Obama’s Stupid Sanctions Give Putin New Oil Bonanza

Column: Economics <http://journal-neo.org/category/columns/economics/>  

Region: Russia in the World 
<http://journal-neo.org/category/locations/russia-in-the-world/>  

US President Barack Obama, or at least the warhawk neo-conservatives pushing 
him to war everywhere, are beginning to get hit with the boomerang of their 
stupid economic sanctions against Putin’s Russia. A few days ago, Russia’s 
largest oil company, state-run OAO Rosneft, headed by close Putin ally, Igor 
Sechin, announced discovery of a giant new oil field in Russia’s Arctic north 
of Murmansk. The stupid part comes from Obama’s decision to agree to impose 
sanctions on Sechin and his company and to prohibit US companies from doing 
business with them. 

On September 27, in a joint announcement, Rosneft and US oil giant, ExxonMobil 
announced discovery of a huge new oil deposit, the Universitetskaya-1 well in 
the Kara Sea. For more than two decades Russian oil companies had dreamed of 
tapping what they believed were huge oil deposits in the Arctic. In 2011 the 
CEO of ExxonMobil, the largest of the US giant oil companies and the heart of 
the original Rockefeller oil group, signed a joint venture agreement with 
Sechin’s Rosneft to drill in the Russian Arctic. Universitetskaya-1 flow data 
suggests a discovery of between 750 million and one billion barrels of 
high-quality sweet, light crude oil, worth between 7.5 trillion and 10 trillion 
dollars at today’s price 
<http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/d667e26c-457e-11e4-9b71-00144feabdc0.html#axzz3Enh8g56n.>
 .

The Kara Sea find is only the first in a region that experts say has the 
potential to become one of the world’s most important crude-producing areas, 
bigger than the Gulf of Mexico. Estimates are that the exploration region of 
Rosneft in the Kara Sea, Universitetskaya, the geological structure being 
drilled, is the size of the city of Moscow and large enough to contain more 
than 9 billion barrels of oil. The first well was the most expensive in 
ExxonMobil history, costing some $600 million to drill. In a great 
understatement, Sechin told the press, “It exceeded our expectations. This 
discovery is of exceptional significance in showing the presence of 
hydrocarbons in the Arctic 
<http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-09-27/russia-discovers-massive-arctic-oil-field-which-may-be-larger-gulf-mexico>
 .”

Discovery of huge oil reserves in Russia’s Kara Sea northeast of Murmansk give 
a major boost to Putin’s energy geopolitics and a huge defeat to Washington and 
ExxonMobil

Sechin said that production of oil from the Kara Sea field could begin within 
five to seven years. The field discovered would be named “Victory.” There is 
more than a little irony in that name. Because of the economic sanctions 
drafted by the US Treasury Undersecretary for Terrorism and Financial 
Intelligence, David S. Cohen, as of October 10, ExxonMobil will be forced to 
withdraw from the Russian project and incur huge losses or violate the US 
Government sanctions and face severe penalties. The Obama Administration has 
just scored an own goal (Eigentor?) with its brilliant new precision financial 
and economic warfare unit inside the Treasury Department. Bravo, Washington! 
You have just inflicted major damage on one of the largest corporations in the 
United States. When ExxonMobil did the deal with Rosneft, it gambled that the 
Arctic region, the world’s greatest unexplored potential oil region, could be 
the company’s salvation in terms of assuring long-term crude supplies. The 
gamble proved correct and did so just as the stupid Obama Administration 
bureaucrats imposed sanctions on Sechin and the Arctic project they intended to 
damage Russia.

Rosneft now looks to China

Now with ExxonMobil and most likely MorganStanley as the financing agency to 
organize the billions needed to expand the drilling next spring, banned by US 
sanctions, Sechin is turning east to China. Conveniently for Rosneft, 
ExxonMobil is forced out just after finishing the most complex and difficult 
part of the project.

On September 1, President Putin personally told the Chinese that he approved 
Chinese state oil companies taking a financial stake in a major onshore 
subsidiary of Rosneft, Vankor. It will be the largest Chinese equity deal in a 
Russian oil company to date. Until the Ukraine crisis and sanctions, Russia had 
jealously limited foreign share-holding in its state-owned oil and gas 
companies. That deal deepened the growing energy ties between China and Russia, 
ironically, the opposite result of what Washington geopolitical Eurasia 
strategy is intended to achieve 
<http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-09-27/russia-discovers-massive-arctic-oil-field-which-may-be-larger-gulf-mexico>
 .

As US strategist Zbigniew Brzezinski declared in his 1997 book, The Grand 
Chessboard, US geopolitical policy must be to prevent at all costs a unified 
Eurasian economic challenge to American global hegemony. Oops, Obama, you may 
well have done the opposite. That’s what’s quite stupid—you failed to think 
through the complete consequences and interconnectedness of your actions.

F. William Engdahl is strategic risk consultant and lecturer, he holds a degree 
in politics from Princeton University and is a best-selling author on oil and 
geopolitics, exclusively for the online magazine “New Eastern Outlook” 
<http://journal-neo.org/> 
First appeared: 
http://journal-neo.org/2014/10/13/obama-s-stupid-sanctions-give-putin-new-oil-bonanza/

 

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