Ricardo Duchesne wrote:
> All this talk about whether trade was a necessary or a sufficient
> condition is meaningless unless we make a distinction between
> slave profits, the colonial trade, and total foreign trade. My
> conclusion, given the findings and arguments I have forwarded so far,
> is that *slave profits*  played an insignificant role. Not only were such
> profits *not* a sufficient cause; they were not necessary either:
> Europe would have industrialized anyways.
> 
> Now, the *colonial trade* played a statistically moderate, not too
> significant, role. Europe would also have industrialized  without it -
> although at a lower rate, and at a later date.
> 
> Total foreign trade was significant but was not the major cause.


   You haven't mentioned what exactly the colonial trade consisted in.
England brought in raw materials necessary for manufacturing from the
colonies. It was thus able to decrease its dependence on the the
continent for raw materials. Raw materials may have been, on the whole,
statically small but was a very important factor in "take off" and
industrialization.
   here's some more of Michael Hudson's analysis (which I think will
support Jim B too):

"Europe was catapulted out of its medieval epoch. The massive influx of
silver and gold after 1492 inflated its prices, greatly accelerated the
monetisation of its economic life and transformed its land tenure
systems. These processes in turn catalyzed enclosure movements, a rural
exodus and urbanization... Meanwhile, colonialism and foreign trade laid
the foundation for a vast credit expansion, of which governments were
the first beneficiaries. A fund of capital developed which was invested
domestically and abroad the epoch's great public trading and investment
companies led by the East and West Indies Companies of Holland, Britain
and France. The growth of commerce, the argicultural-urban revolution
and the associated monetary revolution were associated with wars,
national debts, the growth of private sector banking and credit,
inflation and taxes. This was the essence of the Reformation in its
economic aspect.(p17) 

"Secure supplies of raw materials were critical to achieving industrial
advantage. Many such materials could not be economically produced ar
home for they required tropical climates or mineral rich ores. The
acquisition of the colonies having these resources therefore spurred an
international rivalry among the European nations. A wise management of
foreign trade would draw gold into the domestic monetary system while
colonization would become a major means of supporting this trade.(p25)

"Only a political theory can explain how England rose from a
comparatively less developed country to one surpassing Holland and
France by endowing itself with much of their skilled labor, Iberian gold
and other international economic resources. England certainly did not
start out with a particularly high ratio of capital relative to its
labor force. (p30)

"...India at the outset ot its contact with Europe had a far superior
accumulation of labor skills and tools, gold and other capital. It
outstripped all European countries in textile production, the major
industry of the 16th and 17th centuries... Colonial lands and resources
were burdened with quasi-feudal institutions of land tenure that impede
their subsequent agricultural and social development, most conspicuously
in Latin America. IN this manner Europe's mother countries established
the specialization patterns that have steered world commerce for many
centuries, persisting even after the colonies won their nominal
political freedom (p31)"
Trade, Development and Foreign Debt Vol.1.

Sam Pawlett


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