Mobile Linux: the cost effective and open threat to the OS market
With a relatively low market share, the adoption of Linux as a mobile OS is set to increase dramatically over the next few years, and poses a long term threat to companies such as Symbian, Microsoft and Palm. The recent announcement by Motorola that its device strategy for 2005 is to include up to ten new models based on Linux is hugely significant. In its latest report into the Mobile Operating Systems industry, "Mobile Linux: the cost effective and open threat to the OS market", visiongain highlights that the current low uptake in Linux-based handsets is due to increase, so much so that by 2006 it will be deployed by most device manufacturers. Indeed, it is believed that all of the major handset manufacturers are currently investigating the technology. The significant drivers behind the uptake of it are the cost effectiveness that it offers and its openness, especially compared to the proprietary OS being marketed. * What is your company's strategy towards Linux? * What are your rivals doing in this area? * What opportunities will Linux offer you in the future? * What moves are already being made to port Linux on to handsets? Don't risk not knowing and being left behind, find out the answers to these questions and more in this informative report!! Why you must buy this report This 130+ page report explores all of the major operating systems, but with a particular emphasis on Linux, its market position and share. This is achieved through analysis of the competitive landscape of the wireless industry, including descriptions of key players, and analysis and vital comparisons of all the main open operating systems that are being used by equipment manufacturers. With descriptions of the different mobile devices available in the market currently manufactured by the companies that are making Mobile Linux a reality gain an understanding of what features are on offer and what is expected in the future. This informative report explores the impact of Linux on the strategies of operators, and on device manufacturers producing for smartphones, PDAs and more basic mobile phones. The Linux ecosystem is explained and all of the players responsible within the ecosystem are described under systematic categorisation. The main handset manufactures and their strategies are then highlighted. Do you know the benefits and constraints of Linux? This latest report provides you with detailed analysis of the future of Linux in the mobile world through extensive analysis, supported by charts, figures and tables. Find out the many reasons why Linux is shaping up to become so important in the wireless industry. For example, one such reason to investigate Linux in the wireless industry is that it will impact on the dominance currently held by Symbian, due to the lower cost of deployment, and the reliability and flexibility Linux offers. Who should read the report? The implications of the introduction of Linux based handsets are huge, and they affect many different types of company across the entire industry. Most notably: * Device manufacturers * Network operators * Software developers * Content providers * Consultants Table of contents Chapter 1. Introduction 1.1 Increasing Voice and Data Usage Chart 1 Worldwide Percentage Data Revenues in 2003 Chart 2 Global Data Revenues in 2010 (Billion Euro) Chart 3 Percentage Contribution from Mobile Services in 2010 1.2 The Operating System (OS) Debate 1.3 Contenders for OS Race 1.4 Linux Emerging as Key Contender 1.5 Aim of the Report 1.6 Structure of the Report 1.7 Why Linux? 1.7.1 Changes in the Competitive Landscape 1.7.2 Political Support for Linux Chart 4 Handset Penetration by OS in Q2 2004 Chapter 2 Linux: The technology 2.1 Origin of Linux 2.1.1 Linux: The Free OS 2.1.2 The Official Mascot of Linux 2.2 The Initial Fight 2.2.1 Adaptability of Linux 2.3 Availability of Linux 2.4 Linux: Open Source Code 2.4.1 Formal Rules 2.4.2 Informal Rules 2.5 Roots of Linux 2.6 Popularity of Linux and its users 2.6.1 Where is Linux being used? 2.6.1.1 Applications of Linux 2.6.1.1.1 Internet Servers 2.6.1.1.2 Desktop 2.6.1.1.3 Computation Server 2.6.1.1.4 Mail / Groupware Servers 2.6.1.1.5 Network Box 2.6.1.1.6 PDA 2.6.1.1.7 Smartphones Chapter 3 The Handset World around us 3.1 Wireless Market 3.1.1 Changing Mobile Equipment Market 3.1.2 Subscriber Growth Chart 5 Worldwide Subscriber Growth (2003-2010) 3.1.3 Replacement Handset Sales Chart 6 Handset Shipment Statistics (2003-2010) 3.1.4 Industry Moving Forward 3.1.5 Growth of 3G Services Chart 7 Growth of 3G Subscribers (2003-2010) 3.1.6 End User Outlook 3.2 Linux becoming one of the Fastest Growing OS in the Mobile Device Market 3.2.1 Changing Customer Requirements 3.2.2 New Technologies: 3G and 3.5G Chart 8 Linux Market Share in Mobile Handsets (2004-2010) 3.2.3 Benefits of Linux in Mobile Devices 3.3 Handset Manufacturers' Value Chain Figure 1 Device Manufacturer's Value Chain 3.3.1 Interest in Linux Table 1 Major Network Operators Chart 9 Subscriber Figures for Major Operators (Q2 2004) 3.3.1.1 China Table 2 Subscriber Statistics in China 3.3.1.1.1 Market Structure Chart 10 Chinese Market Share by Operator in 2004 3.3.1.1.2 Market Development 3.3.1.1.3 China's Global Ambitions 3.3.1.1.4 Market of Linux Phones in China 3.3.1.1.4.1 E2800 3.3.1.1.4.2 A760 3.3.1.1.4.3 Other Handsets 3.3.1.2 Japan 2.9.1.2.1 Market Size/Penetration Chart 11 Japanese Market Structure (September 2004) 3.3.1.3 Other Asian Countries Chart 12 Subscriber Growth in Asia (2003-2010) 3.3.1.4 USA Chart 13 Market Share of the US Operators (2004) Chart 14 Mobile Penetration in the US (1998-2004) 3.3.1.5 Europe Chart 15 Demand for Smartphones by Region 3.3.1.5.1 Where is the Growth in Europe? Chart 16 Percentage Market Penetration in Europe 3.3.1.6 Linux Penetration Forecasts by Region Chart 17 Linux Penetration Forecast by Region (2010) Chart 18 Worldwide Linux Smartphone Shipments (2003-2010) Chart 19 Number of Linux Smartphone Shipments by Region in 2010 Chapter 4 Mobile devices 4.1 Handset Architecture 4.1.1 Layers and Functions of Mobile Device Figure 2 Layers and Functions of Mobile Devices 4.2 Types of Mobile Handsets 4.2.1 Low End Handsets 4.2.2 Vas and Multimedia Handsets 4.2.3 Smartphones 4.2.3.1 Wireless PDA's Table 3 Comparison between Mobile Devices 4.3 The Mobile Device Software Figure 3 Mobile Software (2003) 4.3.1 The OS Options 4.3.1.1 Proprietary OS for Mobile Devices 4.3.1.1.1 Examples of Proprietary Operating Systems 4.3.1.1.1.1 GEOS 4.3.1.1.1.2 Research in Motion (RIM) OS 4.3.1.1.1.3 The Problems with the Proprietary OS 4.3.1.1.1.4 User Interface (UI) 4.1.1.2 Open OS for the Mobile Devices 4.1.1.2.1 Symbian 4.1.1.2.1.1 Symbian OS Version 7 Figure 4 Symbian Smartphone 4.1.1.2.1.2 Symbian's Plans to Expand 4.1.1.2.1.3 Symbian's Competitive Advantage 4.1.1.2.1.4 Symbian and its Licensees Table 4 Symbian's key Members 4.1.1.2.1.5 Other Licensing Partners Table 5 Symbian Licensees 4.1.1.2.1.6 Challenges facing Symbian 4.1.1.2.2 Palm OS 4.1.1.2.2.1 Competitive Advantage 4.1.1.2.2.2 Keeping up with Competition 4.1.1.2.2.3 Jumping into Mobile Handset Market 4.1.1.2.3 Microsoft 4.1.1.2.3.1 New Software Releases 4.1.1.2.3.2 Microsoft Customises Figure 5 Samsung i700 4.1.1.2.3.3 Criticism of the OS? 4.1.1.2.3.4 Competitive Advantage 4.1.1.2.3.5 Challenges facing Microsoft 4.1.1.2.3.6 Motorola embraces Microsoft Software 4.1.1.2.4 SavaJe 4.2 Where do these Operating Systems Stand? 4.2.1 Symbian: The Leader in the OS Race 4.2.2 Microsoft Speeding Up? 4.2.2.1 2005 and Beyond? 4.2.3 SavaJe's Outlook 4.2.3.1 SavaJe's New Partnerships 4.2.4 Linux Will Threaten Symbian Dominance 4.3 The Competition Intensifies 4.4 Comparison between the Open OS Table 6 Comparison between the Operating Systems 4.5 Which OS to incorporate into Smartphones? 4.5.1 Factors Influencing Vendor Choice 4.6 Key Statistics Chart 20 Smartphone OS Market (2009) Chart 21 Smartphone Shipments based on 3rd Party OS (2003-2010) Chapter 5 Linux Ecosystem 5.1 Embedded Linux 5.1.1 Fertile Field for Linux 5.2 Linux Ecosystem Analysed Figure 6 Linux Market Place Figure 7 Linux Software Ecosystem 5.2.1 Players in the Linux Market 5.2.1.1 Operators 5.2.1.1.1 DoCoMo 5.2.1.1.1.1 Impact of DoCoMo on Linux 5.2.1.1.1.2 DoCoMo's Stake in MontaVista will further bolster Linux's growth 5.2.1.1.2 China Mobile 5.2.1.1.2.1 China Mobile's Linux Strategy 5.2.1.1.2.2 Growth Opportunities 5.2.1.2 Chip Manufacturers 5.2.1.2.1 Texas Instruments 5.2.1.3 Linux Service Providers 5.2.1.3.1 MontaVista 5.2.1.3.1.1 MontaVista's Linux for Embedded Devices 5.2.1.4 Software Developers 5.2.1.4.1 Trolltech 5.2.1.4.1.1 Qtopia Editions 5.2.1.4.1.2 Qtopia Features: 5.2.1.4.2 OpenWave 5.2.1.4.2.1 OpenWave's core product line 5.2.1.4.3 NetFront 5.2.1.4.4 Cat 5.2.1.4.5 Renesas 5.2.1.4.6 Metrowerks 5.2.1.4.7 Samsung's Nand Flash Software 5.2.1.5 Device Manufacturers 5.2.1.5.1 Samsung 5.2.1.5.1.1 Samsung's First Linux based Smartphone 5.2.1.5.1.2 Samsung's Strategy 5.2.1.5.2 NEC and Panasonic 5.2.1.5.3 Motorola 5.2.1.5.3.1 Motorola's Pursuit 5.2.1.5.4 E28 5.2.1.5.5 Datang 5.2.1.5.6 Other Players 5.2.1.5.6.1 IBM 5.3 Devices available in the Market 5.3.1 Motorola A760 Figure 8 Motorola A760 5.3.2 Motorola A768 5.3.3 Motorola A780 5.3.4 Motorola E680 5.3.5 Samsung SCH-i519 5.3.6 Wildseed mobile phone 5.3.7 NEC N900iL Figure 9 NEC N900iL 5.3.8 Other Linux Based Device Table 7 Summary of Key Linux Handsets in the Market Table 8 List of Linux Smartphones and PDA's Table 9 Specifications of Available Linux Handsets in the Market 5.4 Further Developments 5.4.1 E28 and its Linux Software 5.4.2 LG and SavaJe 5.4.3 Palm Source and Linux Chapter 6 Standards and Regulations 6.1 CE Linux Forum 6.2 Embedded Linux Consortium (ELC) 6.3 The Linux Standard Base (LSB) 6.3 Who owns Linux? 6.3.1 SCO 6.3.2 SCOsource Licensing 6.3.2.1 SCO Intellectual Property License Program Chapter 7 Linux Market 7.1 Benefits of Linux 7.1.1 Independence from the new OS releases from other Companies 7.1.2 Low Cost 7.1.3 Stability 7.1.4 Performance 7.1.5 Network Friendliness 7.1.6 Flexibility 7.1.7 Compatibility 7.1.8 Choice 7.1.9 Fast and Easy Installation 7.1.10 Memory Constraints 7.1.11 Multitasking 7.1.12 Security 7.1.13 Open Source 7.1.14 Long-Term Benefits 7.1.15 Huge Community of Developers 7.2 The Challenges facing Linux 7.2.1 Linux Fragmentation 7.2.2 Royalty Issues 7.2.3 Economical but not so economical 7.2.4 Compatibility for Handset Environment 7.2.4.1 Memory and Power Management 7.2.5 Complicated OS 7.2.6 Lack of one company support 7.2.7 Handset Size 7.2.8 Not enough Community support in Mobile Arena 7.2.9 Newcomer Status 7.2.10 Lack of solid real-time performance 7.3 The Pros and Cons of Linux for Mobiles 7.4 Attaining Commercial Viability 7.5 Why is Linux taking time to pick up? Chart 22 Open OS Market Share (2009) 7.5.1 The Great Delay 7.5.2 Competition 7.5.3 Pricing Table 10 Device Royalties for OS 7.6. OS Potential 7.6.1 Potential in Asia 7.6.2 Potential in Europe and the US 7.6.2.1 E28 and its plans for Europe and the US Chart 23 Smartphone Shipments for Western Europe (Q3-2002-Q3-2004) 7.7 Linux's Popularity Chart 24 Linux Smartphone Shipments By Region (2010) 7.8 Shape of things to come Figure 10 Mobile Software (2008) Chapter 8 Market Statistics 8.1 Lack of demand for Linux by Operators 8.2.1 Kyocera's Reluctance 8.2.2 Samsung's Choices 8.2.3 Nokia's Options 8.2.4 Motorola's Stand 8.2.5 LG's Ambitions 8.2.6 Sharp and Sony Ericsson 8.2.7 NEC and Panasonic 8.3 Linux's Market Share Analysis 8.3.1 Smartphone Market Share Chart 25 Smartphone Market Share of total Handsets (2003) Chart 26 Smartphone Market Share (2009) 8.3.1.1 Smartphone Shipment Growth Chart 27 Smartphone Shipments (2003-2010) 8.3.1.2 Smartphones Shipment will beat PC Shipment 8.3.1.3 Demand in China 8.3.2 The OS Wars 8.3.2.1 OS Market Share Analysis Chart 28 Operating System Overall Market Share (PDA and Smartphones 2002) Chart 29 Operating System Overall Market Share (PDA and Smartphones Q3 2004) 8.3.2.2 Symbian Dominating the Scene Chart 30 Total Handset Market Share by Vendor (2003) 8.3.2.3 A brief comparison between the OS's in Smartphone Segment Chart 31 Operating System Market Share in Smartphone Segment ( Q3 2004) 8.3.3 PDA Market Share 8.3.3.1 PDA Market Chart 32 Growth in the PDA Market (2003-2009) Chart 33 PDA Market Share (Q3 2003 -Q3 2004) 8.3.3.2 Brief Comparison of OS in the PDA Segment 8.4 Other Technologies Supporting Linux 8.4.1 Java 8.4.1.1 Java Complements Linux Chart 34 Revenues from Java (2003-2011) 8.4.1.2 Java Technology: Providing a Boost to the Application Development 8.4.1.3 Java Handset Growth Chart 35 Demand for Java Handsets (2003-2010) 8.4.1.4 Java Growth 8.5 Mobile Handsets moving the PC way 8.6 Should Linux be used for Low end phones? 8.7 Linux will have to prove its technological worth Chart 36 Handset Shipment comparison between Linux and Symbian (2004) Chart 37 Q2 2004 Shipments Chart 38 Linux's Share based on GSM/CDMA Technologies (2004) Chart 39 Linux's Share based on 2G/3G Technologies (2004) Chapter 9 Conclusion 9.1 Linux's SWOT Analysis Table 11 Linux SWOT Analysis 9.2 Mobile and Linux 9.3 Recommendations for Device Manufacturers and Network Operators 9.4 Linux is Ready 9.5 Points highlighted in the Report List of companies mentioned in the report ALLTEL Apple Arima AT&T Wireless BEA BenQ Casio China Mobile China MobileSoft China Unicom Cingular Compaq Datang Dell DoCoMo E28 Emuzed Ericsson Esmertec Fujitsu Handspring Hewlett-Packard Hitachi Hopen HTC IBM Intel KDDI Kyocera LG Electronics Matsushita Metrowerks Microsoft Mio Mitsubishi MiZi Research MontaVista Motorola Movial NEC NetFront Nextel Nintendo Nokia OmniSky OpenWave Opera Oracle Orange Palm Source Palm One Panasonic Peoplesoft Philips Psion Qtopia Qualcomm Red Hat Renesas RIM Samsung Sanyo SAP Sasken SavaJe SCO Sendo Sharp Siemens Sleepy Cat Sony Sony Ericsson Sprint Sun Symbian TAO Telefonica Texas Instruments T-Mobile Toshiba Trolltech Verizon Vodafone Vodafone K.K Wildseed Wipro -PRICING- Individual report pricing - single user copies of this report are available for only GBP £1299 (USD$2468; €1948) Departmental copies (this entitles up to 5 individual users in your department) of this report are available for only GBP£2599 (USD$4938; €3898) Allow your whole company to have access to this information for only GBP£4999 (USD$9498; €7489).Company-wide License allows your whole company access and intranet use on CD Rom and .pdf. Carriage is via FedEx: USA - GBP£19.00 ASIA - GBP£25.00 Australia & NZ - GBP£25.00 EU GBP£23.00 Rest of Europe GBP£27.00 UK is sent next day delivery through Royal Mail. -ORDERING- To order simply contact Pedro Mona mailto:reports@visiongaingroup.com Should you have any questions or should you want to buy a copy please let me know. Kind Regards Pedro Mona Visiongain Tel: +44 (0)20 8767 6711 Fax: +44 (0)20 8767 5001 Outside European hours please call +1 866 9563001 e-mail: mailto:reports@visiongaingroup.com ============================================================================ ================= ============================================================================ ================= Mobile TV: Market Analysis and Forecasts 2004-2009 - a new report from visiongain Mobile phones and broadcast television are two of the most influential and popular consumer technologies of the electronics age. So what happens when the two are merged together? The answer is Mobile TV. There is no doubt about it, Mobile TV is coming and you need to be aware of its potential now! Key Points Of This Report Include: - Investigation and analysis of the drivers of Mobile TV - Consumer demand and usage patterns of watching TV on the move - Technology overviews of DVB-H, satellite DMB amongst others - Cost-benefit analysis of general vs mobile-specific tailored content - Emerging relationships between broadcast companies, mobile operators and content providers For further information please contact Lisa McCaig mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] ============================================================================ =============== ============================================================================ =============== visiongain produce a range of timely business information material, if you wish to receive information of new products, simply reply to this email with ' New Products info' in the subject box. 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