Hi

No, this is a common error.  Even in the presence of a causal relationship 
between X and Y, the relationship can be masked by some other factor Z because 
of Z's relationship to X and Y.  For example, the positive correlation between 
amount of studying (X) and school performance (Y) is masked in part or fully by 
the fact that studying (sometimes) correlates negatively with intelligence (Z), 
which in turn is positively correlated with grades.  Thus, the indirect path X 
-> Z -> Y adds a negative element (negative times positive = negative) to the 
positive X -> Y path.  Multiple regression will reveal the "true" relationship 
(unless of course there are other hidden variables producing the "revealed" 
relationships.

Take care
Jim


James M. Clark
Professor of Psychology
204-786-9757
204-774-4134 Fax
j.cl...@uwinnipeg.ca

>>> "michael sylvester" <msylves...@copper.net> 04-Jun-10 9:16:31 PM >>>
Just as I can remember that just because something is reliable is no indication 
that is valid,nowever if something is valid ,it must be reliable;
so can I  also conclude that correlation does not imply causation,but causaeion 
 definitely implies correlation?
In a theoretical psychology state of mind,

Michael "omnocentric" Sylvester,PhD
Daytona Beach,Florida
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