On Fri, 16 Aug 1996, patrick l mason wrote: > Some brief comments: > > For the most part births to unmarried women DID NOT increase between (say) > 1960 and (say) 1987. The proportions of births to unmarried women did increase. > The proportion rose for two reasons: 1) the dramatic decline in the institu- > tion of marriage and dramatic increase in divorce; and 2) the fertility rate > of married women DECLINED faster than the fertility rate of unmarried women > -- but the rates for both groups went down. Once again, the Urban Institute stats say that births per unmarried women ages 15-44 rose from 26 per 1000 to 45, with the biggest jump coming since 1980. (see the Urban Institute home page, welfare reform and analysis of the issues, chapter 11). This seems to contradict the above statement. Eban > > The real value of AFDC payments went up during 1960-1973(?), but then "welfare" > spending prior to that time was pathetically stingy, mean-spirited, and state > controlled -- especially in Southern states. Oh well, back to the future. > > peace, patrick > _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ Eban Goodstein email: [EMAIL PROTECTED] Department of Economics phone: 503-768-7626 Lewis and Clark College fax: 503-768-7379 Portland, OR 97219