Barnet Wagman wrote,

>It wouldn't surprise me at all if world financial/economic woes yield further
>capital flight to
>the U.S. and a consequent stock market rebound, independent of what's
happenning
>in
>the real U.S. economy.

Louis Proyect wrote,

>I would go even further than this. Again, tipping my hat to Harry Shutt, I
>would argue that the stock market speculative bubble of the 1990s was a
>sign of capitalism's ill health.

Jim Devine wrote,

>In addition, as Louis P. pointed out, a stock market boom can be a result
>of a shortage of real investment opportunities or increased insecurity
>outside of Wall Street.

Not to disagree with any of the above, but only to suggest a further
dimension: as I have argued before, the stock market bubble of the 1990s
could also have been an expression of two factors unrelated to the "health"
of the domestic economy or to the international events. Those factors are
the demographic structure of the U.S. population and the institutional
arrangements for automatically channelling a substantial portion of
employment earnings into the securities markets (pension and retirement
savings).

This is not "hot" money at all. It could be best described as zombie money,
flowing into the markets as dependably as a payroll deduction. It's my
contention that the very un-volatility of this retirement savings money
gives a unique dynamic to the unfolding of the current crisis. My gut
feeling is that it makes this one a loooooong, slow suffocating crisis.
Also, it's worth noting that this crisis is thoroughly and unquestionably
made in the USA. The so-called enduring "strength" of the U.S. economy
reflects the unexceptional fact that the periphery is always the first to
feel the pain.


Regards, 

Tom Walker
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