-------- Forwarded Message --------
Subject: Nifty Fut (Oct): Need To Sustain Above 8200-8250 Zone For 8400-8675; Otherwise Can Consolidate A Bit Up To 7850-7690
Date:   Wed, 7 Oct 2015 08:25:20 +0530
From:   Asis Ghosh <asis...@gmail.com>
Reply-To:       asis...@gmail.com



*Forthcoming Bihar Election, GST Passage & Q2FY16 Result Might Be The Next Triggers/Laggards*


SGX NF: 8170 (CMP)

NSE NF: 8162 (LTP)


*Trading Levels: NSE-NF*



SL (+/-) 10 POINTS      FROM SLR        
        
        
        
        
        

        
        
        
        
        
        
        
Intraday Swing  Trader  
        
        
        
        
        

        
        T1      T2      T3      T4      T5      SLR
8205    
        8233-50*        8302-77         8405-30*        8500-50         8600-75*   
     <8185

        
        
        
        
        
        
        
8185    
        8150-100*       8050-8000       7760-7690       7670-30         7574-40    
     >8205

        
        
        
        
        
        
        
Conservative    Positional      Trader  
        
        
        
        

        
        
        
        
        
        
        

        
        T1      T2      T3      T4      T5      SLR
8205    
        8250*   8377    8430*   8550    8675*   <8185

        
        
        
        
        
        
        
8185    
        8100*   8000    7690*   7630    7540*   >8205

        
        
        
        
        
        
        


After surprised RBI cut of 0.50%, all eyes are now on the Govt for their part. Our Govt is already showing various proactive measures/initiatives for reforms, which need not take parliamentary legislation and as a result of both, "Rajan Rally" extends to around 6% in six days.

Now, looking forward, 8200-8250 is a strong technical hurdle area and NF will need some triggers in the form of forthcoming Bihar elections (good result for BJP), possible GST passage and improved Q2FY16 result. We need at least 15-20% sustainable growth in EPS (YOY) for our market to scale 8675-9200 by Dec'15-March'16.

Otherwise, expect some consolidation till 7690 and buy on dips approach might work good as depressed commodity prices, lower interest rate environment and better operating leverages for corporate India may result in better earnings as widely expected by FY-17.

Globally, all eyes will be on BOJ announcement shortly and be sure, there will be no dearth of liquidity in the days ahead !!. All major central banks will continue their accommodative policy and monetary stimulus.

*Analytical Charts:*

<http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-eGUeKWKp4Ek/VhSGA9X3ZWI/AAAAAAAAENk/BUXATn9uecU/s1600/NF-06-10-2015.png>

<http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-ldFTOehBqsU/VhSGC9DCzcI/AAAAAAAAENs/EZ9fDEnMeC0/s1600/NF-FIBB-06-10-2015.png>

<http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-4py8Tkf-h0w/VhSGFBZy0MI/AAAAAAAAEN0/Tj6qDhpId8w/s1600/NF-MA-06-10-2015.png>

<http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-QJeD6JAEW5E/VhSGIFZQWKI/AAAAAAAAEN8/fptcnxGOKtk/s1600/NF-TL-RSI-06-10-2015.png>

<http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-UID7alUmXxI/VhSGLcax6YI/AAAAAAAAEOE/xiENr9ncEvY/s1600/NF-PATTERN-06-10-2015.png>

<http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-uXNiuw2wcsA/VhSGUtnDdEI/AAAAAAAAEOM/NmdYq4QK6IY/s1600/NF-EW-06-10-2015.png>

-- Thanks & Regards, Asis Ghosh (asisghosh.blogspot.com)



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