Re: [Scikit-learn-general] HMM: Determination of the state numbers

2012-10-18 Thread Didier Vila
From: mblon...@gmail.com [mailto:mblon...@gmail.com] On Behalf Of Mathieu Blondel Sent: 18 October 2012 06:00 To: Didier Vila Cc: scikit-learn-general@lists.sourceforge.net Subject: Re: [Scikit-learn-general] HMM: Determination of the state numbers On Thu, Oct 18, 2012 at 1:37 AM, Didier

Re: [Scikit-learn-general] HMM: Determination of the state numbers

2012-10-17 Thread Mathieu Blondel
On Thu, Oct 18, 2012 at 1:37 AM, Didier Vila wrote: > Problem 1: My problem is a risk problem at the moment. > > ** ** > > **·**I want to represent the behaviour of my 20 000 time series > and generates some monte carlo simulations using the method.sample() > > **·**Intuitiv

Re: [Scikit-learn-general] HMM: Determination of the state numbers

2012-10-17 Thread Didier Vila
? By Advance thanks for this. Didier From: Mathieu Blondel [mailto:math...@mblondel.org] Sent: 17 October 2012 17:07 To: scikit-learn-general@lists.sourceforge.net Subject: Re: [Scikit-learn-general] HMM: Determination of the state numbers On Thu, Oct 18, 2012 at 12:18 AM, Didier

Re: [Scikit-learn-general] HMM: Determination of the state numbers

2012-10-17 Thread Mathieu Blondel
On Thu, Oct 18, 2012 at 12:18 AM, Didier Vila wrote: > Should I maximize the “score” function depending the number of state > through several candidates that makes senses from a business point of view > ? > The best criterion to optimize is not "score" but the evaluation metric you really care

[Scikit-learn-general] HMM: Determination of the state numbers

2012-10-17 Thread Didier Vila
All, I am using and testing the HMM module. In particular, I would like to find a systematic way to define the number of states. As I have a a lot of time series ( ~20 000), I would like to make the adjustment and optimization automatically. Should I maximize the "score" functio