Markets  |  Thu Apr 2, 2015 7:30am EDT Related:  China,  IMF  
China knocking on door of IMF's major league, U.S. wavers
BRUSSELS  |  By Paul Taylor                     100 Yuan notes are seen in this 
illustration picture in Beijing November 5, 2013.  Reuters/Jason Lee  BRUSSELS 
(Reuters) - China is closer to joining the major league of reserve currencies 
with a deal possible later this year to include the yuan in the International 
Monetary Fund's unit of account, international finance officials say.However 
the United States, where China's growing economic and political muscle is a 
source of strategic concern in Congress, is reluctant to add the yuan so soon 
to the basket of currencies that make up the IMF's Special Drawing Rights.U.S. 
Treasury Secretary Jack Lew said after a visit to Beijing this week the yuan 
was not yet ready to join the virtual currency that defines the value of the 
IMF's reserves, used for lending to countries in financial difficulty."While 
further liberalization and reform are needed for the (yuan) to meet this 
standard, we encourage the process of completing these necessary reforms," Lew 
said in a speech in San Francisco on Tuesday.The yuan, also known as the 
renminbi or RMB, is already the world's fifth most-used trade currency. Beijing 
has made strides this year in introducing the infrastructure needed to float it 
freely on global capital markets.European members of the Group of Seven major 
industrialized economies - Germany, Britain, France and Italy - favor adding 
the yuan this year to the basket that comprises the dollar, the euro, the yen 
and the pound sterling. Japan, like the United States, is more cautious, the 
officials said.The IMF's board will hold an initial discussion in May on 
China's request and a full five-yearly review of the SDR's composition will be 
conducted later in the year ahead of a decision expected in November, IMF 
officials said."The German side supports China's goal to add the RMB to the SDR 
currency basket based on existing criteria," Joachim Nagel, a member of the 
executive board of the German central bank, said last weekend at a high-level 
forum in Boao, on the southern Chinese island of Hainan.The upcoming review 
could be a good opportunity to introduce the yuan into the basket, he said, 
adding: "We appreciate China's recent development and progress towards 
liberalization."Chinese Premier Li Keqiang asked IMF chief Christine Lagarde 
last month to include the yuan in its SDR basket, pledged to speed up its 
"basic convertibility" and said China hoped to play an active role in 
international efforts to maintain financial stability, state news agency Xinhua 
said.PHASED ENTRY?A euro zone central bank source said one route could see a 
phased entry into the SDR, linked to fulfilling the official criterion that the 
yuan must be "freely usable", which Western officials interpret as full 
convertibility.It would be the first emerging market currency to join the SDR, 
marking another stage in China's rise as a global economic player and requiring 
the United States to accept a dilution of its unrivalled power in international 
finance.While the Europeans are vying for commercial advantage in the world's 
second biggest economy, Washington sees Beijing also as an authoritarian 
strategic challenger that may not feel bound by rules written by the West.The 
U.S. Congress has held up ratification of a 2010 reform of voting rights in the 
IMF intended to give China and other emerging economies more say.Britain, keen 
to secure pole position for London as an offshore center for international 
trading in yuan, has taken the lead in pressing publicly for China's admission 
to the SDR.David Ramsden, chief economic adviser at the UK Treasury, said much 
had changed since the makeup of the virtual currency was last reviewed in 2010, 
and including the yuan was now a "very live issue".Germany has ambitions to 
lure yuan trading to Frankfurt, home of the European Central Bank, and was 
irked when Britain last month jumped ahead of its EU partners to become a 
founder member of the China-led Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank.Washington 
suffered a diplomatic reverse after trying to dissuade its allies from joining 
the Chinese initiative, seen as a potential rival to the World Bank and Asian 
Development Bank, dominated by the United States and Japan.Keen to avoid a 
second rift with Europe - even though the United States can block IMF decisions 
- Lew focused on the terms for admitting the yuan to the SDR rather than the 
timing."China will need to successfully complete difficult fundamental reforms, 
such as capital account liberalization, a more market-determined exchange rate, 
interest rate liberalization, as well as strengthening of financial regulation 
and supervision," he said.While Washington believed Beijing has stopped 
intervening to weaken its currency, Lew said the true test would come when 
market pressure increased for the yuan to strengthen.David Marsh, managing 
director of the central banking think-tank OMFIF, sees a "grand bargain" 
between China, the United States and the IMF taking shape under which Beijing 
would enter the heart of global finance in exchange for turning the yuan into a 
strong currency on world financial markets.The Chinese central bank was using 
its $3.8 trillion in reserves to keep the yuan steady against the dollar. The 
Chinese currency has appreciated by 11 percent in trade-weighted terms in the 
past year."All of this is a potential challenge for the dollar and its pivotal 
position in world money," Marsh said in a briefing.While there is no fixed set 
of indicators to measure the eligibility of a currency for the SDR basket, in 
2011 IMF staff set out a number of indicators that could show whether a 
currency is "freely usable": - currency composition of official reserve 
holdings; - currency denomination of international banking liabilities; - 
currency denomination of international debt securities; - volume of 
transactions in foreign exchange spot markets.More than 60 central banks hold 
the yuan in their reserves, according to China-focused bankers in London. 
Offshore trading in the yuan CNH= soared some 350 percent on Thomson Reuters 
trading platforms last year and rival platform EBS said the yuan was one of its 
top five traded currencies.A former high IMF official, speaking on condition of 
anonymity, said 2015 was too soon for the yuan to qualify, but the Chinese 
central bank could use the review to persuade Communist Party leaders to move 
further towards convertibility.Zhu Min, the IMF's Chinese deputy managing 
director, noted the yuan was increasingly used in trade and was also growing in 
capital markets."Clearly the RMB is already qualified, in a sense, on trade 
activity," he told reporters at the Boao Forum. "But on the freely usable side 
... there are still some obstructions."(This story corrects paragraph 18, 
changing to Asian Development Bank) (Additional reporting by Adam Jourdan in 
Boao, China, Rory Carroll in San Francisco, Randall Palmer in Ottawa and 
Patrick Graham in London; Writing by Paul Taylor. Editing by Mike Peacock.)

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