The E.U. Experiment Has Failed

by  <http://www.hoover.org/profiles/bruce-thornton> Bruce Thornton

Thursday, March 5, 2015

 <http://www.hoover.org/research/eu-experiment-has-failed> 

77 <http://www.hoover.org/research/eu-experiment-has-failed> 

 

 

Image credit: 

Barbara Kelley

 

The slow-motion crisis of the European Union is the big story that rarely gets 
the attention it deserves. Even an event like the recent terrorist attack in 
France that left 17 dead is often isolated from the larger political, economic, 
and social problems that have long plagued the project of unifying the 
countries of Europe in order to harness its collective economic power, and to 
avoid the bloody internecine strife that stains its history.

On the economic front, the E.U.’s dismal economic performance over the last six 
years was summed up in a December headline in Business Insider: “Europe 
Stinks.” The 2008 Great Recession exposed the incoherence of the E.U.’s 
economic structure, particularly its single currency, which is held hostage by 
the diverse economic policies of sovereign nations. The data tell the tale. The 
E.U.’s GDP grew 1 percent in 2013, anemic compared to the U.S.’s 2.2 percent. 
In December 2014, unemployment in the E.U. averaged 11.4 percent, while in the 
U.S. it was 5.6 percent. We are troubled by our labor force participation rate 
of 62.7 percent, a 36-year low. But in the E.U., it was 57.5 percent in 2013. 
Our recovery from the recession may be slow by our historical standards, but it 
is blazing compared to the E.U.’s.

The E.U.’s economic woes have many causes, but intrusively regulated economies 
and outsized government spending on generous social welfare transfers are two 
of the most important. Despite the rebuke of such policies delivered by the 
recession, government spending as a percentage of GDP has actually increased in 
the E.U., from 45.5 percent in 2007 to 49 percent in 2013, even as many 
Europeans decry the harsh “austerity” measures called for by countries like 
Germany. Greece, the E.U member increasingly in danger of being forced to exit 
the monetary union and thus risk its unraveling, has nonetheless raised its 
government spending from 46.8 percent in 2007 to 59 percent in 2013.

As Josef Joffe of Germany’s Die Zeit newspaper summarized in January, “These 
ailments are deeply embedded in economies that lag behind on investment, 
innovation and competitiveness . . . Europe as a whole is beginning to look 
like Greece writ large. But the long-term data whisper to Europe as well as to 
Greece: Reform or decline.”

Socially, the E.U. is troubled by two trends: demographic decline and the 
presence of concentrated populations of unassimilated and disaffected Muslim 
immigrants. Europe is an aging people; by 2030, one in four Europeans will be 
65 years or older, reflecting the Europeans’ failure to reproduce. Not since 
the 1970s have European women averaged 2.1 children, the number necessary to 
replace a population. The rate in 2014 was 1.6. In countries with low 
retirement ages and generous benefits, an aging population means more and more 
money taken from the productive young and investment in the economy, further 
reducing competiveness, innovation, and growth.

And it means fewer workers, a factor in the influx of immigrants into the E.U. 
over the last several decades. As Ingo Kramer, head of the Confederation of 
German Employers’ Associations, put it, “We need immigration for our labor 
market and to allow our social system to function.” Large numbers of these 
immigrants have come from Muslim countries, bringing with them a religion and 
social mores radically different from Europe’s. Yet European countries have 
done a poor job of demanding assimilation of immigrants into the cultures of 
their new homes.

The result has been large concentrations of immigrants segregated in 
neighborhoods like the banlieues of Paris or the satellite “dish-cities” of 
Amsterdam. Shut out from labor markets, plied with generous social welfare 
payments, and allowed to cultivate beliefs and cultural practices inimical to 
liberal democracy, many of these immigrants despise their new homes and find 
the religious commitment and certainty of radical Islam an attractive 
alternative. And like the two French-Algerian brothers who attacked the offices 
of the satirical magazine Charlie Hebdo, some turn to terrorism.

Such violence, along with cultural practices like honor killings, forced 
marriages, and polygamy, remind Europeans of just how alien many immigrants 
are. They are stoking a political backlash against Muslims, the political 
consequences of which will be disruptive, if not dangerous. Populist parties, 
for example, opposed to unfettered immigration, angry at sluggish economies, 
and chafing against E.U. regulatory encroachments on national sovereignty, are 
growing across Europe. And there are signs that there is a constituency for 
these parties.

In France, which has 5 million Muslims, the largest Muslim population in 
Europe, a recent bestseller is Éric Zemmour’s Le suicide Français, about the 
erosion of French national identity and sovereignty. After the attacks in 
Paris, novelist Michel Houellebecq’s new novel Soumission, which imagines a 
France ruled by the Muslim Brotherhood, became an instant bestseller. These 
literary successes make sense given that according to a 2013 poll in the French 
newsweekly L’Express, 74 percent of the French said that Islam “is not 
compatible with French society.”

Similar sentiments and political reactions can be found across Europe. The 
United Kingdom Independence party in England, the National Front in France, and 
the “Patriotic Europeans against the Islamization of the Occident” (PEGIDA) in 
Germany are united in their Euroskepticism. They are all calling for renewed 
pride in Western civilization and their national identities, and demand that 
immigration be limited and Muslim immigrants compelled to assimilate. If these 
parties continue to strengthen their membership, they will be able to join 
coalition governments. At that point, they will be able to affect policy in 
ways—like restricting immigration—that will lead to greater political conflict 
and perhaps civil violence.

All these economic, social, and political problems are no secret. But the 
proposed solutions to them usually focus on policy changes or technical 
adjustments to the structure and functioning of the E.U. Yet this begs the 
fundamental question that has troubled European unification ever since it began 
with the Treaty of Rome in 1957: What comprises the collective beliefs and 
values that can form the foundations of a genuine European-wide community? What 
is it that all Europeans believe?

Europe and its nations were forged in the matrix of ideas, ideals, and beliefs 
of Christianity, which gave divine sanction to notions like human rights, the 
sanctity of the individual, political freedom, and equality. Today, across 
Europe Christian belief is a shadow of its former self. Fewer and fewer 
Europeans regularly go to church, with weekly attendance in most European 
countries in the low double digits. Churches are being shuttered across the 
continent; the Church of England closes about 20 churches a year and the German 
Catholic Church closed 515 in the past decade, according to the Wall Street 
Journal. It is common for many European cathedrals to have more tourists during 
a service than parishioners. This process of secularization––already well 
advanced in 1887 when Nietzsche famously said, “God is no more than a faded 
word today, not even a concept”––is nearly complete today, leaving Europeans 
without it historical principle of unity.

Nor over the last century have the various substitutes for Christianity managed 
to fill the void. Political religions like communism and fascism failed 
bloodily, leaving behind mountains of corpses. Nor has secular social 
democracy, with its utopian ideals, provided people with a transcendent 
principle that justifies sacrifice for the greater good, or even gives people a 
reason to reproduce. A shared commitment to leisure, a short workweek, and a 
generous social safety net is nothing worth killing or dying for. Neither is 
the vague idea of a transnational E.U. ruled by unaccountable Eurocrats in 
Brussels and Strasbourg.

More important, from its beginning, the idea of the E.U. depended on the 
denigration of patriotism and national pride, for these were seen as the road 
to the exclusionary, blood-and-soil nationalism that fed Nazism and fascism. 
Yet all peoples are the product of a particular culture, language, mores, 
histories, traditions, and landscapes. The “postmodern” abstract E.U. ideal of 
transcending such parochial identities was destined to collide with the real 
cultural differences between European nations. These differences have become 
obvious during the economic crisis of the last decade, when hard-working, 
thrifty Germans have been loath to subsidize what they see as indolent, 
improvident Greeks, suggesting that there is more that separates than unites 
those two peoples. That sense of belonging to a community defined by a shared 
identity cannot be created by a single currency.

National pride and amour propre were not eliminated by the E.U. and the 
ideology of its bureaucratic elites, only driven underground for a while. With 
Christianity moribund, and patriotism stigmatized as neo-fascist, it is 
unsurprising that Europe has failed to find a unifying principle beyond mere 
material comfort, resulting in the continent-wide malaise that manifests itself 
in the various failed policies threatening the E.U. project today, what Pope 
Francis last November called “a general impression of weariness and aging, of a 
Europe which is now a ‘grandmother,’ no longer fertile and vibrant”—a culture 
“weary with disorientation.”

We American should not indulge the schadenfreude aroused by watching our 
sometimes-condescending older cousins slip farther and farther behind us in 
global importance and power. Europe is still collectively the world’s largest 
economy, and its travails will impact the whole globe. More importantly, many 
of the trends weakening Europe today are active in our own country. The 
scorning of national pride and American exceptionalism, the decline of 
Christianity in the public square, multiculturalism and its ethnic separatism 
and divisive identity politics, and the preference of many Americans for 
greater social welfare spending, redistribution of wealth, and dirigiste 
economic policies all point us to a fate like Europe’s. 

Self-doubt about the goodness of one’s way of life and living just for today’s 
pleasures are luxuries a great power cannot afford. In a world of violent 
ideologies and aggressive autocrats, a free people must have something beyond 
this world that they believe is worth killing and dying for. Europe seemingly 
has lost those ideals and beliefs that made it the nurse of freedom, democracy, 
and human rights. America has taken on that global role, but if we go the way 
of Europe, if we too no longer know what we believe, who will take our place? 

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