Doug Henwood wrote:
  
> Well, yes, but what are we to make of this? > 
>                 LFPR     EPR     U
> 1950            33.9    32.0    5.7
> 11/96           59.6    56.3    5.5
> change         +25.7   +24.3   -0.2
> 
> The discouragement/U effect may apply over the business cycle, but there's
> still been a massive increase in women working for pay.
> 
> And how do we know all this? Because the BLS collected and published the data.
> 
> Doug

Response:

Here we get to the heart of it. Take a few isolated and selected 
stats and we "KNOW" about a multi-dimensional phenomenon? Take some 
survey about attitudes of contingency workers and we "KNOW" how some 
30% (which is not nearly 50%) of contingent workers "FEEL"? This kind 
of dogmatism, arrogance and lack of epistemological sophistication 
best blongs in the RCP or the Moonies or other places of true 
believers who have all the answers and can give you some loaded, 
contrived and limited stats to "PROVE" so that you will really "KNOW".

And by the way, if you dare disagree with these true believers and 
arbiters of truth, you can often expect some snotty responses 
asserted boldly as if the strength of the assertion speaks to the 
strength of the logic and evidence behind the assertion. 

I love it. The BLS classifies only those actively looking for work as 
both unemployed and part of the labor-force participation rate. If 
you ask even anyone looking for work, do you feel that you are a 
"participant" in the labor force they will invariably say no. The 
unemployment rate is expressed as "officially unemployed" (according 
to very limited criteria) as a percentage of the so-called "labor 
force" again defined according to some very restrictive and 
system-mystifying criteria.

Of course many in the media love these official stats and those who 
generate them because they provide some of the lifeblood of their 
stories. For the individual jounalist seeking to become a Woodward or 
Bernstein, access brings the big story or scoop which brings exposure 
which brings name recognition and ratings which brings more access...; 
for the media organization, access brings the big story or scoop 
which brings exposure and name recognition which brings 
ratings/market shares which bring higher ad revenues/rates and 
profits which bring increased access...

There are various pathways into and out of these "spirals of 
success": 
1) e.g. gimmick---> exposure--->name recognition--->access--->
2) Big Story---->exposure---> name recognition---->access---->...
3) name recognition (lateral move)--->access--->big story--->...
4) (no nasty questions/comments about patrons)--->access--->...

So often those in the mainstream media (and some in the market-niched 
alternative media) will cultivate their special sources and pathways 
of access to the scoop etc such that those special sources are immune 
from special criticism as the sprial works the otherway also: loss of 
access--->loss of scoops--->loss of exposure--->loss of name 
recognition--->loss of access---->...

                                Jim Craven

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