Re: Re: Re: [singularity] Ten years to the Singularity ??

2006-12-20 Thread Joshua Fox
Ben, If I am beating a dead horse, please feel free to ignore this, but I'm imagining a prototype that shows glimmerings of AGI. Such a system, though not useful or commercially viable, would sometimes act in interesting, even creepy, ways. It might be inconsistent and buggy, and work in a

Re: Re: Re: [singularity] Ten years to the Singularity ??

2006-12-20 Thread Ben Goertzel
Yes, this is one of the things we are working towards with Novamente. Unfortunately, meeting this low barrier based on a genuine AGI architecture is a lot more work than doing so in a more bogus way based on an architecture without growth potential... ben On 12/20/06, Joshua Fox [EMAIL

Re: [singularity] Ten years to the Singularity ??

2006-12-15 Thread Hank Conn
I'm also surprised there aren't more programmers or AGI enthusiasts who aren't willing to work for beans to further this goal. We're just two students in Arizona, but we'd both gladly give up our current lives to work for 15-20G's a year and pull 80 hour weeks eating this stuff up. Having a

Re: Re: [singularity] Ten years to the Singularity ??

2006-12-15 Thread Ben Goertzel
Well, the requirements to **design** an AGI on the high level are much steeper than the requirements to contribute (as part of a team) to the **implementation** (and working out of design details) of AGI. I dare say that anyone with a good knowledge of C++, Linux, and undergraduate computer

Re: Re: [singularity] Ten years to the Singularity ??

2006-12-12 Thread Joshua Fox
Ben, The question which I would ask, were I a potential funder How soon can I see something that, though not true AGI, makes me say 'Wow, I've never seen anything like that before.' ? I appreciate that this is an incredibly challenging project, and that in some cases investors will accept a

Re: Re: Re: [singularity] Ten years to the Singularity ??

2006-12-12 Thread Ben Goertzel
Hi, You mention intermediate steps to AI, but the question is whether these are narrow-AI applications (the bane of AGI projects) or some sort of (incomplete) AGI. According the approach I have charted out (the only one I understand), the true path to AGI does not really involve commercially

Re: [singularity] Ten years to the Singularity ??

2006-12-12 Thread Josh Treadwell
What kind of numbers are we talking here to fund a single AGI project like Novamente? If I could, I'd instantly dedicate all my time and resources to developing AI, but because most of my knowledge is auto didactic, I don't get considered for any jobs. So for now, I'm stuck in the drudgery of

Re: Re: [singularity] Ten years to the Singularity ??

2006-12-12 Thread Ben Goertzel
BTW Ben, for the love of God, can you please tell me when your AGI book is coming out? It's been in my Amazon shopping cart for 6 months now! The publisher finally mailed me a copy of the book last week! Ben - This list is sponsored by AGIRI: http://www.agiri.org/email To unsubscribe or

Re: Re: [singularity] Ten years to the Singularity ??

2006-12-11 Thread Ben Goertzel
Hi Joshua, Thanks for the comments Indeed, the creation of a thinking machine is not a typical VC type project. I know a few VC's personally and am well aware of their way of thinking and the way thir businesses operate. There is a lot of technology risk in the creation of an AGI, as

Re: Re: [singularity] Ten years to the Singularity ??

2006-12-11 Thread Bo Morgan
Ben, My A.I. group of friends (was: CommonSense Computing Group, and is now more scattered) has been trying to do an open-source development for a set of programs that are working toward human-scale intelligence. For example, Hugo Liu's commonsense reasoning toolkit, ConceptNet, was ported

Re: Re: Re: [singularity] Ten years to the Singularity ??

2006-12-11 Thread Ben Goertzel
My main reason for resisting the urge to open-source Novamente is AGI safety concerns. At the moment Novamente is no danger to anyone, but once it gets more advanced, I worry about irresponsible people forking the codebase privately and creating an AGI customized for malicious purposes... This

Re: [singularity] Ten years to the Singularity ??

2006-12-11 Thread Chuck Esterbrook
Regarding de Garis' graph of the number of people who've died in different wars throughout history, are the numbers raw or divided by the population size? -Chuck On 12/11/06, Ben Goertzel [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Hi, For anyone who is curious about the talk Ten Years to the Singularity (if we

Re: Re: [singularity] Ten years to the Singularity ??

2006-12-11 Thread Ben Goertzel
The exponential growth pattern holds regardless of whether you normalize by global population size or not... -- Ben On 12/11/06, Chuck Esterbrook [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Regarding de Garis' graph of the number of people who've died in different wars throughout history, are the numbers raw or

Re: Re: [singularity] Ten years to the Singularity ??

2006-12-11 Thread Chuck Esterbrook
Darn. On 12/11/06, Ben Goertzel [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: The exponential growth pattern holds regardless of whether you normalize by global population size or not... -- Ben On 12/11/06, Chuck Esterbrook [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: Regarding de Garis' graph of the number of people who've died in