All smooths in a GAM are `centred' in order to ensure model
identifiability. This means that a smooth, s, is estimated subject to the
constraint that \sum_i s(x_i)=0, where, x_i, are the covariate values.
So you can't transform back to the response scale just by applying the
inverse link, even if there is only one smooth. In the single smooth case,
you would need to add on the model intercept before applying the inverse
link. If you need plots on the response scale then it is best to use the
`predict' method function and have it return results on the `response'
scale...
best,
Simon
- Simon Wood, Mathematical Sciences, University of Bath, Bath BA2 7AY
- +44 (0)1225 386603 www.maths.bath.ac.uk/~sw283/
On Thu, 23 Mar 2006, Bliese, Paul D LTC USAMH wrote:
Sorry if this is an obvious question...
I'm estimating a simple binomial generalized additive model using the
gam function in the package mgcv. The model makes sense given my data,
and the predicted values also make sense given what I know about the
data.
However, I'm having trouble interpreting the y-axis of the plot of the
gam object. The y-axis is labeled s(x,2.52) which I understand to
basically mean a smoothing estimator with approximately 2.52 degrees of
freedom. The y-axis in my case ranges from -2 to 6 and I thought that
it would be possible to convert the Y axis estimate to a probability via
exp(Y)/(1+exp(Y)). So for instance, my lowest y-axis estimate is -2 for
a probability of:
exp(-2)/(1+exp(-2))
[1] 0.1192029
However, if I use the predict function my lowest estimate is -3.53862893
for a probability of 2.8%. The 2.8% estimate is a much better estimate
than 11.9% given my specific data, so I'm clearly not interpreting the
plot correctly.
The help files say plot.gam provides the component smooth functions
that make it up, on the scale of the
linear predictor.
I'm just not sure what that description means. Does someone have
another description that might help me grasp the plot?
Similar plots are on page 286 of Venables and Ripley (3rd Edition)...
Thanks,
Paul
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