George Soros: $50 Billion for Ukraine or War with Russia

*       Soros: “The US and the Europeans are determined to avoid a war but 
unless they balance sanctions with support for Ukraine, they may well have one”
*       The solution? $50 billion for Ukraine
*       George Soros is an intolerable chowderhead

Christian Oliver (Financial Times)

Ukraine 36 minutes ago | 372 0 
<http://russia-insider.com/en/2015/01/09/2289#disqus_thread>  

 
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Ukraine:Ripe for Soros-style "investment"

This article originally appeared 
<http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/4ddfb410-9664-11e4-a40b-00144feabdc0.html?ftcamp=published_links%2Frss%2Fworld_europe%2Ffeed%2F%2Fproduct&siteedition=uk#axzz3OGnIFuSD>
  in The Financial Times

  _____  

Billionaire investor George Soros 
<http://www.ft.com/topics/people/George_Soros>  has accused western leaders of 
dangerously miscalculating their strategy towards Russia 
<http://blogs.ft.com/the-world/2014/12/the-five-most-significant-events-of-2014/>
  and Ukraine <http://www.ft.com/indepth/crisis-in-ukraine> , arguing that the 
crisis there posed a lethal risk to the eurozone 
<http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/c65f18b6-9652-11e4-a40b-00144feabdc0.html#axzz3Nw0YyAQt>
 .

In an interview with the Financial Times, the Hungarian-born philanthropist 
complained that European leaders were treating Ukraine as “just another 
country” in need of financial assistance rather than realising that the crisis 
on the EU’s eastern border posed a greater danger to Europe’s economy 
<http://www.ft.com/global-economy/eu> , and even the survival of the EU, than 
the Greek election <http://podcast.ft.com/p/2465> .

Mr Soros said sanctions on Moscow 
<http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/6f609f0c-8564-11e4-a06e-00144feabdc0.html>  were 
having a far deeper effect than western leaders had ever imagined because of 
the collapse in oil prices <http://www.ft.com/indepth/living-with-cheaper-oil>  
and added that a Russian debt default would “not be surprising”.

He added that Russia’s financial meltdown represented a strategic as well as an 
economic threat to Europe, with Moscow’s policy likely to become even more 
aggressively nationalist as the economy deteriorated.

“Sanctions against Russia reinforce the deflationary and recessionary pressures 
that were already present [in Europe] but have now become a reality,” Mr Soros 
said.

“A default would be a big blow to European banks exposed to Russia.”

Despite those dangers, Mr Soros stressed that he was not calling for the easing 
of sanctions, which were a “necessary evil” to push Russian forces out of 
Ukraine.

Instead, he said the US and EU were making a big mistake by failing to back up 
their sanctions with a massive financial support programme for Ukraine, which 
he estimated would have to run to $50bn and would need to be approved in the 
first quarter of 2015.

The 84-year-old hedge fund financier 
<http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/296e38da-902b-11e3-8029-00144feab7de.html#axzz3Nw0YyAQt>
  said Europe needed to “wake up” and accept that it was under attack from 
Russia.

“Assisting Ukraine should be seen as a defence measure by European countries,” 
he said.

“The US and the Europeans are determined to avoid a war but unless they balance 
sanctions with support for Ukraine, they may well have one.”

However, EU leaders are reluctant to provide more funds and even struggled to 
raise €1bn for the fight against Ebola.

Similarly, western nations are holding back on pumping fresh money into Ukraine 
until they see evidence of reform in Kiev.

European officials balked last month at the idea of extra support for Ukraine 
when the IMF identified a $15bn funding gap.

Mr Soros was speaking before the publication of an essay in The New York Review 
of Books 
<http://www.nybooks.com/articles/archives/2015/feb/05/new-policy-rescue-ukraine/?insrc=hpss>
  where he lays out detailed proposals for how a $50bn support plan for Ukraine 
could be marshalled by international institutions, including the EU and 
International Monetary Fund.

This massively expanded financial firepower, he argued, was the only way Europe 
could counter Moscow’s nationalist expansionism and save Ukraine from a 
bankruptcy that would strengthen hardliners in Russia.

“Hopefully, Russia’s troubles and Ukraine’s progress would persuade President 
Vladimir Putin to give up as a lost cause his attempts to destabilise Ukraine,” 
Mr Soros wrote in his essay.

For Mr Soros, this was evidence that western leaders had not understood 
Russia’s ambitions to undermine the EU itself, supporting anti-bloc politicians 
and using gas exports to play countries off against each other.

“The EU itself is disintegrating,” he said.

“Russia offers an alternative view of the world — force rather than rule of 
law”.

Mr Soros said an economic rescue of Ukraine would change Russian politics. 
While a Ukrainian bankruptcy would cement the power of hardliners, he said 
economic regeneration in the country, led by the EU and US, would bolster a 
more western-looking opposition in Russia.

Mr Soros, infamous for betting against the pound in 1992, made no attempt to 
disguise his bias for Ukraine where he established a foundation in 1990 and 
said the country was ripe for investment.

He said western companies looking for Ukraine’s growth areas should turn to its 
energy networks and the agricultural sector of the Soviet Union’s former 
breadbasket.

The most lucrative area would be improving the efficiency of the country’s 
power and heating networks, which are 10 times more energy intensive than the 
average in the OECD, the Paris based group of countries that aims to promote 
sustainable growth.

“For investment, energy efficiency is tops and agriculture has great potential 
as number two,” Mr Soros said.

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