Re: [Biofuel] the 'Inconvenient Truth'

2007-03-04 Thread Fred Oliff



snip?
I think alot better arguement could be made that there is no known benefit
to the planet from Humans, and we should go get 'em.   Oh, except that you
can't ask a human this question because they are not a neutral observer.


looks like we are well on our way to doing just that. but let's not go 
gently into that good night without at least some fight.  no more wars 
except against global warming, eh?



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[Biofuel] The Inconvenient Truth, Part II

2007-02-27 Thread Keith Addison
http://www.fpif.org/fpiftxt/4014
Foreign Policy In Focus |
The Inconvenient Truth, Part II

Tom Athanasiou | February 21, 2007

Editor: John Feffer, IRC


Foreign Policy In Focus
www.fpif.org

You've probably seen the movie; you've certainly heard about it. So 
you already know the first part of the inconvenient truth: we're in 
deep trouble. And one good thing about 2006 is that this ceased to be 
a public secret. We not only know that the drought is spreading, the 
ice melting, the waters beginning to rise, but we also know that we 
know. And this changes everything.

The science is in; the skeptics aren't what they used to be. 
They're still around, of course, but their ranks have thinned, and 
their funders are feeling the heat. They've been reduced to a merely 
tactical danger. They're flaks, and everyone knows it. Still, this 
good news comes with bad-their job was to stall, and they did it 
well. And it's now late in the game.

Don't just take my word for it. In 2006, scientists schooled in the 
art of careful and measured conclusion chose instead to speak 
frankly. James Hansen, director of NASA's Goddard Institute of Space 
Studies and perhaps our single most respected climate scientist, 
spoke for many of his colleagues when he said that we're near a 
tipping point, a point of no return, beyond which the built in 
momentum and feedbacks will carry us to levels of climate change with 
staggering consequences for humanity and all of the residents of this 
planet.1

It's time, past time really, for at least some of us to go beyond 
warning to planning, to start talking seriously about a global crash 
program to stabilize the climate. Gore knows this, but he's a 
politician and must move deliberately. He is moving, though, and has 
already passed beyond his film's gentle implication (most visible in 
the upbeat visual call to action that ran under the closing credits) 
that personal virtue will suffice. During a September 2006 speech at 
the New York University Law School (a speech one wag called the lost 
reel) he made some necessary, and dangerous, connections:

In rising to meet this challenge, we too will find self-renewal and 
transcendence and a new capacity for vision to see other crises in 
our time that cry out for solutions: 20 million HIV/AIDS orphans in 
Africa alone, civil wars fought by children, genocides and famines, 
the rape and pillage of our oceans and forests, an extinction crisis 
that threatens the web of life, and tens of millions of our fellow 
humans dying every year from easily preventable diseases. And, by 
rising to meet the climate crisis, we will find the vision and moral 
authority to see them not as political problems but as moral 
imperatives.

The situation, alas, is worse than either Gore's movie or his speech 
implies. So, this being a new year, let's move on a bit, into 
territories through which no politician can guide us. And let's be a 
bit more explicit about just what a real crash program to stabilize 
the climate would actually imply.

Two Degrees of Separation

What happens if the temperature-or, more precisely, the average 
global surface warming since pre-industrial times-rises past 2°C?

Even though we're not yet at the edge of the 2°C line, the Earth's 
ice sheets are already becoming unstable. The Greenland ice sheet, in 
particular, appears to be at significant risk of collapse at a 
warming of less than 2°C, and this would eventually mean about seven 
meters of sea-level rise.2 Since only three meters would put 
virtually all coastal cities and their hundreds of millions of people 
at great hazard, and given that the West Antarctic Ice Sheet is also 
at eventual risk, the ice situation is already, by any reasonable 
standard, dangerous.3

With 2°C of warming, killer droughts will settle in to stay. There 
will be massive vegetation changes, agricultural disruptions, and 
extreme weather including superstorms. Many disease-bearing pests 
will have radically expanded ranges that put, for example, several 
hundred million more people at risk of malaria. Arctic species such 
as the polar bear will face extinction, along with 15-40% of other 
terrestrial creatures. There will be horrifying refugee crises. The 
key points, at least from the point of view of human suffering and 
social instability, are the ice-melt, the widespread agricultural 
disruption, and the refugees. Also crucial are the billions of 
people, many of them in the mega-cities of the South, threatened by 
permanent water stress. There will be more, and more terrible, water 
wars, many of which are essentially civil wars.4

Most terrifying of all, 2°C of warming, particularly if sustained or 
overshot, will likely trigger non-linear changes that would induce 
further warming, and further changes, and further warming-positive 
feedbacks in the jargon-until the nightmare scenario imagined by 
James Lovelock (whom I am very sorry to report is not a crank) 
finally comes to pass. And this 

Re: [Biofuel] An Inconvenient Truth

2006-07-08 Thread Thomas Kelly
Mike,
 I'd like to think not.
 It's a bit odd though that only one variety of blueberry in my garden 
had any berries at all. First time I can recall  ...  over 20 years of 
blueberries here. My apple tree flowered  no apples forming. Maybe just 
too much rain ...  there seem to be plenty of bees.
   Probably just an anomaly. Even considering it has me a bit uneasy. When 
people complain about all the rain we're getting I just mention that there's 
a lot of water in those ice caps. Most just look puzzled.
  Take along an umbrella,
 Tom
   Tom
- Original Message - 
From: Mike Weaver [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: biofuel@sustainablelists.org
Sent: Thursday, July 06, 2006 9:13 AM
Subject: Re: [Biofuel] An Inconvenient Truth


I have wonder if the weather we are enjoying here in DC is a symptom of
 global warming.



 Keith Addison wrote:

http://eatthestate.org/

Eat the State! Vol. 10, Issue #22 6 July 06

Preparing For an Inconvenient Future

Al Gore's An Inconvenient Truth is a commendable movie, not least
for its attempts to educate, rather than terrify, people about the
facts and consequences of global warming. In particular, Al Gore
specifically warned against justifying inaction first by denial (the
platform of most American politicians), then by despair. Instead, he
concluded the movie by listing actions that individuals and societies
can take to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. To see specific
suggestions, visit www.climatecrisis.net and read Colin Wright's
thoughtful article in the last issue of Eat the State! (What would
Gandhi drive? ETS! vol. 10, no. 21 http://snipurl.com/std1).
Making valiant efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions immediately
is not only a good idea, but a necessity.

We must not confuse this imperative, however, with a solution to the
problems of global warming, for at least three reasons. First, not
all of the means within our technological grasp for reducing
emissions are necessarily wisely employed toward that end, even if we
grant that they will have the magnitude of effect that Gore credited
them with--which is far from certain. Thus, in a movie graphic
showing how carbon emissions could be reduced to 1970 levels, a
considerable chunk of reduction was attributed to carbon
sequestration, the viability and long-term consequences of which are
hotly debated. We must be careful not to make matters worse in a
desperate effort to make them better. Second, even if carbon dioxide
emissions were immediately reduced to 1970 levels, the long time
periods required for the Earth system to respond to that decrease
will result in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations that
nonetheless continue to increase for decades to come. Remarkably,
although Gore correctly related higher average global temperatures to
higher atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations, not emissions, this
response lag was not addressed in the movie. Third, various global
feedback mechanisms affected by higher temperatures may result in
further increases in temperature or greenhouse gas concentrations
that are not a direct function of human activity. Although these are
notoriously difficult to predict, possible examples include greater
retention of solar heat due to changes in cloud and ice cover, or
release of methane, a more potent though shorter-lived greenhouse gas
than carbon dioxide, from melting permafrost.

In short, controlling emissions is only part of the necessary
response to the problems confronting us. A second part of that
response is to prepare for the predictable consequences of global
warming, starting immediately. The environmental movement must
incorporate such preparations into its agenda, not in place of but
alongside attempts to attenuate climate change. Limiting our response
only to attenuation is naive, if not palliative and fatalistic.

What is it that we should be preparing for? The melting of ice sheets
and glaciers is expected to result in a rise in sea level that will
render uninhabitable low-lying islands and coastal regions, thus
creating a refugee crisis on a scale perhaps never before seen in
human history. We must begin planning for these refugees now. It is
anticipated that greater average surface temperatures will fuel more
violent storms, including tornadoes and hurricanes. Having seen the
chaos and tragedy resulting from Katrina, as well as the ineptitude,
profiteering, and racism of the American government's reaction,
surely we should begin preparing a better response now. Overall
changes in regional weather patterns, including in some places an
increasing frequency of droughts, will dramatically affect the
availability and distribution of water and agriculture. Only advance
planning can mitigate the tragedies these changes imply. And of
course, unless we begin preparing now, all of these anticipated
effects will likely lead to major conflicts among

Re: [Biofuel] An Inconvenient Truth

2006-07-06 Thread Keith Addison
http://eatthestate.org/

Eat the State! Vol. 10, Issue #22 6 July 06

Preparing For an Inconvenient Future

Al Gore's An Inconvenient Truth is a commendable movie, not least 
for its attempts to educate, rather than terrify, people about the 
facts and consequences of global warming. In particular, Al Gore 
specifically warned against justifying inaction first by denial (the 
platform of most American politicians), then by despair. Instead, he 
concluded the movie by listing actions that individuals and societies 
can take to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. To see specific 
suggestions, visit www.climatecrisis.net and read Colin Wright's 
thoughtful article in the last issue of Eat the State! (What would 
Gandhi drive? ETS! vol. 10, no. 21 http://snipurl.com/std1). 
Making valiant efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions immediately 
is not only a good idea, but a necessity.

We must not confuse this imperative, however, with a solution to the 
problems of global warming, for at least three reasons. First, not 
all of the means within our technological grasp for reducing 
emissions are necessarily wisely employed toward that end, even if we 
grant that they will have the magnitude of effect that Gore credited 
them with--which is far from certain. Thus, in a movie graphic 
showing how carbon emissions could be reduced to 1970 levels, a 
considerable chunk of reduction was attributed to carbon 
sequestration, the viability and long-term consequences of which are 
hotly debated. We must be careful not to make matters worse in a 
desperate effort to make them better. Second, even if carbon dioxide 
emissions were immediately reduced to 1970 levels, the long time 
periods required for the Earth system to respond to that decrease 
will result in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations that 
nonetheless continue to increase for decades to come. Remarkably, 
although Gore correctly related higher average global temperatures to 
higher atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations, not emissions, this 
response lag was not addressed in the movie. Third, various global 
feedback mechanisms affected by higher temperatures may result in 
further increases in temperature or greenhouse gas concentrations 
that are not a direct function of human activity. Although these are 
notoriously difficult to predict, possible examples include greater 
retention of solar heat due to changes in cloud and ice cover, or 
release of methane, a more potent though shorter-lived greenhouse gas 
than carbon dioxide, from melting permafrost.

In short, controlling emissions is only part of the necessary 
response to the problems confronting us. A second part of that 
response is to prepare for the predictable consequences of global 
warming, starting immediately. The environmental movement must 
incorporate such preparations into its agenda, not in place of but 
alongside attempts to attenuate climate change. Limiting our response 
only to attenuation is naive, if not palliative and fatalistic.

What is it that we should be preparing for? The melting of ice sheets 
and glaciers is expected to result in a rise in sea level that will 
render uninhabitable low-lying islands and coastal regions, thus 
creating a refugee crisis on a scale perhaps never before seen in 
human history. We must begin planning for these refugees now. It is 
anticipated that greater average surface temperatures will fuel more 
violent storms, including tornadoes and hurricanes. Having seen the 
chaos and tragedy resulting from Katrina, as well as the ineptitude, 
profiteering, and racism of the American government's reaction, 
surely we should begin preparing a better response now. Overall 
changes in regional weather patterns, including in some places an 
increasing frequency of droughts, will dramatically affect the 
availability and distribution of water and agriculture. Only advance 
planning can mitigate the tragedies these changes imply. And of 
course, unless we begin preparing now, all of these anticipated 
effects will likely lead to major conflicts among peoples and nations.

Perhaps more subtly, our preparations must embrace changing how we 
think. First and foremost, we must not perpetuate the myth that the 
problems we face can be addressed without major changes in our 
lifestyles and cultures. This is an error with which Gore's film 
flirts. But if we begin the debate by denying the necessity of major 
changes, we relieve the debate of both its urgency and its point. 
Pathos and panic are not the necessary corollaries of recognizing 
this fact; we must instead learn to represent the necessity and 
achievability of these changes. Second, global warming and its 
consequences cannot be countered effectively if we limit our 
deliberations only to short time scales, for example, those of 
election cycles. We must teach ourselves to think instead on decadal, 
generational and longer time scales. We must furthermore set up 
social and political structures 

Re: [Biofuel] An Inconvenient Truth

2006-07-06 Thread Mike Weaver
I have wonder if the weather we are enjoying here in DC is a symptom of 
global warming.



Keith Addison wrote:

http://eatthestate.org/

Eat the State! Vol. 10, Issue #22 6 July 06

Preparing For an Inconvenient Future

Al Gore's An Inconvenient Truth is a commendable movie, not least 
for its attempts to educate, rather than terrify, people about the 
facts and consequences of global warming. In particular, Al Gore 
specifically warned against justifying inaction first by denial (the 
platform of most American politicians), then by despair. Instead, he 
concluded the movie by listing actions that individuals and societies 
can take to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. To see specific 
suggestions, visit www.climatecrisis.net and read Colin Wright's 
thoughtful article in the last issue of Eat the State! (What would 
Gandhi drive? ETS! vol. 10, no. 21 http://snipurl.com/std1). 
Making valiant efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions immediately 
is not only a good idea, but a necessity.

We must not confuse this imperative, however, with a solution to the 
problems of global warming, for at least three reasons. First, not 
all of the means within our technological grasp for reducing 
emissions are necessarily wisely employed toward that end, even if we 
grant that they will have the magnitude of effect that Gore credited 
them with--which is far from certain. Thus, in a movie graphic 
showing how carbon emissions could be reduced to 1970 levels, a 
considerable chunk of reduction was attributed to carbon 
sequestration, the viability and long-term consequences of which are 
hotly debated. We must be careful not to make matters worse in a 
desperate effort to make them better. Second, even if carbon dioxide 
emissions were immediately reduced to 1970 levels, the long time 
periods required for the Earth system to respond to that decrease 
will result in atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations that 
nonetheless continue to increase for decades to come. Remarkably, 
although Gore correctly related higher average global temperatures to 
higher atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations, not emissions, this 
response lag was not addressed in the movie. Third, various global 
feedback mechanisms affected by higher temperatures may result in 
further increases in temperature or greenhouse gas concentrations 
that are not a direct function of human activity. Although these are 
notoriously difficult to predict, possible examples include greater 
retention of solar heat due to changes in cloud and ice cover, or 
release of methane, a more potent though shorter-lived greenhouse gas 
than carbon dioxide, from melting permafrost.

In short, controlling emissions is only part of the necessary 
response to the problems confronting us. A second part of that 
response is to prepare for the predictable consequences of global 
warming, starting immediately. The environmental movement must 
incorporate such preparations into its agenda, not in place of but 
alongside attempts to attenuate climate change. Limiting our response 
only to attenuation is naive, if not palliative and fatalistic.

What is it that we should be preparing for? The melting of ice sheets 
and glaciers is expected to result in a rise in sea level that will 
render uninhabitable low-lying islands and coastal regions, thus 
creating a refugee crisis on a scale perhaps never before seen in 
human history. We must begin planning for these refugees now. It is 
anticipated that greater average surface temperatures will fuel more 
violent storms, including tornadoes and hurricanes. Having seen the 
chaos and tragedy resulting from Katrina, as well as the ineptitude, 
profiteering, and racism of the American government's reaction, 
surely we should begin preparing a better response now. Overall 
changes in regional weather patterns, including in some places an 
increasing frequency of droughts, will dramatically affect the 
availability and distribution of water and agriculture. Only advance 
planning can mitigate the tragedies these changes imply. And of 
course, unless we begin preparing now, all of these anticipated 
effects will likely lead to major conflicts among peoples and nations.

Perhaps more subtly, our preparations must embrace changing how we 
think. First and foremost, we must not perpetuate the myth that the 
problems we face can be addressed without major changes in our 
lifestyles and cultures. This is an error with which Gore's film 
flirts. But if we begin the debate by denying the necessity of major 
changes, we relieve the debate of both its urgency and its point. 
Pathos and panic are not the necessary corollaries of recognizing 
this fact; we must instead learn to represent the necessity and 
achievability of these changes. Second, global warming and its 
consequences cannot be countered effectively if we limit our 
deliberations only to short time scales, for example, those of 
election cycles. We must teach ourselves to think 

Re: [Biofuel] An Inconvenient Truth

2006-07-02 Thread Keith Addison
http://eatthestate.org/10-21/WhatWouldGandhi.htm
(June 22, 2006)

What Would Gandhi Drive?

by Colin Wright

I must admit I liked An Inconvenient Truth, the new movie on global 
warming featuring Al Gore (www.climatecrisis.net). To be sure, I'm 
still suspicious of his free market politics and corporate 
allegiances, but no one can fault Gore's dedication to environmental 
education. Particularly in a country that ranks last with China in 
concern over climate change, according to a recent BBC poll.

Like any Hollywood tear-jerker, the movie has its hero, victims, and villains.

Gore is the laser-lance-holding stoic hero, skewering White House 
rewritings of EPA reports.

The victims are the future generations who will inherit the 
suffocating planet we are bequeathing them. Not just the 500 million 
refugees who will lose their homes after the ice atop Greenland and 
West Antarctic slips away into the oceans, raising sea level 20 feet. 
Not just the millions who may starve when their arid crops fail after 
the melting-glacier streams turn into trickles.

But I also count among the victims, all the previous generations whom 
we are betraying by not giving a collective damn about the Russian 
Roulette we are playing with the planet. All the parents who shed 
blood, sweat, and tears to make a better life for their children. All 
the artists and scientists and revolutionaries who believed that 
culture and civilization were something worth devoting their lives 
to. Who cares any more, when the international film festivals and 
sports tournaments beckon? If global oil production really is peaking 
(www.peakoil.net), maybe it's time to shift some stocks to 
Exxon-Mobil?

The villains are us. Especially here in the US, where we allow a 
rogue government to stymie any chance of concerted action to reduce 
greenhouse gases. Especially here in Corporatatopia where greed, 
political conservatism, and capitulation define the ethic of the day.

Nevertheless, like any good drama, the movie offers the possibility 
of redemption to the viewer. I, for one, certainly left the theatre 
rededicated to doing what I can to slow, if not end, global ecocide. 
During the '90s, a bumper sticker occasionally seen on smaller, less 
auspicious cars protested the rise of the SUV:What would Jesus 
drive? A more appropriate bumper sticker these days might read: What 
would Gandhi drive?

It's a sure bet that Gandhi (when he wasn't smashing imperialism) 
would be walking to work. But I bring up the half-naked fakir 
(Churchill's phrase) because I think inevitably the moral dissonance 
between our paper-thin ideals and our (in)actions will bring up the 
idea of civil disobedience in our auto-centric metropolises. When 
young people in particular wake up and realize we are not just 
leaving them trillions of dollars of unpaid debt, but a sinking 
Titanic with too few life boats, the wise among them will not be 
happy. In the absence of government benchmarks and regulations to 
reduce carbon dioxide outputs substantially in a timeframe of years 
and not decades, frustration will mount among the awake. We are 
already seeing bicycles-en-masse blocking traffic. Cyclists here must 
be wondering how Chicago can be planning 500 miles of bike paths, 
while here they they must risk life and limb on the commute.

Of course, it will be necessary for activists to promote viable 
options in addition to direct actions. We will need new incentives to 
get people out of their cars: pipe dreams of 100 million cars running 
on hydrogen or biofuels are as unlikely to succeed as people 
commuting by jet-pack. This is because of the scaling problem: it 
would take decades to switch our car fleet over to something else. 
But we don't have decades. We are headed for a liquid fuels crisis 
because of the imminent peaking of global oil 
(www.energybulletin.net/16766.html).

Burdens will need to be shared by all, including the corporate 
sector. Why not offer the 35-hour week (for 40 hours of pay) for 
eco-commuters to compensate them for the extra travel time? If the 
French economy can survive a 35-hour week, why not ours here in 
Seattle? Would the corporations leave us and head out of town? I 
doubt it. Seattle is a highly desirable area and will only become 
more so in the future, as rural areas became less able to prosper 
with the rising cost of energy.

Gandhi is also more relevant today for other reasons. He thoroughly 
understood that British imperialism relied on free markets to 
undercut local economies. Thus he promoted a home-spun movement to 
counter the cheap Mancunian textile imports. Today these ideas of 
decentralization are gaining more currency in the peak oil movement, 
where the end of cheap and reliable petroleum and natural gas are 
causing some to predict a curtailment or collapse of international 
trade (see, for instance, Julian Darley's Post Carbon Institute at 
www.relocalize.net).

Gandhi's maxim to live simply, so that others may 

Re: [Biofuel] An Inconvenient Truth

2006-06-29 Thread Joe Street
I saw it again last night with another friend.  This time I bought the 
t-shirt.  Only 10 bucks and made of completely recycled material.

Joe

Paul S Cantrell wrote:

 Video that continues 'what you can do' in the film.   The story at the
 beginning is pretty funny, too.
 
 http://www.ted.com/tedtalks/tedtalksplayer.cfm?key=al_goreflashEnabled=1
 
 http://www.climatecrisis.net/
 
 On 6/26/06, Sarath G [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 

I saw the movie this weekend and I was very impressed by the story and
facts. Not that this is a new topic to any of the members on this list, but
the portrayal of clear and present dangers of looming climate change are
well illustrated and makes an extra effort to bring this issue to public
focus.
Sarath



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Re: [Biofuel] An Inconvenient Truth

2006-06-27 Thread Paul S Cantrell
Video that continues 'what you can do' in the film.   The story at the
beginning is pretty funny, too.

http://www.ted.com/tedtalks/tedtalksplayer.cfm?key=al_goreflashEnabled=1

http://www.climatecrisis.net/

On 6/26/06, Sarath G [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


 I saw the movie this weekend and I was very impressed by the story and
 facts. Not that this is a new topic to any of the members on this list, but
 the portrayal of clear and present dangers of looming climate change are
 well illustrated and makes an extra effort to bring this issue to public
 focus.
 Sarath



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Thanks,
PC

He's the kind of a guy who lights up a room just by flicking a switch

We don't know a millionth of one percent about anything. - Thomas A Edison

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[Biofuel] An Inconvenient Truth

2006-06-26 Thread Joe Street
I saw the movie on Friday evening. Lots of great factoids for those who 
are not in the know about global warming.  The presentation is such that 
I don't see how anyone could not be persuaded.  I thought that was very 
encouraging.  Al Gore has so much of an opportunity to reach a large 
audience.

Joe


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Re: [Biofuel] An Inconvenient Truth

2006-06-26 Thread Paul S Cantrell
Joe,
I saw it yesterday and I concur completely...Everyone go see it and
take 3 people with you!

I encourage everyone to go see it, if nothing else to make me (us)
seem less nutty!  lol  been talkin' about this since high school...

On 6/26/06, Joe Street [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 I saw the movie on Friday evening. Lots of great factoids for those who
 are not in the know about global warming.  The presentation is such that
 I don't see how anyone could not be persuaded.  I thought that was very
 encouraging.  Al Gore has so much of an opportunity to reach a large
 audience.

 Joe


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PC

He's the kind of a guy who lights up a room just by flicking a switch

We don't know a millionth of one percent about anything. - Thomas A Edison

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Re: [Biofuel] An Inconvenient Truth

2006-06-26 Thread Sarath G

I saw the movie this weekend and I was very impressed by the story and facts. Not that this is a new topic to any of the members on this list, but the portrayal of clear and present dangers of looming climate change are well illustrated and makes an extra effort to bring this issue to public focus.

Sarath

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