Re: [R] forecasting a time series

2012-01-20 Thread nhomeier
(). Do you know which method you are using? Hope this helps, Michael On Wed, Jan 18, 2012 at 4:17 PM, nhomeier [hidden email] /user/SendEmail.jtp?type=nodenode=4312525i=0 wrote: Couldn't find this in the archives. I'm fitting a series of historical weather-related data, but would like

[R] forecasting a time series

2012-01-18 Thread nhomeier
Couldn't find this in the archives. I'm fitting a series of historical weather-related data, but would like to use the latest values to forecast. So let's say that I'm using 1970-2000 to fit a model (using fourier terms and arima/auto.arima), but now would like to use the last X values to predict

[R] POT package return levels

2011-09-30 Thread nhomeier
This may be a simple misunderstanding on my part, but I need help understanding what POT is plotting. I'm trying to analyze a few different datasets. If my dataset covers 500 years, but I have 60 points above my threshold, what should be plotted as the (empirical) return period for the largest