

http://www.intellnet.org

  Post message: osint@yahoogroups.com
  Subscribe:    [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Unsubscribe:  [EMAIL PROTECTED]


*** FAIR USE NOTICE. This message contains copyrighted material whose use has 
not been specifically authorized by the copyright owner. OSINT, as a part of 
The Intelligence Network, is making it available without profit to OSINT 
YahooGroups members who have expressed a prior interest in receiving the 
included information in their efforts to advance the understanding of 
intelligence and law enforcement organizations, their activities, methods, 
techniques, human rights, civil liberties, social justice and other 
intelligence related issues, for non-profit research and educational purposes 
only. We believe that this constitutes a 'fair use' of the copyrighted material 
as provided for in section 107 of the U.S. Copyright Law. If you wish to use 
this copyrighted material for purposes of your own that go beyond 'fair use,' 
you must obtain permission from the copyright owner.
For more information go to:
http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml 
Yahoo! Groups Links

<*> To visit your group on the web, go to:
    http://groups.yahoo.com/group/osint/

<*> Your email settings:
    Individual Email | Traditional

<*> To change settings online go to:
    http://groups.yahoo.com/group/osint/join
    (Yahoo! ID required)

<*> To change settings via email:
    mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
    mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]

<*> To unsubscribe from this group, send an email to:
    [EMAIL PROTECTED]

<*> Your use of Yahoo! Groups is subject to:
    http://docs.yahoo.com/info/terms/
 

Reply via email to