Re: [VO]: Blowing smoke in the wind

2008-04-09 Thread Jed Rothwell

R C Macaulay wrote:

The Houston Chronicle article today kinda disputes claims regarding 
the idea of using windmills. The power produced ain't worth the 
power to produce without heavy subsidies.


This is bunk. First, the wind power subsidies are modest compared to 
the tax breaks (depletion allowances and so on) for oil, gas, nuclear 
and coal. Second, government support funding for RD in coal and oil 
is far higher than for wind. Third, coal is subsidized at infinitely 
higher rates than wind power: it costs at least 20,000 lives per 
year. If the families of the victims were compensated for their loss 
at the normal rates, coal would cost far more than wind or any other 
source of energy.


Add in the costs of global warming and there isn't enough money in 
the world to pay for coal-fired electricity.



Also reports that a norther blew in one day and the wind farm output 
dropped so low that it upset the grid and almost caused a major blackout.


This sort of thing happens with conventional generators too. They 
drop off line suddenly because of an equipment failure or inclement weather.



 Some third of the big mills are down for repairs at any one time. 
Nobody has reliable figures on real operating cost cuz the whole 
business is sorta off the books.. well... kinda..


That is complete and utter bunk. Detailed information on all 
generators types is kept and it has been analyzed in detail by the 
power companies, EPRI, the DoE and many others. The notion that a 
third of wind turbines are normally down for maintenance is preposterous.


This is obviously anti-wind-energy propaganda. I expect it was 
written by coal industry flacks, who are also busy behind the scenes 
in the Congress trying to get legislation passed to ban the use of 
wind energy. Wind now produces ~1% of U.S. power (2% of the coal 
market) so things are getting ugly.


You should apply some common sense to what you read in the 
newspapers. Reporters have little technical knowledge and they are 
often misled by industry flacks. Ask yourself: how likely is it that 
power companies would not keep track of wind turbine performance? How 
likely is it that power companies worldwide would be building the 
equivalent of two nuclear power plants per year in wind energy, but 
it is actually not cost effective? Of course in the U.S. we spend 
billions on ethanol, which is an energy sink and therefore not 
cost-effective, but that is nothing more that a gift to OPEC and Big 
Agriculture. No government or auto manufacturer is gearing up to 
power a significant fraction of U.S. automobiles on ethanol. No one 
knowledgeable about energy seriously maintains that ethanol can have 
any impact, other than to fleece the taxpayers and destroy the 
environment. Even Time magazine has noticed that it is con job.


- Jed



Re: [VO]: Blowing smoke in the wind

2008-04-09 Thread Jed Rothwell

I wrote:

If the families of the victims were compensated for their loss at 
the normal rates, coal would cost far more than wind or any other 
source of energy.


Oops. I take that back. I miscalculated. The average wrongful death 
compensation is around $800,000. Multiply by 20,000 and that is a 
modest $16 billion, which the power companies could easily afford. 
They prefer to pay nothing -- which is the present arrangement.


The cost of ill-health might add a hundred billion to that number.

Fortunately, the number of coal miners killed and incapacitated per 
year has fallen to record lows. It is now 50 - 100 killed per year, 
and 13,000 injured. See:


http://www.msha.gov/MSHAINFO/FactSheets/MSHAFCT2.HTM

Wind energy kills very few people; mainly a handful of workers who 
fall from towers or are electrocuted.


In any case, my point is that the cost of coal-fired electricity is 
borne by the public. We pay not with money, but with our lives and 
health. This cost is not factored into the balance when people 
compare the cost of wind versus coal energy.


- Jed



Re: [VO]: Blowing smoke in the wind

2008-04-09 Thread Michael Foster

Jed wrote:


 This is bunk. First, the wind power subsidies are modest
 compared to 
 the tax breaks (depletion allowances and so on) for oil, (snip)

While I'm no fan of Big Oil, I think it's important to point
out that the oil depletion allowance has been virtually nil
since 1978.

 
 Third, coal is subsidized at
 infinitely 
 higher rates than wind power: it costs at least 20,000
 lives per 
 year. 

I'm not sure what figures you're using here.  If it's coal mining
accidents, the yearly figures for that are trivial, because the
number of people it takes to mine coal is a tiny fraction of what
it used to be on account of mechanization.  If it's black lung disease,
everyone should know that this is a smoking related disorder. People
who don't smoke don't get it.  Ditto brown lung disease and mesothelioma.

I'm not touting the glories of coal.  I just don't know how you could
come up with this number of related deaths. If you mean projected or
estimated deaths from coal burning air pollution, that might be true,
but people who make such estimates are normally prone to exaggeration.

And one thing is never ever included in the evils of various energy
sources. That is the number of deaths that would occur if the energy
were not available or were too expensive. And that is a very large 
figure indeed.

I agree with you about the ethanol.  Even now people are dying because
world food prices have ramped up quickly from the wasting of corn to
make ethanol.

M.




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[VO]: Blowing smoke in the wind

2008-04-08 Thread R C Macaulay

Howdy Vorts,
The Houston Chronicle article today kinda disputes claims regarding the idea of 
using windmills. The power produced ain't worth the power to produce without 
heavy subsidies. Also reports that a norther blew in one day and the wind farm 
output dropped so low that it upset the grid and almost caused a major blackout.
 Some third of the big mills are down for repairs at any one time. Nobody has 
reliable figures on real operating cost cuz the whole business is sorta off the 
books.. well... kinda.. Algorish sorta accounting. After all , it's green  
..ain't it ? Our local area electric co-op advertizes wind power as an option 
for a coupla cents more per willowatt. That's what the Dime Box saloon 
describes green energy as.. willowatts.

The whole wind energy business is so convoluted with politics and tax tricks 
that it's starting to resemble the DoE.
You know.. the outfit that awarded a contract to Lockheed for an advanced 
design warplane for some 138 billion bucks and have zilch to show for their 
money so far... but not to worry.. the Marine heliocopter deal for 38 choppers 
for the white house fits the pattern.. megabucks spent and no choppers yet.
Hey ! bartender !! slide one down the bar to Jed.. he has a perplexed look on 
his face.. musta been something he read about BLP.
Richard


 Jed mentioned this link,
Move Over, Oil, There's Money in Texas Wind

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/02/23/business/23wind.html