If tomorrow NF open G/D below 7750 due to the ongoing Fed drama---then
buy on dips with SLR<7680 (my 2-nd level of NF support) might help---
On 12/11/2015 08:38 PM, Sayeeram Trikannad wrote:
SGX is down 7750
On 12-Nov-2015 8:35 pm, "Asis Ghosh" <asis...@gmail.com
<mailto:asis...@gmail.com>> wrote:
Expect it by Monday
From My Lava
On Nov 12, 2015 8:29 PM, "dipak panchal" <dipak.197...@gmail.com
<mailto:dipak.197...@gmail.com>> wrote:
to morrow posible 7900 ?
On 11/11/15, Asis Ghosh <asis...@gmail.com
<mailto:asis...@gmail.com>> wrote:
> Exp probability at around 8055-8205; SL<7680/7540
>
> From My Lava
> On Nov 11, 2015 9:36 PM, "dipak panchal"
<dipak.197...@gmail.com <mailto:dipak.197...@gmail.com>> wrote:
>
>> Sir. this expiry view in nfty ?
>>
>> On 11/11/15, Asis Ghosh <asis...@gmail.com
<mailto:asis...@gmail.com>> wrote:
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> > -------- Forwarded Message --------
>> > Subject: Nifty Fut: Expect 8200-8400 By FY16 &
9200-9400 By FY17
>> > Date: Wed, 11 Nov 2015 11:41:35 +0530
>> > From: Asis Ghosh <asis...@gmail.com
<mailto:asis...@gmail.com>>
>> > Reply-To: asis...@gmail.com <mailto:asis...@gmail.com>
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> > *For NF (Nov), 7750-7680 is big support now followed by
7540-7500 zone;
>> > *
>> > *Near term target 8055*
>> >
>> > *After Bihar "debacle", Govt's pro-active reform
initiatives *
>> > *& dovish RBI may help,*
>> > *Despite Fed lift off "risk" in Dec'15*
>> >
>> >
>> > SGX NF: 7790 (CMP)
>> >
>> > NSE NF: 7800 (LTP)
>> >
>> > Trading Levels: NF-Nov
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> > SL (+/-) 10 POINTS FROM SLR
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> > For Intraday Swing Trader
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> > T1 T2 T3 T4 T5 SLR
>> > Strong > 7770
>> > 7825-40* 7900-80 8005-55* 8085-110
>> 8135-205 <7750
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> > Weak < 7750
>> > 7720-680* 7660-30 7563-40* 7500-445
>> 7400-300 >7770
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> > FOR Conservative Positional Trader
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> > T1 T2 T3 T4 T5 SLR
>> > Strong > 7770
>> > 7840* 7980 8055* 8110 8205-340 <7750
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> > Weak < 7750
>> > 7680* 7630 7540* 7445 7300-7030 >7770
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> > As expected, after Bihar election debacle (primarily for
its own
>> > strategical blunder for BJP), Govt is now gearing up for
all possible
>> > non-legislative reforms in a big way and yesterday's
Diwali gift of
>> > big-bang FDI reforms may be just an indication.
>> >
>> > We may see more such pro-active initiatives on the part
of the Govt in
>> > the days ahead irrespective of any political compulsions,
because after
>> > Bihar election, BJP might realize that "intolerance, beef
politics, mud
>> > slugging " etc are not alternatives for pro-development
agenda to win
>> > voter's mind.
>> >
>> > Regarding various key reform passage, which are stuck in
RS, Govt may
>> > also try to push it through state levels in an indirect
way (like land
>> > reforms). After Bihar, Govt may also try to reach out to
the key
>> > opposition parties in RS with more soft tones and
re-conciliatory
>> > manners (i.e. back door negotiation & effective political
management)
>> > leaving aside its "arrogance of LS numbers" for passage
of GST & other
>> > key reform bills in winter session of Parliament.
>> >
>> > If united oppositions will not "oblige" either directly
or indirectly
>> > (through abstain), then we may see even an extreme step
like "Joint
>> > Session Of Parliament" to pass those bills.
>> >
>> > Clearly, BJP should believe in its own economic agenda
and reform
>> > implementation policies more boldly, otherwise, even 2019
Parliament
>> > election may not be a "smooth affair" for it.
>> >
>> > Also state level acceptable face of a leader is required
for a CM's
>> > post; too much dependency on "brand NAMO" &
disassociation of its
>> > former
>> > key professional strategist also costing the BJP to a
great extent. The
>> > strategist, who actually made the "brand NAMO" along with his
>> > professional team, recently shifted to Nitish Kumar's
camp just few
>> > months ago of Bihar election, after some section of top
BJP leaders
>> > tried to dump him after 2014 parliament election success
(before Delhi
>> > election) !!
>> >
>> > Though Q2FY16 result is more or less as par street
estimates, certainly
>> > some margin expansion is happening. Going ahead, with
full transmission
>> > of 125 bps rate cut and RBI's possible dovish stance in
FY16-17, we may
>> > see better corporate earnings, operating leverages and
overall economic
>> > recovery despite there may not be favorable base effect
of commodities.
>> > RBI may cut another 0.50% by March'16 for the favorable
inflation curve
>> > and token Fed hike (0.25-0.50%).
>> >
>> > After last Friday's block buster NFP data and hawkish
statements of
>> > various key FOMC members, including Yellen, its seems
that Fed is
>> > likely
>> > to go for some "real action" in Dec meet. FFR is now
showing around 66%
>> > probability of Fed lift off in Dec'15. The market is now
giving
>> > attention, how fast Fed will act and projecting an
average 0.25% in
>> > every alternate meet, thus targeting Fed Fund Rate
1.25-1.50% by
>> > Dec-2016 from the 0-0.25% at present.
>> >
>> > But having said that, there will be various economic data
including
>> > retail sales & NFP on Dec-1st week and Fed will likely to
see that also
>> > very closely for any real lift off. Going by the pure
text books of
>> > economy, Fed should have hike rates much before, but the
real US &
>> > global economy is not a text book and there will be
political pressure
>> > on Fed too for not taking any ultra hawkish steps,
specially in the
>> > 2016
>> > election year of US.
>> >
>> > Thus going by recent rally in USD, even if Fed decides
for a token "one
>> > & off" hike with dovish tone in Dec'15 to counter
growing criticism
>> > and
>> > lack of confidence on US & Global (say China) economy,
USD will be
>> > sold. Any ultra hawkish statement from Fed, like
successive rapid
>> > increment @0.25% in every alternate meet will likely to
cause USD more
>> > strength and will be not good for US economy itself.
Thus, Fed may say
>> > that although headline job numbers is looking great, absolute
>> > participation rate is falling and refrain from any ultra
hawkish stance
>> > for a "meeting by meeting live event" !!
>> >
>> > Even if, Fed decides to hike, there will be no dearth of
liquidity
>> > globally as "24/7 printing machine" & QQE will "on" in
the foreseeable
>> > future, thanks to ECB, BOJ & PBOC.
>> >
>> > For India, appeal of 4-D and lack of other stable EM
destinations will
>> > be an added advantage to attract global liquidity; now it
is up to
>> > India
>> > to set its policies and reform agenda in the the right
direction to
>> > attract more FDI in a sustained way.
>> >
>> > Thus investors may take volatility in our market as an
opportunity to
>> > enter good quality of stocks having credible management,
earning
>> > visibility and great business model with good debt profile.
>> >
>> > *Technically, NF has good support at around 7770 (also
extended EW-4
>> > target) and sustain above that, next EW-5 may take us to
around 8055
>> > area in the near term.*
>> >
>> > *For FY16, target may be around 8200-8405 and consecutive
closing above
>> > 8435, Nifty may scale up to 9200-9400 by FY17.*
>> >
>> > *Have a great"Diwali"----- *
>> >
>> > *Analytical Charts:*
>> >
>> >
>> > <
>>
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/-nbue4xGAcn8/VkLTU1PB_nI/AAAAAAAAE10/gtxUEprHAEU/s1600/NF-TL-RSI-10-11-2015.png
>> >
>> >
>> > <
>>
http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-t8Hq1Tg4IPA/VkLTaSN5y7I/AAAAAAAAE18/34LyJXjpfGQ/s1600/NF-PATTERN-10-11-2015.png
>> >
>> >
>> > <
>>
http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-WRtp6o9brG8/VkLTcouaHLI/AAAAAAAAE2E/Cqb0rt-2KT0/s1600/NF-EW-10-11-2015.png
>> >
>> >
>> > <
>>
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/-7KNYSwvhqSI/VkLS4ppi6XI/AAAAAAAAE1g/9s3__Yj4gXM/s1600/NF-WK-10-11-2015.png
>> >
>> >
>> > <
>>
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-49JmIDK9MA8/VkLS6HeM2yI/AAAAAAAAE1o/ZRXQhpVN2Wk/s1600/NF-Fibb-10-11-2015.png
>> >
>> >
>> > <
>>
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-nWIO5gKGhyI/VkLS8HxfmfI/AAAAAAAAE1w/6vbuxnW_VtQ/s1600/NF-MA-10-11-2015.png
>> >
>> >
>> > --
>> > Thanks & Regards,
>> >
>> > Asis Ghosh
>> > (asisghosh.blogspot.in <http://asisghosh.blogspot.in>)
>> > NCFM-TA Certified
>> >
>> >
>> >
>> > --
>> > Kindly email stock reports at
>> >
>> > STOCKRESEARCHER@googlegroups.com
<mailto:STOCKRESEARCHER@googlegroups.com>
>> >
>> > For sharing knowledge
>> >
>> > -- NIFTYVIEWS.COM <http://NIFTYVIEWS.COM> NOW A FREE OPEN
SOURCE WEBSITE.
>> >
>> > http://www.niftyviews.com/
>> >
>> >
>> > Disclaimer :-
>> > "The opinions expressed by the members on this board are
based on
>> > their individual experience and perceptions and to share
information
>> > with other members with the best of intentions to help
fellow members
>> > in investment decisions as equity investment is a risky
venture.The
>> > administrator of www.Niftyviews.com
<http://www.Niftyviews.com> just provide a platform for the
>> authors
>> > to express their opinion and take no guarantee for the
genuineness of
>> > the
>> > same."ANY member of this forum doesnt prepare or publish
any research
>> > report; or ii. provide research report; or iii. make
'buy/sell/hold'
>> > recommendation; or iv. give price target;
>> > ---
>> > You received this message because you are subscribed to
the Google
>> > Groups
>> > "Niftyviews.com" group.
>> > To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails
from it, send
>> > an
>> > email to stockresearcher+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com
<mailto:stockresearcher%2bunsubscr...@googlegroups.com>.
>> > For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.
>> >
>>
>> --
>> Kindly email stock reports at
>>
>> STOCKRESEARCHER@googlegroups.com
<mailto:STOCKRESEARCHER@googlegroups.com>
>>
>> For sharing knowledge
>>
>> -- NIFTYVIEWS.COM <http://NIFTYVIEWS.COM> NOW A FREE OPEN
SOURCE WEBSITE.
>>
>> http://www.niftyviews.com/
>>
>>
>> Disclaimer :-
>> "The opinions expressed by the members on this board are
based on
>> their individual experience and perceptions and to share
information
>> with other members with the best of intentions to help
fellow members
>> in investment decisions as equity investment is a risky
venture.The
>> administrator of www.Niftyviews.com
<http://www.Niftyviews.com> just provide a platform for the
>> authors to express their opinion and take no guarantee for the
>> genuineness
>> of the same."ANY member of this forum doesnt prepare or
publish any
>> research report; or ii. provide research report; or iii. make
>> 'buy/sell/hold' recommendation; or iv. give price target;
>> ---
>> You received this message because you are subscribed to the
Google Groups
>> "Niftyviews.com" group.
>> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails
from it, send an
>> email to stockresearcher+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com
<mailto:stockresearcher%2bunsubscr...@googlegroups.com>.
>> For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.
>>
>
> --
> Kindly email stock reports at
>
> STOCKRESEARCHER@googlegroups.com
<mailto:STOCKRESEARCHER@googlegroups.com>
>
> For sharing knowledge
>
> -- NIFTYVIEWS.COM <http://NIFTYVIEWS.COM> NOW A FREE OPEN
SOURCE WEBSITE.
>
> http://www.niftyviews.com/
>
>
> Disclaimer :-
> "The opinions expressed by the members on this board are
based on
> their individual experience and perceptions and to share
information
> with other members with the best of intentions to help
fellow members
> in investment decisions as equity investment is a risky
venture.The
> administrator of www.Niftyviews.com
<http://www.Niftyviews.com> just provide a platform for the
authors
> to express their opinion and take no guarantee for the
genuineness of the
> same."ANY member of this forum doesnt prepare or publish any
research
> report; or ii. provide research report; or iii. make
'buy/sell/hold'
> recommendation; or iv. give price target;
> ---
> You received this message because you are subscribed to the
Google Groups
> "Niftyviews.com" group.
> To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails
from it, send an
> email to stockresearcher+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com
<mailto:stockresearcher%2bunsubscr...@googlegroups.com>.
> For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.
>
--
Kindly email stock reports at
STOCKRESEARCHER@googlegroups.com
<mailto:STOCKRESEARCHER@googlegroups.com>
For sharing knowledge
-- NIFTYVIEWS.COM <http://NIFTYVIEWS.COM> NOW A FREE OPEN
SOURCE WEBSITE.
http://www.niftyviews.com/
Disclaimer :-
"The opinions expressed by the members on this board are based on
their individual experience and perceptions and to share
information
with other members with the best of intentions to help fellow
members
in investment decisions as equity investment is a risky
venture.The administrator of www.Niftyviews.com
<http://www.Niftyviews.com> just provide a platform for the
authors to express their opinion and take no guarantee for the
genuineness of the same."ANY member of this forum doesnt
prepare or publish any research report; or ii. provide
research report; or iii. make 'buy/sell/hold' recommendation;
or iv. give price target;
---
You received this message because you are subscribed to the
Google Groups "Niftyviews.com" group.
To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from
it, send an email to
stockresearcher+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com
<mailto:stockresearcher%2bunsubscr...@googlegroups.com>.
For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.
--
Kindly email stock reports at
STOCKRESEARCHER@googlegroups.com
<mailto:STOCKRESEARCHER@googlegroups.com>
For sharing knowledge
-- NIFTYVIEWS.COM <http://NIFTYVIEWS.COM> NOW A FREE OPEN SOURCE
WEBSITE.
http://www.niftyviews.com/
Disclaimer :-
"The opinions expressed by the members on this board are based on
their individual experience and perceptions and to share information
with other members with the best of intentions to help fellow members
in investment decisions as equity investment is a risky
venture.The administrator of www.Niftyviews.com
<http://www.Niftyviews.com> just provide a platform for the
authors to express their opinion and take no guarantee for the
genuineness of the same."ANY member of this forum doesnt prepare
or publish any research report; or ii. provide research report; or
iii. make 'buy/sell/hold' recommendation; or iv. give price target;
---
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google
Groups "Niftyviews.com" group.
To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it,
send an email to stockresearcher+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com
<mailto:stockresearcher+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com>.
For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.
--
Kindly email stock reports at
STOCKRESEARCHER@googlegroups.com
For sharing knowledge
-- NIFTYVIEWS.COM NOW A FREE OPEN SOURCE WEBSITE.
http://www.niftyviews.com/
Disclaimer :-
"The opinions expressed by the members on this board are based on
their individual experience and perceptions and to share information
with other members with the best of intentions to help fellow members
in investment decisions as equity investment is a risky venture.The
administrator of www.Niftyviews.com just provide a platform for the
authors to express their opinion and take no guarantee for the
genuineness of the same."ANY member of this forum doesnt prepare or
publish any research report; or ii. provide research report; or iii.
make 'buy/sell/hold' recommendation; or iv. give price target;
---
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google
Groups "Niftyviews.com" group.
To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send
an email to stockresearcher+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com
<mailto:stockresearcher+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com>.
For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.
--
Thanks & Regards,
Asis Ghosh
--
Kindly email stock reports at
STOCKRESEARCHER@googlegroups.com
For sharing knowledge
-- NIFTYVIEWS.COM NOW A FREE OPEN SOURCE WEBSITE.
http://www.niftyviews.com/
Disclaimer :-
"The opinions expressed by the members on this board are based on
their individual experience and perceptions and to share information
with other members with the best of intentions to help fellow members
in investment decisions as equity investment is a risky venture.The administrator of
www.Niftyviews.com just provide a platform for the authors to express their opinion
and take no guarantee for the genuineness of the same."ANY member of this forum
doesnt prepare or publish any research report; or ii. provide research report; or
iii. make 'buy/sell/hold' recommendation; or iv. give price target;
---
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "Niftyviews.com" group.
To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email
to stockresearcher+unsubscr...@googlegroups.com.
For more options, visit https://groups.google.com/d/optout.
