In the following passage Chris Freeman attempts to recover Keynes' earlier
emphasis on the role of technology in generating new investment. He argues
that this insight was lost to Keynes and Keynesians over time.  

"In this *Treatise of Money* in 1930, Keynes actually *did* acknowledge the
role of Schumpeterian revolutions in technology:

'In the case of fixed capital, it is easy to understand why fluctuations
should occur in the rate of investment.  Entrepreneurs are induced to
embark on the production of fixed capital or deterred from doing so by
their expectations of the profits to be made.  Apart from the many minor
reasons why these should fluctuate in a changing world, Professor
Schumpeter's explanation of the major movements may be unreservedly
accepted.'

This passage is remarkable for unequivocal recognition of the role of new
technology in generating new surges of investment and growth in capitalist
societies.  The tragedy of the Keynesian tradition was that it regressed
from this standpoint to a purely abstract approach to the role of new
technologies, and one-sided emphasis on the role of demand in the
short-term business cycle.  For the Keynesians it became a matter of
relative indifference *which* were the new technologies and fast-growing
sectors of the economy and the associated problems of structural change. 
They also ignored the problem of long-term swings in the *direction* of
technical change, and of cyclical changes in the capital-output ratio.  By
a kind of imperceptible process the idea of a constant capital-output ratio
shifted from the status of a conventient modelling assumption to the status
of generalization about growth. 

Keynes *did*, however, concern himself with the long-term tendency to a
decline in the marginal efficiency of capital (productivity of capital)..."

>From The Economics of Hope: Essays on Technical Change, Economic Growth and
the Environment. London: Pinter Publishers, 1992, p. 167

Rakesh Bhandari
Ethnic Studies

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