Re: [Wikimedia-l] Fundraising mysteries

2013-11-29 Thread Andrew Gray
It's clear that the million dollars do have to fit in somewhere that
month! One possible explanation would be that finance processed a
bunch of offline income at that time - not just the single Sloan
grant, but also other individual non-banner donations (eg a month's
worth of people sending in cheques). This would explain a blip over a
few days without any direct correlation to the banners.

This is speculation, though - you'd have to comb through the daily
accounts to be sure.

Andrew.

On 26 November 2013 09:12, James Salsman jsals...@gmail.com wrote:
 If October 4th and/or 22nd had large donations because of one-time events
 instead of regular donation appeal changes, why are they both bracketed by
 vastly abnormally successful previous and subsequent days?


 On Monday, November 25, 2013, James Salsman wrote:

 P.S. As the referenced attachment doesn't make it through to the
 archives or digests, there is a copy of the fundraising data graph at:
 http://i.imgur.com/MkXIW4J.png


 On Mon, Nov 25, 2013 at 7:51 PM, James Salsman jsals...@gmail.com wrote:
  Hi Megan,
 
  Per the attached graph of the
  https://frdata.wikimedia.org/yeardata-day-vs-sum.csv
  data, your announced October 4th fundraising test on 100% of anonymous
  users was anticlimactic. But what the heck did you do on September 2nd
  and October 22nd, and would you please do that every day? Even if it
  falls off at the same rate as the July test, that still means you
  could produce an endowment sufficient to do away with fundraising at
  current spending levels in less than eight months.
 
  Best regards,
  James Salsman

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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Fundraising mysteries

2013-11-28 Thread James Salsman
Matthew Walker wrote:

 I have no information on what did or did not happen on any specific days

Who does?

I'm also very interested in July 30, when average donations peaked;
Ref.: http://i.imgur.com/3oXk7jq.png
I can't figure anything actually useful out from
http://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fundraising_2013#July_.26_August_Update


On Tue, Nov 26, 2013 at 5:12 PM, James Salsman jsals...@gmail.com wrote:
 If October 4th and/or 22nd had large donations because of one-time events
 instead of regular donation appeal changes, why are they both bracketed by
 vastly abnormally successful previous and subsequent days?


 On Monday, November 25, 2013, James Salsman wrote:

 P.S. As the referenced attachment doesn't make it through to the
 archives or digests, there is a copy of the fundraising data graph at:
 http://i.imgur.com/MkXIW4J.png


 On Mon, Nov 25, 2013 at 7:51 PM, James Salsman jsals...@gmail.com wrote:
  Hi Megan,
 
  Per the attached graph of the
  https://frdata.wikimedia.org/yeardata-day-vs-sum.csv
  data, your announced October 4th fundraising test on 100% of anonymous
  users was anticlimactic. But what the heck did you do on September 2nd
  and October 22nd, and would you please do that every day? Even if it
  falls off at the same rate as the July test, that still means you
  could produce an endowment sufficient to do away with fundraising at
  current spending levels in less than eight months.
 
  Best regards,
  James Salsman

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[Wikimedia-l] Fundraising mysteries

2013-11-26 Thread James Salsman
If October 4th and/or 22nd had large donations because of one-time events
instead of regular donation appeal changes, why are they both bracketed by
vastly abnormally successful previous and subsequent days?


On Monday, November 25, 2013, James Salsman wrote:

 P.S. As the referenced attachment doesn't make it through to the
 archives or digests, there is a copy of the fundraising data graph at:
 http://i.imgur.com/MkXIW4J.png


 On Mon, Nov 25, 2013 at 7:51 PM, James Salsman jsals...@gmail.com wrote:
  Hi Megan,
 
  Per the attached graph of the
  https://frdata.wikimedia.org/yeardata-day-vs-sum.csv
  data, your announced October 4th fundraising test on 100% of anonymous
  users was anticlimactic. But what the heck did you do on September 2nd
  and October 22nd, and would you please do that every day? Even if it
  falls off at the same rate as the July test, that still means you
  could produce an endowment sufficient to do away with fundraising at
  current spending levels in less than eight months.
 
  Best regards,
  James Salsman

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[Wikimedia-l] Fundraising mysteries

2013-11-25 Thread James Salsman
Hi Megan,

Per the attached graph of the
https://frdata.wikimedia.org/yeardata-day-vs-sum.csv
data, your announced October 4th fundraising test on 100% of anonymous
users was anticlimactic. But what the heck did you do on September 2nd
and October 22nd, and would you please do that every day? Even if it
falls off at the same rate as the July test, that still means you
could produce an endowment sufficient to do away with fundraising at
current spending levels in less than eight months.

Best regards,
James Salsman
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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Fundraising mysteries

2013-11-25 Thread Andrew Gray
Megan can certainly correct me if I've got the wrong end of the stick,
but I think these are probably once-off payments rather than the
result of a good day of banner-based fundraising.

The October report estimates $2.7m fundraising through the month, but
the spreadsheet data totals $3.8m. The discrepancy is around a million
dollars, and the monthly report mentions a $1m grant from the Sloan
Foundation, which tallies nicely.

I couldn't spot a specific grant for September, but there was a
provisional estimate of approximately $2m, and the data totals $2.5m.
The blip on 2/9 is about half a million dollars, roughly the same as
the discrepancy, and I would not be surprised if this is again a large
donation/grant.

Sadly, daily Sloan grants are probably not a sustainable approach...

A.

On 25 November 2013 11:51, James Salsman jsals...@gmail.com wrote:
 Hi Megan,

 Per the attached graph of the
 https://frdata.wikimedia.org/yeardata-day-vs-sum.csv
 data, your announced October 4th fundraising test on 100% of anonymous
 users was anticlimactic. But what the heck did you do on September 2nd
 and October 22nd, and would you please do that every day? Even if it
 falls off at the same rate as the July test, that still means you
 could produce an endowment sufficient to do away with fundraising at
 current spending levels in less than eight months.

 Best regards,
 James Salsman

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  andrew.g...@dunelm.org.uk

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Re: [Wikimedia-l] Fundraising mysteries

2013-11-25 Thread Matthew Walker
I have no information on what did or did not happen on any specific days --
but I can say that the data on frdata.wikimedia.org is unfiltered -- e.g.
it includes major gifts donations as well as online fundraising efforts.

We used to filter out everyone above 10,000 $ USD, but I neglected to add
the same filter for this data -- mostly because that really wasn't really a
good filter. There are better ways to filter; but the best one I can think
of off the top of my head I don't have bandwidth at this moment to
implement. In and of itself not an issue, just an FYI, but I would also
have to generate this and a filtered file because the filtered file would
only be good for online fundraising which does not reveal the whole truth
about how the WMF fundraises.

~Matt Walker
Wikimedia Foundation
Fundraising Technology Team


On Mon, Nov 25, 2013 at 4:50 AM, Andrew Gray andrew.g...@dunelm.org.ukwrote:

 Megan can certainly correct me if I've got the wrong end of the stick,
 but I think these are probably once-off payments rather than the
 result of a good day of banner-based fundraising.

 The October report estimates $2.7m fundraising through the month, but
 the spreadsheet data totals $3.8m. The discrepancy is around a million
 dollars, and the monthly report mentions a $1m grant from the Sloan
 Foundation, which tallies nicely.

 I couldn't spot a specific grant for September, but there was a
 provisional estimate of approximately $2m, and the data totals $2.5m.
 The blip on 2/9 is about half a million dollars, roughly the same as
 the discrepancy, and I would not be surprised if this is again a large
 donation/grant.

 Sadly, daily Sloan grants are probably not a sustainable approach...

 A.

 On 25 November 2013 11:51, James Salsman jsals...@gmail.com wrote:
  Hi Megan,
 
  Per the attached graph of the
  https://frdata.wikimedia.org/yeardata-day-vs-sum.csv
  data, your announced October 4th fundraising test on 100% of anonymous
  users was anticlimactic. But what the heck did you do on September 2nd
  and October 22nd, and would you please do that every day? Even if it
  falls off at the same rate as the July test, that still means you
  could produce an endowment sufficient to do away with fundraising at
  current spending levels in less than eight months.
 
  Best regards,
  James Salsman
 
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