Re: [Wikimediaindia-l] Outcome of CIS work in Kannada Wikipedia

2014-05-21 Thread Ravishankar
Pavanaja,

Thanks for the explaining the outcome of Tulu Workshops and Christ
University partnership.

While you take a microscopic view of the recent activity and ask me to be
optimistic, I would like to be realistic after taking a macroscopic view on
past activities.

Please see

http://cis-india.org/openness/blog/launch-of-assamese-wikipedia-education-program

where active editors going from 20 to 20 over a period of 6 months is
called 45% growth.

The real state of Assamese Wikipedia now after two years can be seen at

http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaAS.htm

Here is what Asaf from WMF has to say on this:

https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Grants_talk:APG/Proposals/2013-2014_round2/The_Centre_for_Internet_and_Society/Proposal_form#Q2a

For a tiny Wikipedia like Assamese, it's possible the temporary editing
boost leading to a *doubling* of its size by article count and
*tripling*of its size by contents was itself the seed of future
growth, as the
bootstrapping of a Wikipedia is also slow and not self-sustaining work,
until that moment when a virtuous cycle kicks in and the usefulness of the
resource begins attracting new editors organically. We have perhaps not
reached that moment with Assamese, and as you point out, the program is
implicitly judged to be less valuable than other opportunities and has thus
been discontinued.

If this is the case of Assamese Wikipedia which is already out of incubator
and that once had a very small but dedicated community, then what is CIS
doing working with projects in incubator?

Even after CIS working for a year on Konkani Wikipedia, it is not out of
incubator.

But, it seems you have started the Tulu plan even before the FDC grant is
approved.

Your FDC proposal staff assessment also notes as follows:

https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Grants:APG/Proposals/2013-2014_round2/The_Centre_for_Internet_and_Society/Staff_proposal_assessment

CIS’s strategy for its stand-alone projects may not be the most effective
for the language communities each project is targeting, given that projects
other than Wikipedia (for example, Wikisource or Wiktionary) may be more
effective entry-points for working with language communities like Tulu or
Santali.

To quote Asaf from WMF again:

The *sine qua non* of most programs is a core of self-motivating active
editors... Where that core doesn't exist, it's very hard to deploy any
other type of program...

Tulu has a population around 2 million speakers.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tulu_language

You can find a realistic estimate of Editors per million speakers here:

http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/Sitemap.htm

For the Indian landscape, Malayalam has around 3 editors (those who make 5+
edits every month) per million and it is the highest (you need to ignore
the highly extrapolated value for Sanskrit owing to its tiny population and
institutional support). It goes down until 0.2 editors per million for
Hindi. To put it in plain words, for every 50 lakh people speaking Hindi,
we can hope to get 1 editor making 5+ edits. This trend has been consistent
over the years and I don't expect drastic change occurring in the near
future unless there is a huge change in socio-economic scenarios.

If you look for languages similar to Tulu, Nepal Bhasa comes close.

You can check the activity for their Wikipedia at

http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaNEW.htm

(to be continued.. ) :)

Ravi
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Re: [Wikimediaindia-l] Outcome of CIS work in Kannada Wikipedia

2014-05-21 Thread Ravishankar
(Continued from
http://lists.wikimedia.org/pipermail/wikimediaindia-l/2014-May/011389.html )

Hang on !

While all these stats highlight the people who make 5+ edits, the real
strength of any Wikipedia is people who make 100+, 1000+, 2500+ edits per
month. Only those Wikipedias which manage to nurture a continuous supply of
such editors can progress while keeping in balance editors who go inactive
periodically or forever.

Let's take the case of Tamil Wikipedia.

(Everyone should excuse me quoting Tamil Wikipedia often. It is my home
Wikipedia and where have I exclusively worked for many years. I do watch
how other Wikipedias work and will try my best to showcase case studies
from as many Wikipedias possible. If you know better case studies, please
feel free to add to the discussion)

Please check the page

https://ta.wikipedia.org/wiki/WP:cms

Since February 2013, we are keeping track of people who make 100+, 250+ and
1000+ edits every month.

So far, in the last 15 months alone, we have

100+ edits - 30 contributors

250+ edits - 41 contributors

1000+ editors - 13 contributors

Many of these people hit these milestones often.

With so many in the pool, the most number of contributors who have made
100+ in a single month is 34 which happened in January 2014.

http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaTA.htm

The number of new articles created, daily edits all depend on this most
active editor count.

For example, check the distribution of article edits in following three
languages

http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaDE.htm#editdistribution

http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaEN.htm#editdistribution

http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaML.htm#editdistribution

http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaTA.htm#editdistribution

Almost universally, the trend of 1-2% editors making 80% of edits is
prevalent.

And let us see the kind of effort these people put in.

During May 2012, just for fun, I asked my fellow Tamil Wikipedians this
simple question:

https://ta.wikipedia.org/s/qbz

How many hours per week do you spend on activities related to Tamil
Wikipedia? (Includes time to collect references)

14 people answered and they collectively spent 294 working hours per week.

Extrapolating for the stats that month, we found that we spend at least
400+ working hours every week collectively improving Tamil Wikipedia.

That is equivalent to employing 10 full time staff just to keep editing
Tamil Wikipedia !

And after all this we don't even feel we are anywhere near a very useful
and comprehensive encyclopedia. There is lot of work to be done yet.

**

CIS is liberal in throwing lot of jargons at the community. Say for
example, Needs assessment, Coordination problem, etc.,

For a difference, I would like to ask them:

* Have you ever done a feasibility study for the chances of having a high
quality Wikipedia led by active community before engaging in language
community plan? Some of the key factors that determined the selection of
languages areas as listed  at

https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/India_Access_To_Knowledge/Draft_Work_plan_July_2014_-_June_2015#Language_Area_Work_Plans

don't talk about this.

That is why I question the sanity of engaging with incubator projects like
Tulu.

* Are your plans creative enough, big enough to capture and nurture the
most active contributors? Without such contributors all efforts will remain
one-off and inorganic. That is why I question the effectiveness of paid
physical outreach you engage so much. Physical outreach by volunteers can
be equally ineffective. But it serves other purposes like community
leadership building, brand building etc., and not direct editor recruitment.

* What is the lifetime value of one such contributor? In other words, is
your spending worth the results you produce?

(to be continued.. ) :)

Ravi
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Re: [Wikimediaindia-l] Outcome of CIS work in Kannada Wikipedia

2014-05-21 Thread Ravishankar
(Continued from
http://lists.wikimedia.org/pipermail/wikimediaindia-l/2014-May/011390.html )

OK, where were we :)

Ah yes, I was asking about the outcome of CIS's work in general in Kannada
Wikipedia.

I wanted to hear the story from the community as most of the reports by CIS
are unilateral. So, CIS or its partners are under no obligation to answer
here. But, as Pavanaja had mentioned that he had answered my questions, I
would like to clarify that some of my concerns remain unanswered.

* What is the direct impact of numerous Kannada outreach sessions done?

As tabulated at

https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/India_Access_To_Knowledge/Draft_Work_plan_July_2014_-_June_2015/Kannada#Tangible_Impact

you have even exceeded the dream target for number of outreach sessions
even 6 months in advance ! I wonder why this is even set as a target when
it is documented to have negligible value by WMF.

Please also go through Wikimedia evaluation portal

https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/Programs:Evaluation_portal

where more such programs are evaluated and best practices are shared.


* Regarding Christ University partnership, I would like to have few
clarifications.

In this mail thread, you have written as follows:

//I have personally interacted with many students. There are quite a good
number of students who are passionate about enriching Kannada language and
bringing latest knowledge into Kannada by way of adding articles to Kannada
Wikipedia. Nurturing those students will help not only Kannada Wikipedia
but also Kannada language and people in general. Again, I would emphasis,
let us be optimistic.  //

Whereas at

https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/India_Access_To_Knowledge/Draft_Work_plan_July_2014_-_June_2015/Kannada#Tangible_Impact

it is documented as follows:

Retaining these as active editors will be a difficult task. Writing
article on Wikipedia was a compulsory activity for the students. Only a
small percentage of these students have realised the importance of writing
on Wikipedia and promised to continue editing Wikipedia.

Both are official statements from CIS and are contradicting each other. At
least, the optimism shared :)

In this context, I have few issues:

* Enrolling students compulsorily is a problem that is documented already

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:India_Education_Program/Analysis/Independent_Report_from_Tory_Read#The_Foundation_Makes_the_Wikipedia_Assignment_Mandatory

* All the upward pointing graphs at

https://meta.wikimedia.org/wiki/India_Access_To_Knowledge/Draft_Work_plan_July_2014_-_June_2015/Kannada#Tangible_Impact

can mislead the FDC as they don't take into account the project returning
to natural growth rates afterwards.

* Similar spike and fall is also seen at Hindi Wikipedia

http://stats.wikimedia.org/EN/TablesWikipediaHI.htm

I assume this could be an effect of the Christ University partnership too
as

http://cis-india.org/openness/blog/cis-a2k-mou-christ-university

says 800 students studying Hindi are also enrolled in this project.

Is the Hindi community kept in loop about this effort?

Please note that engaging the local community in planning is a recommended
best practice as explained at

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:India_Education_Program/Analysis/Independent_Report_from_Tory_Read#Engage_the_Global_Wikipedia_Community_as_a_Partner_in_Planning

Where it also notes

A pilot with more than 1,000 students will result in an unmanageable
amount of new material for a finite editor community to monitor

If 1000 students is a problem for the gigantic English community, how is
the relatively smaller Hindi Wikipedia handling 800 students?

How is Kannada Wikipedia handling 600 students?

This is especially important as unlike Pune education program, we don't
have campus ambassadors, online ambassadors and the entire work load is on
the community or the professors (if they are helping).

* Is there any data available regarding the quality of content added like
the one available at

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:India_Education_Program/Analysis/Independent_Report_from_Tory_Read#What_the_Data_Say

Given that most of the Indic Wiki communities are still reeling from the
work load of Google Translation project,

how equipped are the communities to engage these students, clean up and
nurture them in to active contributors?

* Is CIS engaging in this kind of high volume education program because its
previous outings with voluntary enrollment of students did not produce
sufficient results?

For example,

Here are the reports about Assamese and Odia Wikipedia education programs:

http://cis-india.org/openness/blog/odia-wikipedia-education-program-iimc-dhenkanal(12
stubs out of a 3 month program)

http://cis-india.org/openness/blog/launch-of-assamese-wikipedia-education-program(No
clue about results)

And that's all for now !

Ravi
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To 

[Wikimediaindia-l] How did the Tamil wikipedia achieve quality organic growth - case study?

2014-05-21 Thread Vikram Vincent
Dear Ravi,
I am impressed by the statistics you have mentioned in your previous
mail on the Tamil team in Wikipedia.  Can you please share the Tamil
team's approach as a case study. I am sure that many of us here will
benefit from it.
Thank you
-- 
Vikram Vincent

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