Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-04-01 Thread Alan Cain

Quite so. Very true.

Tom DeReggi wrote:

The idea is to put yourself in a spot that you won't feel the squeeze.

When enough of your gear is paid for, enough of your cell sites are 
traded, once you've reached a scale to have rock bottom bandwidth, and 
spread your business around without all your eggs in one 
basket/market, it becomes easier.  One of your markets can subsidize 
the other.   When you send the message that under pricing you doesn't 
harm you, and doesn't help them succeed, they have no motive to 
continue wasting their money in that type of marketing.  This is the 
year to figure out how to make your business less vulnerable, and be 
more competitive. The sooner one acknowledge that the competition is 
comming, the sooner one can prepair for it.  If you aren't in a 
position to prepare for it, the only choice is to sell it to someone 
that is, or milk it for all its worth while it dies. But the idea that 
a First-in WISP can't compete, is wrong.  What you need to do is 
identify the Anchor tenants and get them as fast as you can, 
preferably in long term contracts, to subsidize the others.  
Ironically, the markets that I'm growing fastest right now, are my 
most competitive markets.


Tom DeReggi
RapidDSL  Wireless, Inc
IntAirNet- Fixed Wireless Broadband




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RE: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-31 Thread Charles Wu
Ultimately, a business is built to maximize it's selling price to it's customer 
-- the difference between Clearwire and many of the people on this listserv is 
the definition of product and customer
 
For most people here (e.g., the small business owner of a profitable WISP / 
Wireless Network Operator), the product being sold is Broadband Internet 
Access, and the customer is the residential or commercial subscriber...
 
for Clearwire (or more specifically -- McCaw), the product being sold is a 
WiMAX/4G Network -- and the customer is a large RBOC/Cellco/Investment 
Bank/etc
 
So, with this understanding of the differences in the definition of product 
and customer for both types of entities, it's very easy to rationalize both 
types of behavior.
 
The small business owner main source of cash is its subscriber base 
 
Clearwire's main source of cash is Venture Capital / Wall Street 
 
-Charles
 



From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] on behalf of George Rogato
Sent: Fri 3/30/2007 2:42 PM
To: WISPA General List
Subject: Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?



Alan Cain wrote:

 What speeds and price were you offering that they picked of most of
 your subs?



 40.00 per month, 3 Mbps (actual). And we do offer hand holding,
 antivirus filtering, spam filtering and usually free truck rolls for
 problems (we only charge for the most clearly definable not our fault
 issues, such as computer repairs).

 We pride ourselves on customer service. Every one of the departing has
 said so sorry to go - loved your service. Boils down to perfect
 service and perceived lowest price.

Same thing I do here. Customer service is everything. Probably one
reason we have not took a bath since both DSL and Cable turned on years ago.

We get quite a few conversions from cable and dsl to us, and that always
makes me happy. Although we do loose a few to them as well.

The majority of the time we loose to a dsl sub, it's price and it's
usually misinformed price.

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Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-31 Thread Marlon K. Schafer

They call EVERY number in that area  Not just your customers.

This simply shows the level of desperation that they have.  And if you can 
keep that pop up, many of them will come back when they figure out that the 
real bill is far higher than they were told it would be


And, when that happens, they will be far more loyal in the days to come.
marlon

- Original Message - 
From: Alan Cain [EMAIL PROTECTED]

To: WISPA General List wireless@wispa.org
Sent: Thursday, March 29, 2007 5:08 PM
Subject: Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?



George Rogato wrote:

Travis Johnson wrote:
I agree with almost everything you said... except the triple play 
revenue... Qwest is doing a triple play system (Qwest DSL, Qwest VoIP 
and DirecTV) for $99 per month with $0 install.


Also, I don't have a problem with 30-50 year ROI for fiber... but 
ClearWire is wireless... all the equipment will have to swapped out in 5 
years.


Travis
Microserv


Qwest is finally doing better. More dsl revenue.

But I wonder what the 99.00 doesn't include and how much the total 
package costs, with extra charges.


They never tell the total price, they just quote a unit price.


And quoting unit prices is fully effective enough. One of my POPs has gone 
from 20 customers to 1 customer, as Qwest has aggressively targeted the 
area with phone calls to each (!) of my customers 4, 5 and 6 times a week, 
offering 1.7 Mbps service for 37.50/month. The contract is vaguely and 
worded in very fine print so no one gets that it is an introductory price, 
with miscellaneous services and taxes extra. Many will probably rue the 
day, but I can't hold on to that POP with one customer.


And how the heck did they get so specific on the customer list? Do they 
offer a cut to judas goats?


I begin to think the big guys are now starting the big squeeze. Oh, 
expletive deleted.

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Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-31 Thread George Rogato



Marlon K. Schafer wrote:

They call EVERY number in that area  Not just your customers.

This simply shows the level of desperation that they have.  



I don't see it as desperation.
I see it as aggressive marketing.



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Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-31 Thread Tom DeReggi

Charles,

Intersting answer/perspective.

Tom DeReggi
RapidDSL  Wireless, Inc
IntAirNet- Fixed Wireless Broadband


- Original Message - 
From: Charles Wu [EMAIL PROTECTED]

To: WISPA General List wireless@wispa.org
Sent: Saturday, March 31, 2007 10:23 AM
Subject: RE: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?


Ultimately, a business is built to maximize it's selling price to it's 
customer -- the difference between Clearwire and many of the people on this 
listserv is the definition of product and customer


For most people here (e.g., the small business owner of a profitable WISP / 
Wireless Network Operator), the product being sold is Broadband Internet 
Access, and the customer is the residential or commercial subscriber...


for Clearwire (or more specifically -- McCaw), the product being sold is 
a WiMAX/4G Network -- and the customer is a large RBOC/Cellco/Investment 
Bank/etc


So, with this understanding of the differences in the definition of 
product and customer for both types of entities, it's very easy to 
rationalize both types of behavior.


The small business owner main source of cash is its subscriber base

Clearwire's main source of cash is Venture Capital / Wall Street

-Charles




From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] on behalf of George Rogato
Sent: Fri 3/30/2007 2:42 PM
To: WISPA General List
Subject: Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?



Alan Cain wrote:


What speeds and price were you offering that they picked of most of
your subs?




40.00 per month, 3 Mbps (actual). And we do offer hand holding,
antivirus filtering, spam filtering and usually free truck rolls for
problems (we only charge for the most clearly definable not our fault
issues, such as computer repairs).

We pride ourselves on customer service. Every one of the departing has
said so sorry to go - loved your service. Boils down to perfect
service and perceived lowest price.


Same thing I do here. Customer service is everything. Probably one
reason we have not took a bath since both DSL and Cable turned on years ago.

We get quite a few conversions from cable and dsl to us, and that always
makes me happy. Although we do loose a few to them as well.

The majority of the time we loose to a dsl sub, it's price and it's
usually misinformed price.

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Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-30 Thread Dylan Oliver

Alan,

You offer wireless service at $40/mo, don't you? I'm surprised that anyone
left you for $2.50 a month. Inertia alone is worth far more to people ..
especially when it comes to things like changing internet addresses, and the
prospect of having to learn something new. How fast is your service in that
area? Have customers experienced any big outages recently? Could you *ask*
them to rate your service vs. Qwest's, as they now experience it? Include
points like: Speed .. Extra Services .. Price .. Quality of Customer Support
.. Stability of Service.

I can only imagine that Qwest targeted the whole area, not just your
customers. How could they possibly know, short of driving around looking for
antennas? Why would they waste the time looking when they could just call
everyone in the area?

Best,
--
Dylan Oliver
Primaverity, LLC
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Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-30 Thread Alan Cain

George Rogato wrote:



Alan Cain wrote:

And quoting unit prices is fully effective enough. One of my POPs has 
gone from 20 customers to 1 customer, as Qwest has aggressively 
targeted the area with phone calls to each (!) of my customers 4, 5 
and 6 times a week, offering 1.7 Mbps service for 37.50/month. The 
contract is vaguely and worded in very fine print so no one gets that 
it is an introductory price, with miscellaneous services and taxes 
extra. Many will probably rue the day, but I can't hold on to that 
POP with one customer.


And how the heck did they get so specific on the customer list? Do 
they offer a cut to judas goats?



They do the same thing around here.

What speeds and price were you offering that they picked of most of 
your subs?




40.00 per month, 3 Mbps (actual). And we do offer hand holding, 
antivirus filtering, spam filtering and usually free truck rolls for 
problems (we only charge for the most clearly definable not our fault 
issues, such as computer repairs).


We pride ourselves on customer service. Every one of the departing has 
said so sorry to go - loved your service. Boils down to perfect 
service and perceived lowest price.

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Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-30 Thread Travis Johnson
I have a suggestion for you... your pricing is currently at $40/month. 
That's the same price we had for the previous 4 years and we just 
changed it... to $39.95 and guess what? It made a huge difference. We 
changed all of our existing customers, and made all the changes on all 
of our other accounts as well... it cost us a few hundred per month from 
existing customers, but we have made that back easily by new signups.


There is a HUGE perceived difference from $37.95 to $40 vs $37.95 to 
$39.95. You should consider such a change... it will make a difference.


Travis
Microserv

Alan Cain wrote:

George Rogato wrote:



Alan Cain wrote:

And quoting unit prices is fully effective enough. One of my POPs 
has gone from 20 customers to 1 customer, as Qwest has aggressively 
targeted the area with phone calls to each (!) of my customers 4, 5 
and 6 times a week, offering 1.7 Mbps service for 37.50/month. The 
contract is vaguely and worded in very fine print so no one gets 
that it is an introductory price, with miscellaneous services and 
taxes extra. Many will probably rue the day, but I can't hold on to 
that POP with one customer.


And how the heck did they get so specific on the customer list? Do 
they offer a cut to judas goats?



They do the same thing around here.

What speeds and price were you offering that they picked of most of 
your subs?




40.00 per month, 3 Mbps (actual). And we do offer hand holding, 
antivirus filtering, spam filtering and usually free truck rolls for 
problems (we only charge for the most clearly definable not our 
fault issues, such as computer repairs).


We pride ourselves on customer service. Every one of the departing has 
said so sorry to go - loved your service. Boils down to perfect 
service and perceived lowest price.

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Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-30 Thread Alan Cain

Dylan Oliver wrote:

Alan,

You offer wireless service at $40/mo, don't you? I'm surprised that 
anyone

left you for $2.50 a month. Inertia alone is worth far more to people ..
especially when it comes to things like changing internet addresses, 
and the
prospect of having to learn something new. How fast is your service in 
that
area? Have customers experienced any big outages recently? Could you 
*ask*

them to rate your service vs. Qwest's, as they now experience it? Include
points like: Speed .. Extra Services .. Price .. Quality of Customer 
Support

.. Stability of Service.

I can only imagine that Qwest targeted the whole area, not just your
customers. How could they possibly know, short of driving around 
looking for

antennas? Why would they waste the time looking when they could just call
everyone in the area?

Best,
I *AM* probably certifiably paranoid. I have had to work with our 
favorite Grant County PUD (which is currently being sued for antitrust 
activities against local ISPs - you should check out www.sliderule.net 
for some Very Interesting Reading), and having had my face rubbed into 
how agencies and companies can truly act, I am a bit sensitive.


I have JUST found out that they have a retired Qwest telecom  engineer  
guy in the neighborhood who has been urging management to push hard; 
there is a new vacation home development coming on strong which would 
have been a big payoff for my investment there. A vacation spot for 
Microsofties (we are on the shores of a beautiful lake in Eastern 
Washington).


And, I also found out yesterday that there is the issue of the 
Electrical Engineering/Computer Science student who has a Motorola 
Frequency Hopper. His senior project this winter (2006) was 
Non-line-of-sight still image and telemetry communications using 
certain wireless technologies. He has been turning it on and off (yes, 
I can see it on my spectrum analyzer). Yesterday was very informative 
and a little discouraging.


He had the gall to tell a non-technical neighbor that he had a frequency 
hopper at his house. We had a talk, and he said Gee, I'm innocent - you 
don't suppose my smartbridge could fail that way, do you? Gosh, that 
would be like a denial of service attack - you do believe me, don't you?


I am pondering filing against him; that makes no friends but acts in a 
preventive fashion. I imagine everyone on this list has a strong opinion 
on that one.


Sometimes you can have ticks, fleas and tapeworms. Sometimes they can 
suck you dry.

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Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-30 Thread Dylan Oliver

What exactly is it you're going to file against this student?

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Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-30 Thread Peter R.

Loved your service buy left?
They didn't really know what they had then.

Do you combat these special offers with a mailing comparing the real 
billing from Qwest with yours?
Plus add in the extras plus add in the time for one service call to 
Qwest per billing period.


Alan Cain wrote:

40.00 per month, 3 Mbps (actual). And we do offer hand holding, 
antivirus filtering, spam filtering and usually free truck rolls for 
problems (we only charge for the most clearly definable not our 
fault issues, such as computer repairs).


We pride ourselves on customer service. Every one of the departing has 
said so sorry to go - loved your service. Boils down to perfect 
service and perceived lowest price.



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Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-30 Thread Alan Cain

Dylan Oliver wrote:

What exactly is it you're going to file against this student?


That is the question, isn't it. I am not a lawyer. Just pissed.

I could file him with a nice rasp. (that is a joke)
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Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-30 Thread George Rogato

Alan Cain wrote:

What speeds and price were you offering that they picked of most of 
your subs?




40.00 per month, 3 Mbps (actual). And we do offer hand holding, 
antivirus filtering, spam filtering and usually free truck rolls for 
problems (we only charge for the most clearly definable not our fault 
issues, such as computer repairs).


We pride ourselves on customer service. Every one of the departing has 
said so sorry to go - loved your service. Boils down to perfect 
service and perceived lowest price.


Same thing I do here. Customer service is everything. Probably one 
reason we have not took a bath since both DSL and Cable turned on years ago.


We get quite a few conversions from cable and dsl to us, and that always 
makes me happy. Although we do loose a few to them as well.


The majority of the time we loose to a dsl sub, it's price and it's 
usually misinformed price.


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Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-30 Thread Tom DeReggi

The idea is to put yourself in a spot that you won't feel the squeeze.

When enough of your gear is paid for, enough of your cell sites are traded, 
once you've reached a scale to have rock bottom bandwidth, and spread your 
business around without all your eggs in one basket/market, it becomes 
easier.  One of your markets can subsidize the other.   When you send the 
message that under pricing you doesn't harm you, and doesn't help them 
succeed, they have no motive to continue wasting their money in that type of 
marketing.  This is the year to figure out how to make your business less 
vulnerable, and be more competitive. The sooner one acknowledge that the 
competition is comming, the sooner one can prepair for it.  If you aren't in 
a position to prepare for it, the only choice is to sell it to someone that 
is, or milk it for all its worth while it dies. But the idea that a First-in 
WISP can't compete, is wrong.  What you need to do is identify the Anchor 
tenants and get them as fast as you can, preferably in long term contracts, 
to subsidize the others.  Ironically, the markets that I'm growing fastest 
right now, are my most competitive markets.


Tom DeReggi
RapidDSL  Wireless, Inc
IntAirNet- Fixed Wireless Broadband


- Original Message - 
From: Alan Cain [EMAIL PROTECTED]

To: WISPA General List wireless@wispa.org
Sent: Thursday, March 29, 2007 7:08 PM
Subject: Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?



George Rogato wrote:

Travis Johnson wrote:
I agree with almost everything you said... except the triple play 
revenue... Qwest is doing a triple play system (Qwest DSL, Qwest VoIP 
and DirecTV) for $99 per month with $0 install.


Also, I don't have a problem with 30-50 year ROI for fiber... but 
ClearWire is wireless... all the equipment will have to swapped out in 5 
years.


Travis
Microserv


Qwest is finally doing better. More dsl revenue.

But I wonder what the 99.00 doesn't include and how much the total 
package costs, with extra charges.


They never tell the total price, they just quote a unit price.


And quoting unit prices is fully effective enough. One of my POPs has gone 
from 20 customers to 1 customer, as Qwest has aggressively targeted the 
area with phone calls to each (!) of my customers 4, 5 and 6 times a week, 
offering 1.7 Mbps service for 37.50/month. The contract is vaguely and 
worded in very fine print so no one gets that it is an introductory price, 
with miscellaneous services and taxes extra. Many will probably rue the 
day, but I can't hold on to that POP with one customer.


And how the heck did they get so specific on the customer list? Do they 
offer a cut to judas goats?


I begin to think the big guys are now starting the big squeeze. Oh, 
expletive deleted.

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Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-29 Thread Travis Johnson
I agree with almost everything you said... except the triple play 
revenue... Qwest is doing a triple play system (Qwest DSL, Qwest VoIP 
and DirecTV) for $99 per month with $0 install.


Also, I don't have a problem with 30-50 year ROI for fiber... but 
ClearWire is wireless... all the equipment will have to swapped out in 5 
years.


Travis
Microserv

Clint Ricker wrote:

Just some general thoughts on large corporations, financing, and
business.  While Peter's analysis about silos and funding sources is
right on, I'm going to skirt that discussion because it isn't a
meaningful discussion on a superficial level.

How do they make money?  (Well, if they do make money--some don't).

1. Long term investments: While, in some respects the thirty year
cycle doesn't work for Internet, in other respects it does, especially
when you are talking transport.  True, the equipment may need to
change--but, fiber invested in now will be monetizable for the next 50
years.

While I don't think that 10-20 year ROI is practical (or smart) for
most smaller companies, many smaller players do hamstring themselves
by only looking at models that can be profitable in 3-6 months.
Financing may be needed, but it is often worth it.  A good example to
this is CLECs that took the easy money for several years and never
made any long-term investments (I'm sure Peter can supply some details
about the networks that were never built, despite billions of dollars
that came and went).

2. Long term loans: I'm seperating this out, but it is tied into the
long term investments.  Sure, fiber layed today may take 5 years to
pay for itself.  But, if it is paid for out of a 15 year loan, it can
be profitable from day one.

3. Better monetization: (More upsells).  Take a look at your phone,
cable, and cell bills, and think about how much of that is upsold from
basic service.  Basic cable costs $20; yet most people have packages
costs $50 or more.  Basic cell phone service is $35-45, but many pay
closer to $100+.  In other words, they get 2x-3x the revenue for
additional services that don't really cost them anything.

A good example of this is Verizon's FiOS buildout, which I gather
Peter is quite sceptical of.  $23 billion dollars by 2010; but only
200,000 customers by the end of 2006.  On the surface, this does seem
to be a little unprofitable for the next few years, but I'm not so
sure...

A good triple play customer can net a company an average of $125-$150
per month in revenue.  This means, over the course of 10 years, that
customer is worth $15,000!  Those 200,000 customers, by 2015, will
have paid Verizon a total of $3 billion dollars; given the reach of
Verizon's buildout; those 200,000 customers are just a drop in the
bucket.  Given that Verizon can get long term loans on these projects;
it can be profitable pretty early on.  It may blow up in their face,
given competition--but, I actually think they are in good shape
considering how versitile fiber is; their network expansion will serve
them for decades to come with only hardware upgrades necessary to
squeeze more out of the fiber.

Anyway, I digress :).   I just know the Verizon numbers a little
better, so it makes a clearer example.  But, given that Clearwire is
hoping to squeeze more than $50 ARPU from this ($600 per year)
(combined voip/data), will eventually have more or less nationwide
service with the ability to truly take on cellular networks in a big
way, and so forth, $180 customer acquisiton cost is not a bad deal.
Vonage pays more than that per customer acquisiton and only gets $300
ARPU at best--but then, they are also not doing so well financially :)

-Clint


On 3/29/07, Travis Johnson [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

The problem with that is eventually all of those income sources (IPO,
credit line, investors, etc.) dry up... and then you are left with
revenue to try and pay all the others (hardware, long term and monthly
debt, etc.). It can work, but I just don't see it in this industry. With
$30/month accounts (with little or no add-ons that the cell companies
used to have like vmail, long-distance, over-minute usage fees, etc.)
there just isn't that much profit.

The other difference is most telco's (and even cell companies) operate
on a 30 year ROI. That just doesn't work in the internet world. I guess
only time will tell.

Travis
Microserv

Peter R. wrote:
 I've spent much of this year analyzing the financials of Vonage and
 other companies. I just finished looking at VZ.
 (http://radinfo.blogspot.com/2007/03/vz-spending-billions.html)
 The numbers make no sense.  But then under GAAP accounting its all
 about putting your numbers in the proper silo and never changing.

 Where does the money come from?
 Some of it is debt.
 Some of it is hardware financing.
 Some of it is IPO money.
 Some of it is a credit line.
 Some from investors.
 A little from revenue.

 George Rogato wrote:

 I think it's the money raised from the sale of stock.
 Because if the 180 doesn't leave any 

Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-29 Thread George Rogato

Travis Johnson wrote:
I agree with almost everything you said... except the triple play 
revenue... Qwest is doing a triple play system (Qwest DSL, Qwest VoIP 
and DirecTV) for $99 per month with $0 install.


Also, I don't have a problem with 30-50 year ROI for fiber... but 
ClearWire is wireless... all the equipment will have to swapped out in 5 
years.


Travis
Microserv


Qwest is finally doing better. More dsl revenue.

But I wonder what the 99.00 doesn't include and how much the total 
package costs, with extra charges.


They never tell the total price, they just quote a unit price.


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Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-29 Thread Clint Ricker

I agree with almost everything you said... except the triple play
revenue... Qwest is doing a triple play system (Qwest DSL, Qwest VoIP
and DirecTV) for $99 per month with $0 install.

Their introductory price is $99 per month, but they are most likely
counting on people bumping up a tier in DSL service and TV packages...


Also, I don't have a problem with 30-50 year ROI for fiber... but
ClearWire is wireless... all the equipment will have to swapped out in 5
years.

True enough, and that makes wireless somewhat an oddball.  In this
case, there is some analogy to their use of licensed spectrum, which
is analogous to an extent to a physical medium.  Does anyone know off
the top of their head what platform they are using?  I know Intel is
partnering with them, but I've not followed them very closely.  I'm
kinda curious what their technology cycle will be

-Clint


Travis
Microserv

Clint Ricker wrote:
 Just some general thoughts on large corporations, financing, and
 business.  While Peter's analysis about silos and funding sources is
 right on, I'm going to skirt that discussion because it isn't a
 meaningful discussion on a superficial level.

 How do they make money?  (Well, if they do make money--some don't).

 1. Long term investments: While, in some respects the thirty year
 cycle doesn't work for Internet, in other respects it does, especially
 when you are talking transport.  True, the equipment may need to
 change--but, fiber invested in now will be monetizable for the next 50
 years.

 While I don't think that 10-20 year ROI is practical (or smart) for
 most smaller companies, many smaller players do hamstring themselves
 by only looking at models that can be profitable in 3-6 months.
 Financing may be needed, but it is often worth it.  A good example to
 this is CLECs that took the easy money for several years and never
 made any long-term investments (I'm sure Peter can supply some details
 about the networks that were never built, despite billions of dollars
 that came and went).

 2. Long term loans: I'm seperating this out, but it is tied into the
 long term investments.  Sure, fiber layed today may take 5 years to
 pay for itself.  But, if it is paid for out of a 15 year loan, it can
 be profitable from day one.

 3. Better monetization: (More upsells).  Take a look at your phone,
 cable, and cell bills, and think about how much of that is upsold from
 basic service.  Basic cable costs $20; yet most people have packages
 costs $50 or more.  Basic cell phone service is $35-45, but many pay
 closer to $100+.  In other words, they get 2x-3x the revenue for
 additional services that don't really cost them anything.

 A good example of this is Verizon's FiOS buildout, which I gather
 Peter is quite sceptical of.  $23 billion dollars by 2010; but only
 200,000 customers by the end of 2006.  On the surface, this does seem
 to be a little unprofitable for the next few years, but I'm not so
 sure...

 A good triple play customer can net a company an average of $125-$150
 per month in revenue.  This means, over the course of 10 years, that
 customer is worth $15,000!  Those 200,000 customers, by 2015, will
 have paid Verizon a total of $3 billion dollars; given the reach of
 Verizon's buildout; those 200,000 customers are just a drop in the
 bucket.  Given that Verizon can get long term loans on these projects;
 it can be profitable pretty early on.  It may blow up in their face,
 given competition--but, I actually think they are in good shape
 considering how versitile fiber is; their network expansion will serve
 them for decades to come with only hardware upgrades necessary to
 squeeze more out of the fiber.

 Anyway, I digress :).   I just know the Verizon numbers a little
 better, so it makes a clearer example.  But, given that Clearwire is
 hoping to squeeze more than $50 ARPU from this ($600 per year)
 (combined voip/data), will eventually have more or less nationwide
 service with the ability to truly take on cellular networks in a big
 way, and so forth, $180 customer acquisiton cost is not a bad deal.
 Vonage pays more than that per customer acquisiton and only gets $300
 ARPU at best--but then, they are also not doing so well financially :)

 -Clint


 On 3/29/07, Travis Johnson [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 The problem with that is eventually all of those income sources (IPO,
 credit line, investors, etc.) dry up... and then you are left with
 revenue to try and pay all the others (hardware, long term and monthly
 debt, etc.). It can work, but I just don't see it in this industry. With
 $30/month accounts (with little or no add-ons that the cell companies
 used to have like vmail, long-distance, over-minute usage fees, etc.)
 there just isn't that much profit.

 The other difference is most telco's (and even cell companies) operate
 on a 30 year ROI. That just doesn't work in the internet world. I guess
 only time will tell.

 Travis
 Microserv

 Peter R. wrote:
  I've spent much of this 

Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-29 Thread Alan Cain

George Rogato wrote:

Travis Johnson wrote:
I agree with almost everything you said... except the triple play 
revenue... Qwest is doing a triple play system (Qwest DSL, Qwest VoIP 
and DirecTV) for $99 per month with $0 install.


Also, I don't have a problem with 30-50 year ROI for fiber... but 
ClearWire is wireless... all the equipment will have to swapped out 
in 5 years.


Travis
Microserv


Qwest is finally doing better. More dsl revenue.

But I wonder what the 99.00 doesn't include and how much the total 
package costs, with extra charges.


They never tell the total price, they just quote a unit price.


And quoting unit prices is fully effective enough. One of my POPs has 
gone from 20 customers to 1 customer, as Qwest has aggressively targeted 
the area with phone calls to each (!) of my customers 4, 5 and 6 times a 
week, offering 1.7 Mbps service for 37.50/month. The contract is vaguely 
and worded in very fine print so no one gets that it is an introductory 
price, with miscellaneous services and taxes extra. Many will probably 
rue the day, but I can't hold on to that POP with one customer.


And how the heck did they get so specific on the customer list? Do they 
offer a cut to judas goats?


I begin to think the big guys are now starting the big squeeze. Oh, 
expletive deleted.

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Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-29 Thread George Rogato



Alan Cain wrote:

And quoting unit prices is fully effective enough. One of my POPs has 
gone from 20 customers to 1 customer, as Qwest has aggressively targeted 
the area with phone calls to each (!) of my customers 4, 5 and 6 times a 
week, offering 1.7 Mbps service for 37.50/month. The contract is vaguely 
and worded in very fine print so no one gets that it is an introductory 
price, with miscellaneous services and taxes extra. Many will probably 
rue the day, but I can't hold on to that POP with one customer.


And how the heck did they get so specific on the customer list? Do they 
offer a cut to judas goats?



They do the same thing around here.

What speeds and price were you offering that they picked of most of your 
subs?




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Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-28 Thread ccooper
Smart people sometimes do foolish things.  However, he isnt the  
dumbest guy in the world either.  So what is his bet?  Why would a guy  
who cut his teeth in cellular come out so hard against the cell  
carriers with a new wireless product?


chris

Quoting Ryan Spott [EMAIL PROTECTED]:


Just a little bit!

I was just talking to a local PC reseller and I asked him what
ClearWire gave him when he signed up a new customer.

180 bucks! Per sub!

It is normally 80 bucks per sub but when he reaches a certain
threshold, he gets 180.

So what does the next-net equipment cost?
and then bandwidth
and then tower leases
and then spiffs for your resellers

WOW!

ryan
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RE: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-28 Thread Gino Villarini
Hes basically emulating the Cellular Biz ...

Gino A. Villarini
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Aeronet Wireless Broadband Corp.
tel  787.273.4143   fax   787.273.4145
-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
Behalf Of [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Wednesday, March 28, 2007 9:31 PM
To: WISPA General List
Subject: Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

Smart people sometimes do foolish things.  However, he isnt the  
dumbest guy in the world either.  So what is his bet?  Why would a guy  
who cut his teeth in cellular come out so hard against the cell  
carriers with a new wireless product?

chris

Quoting Ryan Spott [EMAIL PROTECTED]:

 Just a little bit!

 I was just talking to a local PC reseller and I asked him what
 ClearWire gave him when he signed up a new customer.

 180 bucks! Per sub!

 It is normally 80 bucks per sub but when he reaches a certain
 threshold, he gets 180.

 So what does the next-net equipment cost?
 and then bandwidth
 and then tower leases
 and then spiffs for your resellers

 WOW!

 ryan
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Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-28 Thread Travis Johnson




The cellular business was different 2-3 years ago... before number
portability...

Travis
Microserv

Gino Villarini wrote:

  Hes basically emulating the Cellular Biz ...

Gino A. Villarini
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Aeronet Wireless Broadband Corp.
tel  787.273.4143   fax   787.273.4145
-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]] On
Behalf Of [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Wednesday, March 28, 2007 9:31 PM
To: WISPA General List
Subject: Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

Smart people sometimes do foolish things.  However, he isnt the  
dumbest guy in the world either.  So what is his bet?  Why would a guy  
who cut his teeth in cellular come out so hard against the cell  
carriers with a new wireless product?

chris

Quoting Ryan Spott [EMAIL PROTECTED]:

  
  
Just a little bit!

I was just talking to a local PC reseller and I asked him what
ClearWire gave him when he signed up a new customer.

180 bucks! Per sub!

It is normally 80 bucks per sub but when he reaches a certain
threshold, he gets 180.

So what does the next-net equipment cost?
and then bandwidth
and then tower leases
and then spiffs for your "resellers"

WOW!

ryan
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RE: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-28 Thread Gino Villarini
Well yeah, he exited the cell biz bout 4 years ago .., and theres no Num
portability with internet

 

Gino A. Villarini 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Aeronet Wireless Broadband Corp. 
tel  787.273.4143   fax   787.273.4145 



From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
Behalf Of Travis Johnson
Sent: Wednesday, March 28, 2007 10:00 PM
To: WISPA General List
Subject: Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

 

The cellular business was different 2-3 years ago... before number
portability...

Travis
Microserv

Gino Villarini wrote: 

Hes basically emulating the Cellular Biz ...
 
Gino A. Villarini
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Aeronet Wireless Broadband Corp.
tel  787.273.4143   fax   787.273.4145
-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
Behalf Of [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Wednesday, March 28, 2007 9:31 PM
To: WISPA General List
Subject: Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?
 
Smart people sometimes do foolish things.  However, he isnt the  
dumbest guy in the world either.  So what is his bet?  Why would a guy  
who cut his teeth in cellular come out so hard against the cell  
carriers with a new wireless product?
 
chris
 
Quoting Ryan Spott [EMAIL PROTECTED]
mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] :
 
  

Just a little bit!
 
I was just talking to a local PC reseller and I asked him what
ClearWire gave him when he signed up a new customer.
 
180 bucks! Per sub!
 
It is normally 80 bucks per sub but when he reaches a certain
threshold, he gets 180.
 
So what does the next-net equipment cost?
and then bandwidth
and then tower leases
and then spiffs for your resellers
 
WOW!
 
ryan
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RE: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-28 Thread Ryan Langseth
Yea there is, its call DNS

Ryan

On Wed, 2007-03-28 at 22:34 -0400, Gino Villarini wrote:
 Well yeah, he exited the cell biz bout 4 years ago .., and theres no Num
 portability with internet
 
  
 
 Gino A. Villarini 
 [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
 Aeronet Wireless Broadband Corp. 
 tel  787.273.4143   fax   787.273.4145 
 
 
 
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Travis Johnson
 Sent: Wednesday, March 28, 2007 10:00 PM
 To: WISPA General List
 Subject: Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?
 
  
 
 The cellular business was different 2-3 years ago... before number
 portability...
 
 Travis
 Microserv
 
 Gino Villarini wrote: 
 
 Hes basically emulating the Cellular Biz ...
  
 Gino A. Villarini
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Aeronet Wireless Broadband Corp.
 tel  787.273.4143   fax   787.273.4145
 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Sent: Wednesday, March 28, 2007 9:31 PM
 To: WISPA General List
 Subject: Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?
  
 Smart people sometimes do foolish things.  However, he isnt the  
 dumbest guy in the world either.  So what is his bet?  Why would a guy  
 who cut his teeth in cellular come out so hard against the cell  
 carriers with a new wireless product?
  
 chris
  
 Quoting Ryan Spott [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] :
  
   
 
   Just a little bit!

   I was just talking to a local PC reseller and I asked him what
   ClearWire gave him when he signed up a new customer.

   180 bucks! Per sub!

   It is normally 80 bucks per sub but when he reaches a certain
   threshold, he gets 180.

   So what does the next-net equipment cost?
   and then bandwidth
   and then tower leases
   and then spiffs for your resellers

   WOW!

   ryan
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Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-28 Thread Travis Johnson
That's what I meant... back when he did cellular, people were more 
locked in to their cell numbers... so even outside of contract, most 
people didn't want to give up their number... but things are different 
now with cell stuff... it's much closer to how internet access is now... 
that's what I was saying...


He may have done well in the cell business 4 years ago, but the internet 
business is much different. People switch providers all the time. To pay 
someone $180 for a customer signup seems foolish.


$30/month x 12 months = $360. and he is giving away half of that right 
to start with... so that customer just became a $15/month customer... 
that you also had to provide equipment for ($5/month), bandwidth, 
support, etc. for $10/month. Maybe he's using the same mind-set that one 
of my competitors was using a few years ago (they are out of business 
now)... we'll make it up on quantity. :)


Travis
Microserv

Gino Villarini wrote:

Well yeah, he exited the cell biz bout 4 years ago .., and theres no Num
portability with internet

 

Gino A. Villarini 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
Aeronet Wireless Broadband Corp. 
tel  787.273.4143   fax   787.273.4145 




From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
Behalf Of Travis Johnson
Sent: Wednesday, March 28, 2007 10:00 PM
To: WISPA General List
Subject: Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

 


The cellular business was different 2-3 years ago... before number
portability...

Travis
Microserv

Gino Villarini wrote: 


Hes basically emulating the Cellular Biz ...
 
Gino A. Villarini

[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Aeronet Wireless Broadband Corp.
tel  787.273.4143   fax   787.273.4145
-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
Behalf Of [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Wednesday, March 28, 2007 9:31 PM
To: WISPA General List
Subject: Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?
 
Smart people sometimes do foolish things.  However, he isnt the  
dumbest guy in the world either.  So what is his bet?  Why would a guy  
who cut his teeth in cellular come out so hard against the cell  
carriers with a new wireless product?
 
chris
 
Quoting Ryan Spott [EMAIL PROTECTED]

mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] :
 
  


Just a little bit!
	 
	I was just talking to a local PC reseller and I asked him what

ClearWire gave him when he signed up a new customer.
	 
	180 bucks! Per sub!
	 
	It is normally 80 bucks per sub but when he reaches a certain

threshold, he gets 180.
	 
	So what does the next-net equipment cost?

and then bandwidth
and then tower leases
and then spiffs for your resellers
	 
	WOW!
	 
	ryan
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RE: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-28 Thread Brad Belton
Or possibly called BGP...

Best,


Brad

-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
Behalf Of Ryan Langseth
Sent: Wednesday, March 28, 2007 9:41 PM
To: WISPA General List
Subject: RE: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

Yea there is, its call DNS

Ryan

On Wed, 2007-03-28 at 22:34 -0400, Gino Villarini wrote:
 Well yeah, he exited the cell biz bout 4 years ago .., and theres no Num
 portability with internet
 
  
 
 Gino A. Villarini 
 [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
 Aeronet Wireless Broadband Corp. 
 tel  787.273.4143   fax   787.273.4145 
 
 
 
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Travis Johnson
 Sent: Wednesday, March 28, 2007 10:00 PM
 To: WISPA General List
 Subject: Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?
 
  
 
 The cellular business was different 2-3 years ago... before number
 portability...
 
 Travis
 Microserv
 
 Gino Villarini wrote: 
 
 Hes basically emulating the Cellular Biz ...
  
 Gino A. Villarini
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Aeronet Wireless Broadband Corp.
 tel  787.273.4143   fax   787.273.4145
 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Sent: Wednesday, March 28, 2007 9:31 PM
 To: WISPA General List
 Subject: Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?
  
 Smart people sometimes do foolish things.  However, he isnt the  
 dumbest guy in the world either.  So what is his bet?  Why would a guy  
 who cut his teeth in cellular come out so hard against the cell  
 carriers with a new wireless product?
  
 chris
  
 Quoting Ryan Spott [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] :
  
   
 
   Just a little bit!

   I was just talking to a local PC reseller and I asked him what
   ClearWire gave him when he signed up a new customer.

   180 bucks! Per sub!

   It is normally 80 bucks per sub but when he reaches a certain
   threshold, he gets 180.

   So what does the next-net equipment cost?
   and then bandwidth
   and then tower leases
   and then spiffs for your resellers

   WOW!

   ryan
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Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-28 Thread George Rogato

I think it's the money raised from the sale of stock.
Because if the 180 doesn't leave any profit, what about all the radio 
and tv advertizing they do?



Travis Johnson wrote:
That's what I meant... back when he did cellular, people were more 
locked in to their cell numbers... so even outside of contract, most 
people didn't want to give up their number... but things are different 
now with cell stuff... it's much closer to how internet access is now... 
that's what I was saying...


He may have done well in the cell business 4 years ago, but the internet 
business is much different. People switch providers all the time. To pay 
someone $180 for a customer signup seems foolish.


$30/month x 12 months = $360. and he is giving away half of that right 
to start with... so that customer just became a $15/month customer... 
that you also had to provide equipment for ($5/month), bandwidth, 
support, etc. for $10/month. Maybe he's using the same mind-set that one 
of my competitors was using a few years ago (they are out of business 
now)... we'll make it up on quantity. :)


Travis
Microserv

Gino Villarini wrote:

Well yeah, he exited the cell biz bout 4 years ago .., and theres no Num
portability with internet

 

Gino A. Villarini [EMAIL PROTECTED] Aeronet Wireless Broadband Corp. 
tel  787.273.4143   fax   787.273.4145



From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
Behalf Of Travis Johnson
Sent: Wednesday, March 28, 2007 10:00 PM
To: WISPA General List
Subject: Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

 


The cellular business was different 2-3 years ago... before number
portability...

Travis
Microserv

Gino Villarini wrote:
Hes basically emulating the Cellular Biz ...
 
Gino A. Villarini

[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Aeronet Wireless Broadband Corp.
tel  787.273.4143   fax   787.273.4145
-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
Behalf Of [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Wednesday, March 28, 2007 9:31 PM
To: WISPA General List
Subject: Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?
 
Smart people sometimes do foolish things.  However, he isnt the  
dumbest guy in the world either.  So what is his bet?  Why would a 
guy  who cut his teeth in cellular come out so hard against the cell  
carriers with a new wireless product?
 
chris
 
Quoting Ryan Spott [EMAIL PROTECTED]

mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] :
 
 
Just a little bit!

 I was just talking to a local PC reseller and I asked him what
ClearWire gave him when he signed up a new customer.
 180 bucks! Per sub!
 It is normally 80 bucks per sub but when he reaches a certain
threshold, he gets 180.
 So what does the next-net equipment cost?
and then bandwidth
and then tower leases
and then spiffs for your resellers
 WOW!
 ryan
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Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-28 Thread Peter R.
I've spent much of this year analyzing the financials of Vonage and 
other companies. I just finished looking at VZ.

(http://radinfo.blogspot.com/2007/03/vz-spending-billions.html)
The numbers make no sense.  But then under GAAP accounting its all about 
putting your numbers in the proper silo and never changing.


Where does the money come from?
Some of it is debt.
Some of it is hardware financing.
Some of it is IPO money.
Some of it is a credit line.
Some from investors.
A little from revenue.

George Rogato wrote:


I think it's the money raised from the sale of stock.
Because if the 180 doesn't leave any profit, what about all the radio 
and tv advertizing they do?



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Re: [WISPA] McCaw losing money?

2007-03-28 Thread Travis Johnson
The problem with that is eventually all of those income sources (IPO, 
credit line, investors, etc.) dry up... and then you are left with 
revenue to try and pay all the others (hardware, long term and monthly 
debt, etc.). It can work, but I just don't see it in this industry. With 
$30/month accounts (with little or no add-ons that the cell companies 
used to have like vmail, long-distance, over-minute usage fees, etc.) 
there just isn't that much profit.


The other difference is most telco's (and even cell companies) operate 
on a 30 year ROI. That just doesn't work in the internet world. I guess 
only time will tell.


Travis
Microserv

Peter R. wrote:
I've spent much of this year analyzing the financials of Vonage and 
other companies. I just finished looking at VZ.

(http://radinfo.blogspot.com/2007/03/vz-spending-billions.html)
The numbers make no sense.  But then under GAAP accounting its all 
about putting your numbers in the proper silo and never changing.


Where does the money come from?
Some of it is debt.
Some of it is hardware financing.
Some of it is IPO money.
Some of it is a credit line.
Some from investors.
A little from revenue.

George Rogato wrote:


I think it's the money raised from the sale of stock.
Because if the 180 doesn't leave any profit, what about all the radio 
and tv advertizing they do?



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